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Federal Reserve
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Federal Reserve Chair Warsh Appoints Two Advisors, Both Conservatives
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh has hired two external individuals as advisors to assist him in the early stages of his tenure. One of them previously contributed to drafting a conservative po
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Federal Reserve's Hammack: Fed May Need to Act Quickly to Address High Inflation
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve's Hammack stated, given the many uncertainties in the economic outlook, keeping interest rates unchanged is currently reasonable, but officials may need to act quic
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Polymarket has a new prediction market: "June world is peaceful and uneventful," with the probability of nothing happening currently reported at 86%
Svmuu Seer Channel monitors that Polymarket has launched a new prediction market titled "June world is peaceful and uneventful." Currently, the probability of something major happening (Something) sta
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Apollo Chief Economist Warns Warsh's Rate Cut Hopes Dampened: AI Infrastructure Boom Will Initially Fuel Inflation
Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Global Management, Inc., has warned that the initial phase of the AI infrastructure boom will fuel inflation, making it difficult for new Federal Reserve Chairm
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Traders expect the US dollar to rise in the coming weeks
Svmuu reports that traders expect the US dollar to rise in the coming weeks, supported by factors including persistent uncertainties in US-Iran negotiations and an AI-driven rally in US stocks. The US
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Traders Raise Fed Rate Hike Expectations, 50% Probability of Rate Hike as Early as October
Svmuu News Due to signs of a deadlock in peace negotiations between the United States and Iran, U.S. Treasury prices fell as concerns grow that high energy costs will exacerbate inflation and prompt t
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. In 18 days, loracle.hl erased 10 months of $42.2 million in perpetual contract profits and incurred an additional loss of $5.19 million. 2. Arthur Hayes: Before this market cycle ends, HYPE should
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Powell Issues Warning on Federal Reserve Independence
According to an article by Nick Timiraos, known as the "Fed Whisperer," in a speech on Sunday evening, former Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that if any administration seeks a pretext t
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Federal Reserve Board Member Waller: The Adoption of Stablecoins Will Amplify the Impact of Policy Federal Reserve
Svmuu News In a panel discussion at the 32nd Dubrovnik Economic Conference, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that the global adoption of stablecoins could amplify the influence of Federal Reserv
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U.S. money market fund assets hit a record $8.281 trillion as demand for cash-like assets surges
Svmuu reported that uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path has spurred demand for cash-like assets, pushing the total assets of U.S. money market funds to a record $8.281 t
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Federal Reserve's Bowman Outlines a "Practical Monetary Policy Decision-Making Framework": Emphasizes the Dual Mandate and Flexible Response Mechanism
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman, in a recent article, systematically outlined her "practical monetary policy decision-making framework," emphasizing that the Fed must cent
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Federal Reserve Governor Bowman: It's premature to judge the impact of the war on inflation; temporary price shocks can be overlooked for now
Svmuureported that Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated it is currently too early to determine the impact of the Iran war on inflation, and policymakers need to adopt a "look through" approach to te
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Federal Reserve Governor Bowman: If Credibility in Monetary Policy is Maintained, Energy Shocks Can Be Ignored
Svmuureports that Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated that if the Fed maintains credibility in its monetary policy, it can overlook energy shocks. If war-driven inflation spreads, consideration wil
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U.S. pre-market quantum computing stocks continued to gain, with IBM rising over 4%
According to data from MSX.COM, U.S. pre-market quantum computing concept stocks extended gains, with ServiceNow up over 8%, IBM up over 4%, Oracle up over 3%, and Infleqtion up over 1%. Several Feder
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Fed's Kashkari: It is still too early to assert an immediate rate hike following the April PCE inflation data; 2. Data: BTC and ETH options worth a notional $7.48 billion are set to expire and sett
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Federal Reserve's Schmid: Must Clearly Communicate Commitment to Curbing Inflation
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve's Schmid stated he will continue to closely monitor persistently high inflation, and believes that Fed officials should clearly indicate their willingness to take a
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Fed's Schmid: Primary focus is on bringing inflation back to the 2% target
Svmuu News: Fed's Schmid said the primary focus is on bringing inflation back to the 2% target. (Jin10)
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Neel Kashkari of the Federal Reserve: It is too early to conclude that an immediate rate hike is needed after April PCE inflation data.
