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Federal Reserve
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Trump: Good Economic Performance Shouldn't Lead to Rate Hikes; the U.S. Has a Debt Problem
Svmuureported that U.S. President Trump stated that it would be a mistake for Federal Reserve policymakers to choose to raise interest rates after the U.S. employment data significantly exceeded expec
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Donald Trump: Federal Reserve There is no reason to raise interest rates
Trump stated that there is no reason for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. (Jin Shi)
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. After the release of non-farm payroll data, the market began pricing in further tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. 2. Michael Saylor once spent $70 million to purchase a private
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Spot gold gives up its year-to-date gains
Svmuu: Spot gold has erased all of its gains for the year, following U.S. employment data that strengthened market expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. (Jin Shi)
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Trump: Wants to see interest rates cut, but will leave the decision to Warsh
Svmuu reported that U.S. President Trump stated today during remarks on Air Force One that he hopes to see interest rates lowered, but he will leave the decision on rates to Federal Reserve Chair Wars
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Hawk: Recent rate hikes may be appropriate
Svmuureported that Federal Reserve's Hammack stated that with the labor market appearing to be approaching balance, a rate hike in the near term may be appropriate. Hammack said that while she never f
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Citi on the Nonfarm Payrolls Report: A Favorable Environment for the Dollar
Svmuu: U.S. employment data came in stronger than expected, boosting the dollar, while progress in U.S.-Iran peace talks stalled. The U.S. dollar index is on track for its biggest gain since April 8 o
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Analyst: If we see a few more nonfarm payroll reports like this, the baseline scenario will shift to several rate hikes
Svmuureports that institutional analyst Jersey commented on the US non-farm payroll data, stating that it is difficult to describe the job market as weak. For the interest rate market, the risk is bec
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U.S. job growth over the past three months has been the strongest in more than two years
According to U.S. media reports, U.S. employment growth in May exceeded all economists' expectations, with the unemployment rate remaining stable, further indicating that the labor market may be emerg
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The probability of a Fed rate hike in December rose to 63%
Svmuu reported that data from U.S. interest rate futures show the probability of a Fed rate hike in December has risen from 48% to 63%. (Jinshi)
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Analyst: The nonfarm payrolls report has undoubtedly completely undermined the case for a rate cut at Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Institutional analyst Anstey comments on US nonfarm payrolls: This will undoubtedly completely overturn any rationale for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in the coming months. If
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Nonfarm payroll data release leads market to price in further Fed tightening
Svmuu reports that following the release of nonfarm payroll data, the market has priced in further tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. (Jin Shi)
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Before the non-farm payroll data release, the probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in June was 96.4%
According to the CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed maintaining the current interest rate in June is 96.4%, with a 3.6% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut. The probability of
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Moody's Warns: Federal Reserves May Be Forced to Raise Interest Rates as Inflation Expectations Soar
Svmuu News: Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's, pointed out that although U.S. GDP has risen this year and the economy appears resilient, warning signs are already flashing. Under the leadership o
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Federal Reserve Study: With the Logic of Monetary Policy Being Reshaped, the Dilemma Faced by Oil Price Shocks Is Easing, Allowing Prioritization of Inflation Control
Svmuureports that the Boston Federal Reserve released a new study on Thursday stating that fundamental changes in the U.S. energy structure have completely altered the transmission path of oil price s
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“Wall Street Oracle” Warns: Market “Digestion” Period Approaches, Major Moves Expected After US Midterm Elections
Svmuu reported that Fundstrat strategist Tom Lee stated in a CNBC interview that the current market is in a cycle that could be divided into three phases, with the second phase potentially seeing a co
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The first nonfarm payrolls report of the "Warsh era" will be released tonight at 8:30 p.m., and the market is expected to experience significant volatility at that time.
