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Federal Reserve
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Federal Funds Rate Swap Contracts: Probability of Fed Hiking 25bps by April 2027 Reaches 50%
SvmuuNews Federal funds rate swap contracts show that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points before April 2027 has reached 50%. (Jinshi)
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Analyst: The Fed Appears to Have Entered a New Phase, with Internal Disagreements Complicating the Situation
Svmuu News Analyst Anstey pointed out that we seem to be in uncharted territory and need more time to understand the current situation. It should be noted that regarding the interest rate decision its
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4 dissenting votes, Fed rifts deepen as Powell's term draws to a close
Svmuu reported that the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged as expected, with a total of 12 voting members participating, among which 4 dissenting votes were cast, the highest number since O
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Past 1 hour global liquidations reached $182 million, with ETH liquidations at $64.78 million
Svmuu reported that after the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, mainstream coins such as BTC declined. Coinglass data shows that global liquidations in the past hour totaled $182 million, with
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Federal Reserve Resolution: No Action Taken for the Third Consecutive Time, but Divisions Deepen
Svmuu reported that the Federal Reserve's decision shows recent indicators point to economic activity expanding at a solid pace. Job gains have been somewhat weak, and the unemployment rate has change
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Short-term U.S. interest rate futures continue to reflect a low probability of rate cuts this year following the Federal Reserve's policy announcement
Svmuu reported that after the Federal Reserve kept its policy rate unchanged, short-term U.S. interest rate futures continue to indicate a low likelihood of rate cuts this year. (Jin10)
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Federal Reserve The interest rate decision and policy statement have received the most dissenting votes since October 1992
Svmuureports that the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and policy statement have received the most dissenting votes since October 1992. (Jin10)
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U.S. Fed Interest Rate Decision (Upper Bound) as of April 29: 3.75%, Expected 3.75%, Previous 3.75%
Svmuu reported that the U.S. Fed Interest Rate Decision (Upper Bound) as of April 29 was 3.75%, meeting the expectation of 3.75%, unchanged from the previous 3.75%. (Jin10)
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The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged as expected
Svmuu News: The Federal Reserve kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, marking the third consecutive meeting with no change, in line with market expectations. (Jinshi)
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Analyst: Powell's forward guidance may be limited, with more attention needed on his future moves
Svmuu news, With the market widely expecting the Fed to hold interest rates steady at this meeting, analysts say the more noteworthy focus will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's future direction: will h
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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged today is 100%.
Svmuu reports, according to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged today is 100%. The probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged by June is 9
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Analyst: Traders may reduce their risk exposure ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision
Svmuu News Pepperstone analyst Michael Brown said that traders may reduce their exposure to risk assets before the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision at 2:00 a.m. Beijing time on Thu
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Prediction market pricing shows expectations for Fed rate cuts before 2027 have significantly cooled
Svmuu reported that pricing on the Kalshi prediction market indicates the market currently sees only about a 50% probability of a Fed rate cut before 2027, a sharp decline from the 80-90% probability
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Analysis: Kevin Warsh moves one step closer to assuming the role of Federal Reserve Chair, potentially receiving full Senate confirmation before Chairman Powell’s term ends
Svmuu reported that Kevin Warsh, nominated by U.S. President Donald Trump as the next Federal Reserve Chair candidate, received support from the Senate Banking Committee in a 13-11 vote. This paves th
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The US Senate Banking Committee voted to advance Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Federal Reserve Chair to the full Senate.
Svmuu reported that the US Senate Banking Committee voted to advance Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Federal Reserve Chair to the full Senate. (Jinshi)
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The U.S. Senate Banking Committee is set to vote on advancing the nomination of Warsh as chair of Federal Reserve
Svmuu: The U.S. Senate Banking Committee will vote in ten minutes on advancing Warsh's nomination for Federal Reserve Chair. (Jin Shi)
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Paul Tudor Jones: Bitcoin is the Undisputed Best Inflation Hedge
Svmuu Macro investor and hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones stated in a recent podcast interview that Bitcoin is the "unequivocally the best inflation hedge" and called it a "knockout opportunity" in
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Outlook from Investment Banks on the Fed's Future Interest Rate Path: Easing Could Begin as Early as September
Svmuureports that major investment banks have provided their outlook on the Fed's future interest rate path, with the earliest rate cuts expected to begin in September: 1. Wells Fargo: Still expects t
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U.S. Senator Warren: Donald Trump is driving Federal Reserve into a corner
Svmuu: U.S. Senator Warren says Trump is pushing the Federal Reserve into a difficult position. (Jin Shi)
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Analysis: Bitcoin Spot Trading Volume Hits Lowest Since October 2023, Low Liquidity May Amplify Market Volatility
Svmuu reports that data shows the daily spot trading volume of Bitcoin has fallen to below $8 billion, the lowest level since October 2023, when the BTC price was still below $40,000. Glassnode points
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QCP: Market Turns Cautious as Bitcoin Consolidates in a Range
Svmuu reported that QCP released a market observation stating that as geopolitical tailwinds fade, macro uncertainty is once again dominating market sentiment, with both traditional and crypto markets
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Polymarket's "Powell says 'Good Afternoon' at April Press Conference" probability hits 98%, trading volume exceeds $57,000
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel, in the Polymarket prediction event regarding "What will Powell say at the April press conference," the probability of purchasing "Good After
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Svmuu Noon News
1. The nomination of Wash for Fed Chairman will be put to a full Senate vote on April 29; 2. Despite the acquisition being rescinded, Manus investors have received their returned funds; 3. A whale has
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April 29th, the nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair will be put to a full vote in the Senate
Svmuureported on Sunday that after the Department of Justice concluded its investigation into Powell, Republican Senator Thom Tillis dropped his opposition to Kevin Warsh's Federal Reserve Chair nomin
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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ETH (Ethereum) surged 5.31% in 1 hour, currently trading at $2,439.61
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Cosmos (ATOM) Outlook Analysis: Tokenomics Restructuring and Cross-Chain Upgrades
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Samsung Electronics fell 5.85% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩205,250.
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Why 1WO Price Predictions Are Unreliable: Current Status and Liquidity Analysis of 1World Online
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Current Status and Future Outlook of IMX in Blockchain Gaming
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What is OCEAN? Ocean Protocol Mechanism, Token, and Risk Analysis
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International Policy Analyst: US Midterm Election Results Indicate War with Iran Has Become a Political Liability
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What is Bee Network? The Relationship and Current Status of Bee Network and Pi Network
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What is BIMP Coin? An Analysis of BIMP Coin's Project Background and Current Market Status
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SK Hynix fell 7.81% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩1,287,000.
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