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Federal Reserve
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Market expectations for the probability of interest rate hikes by the end of 2026 have risen slightly Federal Reserve
Svmuu reported that U.S. interest rate futures data shows that following the release of U.S. economic data, the market's probability expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike before the end of 2026
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Analysis: Bitcoin’s Push to $80,000 Stalls, Derivatives Data Suggests Declining Market Risk Appetite
Svmuu reports that Bitcoin is facing significant resistance near the $80,000 level, while the derivatives market continues to emit risk-aversion signals. Analysts point out that the cost basis for sho
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Institutions: The Fed remains on hold, extending its wait-and-see stance, as political pressure fails to force rate cuts; 2. Bank of Japan: High oil prices and a weak yen could keep core inflation
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Institution: Fed Holds Steady in Wait-and-See Mode, Political Pressure for Rate Cuts Falls Flat
Svmuureported that Matthew Vegari, Head of Research at Clearwater Analytics' investment platform, stated in a report that the Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% signals a c
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Morgan Stanley: Expects Fed to Keep Rates Unchanged in 2026
Svmuu reported on April 30 that Morgan Stanley expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026, having previously forecast rate cuts in September and December. The firm now antici
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged as expected; 2. The Fed's rate decision and policy statement received the most dissenting votes since October 1992; 3. Fed Chair Powell: Will not l
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Polymarket probability of "Powell leaving the Fed Board of Governors before May 30" drops to 9%, down 25% in 24 hours
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the Polymarket probability of "Powell leaving the Fed Board of Governors before May 30" has plummeted, now at 9%, down 25% in 24 hours; the probability of "Pow
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Bessent: Powell's Decision to Stay as Governor Would Defy Tradition
Svmuu reported that U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent stated that it would be unusual for outgoing Federal Reserve Chair Powell to remain as a Fed governor. For someone who has always emphasized norms,
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Market pricing indicates that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this year is greater than that of cutting them
Svmuu reported that, according to the Wall Street Journal, following some hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials, Wall Street traders are betting on the possibility of a Fed rate hike this yea
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Powell: Policy may remain in neutral range
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated at a press conference that monetary policy may be in a neutral range with respect to its impact on the economy. He noted, “I believe we are ve
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Powell: Determined to Defend the Fed's Independence, to Remain as Fed Governor for 'Some Time'
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated at a press conference that he will continue to serve as a Fed governor for a period of time after stepping down as chairman. Powell no
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Jerome Powell: Dissenters on monetary policy are not necessarily in favor of raising interest rates
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated at a press conference that, although some voted against maintaining the dovish stance wording in the statement during the latest monetary policy meet
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Analyst: Federal Reserve's split vote was unexpected; Warsh is expected to face significant challenges after taking office
Svmuu News Analysts Anna and Stuart pointed out that today's decision to keep interest rates unchanged was expected, but the dissenting opinions were striking. It is quite ironic that Powell, widely s
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Federal Reserve Chair Powell: I will never become a shadow chair
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Powell stated that he will never become a shadow chair. (Jin Shi)
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Powell: Welcomes DOJ Ending Investigation, Will Remain as Governor After Stepping Down as Chair
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said he welcomes the DOJ's announcement last Friday regarding the (closure of the investigation into Powell). Over the past weekend, the DOJ pro
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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell: Federal Reserve Chair nominee Warsh will serve as Chair of the FOMC
Svmuu: Federal Reserve Chair Powell said that nominee for Fed Chair, Warsh, will serve as Chairman of the FOMC. (Jin Shi)
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Federal Reserve Chair Powell: Will not leave until DOJ investigation is fully concluded; will remain as a governor after May 15
Svmuu: Federal Reserve Chair Powell: I stand by my position; I will not leave until the Department of Justice investigation is fully concluded. I will remain as a governor after May 15. (Jinshi)
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Federal Reserve Chair Powell: Recent inflation expectations have risen, while the unemployment rate remains largely unchanged
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Powell stated that recent inflation expectations have increased, with little change in the unemployment rate. Long-term inflation expectations are consistent with the
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Federal Reserve Chair Powell: This is my last press conference as Chair. Congratulations to Warsh
Svmuu: Federal Reserve Chair Powell said, "This is my last press conference as Chair. Congratulations to Warsh."
