Federal Reserve
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Global bond yields have risen to their highest since 2008, with 30-year US Treasury yields touching 5%, after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced increased bond buybacks and Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh delivered hawkish remarks.
Global bond yields have risen to their highest levels since 2008, with the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield briefly touching 5%. This follows an unexpected announcement by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bes
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Bitcoin climbs above $77,500, XRP leads major tokens; Fed's September rate hike probability rises to 66%, 10-year Treasury yield hits new high since 2023
Bitcoin recovered above $77,600 in early Asian trading on Thursday, up approximately 1.5% in 24 hours. XRP led major tokens with a nearly 3% gain, reaching $1.36, while BNB rose almost 2% to $692, and
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The Wall Street Journal Analysis: US Treasury Yields Climb to Multi-Year Highs as War-Driven Inflation, Fiscal Deficits, a Shift in Federal Reserve Chair Policy, and the AI Funding Boom Exert Four-Fold Pressure
The Wall Street Journal Analysis: US Treasury Yields Climb to Multi-Year Highs as War-Driven Inflation, Fiscal Deficits, a Shift in Federal Reserve Chair Policy, and the AI Funding Boom Exert Four-Fol
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Bank of America: Expects August Nonfarm Payrolls to Add Only 40,000 Jobs, Far Below Market Consensus; September Federal Reserve Rate Hike Hinges on CPI
Bank of America, in its latest report published on September 2, projected that August non-farm payrolls would increase by only 40,000 (35,000 in the private sector), significantly below market consens
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WSJ analysis: Four key forces are pressuring bond markets, with war being the primary driver
According to The Wall Street Journal's analysis, the recent climb in bond yields is being driven by four main forces. War is identified as the number one factor, alongside fiscal worries, the appointm
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Bloomberg strategist Simon White analyzed that the U.S. Treasury's expansion of T-bill financing is making its function akin to a "shadow central bank," which could undermine the Federal Reserve's independence and push up inflation.
Simon White points out that the U.S. Treasury's continued expansion of T-bill financing has pushed T-bills to 22.7% of outstanding U.S. debt, exceeding the Treasury's informal 20% cap. He believes thi
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New York Fed President John Williams said he is more open to interest-rate hikes, questioning if current monetary policy is sufficient to bring inflation to target.
New York Fed President John Williams, a leading advocate of the central bank’s “hold and wait” strategy on interest rates, stated in a television appearance Wednesday that there is “no clear science”
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IMPAX Asset Management says the Federal Reserve's September decision is a "real coin toss."
IMPAX Asset Management says the Federal Reserve's September decision is a "real coin toss."
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Last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh outlined his interpretation of key U.S. economic data points at the Jackson Hole conference, offering new insights into policymaking.
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh delivered a keynote speech last week in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, detailing some of the key data points he uses to assess the U.S. economy, offering markets new insig
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S&P 500 Steadies After Three-Day Skid as Oil Prices Halt Advance
US stocks traded mixed on Wednesday, as the halt in oil price advances eased inflation concerns. Traders are now weighing the Federal Reserve’s potential path for interest-rate hikes.
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U.S. 10-year government bond yields hit a new high since November 2023, and oil prices approaching $95/barrel sparked market concerns about a Federal Reserve rate hike.
U.S. long-term government bond yields remained elevated on Wednesday, with the 10-year yield hitting its highest level since November 2023. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered around $95 per barrel, intensi
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Federal Reserve's No. 3 Official Williams: Inflation Slowing Gradually, Current Interest Rates at a "Good Level," Emphasizes Need for More Data
New York Fed President John Williams stated on Wednesday that inflation is slowly declining and current interest rate levels are in a "good place," emphasizing the need to accumulate more data before
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The Wall Street Journal Analysis: US Treasury Sell-off and Prospects of Federal Reserve Rate Hikes May Push Up Living Costs for Americans
The Wall Street Journal's analysis indicates that concerns about a prolonged conflict with Iran, ballooning fiscal deficits, and Federal Reserve interest rate hikes are roiling global bond markets. U.
