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Federal Reserve
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Markets view Fed's inflation credibility with skepticism, seeing "all hat, no cattle" as 30-year Treasury yield hits highest since 2007
Despite Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's recent pledge to deliver 2% inflation and "not a whisper more," markets responded with a clear warning, pushing long-dated bond yields higher. The 30-yea
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Yahoo Finance analysis shows $1,000 invested on Inauguration Day 2025 in Gold is now worth $1,224 (+22%), Bitcoin $607 (-40%), and TRUMP memecoin $32 (-97%)
The analysis by Yahoo Finance compared the performance of a $1,000 investment in each asset from January 20, 2025, to August 4, 2026. Despite former President Trump's pro-crypto stance and policies li
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US ISM manufacturing index hits 4-year high of 55.6, S&P 500 profit margins reach record 16.7% in Q2 2026, fueling speculation Fed could raise rates in 2026
The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) manufacturing index climbed to 55.6, its highest reading since May 2022 and the seventh consecutive month of expansion. Concurrently, S&P 500 net profit mar
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Nick Timiraos: To change project parameters, Warsh needs approval from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) foreign exchange subcommittee.
Fed whisperer Nick Timiraos reports that to modify program parameters, such as the borrowing limit per counterparty, Warsh needs approval from the FOMC's Foreign Exchange Subcommittee. The members of
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Nick Timiraos: FX swaps and FIMA repo address foreign dollar funding issues, but Japan seeks dollars for yen intervention, not liquidity, a purpose not aligned with Fed's FIMA description
Bloomberg's Nick Timiraos highlighted that while FX swaps and the Fed's FIMA repo facility were designed to help foreign institutions fund themselves in dollars and prevent central banks from selling
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Fed Insider Nick Timiraos Reports: Bessent Says Fed's FIMA Repo Facility for Currency Intervention is a Routine Tool, Upsizing $60 Billion Cap is "Reasonable"
According to Nick Timiraos, Bessent stated on CNBC on Tuesday that the Fed's FIMA repo facility, when used for currency intervention, is a routine tool applied as intended. Bessent explained that the
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Fed insider Nick Timiraos relayed: Bessent's monetary policy stance has shifted from favoring "rate cuts" in January to favoring "no rate hikes" in August.
Fed insider Nick Timiraos relayed: Bessent's monetary policy stance has shifted from favoring "rate cuts" in January to favoring "no rate hikes" in August.
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Treasuries Rose on Tuesday as Falling Oil Prices Trimmed Expectations for More Than One Fed Rate Hike in the Coming Year
Oil prices fell due to signs of progress toward a diplomatic resolution of the Iran war, which in turn curbed expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes.
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DeItaone quotes Fed's Paulson: If progress not made on inflation, the Fed will need to act
DeItaone quotes Fed's Paulson: If progress not made on inflation, the Fed will need to act
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Fed's Paulson: Monetary policy is in a 'complicated time,' inflation is 'too high' and needs to be brought down, Fed likely has the 'mildly restrictive' policy required.
Fed's Paulson: Monetary policy is in a 'complicated time,' inflation is 'too high' and needs to be brought down, Fed likely has the 'mildly restrictive' policy required.
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Diamondback Energy CEO: Iran conflict caused largest oil supply shock, structurally raising oil price floor and complicating Fed rate cuts
Diamondback Energy CEO Kaes Van't Hof stated that the Iran conflict led to the largest oil supply shock in history, cutting global production by 13.6 million barrels per day and rapidly draining inven
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Philadelphia Fed President Paulson supported last week's decision to hold rates steady, keeping an open mind on future policy, and estimates underlying inflation at 2.4-2.8%.
Paulson outlined two potential paths for policy: one where inflation continues to decline, allowing the Fed to maintain current rates, and another where inflation progress stalls, suggesting policy ma
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DeItaone reposted BESSENT's view: We are seeing the Federal Reserve's "detox"
DeItaone reposted BESSENT's view: We are seeing the Federal Reserve's "detox"
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DeItaone: Bank of America advises investors to focus on specific currency pairs, such as JPY and GBP, rather than broad FX volatility if the Fed resumes rate hikes, citing their historical v
DeItaone: Bank of America advises investors to focus on specific currency pairs, such as JPY and GBP, rather than broad FX volatility if the Fed resumes rate hikes, citing their historical volatility
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Gold Holds Steady as Middle East Talks Weigh on Fed Rate Hike Outlook
Gold moved in a narrow range as traders monitored talks in the Middle East for signs of progress that would ease pressure on the US Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.
