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Federal Reserve
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The market has scaled back expectations of an interest rate hike Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: U.S. 10-year Treasury futures rose 10 points, and federal funds rate futures edged higher as the market scaled back expectations for interest rate hikes. (Jin Shi)
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The U.S. and Iran are close to reaching a peace agreement; next week, the market will focus on interest rate decisions by major central banks such as the Federal Reserve
Svmuu reported that statements from Trump, Iran's Foreign Minister, and Pakistan's Prime Minister indicate that Iran and the United States are close to reaching a peace agreement. Next week, market fo
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Trump: The Iran war is over; 2. SpaceX’s US IPO retail subscription amount is reported to have exceeded $100 billion; 3. The market is no longer fully pricing in expectations for a Fed rate hike th
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The market is no longer fully pricing in expectations of a Fed rate hike this year.
According to Svmuu, the market is no longer fully pricing in expectations of a Fed rate hike this year. (Jin10)
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Electronic components are driving up the PPI index, which has hit its highest level since November 2022
Svmuu reported that the PPI inflation rate surged to 6.5% in May, exceeding the expected 6.4% and reaching its highest level since November 2022. The core PPI inflation rate stood at 4.9%, unchanged f
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U.S. May PPI MoM comes in at 1.1%, vs. 0.7% expected
Svmuu News: U.S. May PPI MoM came in at 1.1%, versus the expected 0.7%, while the previous reading was revised from 1.40% to 1.1%. U.S. May Core PPI MoM came in at 0.4%, versus the expected 0.5%, whil
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Institution: Short-term Treasuries' Reaction to CPI Is Typically Less Sensitive Than to Employment Data
Svmuu reported that analysts at Julius Baer Group, led by Afonso Borges, noted in a report that the moderate rebound led by short-term Treasuries following the release of the US May CPI report on Wedn
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Strategist: U.S. inflation remains high, but cooling core data provides some breathing room for Federal Reserve
Strategist: US Inflation Remains Elevated, but Cooling Core Data Gives Fed Room to Breathe
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After the CPI data release, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 96.3%
Svmuureports that, according to the CME "FedWatch," the probability of the Fed maintaining the current interest rate in June is 96.3%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut is
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U.S. Core Inflation Unexpectedly Cools in May, Traders Still Bet on Fed Rate Hike by Year-End
Svmuu reported that the U.S. core CPI rose 0.2% month-on-month in May, below the market expectation of 0.3%. U.S. Treasuries strengthened slightly, while bond traders maintained their bets that the Fe
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“Fed Whisperer” Nick Timiraos: CPI rose 8.2% on a three-month annualized basis
Svmuu reported that "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos noted that it should not be overlooked that the overall CPI rose 0.47% month-over-month (an annualized increase of 5.8%), pushing the unadjusted annua
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Economist: Trump Needs to Resolve the Strait Issue Quickly to Reassure the Fed
Svmuu News Brian Jacobsen, Chief Economist at Annex Wealth Management, said the inflation data meeting expectations does not mean it is a good report. He added that the overall inflation data does not
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July rate hike probability stands at only 13% as US core inflation eases recent Fed concerns
Svmuu reported that US CPI data for May showed inflation surging to a three-year high, but the moderate rise in core prices has alleviated Wall Street's concerns about interest rate hikes. Today's CPI
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Analysis: US inflation in May returns to "4-handle," war-related inflation peak may have passed (Jin10 Data APP)
Svmuu reported that U.S. consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in three years in May, as the conflict in the Middle East pushed up prices for gasoline and other energy products, providing further j
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Market Reduces Bets on Fed Rate Hikes, US and Brent Crude Oil Remain Stable
Svmuu reported that short-term interest rate futures show the market has reduced its bets on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates. US and Brent crude oil prices remain largely unchanged, at $89.
