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Federal Reserve
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Short-term U.S. interest rate futures continue to reflect a low probability of rate cuts this year following the Federal Reserve's policy announcement
Svmuu reported that after the Federal Reserve kept its policy rate unchanged, short-term U.S. interest rate futures continue to indicate a low likelihood of rate cuts this year. (Jin10)
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Federal Reserve The interest rate decision and policy statement have received the most dissenting votes since October 1992
Svmuureports that the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and policy statement have received the most dissenting votes since October 1992. (Jin10)
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U.S. Fed Interest Rate Decision (Upper Bound) as of April 29: 3.75%, Expected 3.75%, Previous 3.75%
Svmuu reported that the U.S. Fed Interest Rate Decision (Upper Bound) as of April 29 was 3.75%, meeting the expectation of 3.75%, unchanged from the previous 3.75%. (Jin10)
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The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged as expected
Svmuu News: The Federal Reserve kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, marking the third consecutive meeting with no change, in line with market expectations. (Jinshi)
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Analyst: Powell's forward guidance may be limited, with more attention needed on his future moves
Svmuu news, With the market widely expecting the Fed to hold interest rates steady at this meeting, analysts say the more noteworthy focus will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's future direction: will h
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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged today is 100%.
Svmuu reports, according to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged today is 100%. The probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged by June is 9
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Analyst: Traders may reduce their risk exposure ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision
Svmuu News Pepperstone analyst Michael Brown said that traders may reduce their exposure to risk assets before the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision at 2:00 a.m. Beijing time on Thu
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Prediction market pricing shows expectations for Fed rate cuts before 2027 have significantly cooled
Svmuu reported that pricing on the Kalshi prediction market indicates the market currently sees only about a 50% probability of a Fed rate cut before 2027, a sharp decline from the 80-90% probability
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Analysis: Kevin Warsh moves one step closer to assuming the role of Federal Reserve Chair, potentially receiving full Senate confirmation before Chairman Powell’s term ends
Svmuu reported that Kevin Warsh, nominated by U.S. President Donald Trump as the next Federal Reserve Chair candidate, received support from the Senate Banking Committee in a 13-11 vote. This paves th
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The US Senate Banking Committee voted to advance Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Federal Reserve Chair to the full Senate.
Svmuu reported that the US Senate Banking Committee voted to advance Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Federal Reserve Chair to the full Senate. (Jinshi)
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The U.S. Senate Banking Committee is set to vote on advancing the nomination of Warsh as chair of Federal Reserve
Svmuu: The U.S. Senate Banking Committee will vote in ten minutes on advancing Warsh's nomination for Federal Reserve Chair. (Jin Shi)
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Paul Tudor Jones: Bitcoin is the Undisputed Best Inflation Hedge
Svmuu Macro investor and hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones stated in a recent podcast interview that Bitcoin is the "unequivocally the best inflation hedge" and called it a "knockout opportunity" in
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Outlook from Investment Banks on the Fed's Future Interest Rate Path: Easing Could Begin as Early as September
Svmuureports that major investment banks have provided their outlook on the Fed's future interest rate path, with the earliest rate cuts expected to begin in September: 1. Wells Fargo: Still expects t
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U.S. Senator Warren: Donald Trump is driving Federal Reserve into a corner
Svmuu: U.S. Senator Warren says Trump is pushing the Federal Reserve into a difficult position. (Jin Shi)
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Analysis: Bitcoin Spot Trading Volume Hits Lowest Since October 2023, Low Liquidity May Amplify Market Volatility
Svmuu reports that data shows the daily spot trading volume of Bitcoin has fallen to below $8 billion, the lowest level since October 2023, when the BTC price was still below $40,000. Glassnode points
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QCP: Market Turns Cautious as Bitcoin Consolidates in a Range
Svmuu reported that QCP released a market observation stating that as geopolitical tailwinds fade, macro uncertainty is once again dominating market sentiment, with both traditional and crypto markets
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Polymarket's "Powell says 'Good Afternoon' at April Press Conference" probability hits 98%, trading volume exceeds $57,000
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel, in the Polymarket prediction event regarding "What will Powell say at the April press conference," the probability of purchasing "Good After
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Svmuu Noon News
1. The nomination of Wash for Fed Chairman will be put to a full Senate vote on April 29; 2. Despite the acquisition being rescinded, Manus investors have received their returned funds; 3. A whale has
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April 29th, the nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair will be put to a full vote in the Senate
Svmuureported on Sunday that after the Department of Justice concluded its investigation into Powell, Republican Senator Thom Tillis dropped his opposition to Kevin Warsh's Federal Reserve Chair nomin
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Arthur Hayes: More Focused on Warsh’s Balance Sheet Stance Than Short-Term Rate Path
Svmuu reported that at the Bitcoin 2026 conference, Arthur Hayes stated that he is more focused on the stance of Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh regarding the balance sheet than on the direc
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Goldman Sachs: Fed Chair Change Won’t Lead to Rapid Rate Cuts
Svmuu reported that Goldman Sachs economist David Merrick said in a note to clients that while a path for Kevin Warsh to become Fed Chair has become clear, a leadership change may not immediately alte
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ING: News of Iran's new proposal weighs on the dollar, but the decline is expected to be limited
Svmuu News: ING analyst Chris Turner stated in a report that the US dollar weakened following media reports that Iran has proposed a new plan to the US to end the war. However, he noted that the decli
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Barclays: Federal Reserve. is expected to hold rates steady this week, but a rate cut remains possible later this year
Barclays: Fed Expected to Hold Steady This Week, but Rate Cut Still Possible This Year
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Japanese and South Korean stock markets both hit new highs; 2. Trump: The war with Iran will end soon, and the US will win; 3. Progress on the crypto market structure bill stalls, May 25 becomes a
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Anthropic's IPO Filing Boosts Market Sentiment, Asian Stocks Poised to Rise
Anthropic's IPO Filing Boosts Market Sentiment, Asian Stocks Poised to Rise. Ahead of major tech earnings and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, Anthropic's initial public offering applicat
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US stocks rose, as Anthropic's IPO application eased market concerns about an AI bubble. Later this week, the market will also see tech earnings reports and a Federal Reserve policy statement.
