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Federal Reserve
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Wolfe Research Chief Economist Roth stated that inflation data, not employment data, will determine the Federal Reserve's next move.
Wolfe Research Chief Economist Stephanie Roth stated that the market's "hawkish reaction to the August US jobs report may be somewhat overdone."
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Fed insider Nick Timiraos: August jobs data clears the way for a September Fed rate hike, but inflation data remains key.
The Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos stated that while August inflation data may still dominate the Federal Reserve's decision to raise rates or hold steady in September, strong August emplo
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, significantly exceeding the expected 55,000, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in September have sharply increased.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, significantly exceeding the expected 55,000, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve ra
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August Jobs Report Favors a Fed Rate Hike, Says New Century Advisors Chief Economist Sahm
Claudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors, commented on the US employment report for August, stating that it favors Federal Reserve officials who want to start hiking rates.
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Rate-futures traders add to bets on a September Fed rate hike after bigger-than-expected August jobs gain.
Rate-futures traders add to bets on a September Fed rate hike after bigger-than-expected August jobs gain.
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U.S. August non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000, exceeding the expected 56,000. The previous value (revised) was 21,000.
U.S. August non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 (expected 56,000, revised previous value 21,000); unemployment rate was 4.1% (expected 4.1%, revised previous value 4.1%); average hourly earnings mo
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Bloomberg: The US utilities sector, traditionally a safe-haven asset, is facing risks due to persistently rising government bond yields and potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and is being seen as a "canary in the coal mine" for market risk.
Bloomberg: The US utilities sector, traditionally a safe-haven asset, is facing risks due to persistently rising government bond yields and potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and is being
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US government bond yields stabilized ahead of the jobs report, following a week of sharp fluctuations, as investors await key employment data for clues on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
US government bond yields stabilized ahead of the jobs report, following a week of sharp fluctuations, as investors await key employment data for clues on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
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Investors are closely monitoring every data point to navigate various Federal Reserve policy scenarios, according to Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
Investors are closely monitoring every data point to navigate various Federal Reserve policy scenarios, according to Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
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Citi economist Clark said the Federal Reserve's labor market narrative could shift rapidly.
Citi economist Veronica Clark said she sees several scenarios where inflation and labor market data could lead the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
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Morgan Stanley Expects Fed to Hold Rates Despite Warsh’s Hawkish Tone, Citing August Core CPI/PCE Forecasts
Morgan Stanley expects the Fed to keep rates unchanged, despite Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech. The bank forecasts August core CPI at +0.23% MoM and core PCE at +0.20%, supporting pat
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Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index jumps 1.7% to 25,650, led by tech rebound, as Fed Waller's dovish remarks ease rate hike fears
The benchmark Hang Seng Index rose 437 points, or 1.7 percent, to close at 25,650 on Friday, with the tech index gaining 2.3 percent. This surge followed Federal Reserve governor Christopher Waller's
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U.S. Stock Futures Nudge Higher, Treasury Yields Edge Lower Ahead of Jobs Data
U.S. stock futures nudged higher and Treasury yields edged lower in early European trade on Friday, as investors held positions steady ahead of crucial U.S. jobs data. This follows Thursday's rally in
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World's Biggest Money Managers Are Rebuilding Gold Positions, Betting on Long-Term Drivers Despite Fed's Assertive Stance
Some of the world’s biggest money managers have rebuilt their gold holdings after prices dropped, betting that long-term drivers of the precious metal will endure even as the US Federal Reserve takes
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Asia-Pacific stock markets generally rebounded, with South Korea's Seoul Composite Index closing up 1.64% and the Nikkei 225 Index rising 1.3%.
Global equities rose for a third consecutive day, influenced by dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials, with Asia-Pacific markets generally strengthening. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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The U.S. August non-farm payroll report is set to be released on Friday, with market expectations of 55,000 new jobs. Former Federal Reserve Governor Warsh previously stated that the economy is at full employment with high inflation. Analysts believe that strong data could push up U.S. Treasury yields and suppress U.S. equities.
The US August non-farm payrolls report is due on Friday, with market consensus expecting 55,000 new jobs and the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 4.1%. Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh has clear
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Global bond yields surge to multi-year highs, with US 10-year Treasury at highest since Nov 2023 and Japan's since 1996, on persistent inflation fears
Global government bond yields have surged this week, reflecting investor anxiety that inflation could remain structurally higher due to rising debt, tariffs, defense spending, and energy shocks. The U
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Emerging Market Stocks and Currencies Rise as Fed Hike Bets Ease
MSCI’s emerging market stock index jumped as much as 1.1%, while a similar currency gauge rose 0.2%. Investors pared bets on a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike this month, sending the dollar lower,
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Deutsche Bank Report: Gold's Structural Bull Market Drivers Now Surpass Interest Rates; Strait of Hormuz Conflict More Critical Than Fed's Warsh
Deutsche Bank, in its latest report, offered its long-term rationale for gold, asserting that the fundamental driver of its structural bull market is reserve diversification, which has extended into t
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Bianco Research: The Federal Reserve's September meeting vote is finely balanced, with the "maintain" camp leading 6-5 after Christopher Waller shifted to favoring holding rates steady. Jerome Powell's vote becomes crucial.
Jim Bianco, founder of Bianco Research, analyzed that the voting landscape is highly contested ahead of the Federal Reserve's September 16 FOMC meeting. Following recent remarks from Fed Governor Wall
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US Dollar Slumps to Start September as Yen Surges on Rate Bets
The dollar slumped to start September as traders cut bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this month and a surging yen rippled across global currency markets.
