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Federal Reserve
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Gold futures opened flat at $4,468.80 an ounce, with a monthly gain of nearly 10%, as the market focused on the PPI report to gauge the Federal Reserve's September rate hike prospects.
Gold futures for December delivery opened at $4,468.80 per ounce on Thursday, August 13, Eastern Time, flat with Wednesday's closing price, and were trading at $4,441.10 as of 7:53 AM. Gold prices hav
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Gold prices were rejected at the 200-day moving average of $4,484 an ounce on Wednesday, closing at $4,363, despite a 6.3% rally over the past month.
The precious metal's recent rebound has been driven by fading expectations of further Fed tightening following weaker US labor market data, alongside continued central bank diversification away from U
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Kaplan Says Fed Right Not to Raise Rates in July
Robert Kaplan, Goldman Sachs Vice Chairman and former Dallas Fed President, says the Federal Reserve was right to not raise interest rates at the meeting in July.
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CreditSights analysis suggests the Federal Reserve may maintain interest rates until the first half of 2027.
The agency noted that U.S. July inflation slowed from 3.5% to 3.4%, with decelerating wage growth and weakening employment data. Labor market uncertainties may prompt the Federal Reserve to remain on
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Blockchain Association Backs Custodia's Supreme Court Bid for Fed Master Account Access
The industry group stated that the case is about ensuring 'lawful digital asset businesses can compete on equal footing.'
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Goldman Sachs: Japan's over $1 trillion in foreign exchange reserves can be fully monetized via the Federal Reserve's FIMA facility, providing ample ammunition for further yen intervention
Karen Fishman, a research strategist at Goldman Sachs, stated that Japan's approximately $200 billion in dollar cash or cash equivalents is sufficient for several rounds of intervention similar to las
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The yield on the US 10-year Treasury auction reached 4.683%, a new high since 2007.
The U.S. Treasury completed the auction of $42 billion in 10-year Treasury notes on Wednesday, with a high yield of 4.683%, the highest level since the 2007 global financial crisis. Meanwhile, the Con
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Global stocks rise, oil dips as US CPI shows slight increase and traders eye US-Iran talks; Gold climbs over 1%
Global equities were higher on Wednesday, with MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rising 0.37%. US stocks also gained, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.10%, the S&P 500 added 0.31%, and
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: The Federal Reserve should reduce its reliance on lagging data and instead focus on forward-looking developments such as energy and AI capital expenditures.
Nick Timiraos, a Wall Street Journal reporter widely regarded as a "Fed whisperer," published an article reflecting on whether the Federal Reserve, when formulating its forecasts, should reduce its re
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Goldman Sachs expects core PCE to rise by 0.23% month-over-month in July, slightly higher than core CPI and market consensus, and anticipates the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged until the end of the year.
Goldman Sachs expects core PCE to rise by 0.23% month-over-month in July, slightly higher than core CPI and market consensus, and anticipates the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged
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Analysis indicates that U.S. retail investors face risks of limited information access due to potential changes in corporate earnings report frequency, Federal Reserve communications, and social media data access.
Analysts warn that despite the growing influence of retail investors in financial markets, several potential changes could put them at an informational disadvantage. These changes include: the SEC's s
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US CPI Data Meets Expectations, Probability of Bitcoin Halting Rate Hikes in September Rises to 60%, Bitcoin Expected to Challenge $63,000
Bitcoin's price was boosted by this, with market attention focused on the $63,000 mark, with potential for further upward movement.
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Santander's Stephen Stanley maintains forecast for Fed rate hikes in September and December, despite in-line July CPI report
Stanley believes July's broadly in-line inflation report, which showed unrounded core CPI rose 0.215% month-over-month (equivalent to a 2.6% annualized pace), is unlikely to sway the Federal Reserve's
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JPMorgan Chase Strategists: The Federal Reserve Should Maintain Interest Rates, Expect Inflation to Gradually Decline
The chief global strategist at JPMorgan Chase Asset Management said the Federal Reserve should keep interest rates unchanged, predicting a gradual decline in inflation, citing growing evidence that a
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Pimco Economist Tiffany Wilding Says Fed Will Stay on Hold in September
Wilding made the remarks on "Bloomberg Surveillance" while reacting to the latest US consumer price report and its implications for Federal Reserve monetary policy.
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JPMorgan's Kelly Sees US Disinflation Trend from Lower Tariffs and Strait of Hormuz Oil Flow, Says Fed is on Wrong Track Signaling Less Communication
David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, stated that he anticipates a disinflation trend in the United States. He attributes this to decreasing tariff costs and the eventual
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Rachel Andreassian, an executive at Anchorage Digital, called on the U.S. not to establish a "second-class payment system" for federally regulated trust banks.
Rachel Anderika, Head of Global Operations at Anchorage Digital Bank, wrote that if an institution meets the criteria to participate in the U.S. banking system, there should be a clear path to access
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Fed whisperer Nick Timiraos reports July CPI core goods prices rose 0.20%, largest MoM increase since Sept 2025; shelter up 0.14%, core services ex-shelter up 0.19%.
Nick Timiraos, known for his insights into the Federal Reserve, highlighted key components of the July Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Core goods prices increased by 0.20% month-over-month, marking t
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Baird's Ross Mayfield Says Softer Core Inflation and Limited Wage Pressure Make September Fed Hike Unlikely
Baird's Ross Mayfield Says Softer Core Inflation and Limited Wage Pressure Make September Fed Hike Unlikely
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Goldman Sachs Asset Management: July CPI Data Encouraging, Reinforces Case for the Federal Reserve to Hold Rates Steady in September
Goldman Sachs Asset Management stated that the July Consumer Price Index (CPI) data was "encouraging," and that controlled core inflation strengthened the case for the Federal Reserve to keep interest
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US Core CPI rose 0.22% in July, bringing the 12-month change down to 2.5%.
US Core CPI rose 0.22% in July, bringing the 12-month change down to 2.5%.
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Goldman Sachs strategists expect the Federal Reserve to "stand pat" in 2026, contrary to market expectations of interest rate hikes
Matheus Dibo, Goldman Sachs' head of investment strategy for EMEA, stated on Bloomberg Television on Wednesday that while the market is currently still pricing in a 25 basis point rate hike in Septemb
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Bitcoin and Ethereum Prices Rise, Market Focuses on Upcoming CPI Report
At 8:00 AM ET on August 12, Bitcoin's price rose to $64,194, and Ethereum's price increased to $1,915.50. Cryptocurrency prices found support after recent employment reports fell short of expectations
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Silver prices break $66, reaching a new high since June, amidst market expectations of slowing July inflation.
Silver September futures reached $66.49 per ounce at 7:45 AM ET on Wednesday, after opening at $64.87 per ounce, down 0.1% from Tuesday's closing price. This increase occurred ahead of the release of
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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