US stocks rose, as Anthropic's IPO application eased market concerns about an AI bubble. Later this week, the market will also see tech earnings reports and a Federal Reserve policy statement.
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A federal appeals court ruled that the Federal Reserve must rewrite its rules on debit card transaction processing fees
A federal appeals court ruled that the Federal Reserve must rewrite its rules on debit card transaction processing fees, as the existing rules violate congressional legislative intent. The court noted
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Bitcoin prices fluctuated around $80,000 on Monday, with traders closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting
Bitcoin prices fluctuated around $80,000 on Monday, with traders closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting, which concludes this week. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to k
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On Monday, October 26, the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) facility saw usage of $200 million (1 counterparty), unchanged from the previous trading day.
On Monday, October 26, the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) facility saw usage of $200 million (1 counterparty), unchanged from the previous trading day.
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The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at this week's meeting
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at this week's meeting, but some analysts warn that inaction could raise questions about its inflation-fighting credibility. Despite in
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US consumers' long-term inflation expectations remain above comparable levels in 2019 and 2024
Research released by the University of Michigan on October 23 shows that US consumers' long-term inflation expectations remain above comparable levels in 2019 and 2024, reaching 3.5% (up from 3.4% in
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The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday
The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday, according to Nick Timiraos. However, given the hot CPI and PPI data for September, the debate over whether to hike rates is m
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US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38 a.m. in New York, while Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.5%. Brent crude fell 1.3% to $115 a barrel.
US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38
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The BLS collected 66.3% of targeted price observations in its September commodities-and-services survey
Bitcoin faces another Federal Reserve interest-rate decision on October 27-28, as the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) continues to struggle with restoring its inflation data collection operations.
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Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals
Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals. He views any upcoming market sell-offs as buying opportunities.
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Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear
Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear. Wilson projects a near-term S&P 500 downside target of 7,100–7
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Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high
Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high, as market hopes for a US-Iran deal grew, easing concerns of further escalation. According to the Financial Times, Iran is ho
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge, as the market expects interest rates to remain unchanged this week but anticipates a potential hike in December. Chairman Warsh
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South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Korean won strengthened against the US dollar.
South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Kor
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Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high
Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high. With the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the B
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Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300
Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300, and XRP declined about 3% to $1.28, as traders avoided risk ahead of the Federal Res
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Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses
Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence (AI) stocks remained under pressure,
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Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision for new directional guidance.
Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's u
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stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike
Goldman Sachs' economic research team, in their preview report for the October FOMC meeting, stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike, but
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As of 9:15 AM, the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) was down 24.45 points, or 0.46%, at 5,524.85 points
South Korea's KOSPI index opened lower on Monday as investors awaited third-quarter earnings reports from major chipmakers and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision later this week. As of 9:1
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Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
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CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
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Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve
Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve, potentially triggering a new risk repricing. Cosimo Codacci-Pisanelli, a stra
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
The bank raised its 2027 humanoid robot sales forecast for Unitree Robotics to 31,701 units
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Meta's earnings triggered a significant widening of AI credit spreads, with its Credit Default Swaps (CDS) reaching an all-time high
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shows that the computational power consumption for training humanoid robot full-body motion controllers can be compressed by over 1000 times
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Cryptocurrency Basics: Definition, Development, and Secure Investment Strategies
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Toncoin Institutional Investor Analysis: Funding, Custody, and Market Impact of the Telegram Ecosystem
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Ethereum Monetary Theory: From EIP-1559 to the "Ultra Sound Money" Vision
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Hong Kong aims to increase its total gold storage capacity by more than tenfold to 2,000 tons by 2030
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Israel will hold general elections on Tuesday, with war, security, the economy, and coalition formation being the main issues
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AI, a Chinese provider of high-quality AI token production services, recently completed a Series B funding round exceeding RMB 1.3 billion
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Boosted by this news, SK Hynix's stock price rose over 2% at one point on Monday
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