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Federal Reserve
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New Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh vows to curb inflation, with markets pricing in a nearly 60% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike this month.
Incoming Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh vowed to finally curb U.S. inflation, currently at 3.4%, a move that propelled bond yields higher. Markets are now pricing in a nearly 60% chance of a 25 bas
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JPMorgan Chase Analysis: USD/JPY Likely to Fluctuate Between 155-165, Four Signals Could Trigger a Yen Surge
JPMorgan Chase's global market strategy team published an analysis on September 1, stating that the dollar's decline against the Japanese Yen has moderated after reaching its medium-to-long-term targe
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US July JOLTS job openings rose to 7.27 million, falling short of market expectations for the second consecutive month.
U.S. job openings rose to 7.27 million in July, up from a downwardly revised 7.18 million in June, but slightly below market expectations of 7.31 million, data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics show
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Oil Price Surge Fuels Inflation Concerns, US Stocks and Bonds Decline
Rising oil prices have sparked inflation concerns, with investors worrying that this could force the Federal Reserve to further raise interest rates, leading to declines in both US equities and Treasu
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Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin believes current inflationary shocks are normal and discusses Fed's strategy to weather the storm
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin believes current inflationary shocks are normal and discusses Fed's strategy to weather the storm
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Adam Posen Explains Fed Chairman Warsh's 'Family Fight' Term, Suggests Dissents Can Be Beneficial
Peterson Institute for International Economics President Adam Posen, on the Odd Lots podcast, explained what Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh means by "family fight" to describe policy decision debates, and w
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr: The Federal Reserve should decisively raise interest rates if inflation fails to cool sufficiently.
Federal Reserve Governor Barr stated on Tuesday that the Federal Reserve should raise interest rates decisively if inflation fails to cool sufficiently. This statement echoes the hawkish stance of Fed
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Fed Governor Barr Warns Rate Hike May Be Needed If Inflation Fails to Cool Soon
Fed Governor Michael Barr stated that inflation remains too high despite solid economic growth and a stable labor market. Barr favors holding rates steady if inflation continues moderating, but warned
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Bitcoin and Ethereum prices fell as expectations for a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in September rose to 66.4%.
At 8:19 AM ET on September 1, Bitcoin's price fell to $77,945.97, and Ethereum's price dropped to $2,454.23. CME Group's FedWatch Tool shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interes
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Silver Prices Slide to $65.37 on Tuesday Amid Rising Rate Hike Expectations
Silver December futures opened at $67.28 per ounce on Tuesday, September 1, up 0.4% from Monday's close, but later slid to $65.37 by 8:08 a.m. ET. This decline comes as expectations for a rate increas
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FT comments: Many of Fed Chair Warsh's economic policy problems stem from the administration, with US credibility still stretched
FT comments: Many of Fed Chair Warsh's economic policy problems stem from the administration, with US credibility still stretched
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Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR) Faces Volatility as Market Prices in 57% Chance of Fed Rate Hike
According to a Yahoo Finance analysis, the Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR) is highly sensitive to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. The market is currently pricing in a 57% chance of a
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Evercore's Guha Says Fed Is 'Inflation First,' Prioritizing Inflation, Oil, and Bond Yields Over Jobs Data
Krishna Guha, vice chair and head of central bank strategy at Evercore ISI, believes the Federal Reserve is currently an "inflation first" central bank, focusing more on inflation, oil prices, and bon
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Japan's 10-year government bond yield hit 3% on Tuesday, for the first time since 1996.
Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose to 3% on Tuesday, reaching this level for the first time since 1996, influenced by a stronger dollar following hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman
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Global bond selloff spreads to emerging markets as Federal Reserve interest-rate hike prospects overshadow other factors
Global bond selloff spreads to emerging markets as Federal Reserve interest-rate hike prospects overshadow other factors
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Peterson Institute President Adam Posen Thinks Things Could Get 'Messy' for the Fed
Peterson Institute for International Economics President Adam Posen believes the Federal Reserve could face a "messy" situation. He offered his take on the direction of monetary policy and graded Fed
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Global bond markets are experiencing their most aggressive sell-off in nearly two decades, with the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index yield rising to 3.72%, a new high since mid-2008.
On Tuesday (September 1), the US 10-year government bond yield briefly rose to 4.78%, its highest since January 2025; the Japanese 10-year government bond yield touched 3% for the first time in 30 yea
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Bitcoin holds above $78,000, while HYPE gains ~4% and other major altcoins decline over 24 hours amid hawkish Fed bets
Bitcoin holds above $78,000, while HYPE gains ~4% and other major altcoins decline over 24 hours amid hawkish Fed bets
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The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield has hit its longest streak of elevated levels since 2006, closing above 5% for 55 consecutive trading days as of this Monday.
The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield remains under pressure due to a confluence of factors, including persistent high U.S. fiscal deficits, a surge in corporate bond issuance, and rising expectations for F
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Middle East Tensions Escalate with US-Iran Strikes, Brent Crude Surges Past $91, Asian Bond Markets Under Pressure
Brent crude surged above $91 a barrel in early Asian trading as the US and Iran exchanged strikes for the first time in about a month, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Rising oil p
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US 30-Year Bond Enters September on Its Worst Stretch Since 2006
Yields on the longest-maturity Treasuries have not been this high for this long since 2006, driven by a gaping budget deficit, another wave of corporate issuance, and a potentially decisive Federal Re
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Bloomberg analyst Anthony Stephens stated that rising oil prices are pushing up short-term U.S. Treasury yields and strengthening expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike.
Bloomberg analyst Anthony Stephens stated that rising oil prices are pushing up short-term U.S. Treasury yields and strengthening expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike.