Svmuu News: The U.S. May nonfarm payrolls report is scheduled for release tonight at 8:30 p.m. The market anticipates a slight decline. This will be the first nonfarm payrolls report since the appoint
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International Monetary Fund: Market Has Begun to Bet on Fed Rate Hike
Svmuu reports that the International Monetary Fund stated the expected timeline for the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target return has been pushed back to the end of 2027, compared to a previous for
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World Gold Council: Fed rate hikes may unexpectedly benefit gold
Svmuu reported that the World Gold Council stated in its gold market commentary report released on June 4 that looking ahead, as inflationary pressures rise, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inte
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Moomoo Partners with Kalshi to Launch Regulated Prediction Market Contracts on Its Platform
Svmuu News Digital trading platform Moomoo has announced a partnership with prediction market operator Kalshi to offer eligible users access to event contracts regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures
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Federal Reserve Beige Book: Prices Rise at a Moderate to Strong Pace, with Middle East Conflict-Related Pressures as the Main Driver
According to the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, overall, prices rose at a moderate to strong pace, with most districts reporting a higher rate of inflation than in the previous report. Districts noted
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Federal Reserve's Logan: The Fed May Need to Raise Interest Rates This Year to Curb Prices
SvmuuNews, Federal Reserve's Logan stated that Fed officials may need to raise interest rates later this year to bring inflation down to the 2% target level. She noted that the U.S. labor market is "l
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ADP data suggests the US labor market may still be accelerating
According to Svmuu, U.S. companies added the highest number of new jobs in May since January 2025, indicating that the labor market may still be accelerating despite rising energy costs due to the war
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Goldman Sachs CEO: Greed outweighs fear in the market
Svmuureports that Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon stated that the stock market's boom is driven by a desire for profit, which outweighs concerns about economic turmoil and inflation risks. Solomon sai
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US consumers' long-term inflation expectations remain above comparable levels in 2019 and 2024
Research released by the University of Michigan on October 23 shows that US consumers' long-term inflation expectations remain above comparable levels in 2019 and 2024, reaching 3.5% (up from 3.4% in
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The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday
The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday, according to Nick Timiraos. However, given the hot CPI and PPI data for September, the debate over whether to hike rates is m
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US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38 a.m. in New York, while Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.5%. Brent crude fell 1.3% to $115 a barrel.
US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38
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The BLS collected 66.3% of targeted price observations in its September commodities-and-services survey
Bitcoin faces another Federal Reserve interest-rate decision on October 27-28, as the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) continues to struggle with restoring its inflation data collection operations.
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Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals
Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals. He views any upcoming market sell-offs as buying opportunities.
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Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear
Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear. Wilson projects a near-term S&P 500 downside target of 7,100–7
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Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high
Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high, as market hopes for a US-Iran deal grew, easing concerns of further escalation. According to the Financial Times, Iran is ho
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge, as the market expects interest rates to remain unchanged this week but anticipates a potential hike in December. Chairman Warsh
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South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Korean won strengthened against the US dollar.
South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Kor
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Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high
Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high. With the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the B
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Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300
Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300, and XRP declined about 3% to $1.28, as traders avoided risk ahead of the Federal Res
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Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses
Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence (AI) stocks remained under pressure,
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Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision for new directional guidance.
Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's u
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stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike
Goldman Sachs' economic research team, in their preview report for the October FOMC meeting, stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike, but
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As of 9:15 AM, the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) was down 24.45 points, or 0.46%, at 5,524.85 points
South Korea's KOSPI index opened lower on Monday as investors awaited third-quarter earnings reports from major chipmakers and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision later this week. As of 9:1
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Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
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CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
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Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve
Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve, potentially triggering a new risk repricing. Cosimo Codacci-Pisanelli, a stra
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U.Today Analysis: Bollinger Bands and Supply Alert – XRP's Rise to $2 May Take Two Years
U.Today analysis suggests that it could take two years for XRP to return to a price of $2, primarily because the Bollinger Bands indicate it has entered an extreme compression phase. Currently priced
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Chipmakers post longest weekly drop since November
A gauge of chipmakers edged up but posted its longest weekly drop since November, as a resurgence in oil prices dragged down stocks and bonds, stoking inflation concerns just days ahead of the Federal
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U.S. October Flash PMI Signals Strong Growth Amid Accelerating Inflation
The S&P Global Flash U.S. PMI for October indicates robust economic expansion, with the Composite PMI at 57.6 and the Services PMI at 57.9. The Manufacturing PMI reached 56.0, marking a 53-month high.
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Parker Lewis Predicts Bitcoin Will Settle All Global Payments as $107 Trillion Debt Intensifies Credit System Strain
Bitcoin Magazine reported that author Parker Lewis believes that as $107 trillion in debt strains the credit system, merchants will shift to zero-fee payments, and ultimately Bitcoin will settle 100%
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Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing exhausted ETF inflows, increased correlation with equities, Federal Reserve rate hikes, and macroeconomic headwinds.
Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing exhausted ETF inflows, increased correlation with equities, Federal Reserve rate hikes, and macroeconomic headwinds.
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American Express was fined $350 million by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve for deficiencies in its anti-money laundering system.
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Reserve took enforcement action against American Express earlier this month, alleging deficiencies in its anti-money laundering syst
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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