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New York Fed President Williams: Strong US Economy, Driven by AI Investment, is Pushing Bond Yields Higher
John Williams stated that rising long-term bond yields reflect a robust U.S. economy, rather than growing inflation fears. He specifically cited heavy investment in AI, data centers, and technology as
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State Street strategist Seder stated that if the Federal Reserve maintains interest rates, the market will react poorly.
Cayla Seder, Macro Multi-Asset Strategist at State Street, discussed her concerns about higher government bond yields and looked ahead to the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting dec
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Silver prices fell further on Wednesday, trading at $64.24 an ounce at 6:48 a.m. ET, after the U.S. launched a second wave of attacks on Iran.
Silver December futures opened at $64.69 per ounce on Wednesday, down 1.0% from Tuesday's closing price and hitting a two-week low. This decline occurred after the U.S. military launched its second wa
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Gold prices fell further on Wednesday, trading at $4357.50/oz at 6:31 AM ET, due to escalating military actions between the US and Iran.
Gold futures for December delivery opened at $4377.20 per ounce on Wednesday (September 2), down 0.4% from Tuesday's closing price. Subsequently, gold prices fell further due to additional US strikes
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The 10-year US Treasury yield rose to 4.8% on Wednesday, a new high for 2023, as surging energy prices fueled inflation concerns.
A new round of attacks in the Iran war this week sent energy prices soaring again, intensifying the sell-off in global bond markets and pushing up government borrowing costs. Investors are bracing for
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Elon Musk's Grok AI Predicts Ethereum (ETH) to Trade in $2,600-$3,000 Range by January 1, 2027, with a Point Estimate of $2,800
Elon Musk's Grok AI Predicts Ethereum (ETH) to Trade in $2,600-$3,000 Range by January 1, 2027, with a Point Estimate of $2,800. The AI model's forecast implies modest net gains from current levels ($
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent holds a differing view, arguing that interest rate hikes should not be used to counter the current supply shock.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent believes that the current shock is inherently a supply shock and should not be addressed by raising interest rates unless "second or third-order effects" emerge,
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JPMorgan Chase: 30,000 to 70,000 new US jobs is the market's "sweet spot"; the CPI report will have a greater impact on the market than the employment report.
JPMorgan Chase believes that an ideal range for the upcoming US non-farm payrolls report would be between 30,000 and 70,000 new jobs. The bank noted that stronger hiring data could push bond yields hi
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Deutsche Bank: Gold selling pressure is about to be exhausted, with the next rally potentially driven by active funds. CTA selling trigger is at $4315/oz.
Deutsche Bank's latest research indicates that systematic trading funds (CTA) buying, which has been driving the current gold rally, is nearing its end, while market selling pressure is also close to
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Nick Timiraos: A war that won't end is complicating the Fed's next move
Nick Timiraos: A war that won't end is complicating the Fed's next move
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Fortress Chief Strategist Burton Says Rates Still Poised to Go Higher, Arguing Underlying Problem Won't Be Fixed Without Fiscal Response
Fortress Chief Strategist Elizabeth Burton says rates are still poised to go higher, arguing the underlying problem won’t be fixed without a fiscal response. She made the remarks on Bloomberg Open Int
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U.Today Analysis: Bollinger Bands and Supply Alert – XRP's Rise to $2 May Take Two Years
U.Today analysis suggests that it could take two years for XRP to return to a price of $2, primarily because the Bollinger Bands indicate it has entered an extreme compression phase. Currently priced
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Chipmakers post longest weekly drop since November
A gauge of chipmakers edged up but posted its longest weekly drop since November, as a resurgence in oil prices dragged down stocks and bonds, stoking inflation concerns just days ahead of the Federal
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U.S. October Flash PMI Signals Strong Growth Amid Accelerating Inflation
The S&P Global Flash U.S. PMI for October indicates robust economic expansion, with the Composite PMI at 57.6 and the Services PMI at 57.9. The Manufacturing PMI reached 56.0, marking a 53-month high.