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South Korea's KOSPI index opened down 1.24% on Tuesday to 6,735.21 points, dragged down by renewed military conflict between the US and Iran and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh.
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) opened down 0.52% on Tuesday, then extended its losses, falling 84.81 points, or 1.24%, to 6,735.21 as of 9:15 AM. This followed an overnight decline in U
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Donald Trump stated that the U.S. economy could grow by 20% and opposed the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes.
Donald Trump stated on Monday that such rapid economic growth should not prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, even if inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target. He argued that success
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U.Today Analysis: Bollinger Bands and Supply Alert – XRP's Rise to $2 May Take Two Years
U.Today analysis suggests that it could take two years for XRP to return to a price of $2, primarily because the Bollinger Bands indicate it has entered an extreme compression phase. Currently priced
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Chipmakers post longest weekly drop since November
A gauge of chipmakers edged up but posted its longest weekly drop since November, as a resurgence in oil prices dragged down stocks and bonds, stoking inflation concerns just days ahead of the Federal
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U.S. October Flash PMI Signals Strong Growth Amid Accelerating Inflation
The S&P Global Flash U.S. PMI for October indicates robust economic expansion, with the Composite PMI at 57.6 and the Services PMI at 57.9. The Manufacturing PMI reached 56.0, marking a 53-month high.
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Parker Lewis Predicts Bitcoin Will Settle All Global Payments as $107 Trillion Debt Intensifies Credit System Strain
Bitcoin Magazine reported that author Parker Lewis believes that as $107 trillion in debt strains the credit system, merchants will shift to zero-fee payments, and ultimately Bitcoin will settle 100%
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Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing reasons such as depleted ETF funds, increased correlation with the stock market, Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and macroeconomic headwinds.
Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing reasons such as depleted ETF funds, increased correlation with the stock market, Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, an
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American Express was fined $350 million by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve for deficiencies in its anti-money laundering system.
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Reserve took enforcement action against American Express earlier this month, alleging deficiencies in its anti-money laundering syst
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Bitcoin consolidates above $81,000, AI-related tech stock sell-off slows, Brent crude hits highest since early May.
Bitcoin traded in a range of less than $1,000 early Friday, near $81,500, after falling to $81,000 on Thursday, ending a volatile week that saw swings of $3,000. Nasdaq 100 futures were little changed
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Bitcoin stabilizes near $81,700, altcoins rebound, PEPE up 13%
Bitcoin has risen 0.5% since UTC midnight, trading at around $81,700, but its gains lag behind altcoins. Ethereum is up 0.9%, the CoinDesk 80 Index is up 0.7%, while the Memecoin Index has gained 2.9%
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Analyst: Bitcoin Market in "Wait-and-See Mode," Potentially Signaling Bull Run Nearing
Decrypt reports that the crypto market has been largely calm recently, with Bitcoin's volatility not exceeding 6% over the past month, currently priced at approximately $81,735, down 1.2% on the day.
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Nomura: AI growth panic replaces inflation narrative, U.S. Treasuries regain hedging function; Thursday's 10-year U.S. Treasury yield plunged over 15 basis points, Nasdaq Composite plummeted 2.6%.
Nomura cross-asset strategist Charlie McElligott noted in his latest report that market drivers have shifted from the inflation narrative to a systemic re-evaluation of AI-driven growth prospects. Thi
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell below 5% to a nearly one-month low, with Goldman Sachs analysts characterizing the ebbing AI capital expenditure as "alternative quantitative easing" for the bond market.
On Thursday, U.S. Treasury yields across the board fell sharply, driven by market doubts about the sustainability of AI capital expenditures following earnings reports from several tech giants. The da
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US Fed Balance Sheet as of October 22, 2026: $6.75 trillion, prior $6.76 trillion.
US Fed Balance Sheet as of October 22, 2026: $6.75 trillion, prior $6.76 trillion.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 16, prior 20
US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 16, prior 20
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US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11, prior 14
US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11, prior 14
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Gold falls 1.3% to $4,083 as rising oil prices complicate Fed rate outlook
Gold slipped 1.3% to $4,083, pressured by concerns that higher oil prices could fuel inflation and delay Federal Reserve rate cuts. Capital.com's Monte Safieddine warns that gold faces a "difficult co
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Bitcoin holds key $80,000 support, but ETF inflows slow, with Friday's inflation data posing a test.
Bitcoin is currently holding in the $80,000 region, which Glassnode estimates to be the average acquisition cost for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and publicly listed corporate treasuries, CryptoSlate report
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Bitcoin reclaims $84,500 as crypto market rebounds from October dip.
Bitcoin traded near $84,500 on Wednesday, up 2.5% in 24 hours, as the crypto market rebounded from a mid-October dip below $80,000. Ethereum rose 2.5% to $2,504, Solana gained 2.2% to $108.18, and BNB
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K33 Research noted that Bitcoin's volatility is approaching 2026 lows, and market trading activity is weak, as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve's decision and the US midterm elections.
K33 Research noted that Bitcoin's volatility is approaching 2026 lows, and market trading activity is weak, as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve's decision and the US midterm elections.
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Sells Out 128 Hong Kong Apartments Amid Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), one of Hong Kong's largest developers, sold out the latest batch of 128 apartments at its Sierra Sea project in the New Territories on Wednesday. The apartments were so
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Gold steadies as conflicting Iran signals cloud Fed rate path
Gold held a decline, trading around $4,115 an ounce, as conflicting signals on efforts to end the Iran war clouded the outlook for inflation and the Federal Reserve’s path for interest rates. An unnam
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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