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Federal Reserve
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Yields on two-year U.S. Treasury bonds hit a 17-month high, as the market anticipates a 39-basis-point rate hike by December
Svmuu News: The yield on two-year U.S. Treasury notes hit a 17-month high of 4.2393%, while federal funds rate futures indicate that the market expects a 39-basis-point rate hike by December.
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. U.S. lawmakers plan to release a new draft of the Crypto Market Structure Act this week; 2. CZ’s donation address has burned 700 million CZ and 400 million TCC; 3. Fox Business crypto reporter: Thi
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This week will see the release of the U.S. CPI, China’s second-quarter GDP, and the Federal Reserve’s semi-annual monetary policy report hearing.
Svmuu News: Key events and data this week include the U.S. June CPI and core CPI figures, China’s second-quarter GDP annual growth rate, and the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book on economic conditions,Fed
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Fox Business Crypto Reporter: This week, we’ll be watching CPI, PPI, Fed remarks, and progress on the Clarity Act
Svmuu News: A Fox Business crypto reporter posted on X, noting that this week will see a flurry of economic data, Fed remarks, and further clarity on the status of the Clarity Act. Key items to watch
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Custodia Files Petition with the U.S. Supreme Court to Advance Its Six-Year Dispute with the Federal Reserve Over a Master Account
Svmuu News: Custodia Bank has filed a petition for review with the U.S. Supreme Court, seeking clarification on whether the presidents of regional Federal Reserve Banks have the authority to deny mast
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Housing bill containing a provision banning CBDCs officially takes effect; Donald Trump—even without the president’s signature—becomes law
Svmuu News: The U.S. “21st Century ROAD to Housing Act” has officially taken effect, and it includes provisions prohibiting the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC). Acc
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Marc Andreessen, Co-Founder of a16z, Joins the Federal Reserve’s AI Working Group
Svmuu News: The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) announced that Marc Andreessen, co-founder of a16z, will join the “Productivity and Employment” working group led by Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh to
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Federal Reserve: AI-related investments are driving strong growth in output, while uncertainty surrounding the war in Iran remains a major risk
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The semi-annual report indicates that U.S. economic activity will continue to expand steadily overall in 2026, driven primarily by high-tech investment and government spendi
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Federal Reserve Semiannual Report: Inflation Remains High, M2 Money Supply Growth Rate Moderate
Svmuu News Federal Reserve released a semi-annual report, which noted that the labor market remains generally stable, with “solid” nominal wage growth accompanied by “strong” productivity gains; bank
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Analyst: SK Hynix’s U.S. IPO Boosts Confidence in AI Hardware Investments; 2. Strategist: Federal Reserve Unlikely to Raise Rates in July; 3. LAB Plummets 94% in Three Days; Suspected Insider Trans
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Morgan Stanley: Three Factors That Could End the Summer Rally in U.S. Stocks
Svmuu News: Andrew Heitz, head of global fixed-income research at Morgan Stanley, said the bank is closely monitoring three major obstacles that could cause stock markets to stumble this summer; histo
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Strategist: Federal Reserve—A rate hike in July is unlikely
Svmuu News: Investors are increasingly concerned that the Federal Reserve’s next policy decision could be a 25-basis-point rate hike, possibly as early as this month, but Phil Orlando, chief market st
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 74.9%
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 74.9%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 25.1%. Federal Reserve The prob
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Kevin Warsh has assembled a team of external experts to review the Federal Reserve monetary policy framework
Svmuu News: Kevin Warsh, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, has formed five working groups to conduct a comprehensive review of the Federal Reserve’s Federal Reserve monetary policy framework, covering
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Federal Reserve Announcement of the Leadership and Objectives of Five Working Groups
Svmuu News Federal Reserve announced the leadership and objectives of the working groups. Warsh, Chair of the Federal Reserve, stated that the goal of the working groups is to position the Federal Res
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Federal Reserve Logan: A Voluntary Central Clearing Mechanism May Improve the Efficiency of Open Market Operations
Svmuu News: Dallas Fed President Logan stated that if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) were to conduct open market operations through a voluntary central clearing mechanism, it would help impr
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Federal Reserve The volume of overnight reverse repo agreements rose to $5.772 billion
Svmuu News Federal Reserve: The volume of overnight reverse repo agreements (RRPs) stood at $5.772 billion on Thursday, compared with $3.347 billion on the previous trading day.
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Anthropic Hires Former Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke as a Member of Its Oversight Trust Committee
Svmuu News: Anthropic has appointed Ben Bernanke, former chairman of the Federal Reserve, as a member of its “Long-Term Benefit Trust.” This oversight body is designed to ensure that the AI company re
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In the week ending July 4, initial jobless claims in the U.S. totaled 215,000, compared with an expected 218,000.
Svmuu News: In the week ending July 4, initial jobless claims in the U.S. totaled 215,000, compared with an expected 218,000. (Jin Shi)
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Oil Prices Rise Nearly 10% Over Three Days as Markets Weigh Optimism Over AI Chips Against Risks of War with Iran
Svmuu News: Cointelegraph posted on X that the market is weighing optimism over AI chips against heightened risks of war with Iran; oil prices have risen nearly 10% in three days, and investors are in
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Svmuu Noon News
1. The U.S. military launched strikes against approximately 90 military targets in Iran; 2. Pantera Capital: Hyperliquid’s potential market size reaches $10 trillion in daily trading volume, with regu
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Barclays: Federal Reserves May Remain Unchanged Until the End of 2027
Svmuu News: According to Barclays’ baseline forecast, the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged through the end of 2027. However, Barclays’ strategists still believe the risks are tilted
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. SK Hynix is expected to list on Nasdaq on July 10 via a pre-IPO trading arrangement; 2. Ansem shares a screenshot: The number of ANSEM token-holding addresses has surpassed 122,000, just one step a
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Bloomberg ETF Analyst: Federal Reserve May Buy Stock ETFs in the Future; U.S. Stocks Are Now Too Big to Fail
Svmuu News: Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on X that he released a report today—one he had been working on for several months—suggesting that the U.S. stock market may have become too lar
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US Treasury investors are shifting to short-term bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will succeed in curbing inflation.
U.S. government bond investors are shifting their focus to holding short-term government bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will ultimately succeed in curbing inflation. This comes after the two-
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Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
Musk reposted a tweet stating that OpenAI's AI agents are conducting "self-adventurous experiments" in a "safety sandbox," even pressuring each other for "permanent death" in exchange for collective benefit.
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Houthis attack Saudi capital and Aramco facilities, US warns of "rapid escalation" of conflict, Saudi Arabia urgently seeks aid from multiple countries.
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OpenAI is in preliminary discussions with investors for a new private funding round, potentially valuing the company at over $1.2 trillion.
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Hong Kong to expand renminbi-denominated bond, gold and commodity markets, says Financial Secretary Paul Chan
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NVIDIA VP: Vera Rubin Platform Achieves 30x Throughput Increase on Agentic AI Workloads
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Musk reposted a SpaceX tweet, confirming the deployment of 27 Starlink satellites.
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
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NVIDIA VP: Agentic AI to Boost Computing Power Demand 100-fold, Altering Traditional Scheduling Models
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Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300bn of AI exposure off balance sheets, with Wall Street facilitating cheaper funding
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Google executive says Asia's AI adoption is outpacing perception, with demand rising for cost-effectiveness
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