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South Korean stocks opened up 1.47% on Friday, reaching 6,676.38 points, as dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials eased concerns about interest rate hikes.
South Korean stocks opened up 1.47% on Friday, reaching 6,676.38 points, as dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials eased concerns about interest rate hikes.
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U.Today Analysis: Bollinger Bands and Supply Alert – XRP's Rise to $2 May Take Two Years
U.Today analysis suggests that it could take two years for XRP to return to a price of $2, primarily because the Bollinger Bands indicate it has entered an extreme compression phase. Currently priced
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Chipmakers post longest weekly drop since November
A gauge of chipmakers edged up but posted its longest weekly drop since November, as a resurgence in oil prices dragged down stocks and bonds, stoking inflation concerns just days ahead of the Federal
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U.S. October Flash PMI Signals Strong Growth Amid Accelerating Inflation
The S&P Global Flash U.S. PMI for October indicates robust economic expansion, with the Composite PMI at 57.6 and the Services PMI at 57.9. The Manufacturing PMI reached 56.0, marking a 53-month high.
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Parker Lewis Predicts Bitcoin Will Settle All Global Payments as $107 Trillion Debt Intensifies Credit System Strain
Bitcoin Magazine reported that author Parker Lewis believes that as $107 trillion in debt strains the credit system, merchants will shift to zero-fee payments, and ultimately Bitcoin will settle 100%
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Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing exhausted ETF inflows, increased correlation with equities, Federal Reserve rate hikes, and macroeconomic headwinds.
Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing exhausted ETF inflows, increased correlation with equities, Federal Reserve rate hikes, and macroeconomic headwinds.
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American Express was fined $350 million by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve for deficiencies in its anti-money laundering system.
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Reserve took enforcement action against American Express earlier this month, alleging deficiencies in its anti-money laundering syst
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Bitcoin consolidates above $81,000, AI-related tech stock sell-off slows, Brent crude hits highest since early May.
Bitcoin traded in a range of less than $1,000 early Friday, near $81,500, after falling to $81,000 on Thursday, ending a volatile week that saw swings of $3,000. Nasdaq 100 futures were little changed
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Bitcoin stabilizes near $81,700, altcoins rebound, PEPE up 13%
Bitcoin has risen 0.5% since UTC midnight, trading at around $81,700, but its gains lag behind altcoins. Ethereum is up 0.9%, the CoinDesk 80 Index is up 0.7%, while the Memecoin Index has gained 2.9%
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Analyst: Bitcoin Market in "Wait-and-See Mode," Potentially Signaling Bull Run Nearing
Decrypt reports that the crypto market has been largely calm recently, with Bitcoin's volatility not exceeding 6% over the past month, currently priced at approximately $81,735, down 1.2% on the day.
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Nomura: AI growth panic replaces inflation narrative, U.S. Treasuries regain hedging function; Thursday's 10-year U.S. Treasury yield plunged over 15 basis points, Nasdaq Composite plummeted 2.6%.
Nomura cross-asset strategist Charlie McElligott noted in his latest report that market drivers have shifted from the inflation narrative to a systemic re-evaluation of AI-driven growth prospects. Thi
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell below 5% to a nearly one-month low, with Goldman Sachs analysts characterizing the ebbing AI capital expenditure as "alternative quantitative easing" for the bond market.
On Thursday, U.S. Treasury yields across the board fell sharply, driven by market doubts about the sustainability of AI capital expenditures following earnings reports from several tech giants. The da
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US Fed Balance Sheet as of October 22, 2026: $6.75 trillion, prior $6.76 trillion.
US Fed Balance Sheet as of October 22, 2026: $6.75 trillion, prior $6.76 trillion.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 16, prior 20
US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 16, prior 20
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US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11, prior 14
US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11, prior 14
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Gold falls 1.3% to $4,083 as rising oil prices complicate Fed rate outlook
Gold slipped 1.3% to $4,083, pressured by concerns that higher oil prices could fuel inflation and delay Federal Reserve rate cuts. Capital.com's Monte Safieddine warns that gold faces a "difficult co
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Bitcoin holds key $80,000 support, but ETF inflows slow, with Friday's inflation data posing a test.
Bitcoin is currently holding in the $80,000 region, which Glassnode estimates to be the average acquisition cost for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and publicly listed corporate treasuries, CryptoSlate report
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Bitcoin reclaims $84,500 as crypto market rebounds from October dip.
Bitcoin traded near $84,500 on Wednesday, up 2.5% in 24 hours, as the crypto market rebounded from a mid-October dip below $80,000. Ethereum rose 2.5% to $2,504, Solana gained 2.2% to $108.18, and BNB
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K33 Research noted that Bitcoin's volatility is approaching 2026 lows, and market trading activity is weak, as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve's decision and the US midterm elections.
K33 Research noted that Bitcoin's volatility is approaching 2026 lows, and market trading activity is weak, as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve's decision and the US midterm elections.
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Sells Out 128 Hong Kong Apartments Amid Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), one of Hong Kong's largest developers, sold out the latest batch of 128 apartments at its Sierra Sea project in the New Territories on Wednesday. The apartments were so
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Gold steadies as conflicting Iran signals cloud Fed rate path
Gold held a decline, trading around $4,115 an ounce, as conflicting signals on efforts to end the Iran war clouded the outlook for inflation and the Federal Reserve’s path for interest rates. An unnam
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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