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Oil Rallies After US Intercepts Iranian Attack; US Futures Waver Ahead of Fed Decision and Tech Earnings
Oil prices rallied after the US announced it intercepted an Iranian attack on military bases, signaling an end to the pause in fighting. Meanwhile, US equity futures wavered as investors awaited the F
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Economist Claudia Sahm says Federal Reserve Chair Warsh’s communication style has exacerbated market volatility
Claudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors, said that Federal Reserve Chair Warsh’s lack of transparency regarding the Fed’s policy approach has led to market uncertainty about the Fed’s in
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JPMorgan outlines S&P 500 scenarios for upcoming Fed rate decision, with a hawkish hold as its base case
JPMorgan has outlined its S&P 500 scenarios ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision. The firm's base case, with a 50% probability, is a hawkish hold on rates, which it expects would leave
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Global stocks struggle as investors await Fed rate decision and key tech earnings amid AI valuation concerns
Global stock markets are struggling today as investors await the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate decision and earnings reports from tech giants Microsoft and Meta. Unease over AI valuations, particularly
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MFS Investment Management strategist Robert Almeida warns of tech profit squeeze, advises focus on capital cycle shift.
Robert Almeida, Chief Global Investment Strategist at MFS Investment Management, believes a profit squeeze is coming for tech companies. He advises investors to shift their attention from the Federal
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Bitcoin steadies above $64,000 as crypto market awaits US Federal Reserve interest rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading above $64,000, up 0.75%, as the broader crypto market shows mixed performance ahead of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision later today. US inflation at 4.1% keeps
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Markets Brace for Highly Uncertain Fed Decision; Some Investors Expect Rate Hike
Financial markets are preparing for the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision, which is being described as one of the most uncertain in years. A chorus of investors suggests that a rate hi
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U.S. stock futures were mixed following renewed attacks by Iran and a decline in the South Korean stock market, with market attention focused on the Fed’s interest rate decision and earnings reports from tech giants.
On Wednesday, U.S. stock index futures were mixed after oil prices rose following Iran’s resumption of attacks on the United States, while South Korea’s stock market fell due to a sell-off in chip sto
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US Mortgage Rates Rise Across the Board on July 29 Ahead of Fed Decision
According to Zillow lender marketplace data, average US mortgage and refinance rates increased across all categories on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. The average 30-year fixed rate rose 7 basis points to
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Tensions in the Middle East are driving up oil prices, and the Federal Reserve is weighing its interest rate decision
International oil prices have risen amid tensions in the Middle East. Meanwhile, the U.S. Federal Reserve is weighing its latest interest rate decision. In addition, shares of South Korean chipmaker S
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The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision will kick off a period of frequent inflation and employment data releases over the next two weeks
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision in the early hours of July 30, Beijing time. This meeting will not include the Summary of Econo
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Oil Prices Rise, Chip Stocks Decline Ahead of US Federal Reserve Decision
Oil prices gained, while U.S. stock futures largely moved higher. However, semiconductor companies Sandisk and Micron Technology fell in premarket trading, reflecting waning investor enthusiasm for th
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Markets Split Ahead of Fed Rate Decision: Kalshi Traders Favor Hold, Citadel Securities Expects Hike
Ahead of today's Federal Reserve rate decision, Kalshi traders assign a 77% probability to the Fed holding rates steady and a 23% chance of a surprise 25 basis point hike. However, Citadel Securities
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Fed Expected to Hold Rates at 3.5%-3.75%; Markets See 1/3 Chance of Surprise Hike, Focus on Chair Warsh's Message
The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to maintain its federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% in its upcoming decision. However, markets still price in roughly a one-in-three chance of a surprise rate hi
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Bitcoin Rises to $64,344 Ahead of Expected Fed Rate Hold
Bitcoin climbed 0.8% to $64,344 as the U.S. dollar weakened ahead of the Federal Reserve's upcoming rate decision. While markets widely anticipate no change in rates, any hawkish signals from the Fed
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Markets Brace for Unpredictable Fed Meeting Amid Expectations of Unchanged Rates, Chairman Kevin Warsh's Influence Noted
The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its upcoming meeting. However, Chairman Kevin Warsh's influence has reportedly made the meeting unusually unpredictable,
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Bitcoin With the price breaking through $64,000, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged, but some institutions are warning of the risk of an unexpected rate hike.
Bitcoin It broke through the $64,000 mark during the Asian trading session, rising 1% on the day, while major cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum, and XRP also saw widespread gains. The market widely ex
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Market expectations for the Fed’s interest rate decision tonight are divided, with analysts saying uncertainty is at a 20-year high
The U.S. Federal Reserve is set to announce its latest interest rate decision at 2:00 a.m. Beijing time on July 30. Although a Reuters survey showed that all economists polled expect the Fed to keep r
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Bitcoin climbs toward $64,000, showing resilience as South Korean chip stocks tumble
Bitcoin rose 1% to approximately $63,800 on Wednesday, while Asian equity markets, particularly South Korean chipmakers, experienced significant declines. SK Hynix fell 17% after its quarterly profit,
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Ahead of the Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting, Timiraos of New Fed News analyzes three key points: a possible pause in rate hikes, Chair Warsh’s strategic intentions, and policy explanations
Nick Timiraos, a Wall Street Journal reporter (often referred to as the “New Fed Correspondent”), wrote that tonight’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is one of the hardest to predict in
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Gold edges lower ahead of Federal Reserve interest rate decision
Gold edged lower as traders assessed the prospects for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike ahead of its decision due later Wednesday.
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Analyst: Dovish Fed Stance Could Boost Bitcoin, Citing Recent Divergence from Tech Stocks
Block Scholes research analyst Thahbib Rahman stated that any dovish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh could lead to continued outperformance for Bitcoin. Markets are divided ahead of Wed
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Meredith Whitney Warns of US Economic 'Reckoning' in Q4, Expects Fed to Hold Rates
Meredith Whitney, a former bank analyst known for her accurate 2007 report preceding the global financial crisis, warned that the US economy faces a "reckoning" in the fourth quarter of this year. She
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TD Securities Warns US Dollar Will Weaken If Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged This Week
TD Securities predicts the US dollar will weaken if the Federal Reserve maintains current interest rates at its meeting this week. The firm attributes this forecast to the market's mispricing of the F
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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ETH (Ethereum) surged 5.31% in 1 hour, currently trading at $2,439.61
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How to buy and sell HERO? First distinguish the project, then check the listing channels
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Cosmos (ATOM) Outlook Analysis: Tokenomics Restructuring and Cross-Chain Upgrades
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CVS Health plans to split into two independent publicly traded companies by early 2028, reversing its $78 billion acquisition of Aetna.
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What is DAFI Token? A Comprehensive Guide to DAFI Protocol and Synthetic Token Mechanics
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