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U.S. Manufacturing Activity Surged in July at Fastest Rate in Over Four Years, Driven by Soaring Demand and Record Production
According to a White House announcement, U.S. manufacturing activity in July saw its strongest expansion in over four years, fueled by surging demand, record production, and new hiring. The Institute
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Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok Says Iran War Risk Remains Important Background Factor, Market Will Price Fed Regardless of Meeting Schedule
Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo, stated that while AI and the Federal Reserve may be at the forefront of economic discussions, the risk from the Iran war and its subsequent impact on fuel stor
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Evercore ISI Says Japan's Use of Fed Liquidity Tool Could Test Yen Resolve
Evercore ISI states that while a rarely used Federal Reserve liquidity facility could prevent Japan from selling Treasuries to prop up the yen, its prolonged use might encourage markets to test the re
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The US and Japan jointly intervened in the foreign exchange market, pushing the Japanese Yen to rebound nearly 5% in a single week to 156.8, but analysts believe the effect may not last long due to the significant interest rate differential.
Japan's Ministry of Finance officially confirmed on Monday that it had jointly intervened in the foreign exchange market with the U.S. Treasury, pushing the Japanese Yen to rebound sharply by nearly 5
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Bank of America's Cabana: The Federal Reserve Faces a Credibility Problem, Bond Market Has Shown It "Cannot Be Fooled"
Mark Cabana, head of US rates strategy at Bank of America Global Research, said the Federal Reserve currently has a "credibility problem," citing the bond market's reaction to the Fed's interest rate
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10x Research: Bitcoin May Hit Bear Market Bottom in August, But Rising US Treasury Yields May Force the Federal Reserve to Hike Rates in September
Crypto research firm 10x Research points out that Bitcoin might confirm a bear market bottom in August, even though rising US government bond yields could force the Federal Reserve to hike interest ra
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BNP Paribas Expects U.S. Treasury Yields to Rise, Forecasts Three Fed Hikes Starting in December
The bank argues investors will continue to question the Fed's credibility after last week's decision to hold rates steady despite three dissenting votes for a hike.
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DeItaone reports: Fed's John Williams backs current policy, stating it's well-positioned to return inflation to 2%, and sees no financial stability threat from AI investment.
New York Fed President John Williams strongly supported the latest FOMC decision, adding that the Fed will act if inflation stalls. He also expects Middle East-driven price pressures to fade and stres
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For the first time in decades, the U.S. and Japan have joined forces to intervene in the foreign exchange market to prop up the yen; analysts say the U.S.'s primary motive is to prevent Japan from selling off U.S. Treasuries.
For the first time in decades, the United States and Japan have jointly intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese Yen, after it had fallen to a near four-decade low of 163.73 a
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US Treasury investors are shifting to short-term bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will succeed in curbing inflation.
U.S. government bond investors are shifting their focus to holding short-term government bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will ultimately succeed in curbing inflation. This comes after the two-
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Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
Musk reposted a tweet stating that OpenAI's AI agents are conducting "self-adventurous experiments" in a "safety sandbox," even pressuring each other for "permanent death" in exchange for collective benefit.
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The Senate failed to pass a cryptocurrency ethics rule because it did not cover the interests of officials' adult children.
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Decentralized Applications (DApps) Explained: Reshaping the Foundation of the Web3 Ecosystem
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Hong Kong to expand renminbi-denominated bond, gold and commodity markets, says Financial Secretary Paul Chan
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
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Musk reposted a SpaceX tweet, confirming the deployment of 27 Starlink satellites.
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Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300bn of AI exposure off balance sheets, with Wall Street facilitating cheaper funding
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Houthis attack Saudi capital and Aramco facilities, US warns of "rapid escalation" of conflict, Saudi Arabia urgently seeks aid from multiple countries.
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Google executive says Asia's AI adoption is outpacing perception, with demand rising for cost-effectiveness
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Ed Sheeran calls Gaza situation 'catastrophic,' 'unjustifiable,' and 'disproportionate' as US tour resumes
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