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Federal Reserve
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U.S. July PCE inflation data exceeded expectations, with core PCE rising 3.3% year-on-year. Market expectations for a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve have risen to 44%.
The July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, released today by the U.S. Department of Commerce, showed that the overall PCE price index rose by 3.7% year-over-year, and core PCE (excluding
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U.S. July inflation was slightly higher than expected, with a 1.2% increase in financial services and insurance fees being the main driver.
The US July inflation report showed that overall inflation was slightly higher than Wall Street expectations, mainly driven by a 1.2% increase in financial services and insurance fees, which was the l
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US July PCE report shows moderate inflation, weak spending
The U.S. July personal income and expenditure report indicated relatively moderate underlying inflation growth and weak real spending. Although the weakness in spending was partly due to temporary fac
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USD rises by most in nearly four weeks after PCE data, recouping half of losses from Treasury Secretary Bessent's bond market move
The dollar's surge was driven by inflation data, which bolstered market expectations for the Federal Reserve to begin raising interest rates by year-end.
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U.S. government bond yields rose as the latest economic data failed to alter market expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this year.
U.S. government bond yields rose as the latest economic data failed to alter market expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this year.
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The U.S. Department of Justice stated that the Federal Reserve, the Department of Justice, NASA, other federal agencies, and critical infrastructure were infiltrated by a Chinese government-backed hacking group.
The U.S. Department of Justice announced Wednesday morning the seizure of online domains used for hacking platforms, stating that the Federal Reserve, the Department of Justice, NASA, and other federa
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U.S. Justice Dept. and FBI Seize Platforms Used by China-Backed Hackers Allegedly Targeting Critical Infrastructure, Including NASA and Federal Reserve
The U.S. Justice Department and FBI announced they have seized platforms operated by China state-sponsored hackers, who allegedly targeted U.S. critical infrastructure. The U.S. stated it has disrupte
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US July Durable Goods Orders Rise 1.1% MoM, Exceeding Expectations, But Core Capital Expenditures Weaken; PCE Inflation Meets Expectations, Market Focuses on the Federal Reserve's Kevin Warsh's Speech on Friday
Data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Wednesday showed that preliminary durable goods orders for July increased by 1.1% month-over-month, exceeding market expectations of 0.5%. However,
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U.S. July PCE inflation remained at 3.7% year-on-year, while core PCE was flat at 3.3% month-on-month. The Treasury Department announced it would double the size of long-term bond buybacks starting next month.
The U.S. Department of Commerce reported on Wednesday that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose by 3.7% year-on-year in July, remaining flat with June and still well above the
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10-year Treasury yield flat at 4.645% after July PCE inflation report, with core PCE meeting expectations
Treasury yields were broadly flat on Wednesday as investors assessed the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation metric. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note was little changed at 4.645%, while the 30
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S&P 500 futures edge lower as investors await Nvidia earnings; U.S. July PCE price index rises 0.2% MoM
U.S. stock futures were lower today as investors prepared for the release of Nvidia's quarterly results, which analysts view as a key barometer for the AI investment cycle. Meanwhile, the U.S. Persona
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Wolfe Research Chief Economist Stephanie Roth expects cooler economic data to allow the Fed to avoid a September rate hike.
Wolfe Research Chief Economist Stephanie Roth expects cooler economic data to allow the Fed to avoid a September rate hike.
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Capital Economics: July Core PCE Unlikely to Trigger Fed September Hike, Annual Inflation at 3.3% Supports Hold
Capital Economics states that July's core PCE increase is unlikely to trigger a Federal Reserve rate hike in September. However, with annual core inflation at 3.3% and economic growth remaining resili
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Economist Anil Kashyap: Fed's Warsh Faces Challenge Leading Divided, Hawkish FOMC, Needs to 'Make an Argument' to Carry Committee
Economist Anil Kashyap: Fed's Warsh Faces Challenge Leading Divided, Hawkish FOMC, Needs to 'Make an Argument' to Carry Committee
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The inaugural keynote speech by the Federal Reserve's Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole conference garnered significant attention.
Nick Timiraos analyzed that Kevin Warsh's first keynote speech at the Federal Reserve's annual economic symposium was more significant than it would have been weeks ago. His July press conference had
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US July core PCE price index rose 3.3% annually and 0.2% monthly, in line with forecasts
The Commerce Department reported that the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, showed core prices increased 3.3% year-over-year and 0.2% month-over
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Silver futures opened at $68.63 per ounce on Wednesday, holding steady at $68.62 during the session, with a monthly gain of 17%.
Silver futures for September delivery opened at $68.63 per ounce on Wednesday (August 26) ET, down 0.1% from Tuesday's closing price. As of 8:10 AM ET, silver prices held steady at $68.62. The market
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US July PCE price index rose 3.7% year-on-year, core PCE remained flat at 3.3% year-on-year, and consumer spending unexpectedly stalled.
Data released on Wednesday by the U.S. Department of Commerce's Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.2% month-over-month in July, with
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U.S. July core PCE price index rose 3.3% year-on-year and 0.2% month-on-month, as sticky inflation divided Federal Reserve officials on the eve of the Jackson Hole meeting.
Data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce showed that the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose 3.3% year-on-year in July, flat with June and in line with expectations.
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US July core PCE rose 0.25% month-on-month, an annualized increase of 2.99%, and a 12-month change rate of 3.34%.
U.S. July core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) rose 0.25% month-over-month, with an annualized increase of 2.99%. This is largely consistent with the July 2025 data, keeping the 12-month chang
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US July annual PCE inflation unexpectedly held steady at 3.7%, remaining well above Fed's 2% target for 65th straight month
The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, increased 3.7% in the 12 months through July, unchanged from June. This figure exceeded economists'
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Core PCE Price Index Shows No Relief From Price Pressures Ahead of Fed Chairman Warsh's Jackson Hole Speech, S&P 500 Futures Dip
The Federal Reserve's primary inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, indicated persistent price pressures, setting a high bar for Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's upcoming speech at the annual Jackson H
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US Core PCE Rises 0.2% in July, Consumer Spending Stalls
The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation metric, the core PCE price index (excluding food and energy), rose 0.2% month-over-month in July and advanced 3.3% from a year ago. Inflation-adjusted consume
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US July PCE Index rose 0.2% month-on-month, higher than expected, sparking market concerns about a potential Federal Reserve rate hike.
Data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Wednesday showed that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose by 0.2% month-over-month in July, higher than the 0.1% predicted
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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