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Parker Lewis Predicts Bitcoin Will Settle All Global Payments as $107 Trillion Debt Intensifies Credit System Strain
Bitcoin Magazine reported that author Parker Lewis believes that as $107 trillion in debt strains the credit system, merchants will shift to zero-fee payments, and ultimately Bitcoin will settle 100%
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Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing reasons such as depleted ETF funds, increased correlation with the stock market, Federal Reserve rate hikes, and macroeconomic headwinds.
Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing reasons such as depleted ETF funds, increased correlation with the stock market, Federal Reserve rate hikes, and macroec
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American Express was fined $350 million by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve for deficiencies in its anti-money laundering system.
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Reserve took enforcement action against American Express earlier this month, alleging deficiencies in its anti-money laundering syst
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Bitcoin consolidates above $81,000, AI-related tech stock sell-off slows, Brent crude hits highest since early May.
Bitcoin traded in a range of less than $1,000 early Friday, near $81,500, after falling to $81,000 on Thursday, ending a volatile week that saw swings of $3,000. Nasdaq 100 futures were little changed
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Bitcoin stabilizes near $81,700, altcoins rebound, PEPE up 13%
Bitcoin has risen 0.5% since UTC midnight, trading at around $81,700, but its gains lag behind altcoins. Ethereum is up 0.9%, the CoinDesk 80 Index is up 0.7%, while the Memecoin Index has gained 2.9%
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Analyst: Bitcoin Market in "Wait-and-See Mode," Potentially Signaling Bull Run Nearing
Decrypt reports that the crypto market has been largely calm recently, with Bitcoin's volatility not exceeding 6% over the past month, currently priced at approximately $81,735, down 1.2% on the day.
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Nomura: AI growth panic replaces inflation narrative, U.S. Treasuries regain hedging function; Thursday's 10-year U.S. Treasury yield plunged over 15 basis points, Nasdaq Composite plummeted 2.6%.
Nomura cross-asset strategist Charlie McElligott noted in his latest report that market drivers have shifted from the inflation narrative to a systemic re-evaluation of AI-driven growth prospects. Thi
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell below 5% to a nearly one-month low, with Goldman Sachs analysts characterizing the ebbing AI capital expenditure as "alternative quantitative easing" for the bond market.
On Thursday, U.S. Treasury yields across the board fell sharply, driven by market doubts about the sustainability of AI capital expenditures following earnings reports from several tech giants. The da
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US Fed Balance Sheet as of October 22, 2026: $6.75 trillion, prior $6.76 trillion.
US Fed Balance Sheet as of October 22, 2026: $6.75 trillion, prior $6.76 trillion.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 16, prior 20
US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 16, prior 20
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US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11, prior 14
US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11, prior 14
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Gold falls 1.3% to $4,083 as rising oil prices complicate Fed rate outlook
Gold slipped 1.3% to $4,083, pressured by concerns that higher oil prices could fuel inflation and delay Federal Reserve rate cuts. Capital.com's Monte Safieddine warns that gold faces a "difficult co
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Bitcoin holds key $80,000 support, but ETF inflows slow, with Friday's inflation data posing a test.
Bitcoin is currently holding in the $80,000 region, which Glassnode estimates to be the average acquisition cost for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and publicly listed corporate treasuries, CryptoSlate report
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Bitcoin reclaims $84,500 as crypto market rebounds from October dip.
Bitcoin traded near $84,500 on Wednesday, up 2.5% in 24 hours, as the crypto market rebounded from a mid-October dip below $80,000. Ethereum rose 2.5% to $2,504, Solana gained 2.2% to $108.18, and BNB
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K33 Research noted that Bitcoin's volatility is approaching 2026 lows, and market trading activity is weak, as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve's decision and the US midterm elections.
K33 Research noted that Bitcoin's volatility is approaching 2026 lows, and market trading activity is weak, as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve's decision and the US midterm elections.
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Sells Out 128 Hong Kong Apartments Amid Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), one of Hong Kong's largest developers, sold out the latest batch of 128 apartments at its Sierra Sea project in the New Territories on Wednesday. The apartments were so
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Gold steadies as conflicting Iran signals cloud Fed rate path
Gold held a decline, trading around $4,115 an ounce, as conflicting signals on efforts to end the Iran war clouded the outlook for inflation and the Federal Reserve’s path for interest rates. An unnam
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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