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Treasuries Gain as US Treasury Secretary Bessent and Fed Chairman Warsh are Due to Set Direction for Bond Market
Treasuries gained at the start of a potentially pivotal week for the US bond market, with remarks from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh likely to determine
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Global stocks dip, oil eases over 1% as US Treasury Secretary Bessent to outline Iran sanctions today; Nvidia earnings and Fed Chair Warsh's speech also in focus
Global stocks slipped on Monday and oil prices eased more than 1% as investors awaited details of threatened U.S. sanctions on Iran. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is scheduled to hold a press
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Fidelity International funds have doubled their gold holdings in the past three weeks due to increased uncertainty about the Federal Reserve's policy.
Fidelity International funds have doubled their gold holdings in the past three weeks due to increased uncertainty about the Federal Reserve's policy.
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U.S. government bond yields fell on Monday, with the 10-year yield dropping over 2 basis points to 4.7120%, as investors focused on Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's speech later this week in Jackson Hole.
The US 10-year government bond yield fell over 2 basis points to 4.7120%, the 30-year government bond yield fell over 2 basis points to 5.2497%, and the 2-year government bond yield fell over 1 basis
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Bitcoin holds near $77,000 after 22% weekly gain; XRP and Zcash pull back from big rallies, as focus shifts to Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole debut.
Bitcoin traded near $77,300, maintaining its 22% weekly gain, while XRP, up 48% to $1.48, and Zcash, up 70% to $838, steadied after significant weekly surges. The rally was driven by factors including
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Barclays Report: Historically, energy stocks have been the only sector to close with gains against the trend after the Federal Reserve's rate hike cycle began, while the S&P 500 index saw a median decline of 3.9%.
Barclays strategists Venu Krishna, Riddhiman Dass, and others pointed out in their latest report that in the past five rate hike cycles, energy stocks were the only sector to record positive returns w
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Analysis shows that former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh remained persistently pessimistic about economic productive capacity after the financial crisis and did not believe that high unemployment would curb prices.
According to an analysis by Nick Timiraos's colleagues Anthony DeBarros and Peter Santilli of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh's predictions, Kevin Warsh remained consistently pessimistic a
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Pepperstone Strategist: Rising US government bond yields are a structural issue, the Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh has "no choice" when addressing rising service costs
Pepperstone research strategist Dilin Wu said the bond market is "ahead of the Federal Reserve," and rising US government bond yields are a structural issue in the economy. She warned that Federal Res
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The Federal Reserve's Neel Kashkari says US Treasury market is functioning well, plays down concerns about rising yields
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari downplayed concerns about rising US government bond yields, stating that markets are functioning well. This followed an announcement by US Treasury Secretary Sc
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Nvidia to report earnings and Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh to deliver first Jackson Hole speech this week, marking two key market events.
Nvidia to report earnings and Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh to deliver first Jackson Hole speech this week, marking two key market events.
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Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari says he has "no confidence right now" in the inflation outlook
Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari stated that despite improved inflation data since the Federal Reserve's last meeting, the ongoing price pressures from the war in Iran, tariffs (new
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Fed study finds crypto investors driven by beliefs, easily swayed by Bitcoin's past gains
A Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland study indicates that crypto investors hold sharply different views on returns and risk. The research also found that information about Bitcoin’s past gains can incr
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The Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh faces high scrutiny at the Jackson Hole conference, as Treasury intervention in the bond market raises questions about policy boundaries. Investors will be watching how he addresses inflation, market volatility, and the independence of the Federal Reserve.
The Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh faces high scrutiny at the Jackson Hole conference, as Treasury intervention in the bond market raises questions about policy boundaries. Investors will be wat
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Analysis indicates that Home Depot's growth prospects are primarily influenced by Federal Reserve policy and macroeconomic conditions, rather than its 2.67% dividend yield and 17 consecutive years of dividend increases.
The analysis suggests that despite Home Depot's Q2 revenue of $47.9 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of $4.92 both exceeding expectations, and its stock price rising after the earnings release, its fu
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Motley Fool analysts suggest that if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, three Vanguard ETFs to watch are the Vanguard Value ETF (VTV), the Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM), and the Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH).
Analysis indicates that due to the war in Iran and the ensuing inflation, the market currently anticipates the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates before year-end. In an environment of rising int
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Experts say U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent (Bessent)'s intervention in the Treasury market to lower government borrowing costs undermined the credibility of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh (Warsh) in setting interest rate policy.
This week, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent took the unexpected step of intervening in the Treasury market to lower the cost of government debt. Experts note that this move undermines the credibi
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NEW YORK FED RAISES Q3 2026 GDP GROWTH FORECAST TO 2.3% FROM 2.14%
The New York Fed's upgrade was driven by stronger-than-expected building permits and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey. The Fed sees a 50% probability range of 1.1%–3.4%, while the wider 80% r
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Analysts Project Bitcoin Could Reach $150,000 by 2028 if Fed Cuts Rates, XRP Could Hit $3.50 if CLARITY Act Passes
Analysts suggest Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by December 2028, a 93% increase from its current price, provided the Federal Reserve delivers at least two rate cuts to divert institutional capital from
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UBS raises S&P 500 target price, expecting 8,100 points by December 2026 and 8,400 points by June 2027
UBS raised its S&P 500 target price, expecting it to reach 8100 points by December 2026 and 8400 points by June 2027. The bank increased its earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2026 and 2027 to $35
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TD Securities expects that the Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh may bring moderate comfort to the market at next week's Jackson Hole Symposium.
TD Securities analysts noted that markets will focus on signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh regarding his policy approach and a reaffirmation of his commitment to fighting inflation. The fi
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Federal Reserve Board approves National Westminster Bank Plc's application to establish a representative office in Stamford, Connecticut
Federal Reserve Board approves National Westminster Bank Plc's application to establish a representative office in Stamford, Connecticut
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The Federal Reserve announced the termination of its enforcement action against Deutsche Bank AG and its U.S. operations.
The Federal Reserve announced on August 20 that it had terminated, on August 13, the consent cease and desist order against Deutsche Bank AG, DB USA Corporation, and Deutsche Bank’s New York branch th
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Federal Reserve Board Issues Prohibition Orders Against Former Regions Bank and United Community Bank Employees for Misappropriating Customer Funds
Federal Reserve Board Issues Prohibition Orders Against Former Regions Bank and United Community Bank Employees for Misappropriating Customer Funds
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San Francisco Federal Reserve President Daly stated that the Federal Reserve's policy is in a good state.
She responded to the recent bond sell-off and suggested that the U.S. Treasury market is signaling that monetary policy is in a good place.
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Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve has taken enforcement actions against three former bank employees for misappropriation of customer funds, misuse of funds, and check fraud.
The Federal Reserve Board announced at 11:00 AM ET on Friday that it has taken enforcement actions against Charles Alan Wright, a former employee of Northstar Bank (alleged misappropriation of custome
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
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