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Federal Funds Rate Swap Contracts: Probability of Fed Hiking 25bps by April 2027 Reaches 50%
SvmuuNews Federal funds rate swap contracts show that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points before April 2027 has reached 50%. (Jinshi)
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Analyst: The Fed Appears to Have Entered a New Phase, with Internal Disagreements Complicating the Situation
Svmuu News Analyst Anstey pointed out that we seem to be in uncharted territory and need more time to understand the current situation. It should be noted that regarding the interest rate decision its
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4 dissenting votes, Fed rifts deepen as Powell's term draws to a close
Svmuu reported that the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged as expected, with a total of 12 voting members participating, among which 4 dissenting votes were cast, the highest number since O
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Past 1 hour global liquidations reached $182 million, with ETH liquidations at $64.78 million
Svmuu reported that after the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, mainstream coins such as BTC declined. Coinglass data shows that global liquidations in the past hour totaled $182 million, with
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Federal Reserve Resolution: No Action Taken for the Third Consecutive Time, but Divisions Deepen
Svmuu reported that the Federal Reserve's decision shows recent indicators point to economic activity expanding at a solid pace. Job gains have been somewhat weak, and the unemployment rate has change
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US stocks rose, as Anthropic's IPO application eased market concerns about an AI bubble. Later this week, the market will also see tech earnings reports and a Federal Reserve policy statement.
US stocks rose, as Anthropic's IPO application eased market concerns about an AI bubble. Later this week, the market will also see tech earnings reports and a Federal Reserve policy statement.
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A federal appeals court ruled that the Federal Reserve must rewrite its rules on debit card transaction processing fees
A federal appeals court ruled that the Federal Reserve must rewrite its rules on debit card transaction processing fees, as the existing rules violate congressional legislative intent. The court noted
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Bitcoin prices fluctuated around $80,000 on Monday, with traders closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting
Bitcoin prices fluctuated around $80,000 on Monday, with traders closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting, which concludes this week. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to k
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On Monday, October 26, the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) facility saw usage of $200 million (1 counterparty), unchanged from the previous trading day.
On Monday, October 26, the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) facility saw usage of $200 million (1 counterparty), unchanged from the previous trading day.
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The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at this week's meeting
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at this week's meeting, but some analysts warn that inaction could raise questions about its inflation-fighting credibility. Despite in
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US consumers' long-term inflation expectations remain above comparable levels in 2019 and 2024
Research released by the University of Michigan on October 23 shows that US consumers' long-term inflation expectations remain above comparable levels in 2019 and 2024, reaching 3.5% (up from 3.4% in
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The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday
The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday, according to Nick Timiraos. However, given the hot CPI and PPI data for September, the debate over whether to hike rates is m
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US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38 a.m. in New York, while Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.5%. Brent crude fell 1.3% to $115 a barrel.
US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38
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The BLS collected 66.3% of targeted price observations in its September commodities-and-services survey
Bitcoin faces another Federal Reserve interest-rate decision on October 27-28, as the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) continues to struggle with restoring its inflation data collection operations.
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Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals
Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals. He views any upcoming market sell-offs as buying opportunities.
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Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear
Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear. Wilson projects a near-term S&P 500 downside target of 7,100–7
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Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high
Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high, as market hopes for a US-Iran deal grew, easing concerns of further escalation. According to the Financial Times, Iran is ho
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge, as the market expects interest rates to remain unchanged this week but anticipates a potential hike in December. Chairman Warsh
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South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Korean won strengthened against the US dollar.
South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Kor
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Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high
Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high. With the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the B
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Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300
Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300, and XRP declined about 3% to $1.28, as traders avoided risk ahead of the Federal Res
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Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses
Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence (AI) stocks remained under pressure,
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Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision for new directional guidance.
Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's u
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stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike
Goldman Sachs' economic research team, in their preview report for the October FOMC meeting, stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike, but
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As of 9:15 AM, the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) was down 24.45 points, or 0.46%, at 5,524.85 points
South Korea's KOSPI index opened lower on Monday as investors awaited third-quarter earnings reports from major chipmakers and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision later this week. As of 9:1
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Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
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CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
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Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve
Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve, potentially triggering a new risk repricing. Cosimo Codacci-Pisanelli, a stra
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U.Today Analysis: Bollinger Bands and Supply Alert – XRP's Rise to $2 May Take Two Years
U.Today analysis suggests that it could take two years for XRP to return to a price of $2, primarily because the Bollinger Bands indicate it has entered an extreme compression phase. Currently priced
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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The bank raised its 2027 humanoid robot sales forecast for Unitree Robotics to 31,701 units
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Meta's earnings triggered a significant widening of AI credit spreads, with its Credit Default Swaps (CDS) reaching an all-time high
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shows that the computational power consumption for training humanoid robot full-body motion controllers can be compressed by over 1000 times
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Cryptocurrency Basics: Definition, Development, and Secure Investment Strategies
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Toncoin Institutional Investor Analysis: Funding, Custody, and Market Impact of the Telegram Ecosystem
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Ethereum Monetary Theory: From EIP-1559 to the "Ultra Sound Money" Vision
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Hong Kong aims to increase its total gold storage capacity by more than tenfold to 2,000 tons by 2030
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Israel will hold general elections on Tuesday, with war, security, the economy, and coalition formation being the main issues
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AI, a Chinese provider of high-quality AI token production services, recently completed a Series B funding round exceeding RMB 1.3 billion
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Boosted by this news, SK Hynix's stock price rose over 2% at one point on Monday
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