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Before the release of CPI data, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June was 98.2%
Svmuu reported that, according to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in June is 98.2%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point r
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U.S. CPI Preview: Core Inflation Expected to Be Moderate, Potentially Easing Market Rate Hike Concerns
Svmuureports that economists Durie and Wong predict that the overall U.S. CPI data for May will be strong, but core inflation, which is more critical to the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook, sh
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U.S. CPI Preview: Inflationary pressures remain concentrated in food and energy; energy volatility in the Middle East is key to a shift in the landscape
Svmuu reported that Jason Pride, Head of Investment Strategy and Research at Glenmede, said U.S. inflationary pressures are expected to remain concentrated in the food and energy sectors, with core CP
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Gold prices have erased all of this year's gains, and international gold prices continue to fall
Svmuu News Following a decline during the Asian trading session on the 10th, international gold prices continued to fall during the European trading session that same day, briefly dipping below the $4
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US May CPI could hit a new three-year high, consumer confidence and purchasing power continue to erode
Svmuu News: Economists predict that a key inflation indicator due out Wednesday will show U.S. consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in over three years in May. Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody
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Analyst: Bitcoin Bounce Fails to Alter Bearish Structure, A Return Above $80,000 Needed for Trend Reversal
Despite Bitcoin bouncing after falling below $60,000, several market analysts believe this is more likely a technical correction following an oversold condition rather than the start of a new bull mar
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Whale opens 50x leveraged short on S&P 500, position size reaches $112 million
Svmuureported that according to Lookonchain monitoring, whale "0x97f8" opened a highly leveraged short position against the S&P 500 index (SP500) about 5 hours ago, with a nominal position size of app
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Bitcoin's "Silent Bear Market" Continues, Posting Worst Weekly Performance Since FTX Collapse
Svmuu reported that Bitcoin briefly fell below $60,000 last week, recording its worst single-week performance since the collapse of the FTX exchange in 2022. In the seven days through Sunday, Bitcoin
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South Korean regulators will investigate speculative won trading and require banks to strengthen risk management
Svmuu reported that South Korea's Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) has stated that tensions in the Middle East and market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike are driving fluctuations in the
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The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday
The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday, according to Nick Timiraos. However, given the hot CPI and PPI data for September, the debate over whether to hike rates is m
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US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38 a.m. in New York, while Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.5%. Brent crude fell 1.3% to $115 a barrel.
US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38
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The BLS collected 66.3% of targeted price observations in its September commodities-and-services survey
Bitcoin faces another Federal Reserve interest-rate decision on October 27-28, as the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) continues to struggle with restoring its inflation data collection operations.
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Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals
Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals. He views any upcoming market sell-offs as buying opportunities.
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Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear
Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear. Wilson projects a near-term S&P 500 downside target of 7,100–7
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Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high
Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high, as market hopes for a US-Iran deal grew, easing concerns of further escalation. According to the Financial Times, Iran is ho
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge, as the market expects interest rates to remain unchanged this week but anticipates a potential hike in December. Chairman Warsh
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South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Korean won strengthened against the US dollar.
South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Kor
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Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high
Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high. With the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the B
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Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300
Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300, and XRP declined about 3% to $1.28, as traders avoided risk ahead of the Federal Res
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Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses
Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence (AI) stocks remained under pressure,
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Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision for new directional guidance.
Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's u
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stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike
Goldman Sachs' economic research team, in their preview report for the October FOMC meeting, stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike, but
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As of 9:15 AM, the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) was down 24.45 points, or 0.46%, at 5,524.85 points
South Korea's KOSPI index opened lower on Monday as investors awaited third-quarter earnings reports from major chipmakers and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision later this week. As of 9:1
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Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
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CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
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Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve
Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve, potentially triggering a new risk repricing. Cosimo Codacci-Pisanelli, a stra
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U.Today Analysis: Bollinger Bands and Supply Alert – XRP's Rise to $2 May Take Two Years
U.Today analysis suggests that it could take two years for XRP to return to a price of $2, primarily because the Bollinger Bands indicate it has entered an extreme compression phase. Currently priced
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Chipmakers post longest weekly drop since November
A gauge of chipmakers edged up but posted its longest weekly drop since November, as a resurgence in oil prices dragged down stocks and bonds, stoking inflation concerns just days ahead of the Federal
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U.S. October Flash PMI Signals Strong Growth Amid Accelerating Inflation
The S&P Global Flash U.S. PMI for October indicates robust economic expansion, with the Composite PMI at 57.6 and the Services PMI at 57.9. The Manufacturing PMI reached 56.0, marking a 53-month high.
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Parker Lewis Predicts Bitcoin Will Settle All Global Payments as $107 Trillion Debt Intensifies Credit System Strain
Bitcoin Magazine reported that author Parker Lewis believes that as $107 trillion in debt strains the credit system, merchants will shift to zero-fee payments, and ultimately Bitcoin will settle 100%
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Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing exhausted ETF inflows, increased correlation with the stock market, Federal Reserve rate hikes, and macroeconomic headwinds.
Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing exhausted ETF inflows, increased correlation with the stock market, Federal Reserve rate hikes, and macroeconomic headwi
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American Express was fined $350 million by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve for deficiencies in its anti-money laundering system.
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Reserve took enforcement action against American Express earlier this month, alleging deficiencies in its anti-money laundering syst
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Bitcoin consolidates above $81,000, AI-related tech stock sell-off slows, Brent crude hits highest since early May.
Bitcoin traded in a range of less than $1,000 early Friday, near $81,500, after falling to $81,000 on Thursday, ending a volatile week that saw swings of $3,000. Nasdaq 100 futures were little changed
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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