SvmuuNews: Neel Kashkari of the Federal Reserve stated that it is too early to conclude that an immediate rate hike is needed following the release of April PCE inflation data. (Jinshi)
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Strategy: Probability of selling Bitcoin this week rises from 11% to 30% from today's low; 2. Some banks in Hong Kong are tightening account openings for investment accounts, temporarily having no
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Opinion: Market still underestimates potential tightening policies of the Fed
Svmuureported that T. Rowe Price Chief US Economist Blerina Uruci said the market may still be underestimating the possibility of further tightening by the Federal Reserve. In a report, Uruci noted th
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Federal Reserve's Musalem: Scenarios Requiring Rate Hikes Exist
Svmuureports that Federal Reserve official Musalem stated that scenarios exist where the economy may require rate hikes. He believes there is a risk that inflation may not converge to the target as de
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Texas United Bank has received an upgraded OCC license and will offer U.S. dollar settlement services for cryptocurrencies
Svmuu reported that United Texas Bank announced it has received approval from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) to convert its state bank charter into a national bank charter. This c
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Federal Reserve's Musalem: Cannot Count on AI Boom to Solve Inflation Issues
Svmuu, Federal Reserve's Musalem stated that policymakers cannot rely on the potential productivity boom from artificial intelligence to alleviate persistently high inflation. Musalem noted: "I believ
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Federal Reserve’s Musalem: Higher real interest rates should be addressed through rate hike policies
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve’s Musalem stated that higher real interest rates should be addressed through rate hike policies. It is currently unclear whether the U.S. is in a period of high pro
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US consumers' long-term inflation expectations remain above comparable levels in 2019 and 2024
Research released by the University of Michigan on October 23 shows that US consumers' long-term inflation expectations remain above comparable levels in 2019 and 2024, reaching 3.5% (up from 3.4% in
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The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday
The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday, according to Nick Timiraos. However, given the hot CPI and PPI data for September, the debate over whether to hike rates is m
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US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38 a.m. in New York, while Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.5%. Brent crude fell 1.3% to $115 a barrel.
US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38
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The BLS collected 66.3% of targeted price observations in its September commodities-and-services survey
Bitcoin faces another Federal Reserve interest-rate decision on October 27-28, as the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) continues to struggle with restoring its inflation data collection operations.
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Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals
Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals. He views any upcoming market sell-offs as buying opportunities.
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Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear
Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear. Wilson projects a near-term S&P 500 downside target of 7,100–7
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Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high
Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high, as market hopes for a US-Iran deal grew, easing concerns of further escalation. According to the Financial Times, Iran is ho
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge, as the market expects interest rates to remain unchanged this week but anticipates a potential hike in December. Chairman Warsh
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South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Korean won strengthened against the US dollar.
South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Kor
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Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high
Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high. With the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the B
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Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300
Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300, and XRP declined about 3% to $1.28, as traders avoided risk ahead of the Federal Res
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Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses
Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence (AI) stocks remained under pressure,
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Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision for new directional guidance.
Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's u
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stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike
Goldman Sachs' economic research team, in their preview report for the October FOMC meeting, stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike, but
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As of 9:15 AM, the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) was down 24.45 points, or 0.46%, at 5,524.85 points
South Korea's KOSPI index opened lower on Monday as investors awaited third-quarter earnings reports from major chipmakers and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision later this week. As of 9:1
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Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
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CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
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Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve
Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve, potentially triggering a new risk repricing. Cosimo Codacci-Pisanelli, a stra
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U.Today Analysis: Bollinger Bands and Supply Alert – XRP's Rise to $2 May Take Two Years
U.Today analysis suggests that it could take two years for XRP to return to a price of $2, primarily because the Bollinger Bands indicate it has entered an extreme compression phase. Currently priced
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Chipmakers post longest weekly drop since November
A gauge of chipmakers edged up but posted its longest weekly drop since November, as a resurgence in oil prices dragged down stocks and bonds, stoking inflation concerns just days ahead of the Federal
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U.S. October Flash PMI Signals Strong Growth Amid Accelerating Inflation
The S&P Global Flash U.S. PMI for October indicates robust economic expansion, with the Composite PMI at 57.6 and the Services PMI at 57.9. The Manufacturing PMI reached 56.0, marking a 53-month high.
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Parker Lewis Predicts Bitcoin Will Settle All Global Payments as $107 Trillion Debt Intensifies Credit System Strain
Bitcoin Magazine reported that author Parker Lewis believes that as $107 trillion in debt strains the credit system, merchants will shift to zero-fee payments, and ultimately Bitcoin will settle 100%
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Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing reasons such as depleted ETF funds, increased correlation with the stock market, Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and macroeconomic headwinds.
Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing reasons such as depleted ETF funds, increased correlation with the stock market, Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, an
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American Express was fined $350 million by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve for deficiencies in its anti-money laundering system.
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Reserve took enforcement action against American Express earlier this month, alleging deficiencies in its anti-money laundering syst
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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The bank raised its 2027 humanoid robot sales forecast for Unitree Robotics to 31,701 units
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Meta's earnings triggered a significant widening of AI credit spreads, with its Credit Default Swaps (CDS) reaching an all-time high
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