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Federal Reserve
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2-year Treasury yield rises over 7 bps to 4.425%, highest since January 2025, after hot jobs report boosts Fed rate hike expectations to 58%
The 2-year Treasury note yield increased more than 7 basis points to 4.425% on Friday, reaching its highest level since January 2025. This surge followed a stronger-than-expected U.S. August jobs repo
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Wolfe Research Chief Economist Roth stated that inflation data, not employment data, will determine the Federal Reserve's next move.
Wolfe Research Chief Economist Stephanie Roth stated that the market's "hawkish reaction to the August US jobs report may be somewhat overdone."
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Fed insider Nick Timiraos: August jobs data clears the way for a September Fed rate hike, but inflation data remains key.
The Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos stated that while August inflation data may still dominate the Federal Reserve's decision to raise rates or hold steady in September, strong August emplo
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, significantly exceeding the expected 55,000, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in September have sharply increased.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, significantly exceeding the expected 55,000, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve ra
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August Jobs Report Favors a Fed Rate Hike, Says New Century Advisors Chief Economist Sahm
Claudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors, commented on the US employment report for August, stating that it favors Federal Reserve officials who want to start hiking rates.
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Rate-futures traders add to bets on a September Fed rate hike after bigger-than-expected August jobs gain.
Rate-futures traders add to bets on a September Fed rate hike after bigger-than-expected August jobs gain.
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U.S. August non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000, exceeding the expected 56,000. The previous value (revised) was 21,000.
U.S. August non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 (expected 56,000, revised previous value 21,000); unemployment rate was 4.1% (expected 4.1%, revised previous value 4.1%); average hourly earnings mo
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Bloomberg: The US utilities sector, traditionally a safe-haven asset, is facing risks due to persistently rising government bond yields and potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and is being seen as a "canary in the coal mine" for market risk.
Bloomberg: The US utilities sector, traditionally a safe-haven asset, is facing risks due to persistently rising government bond yields and potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and is being
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US government bond yields stabilized ahead of the jobs report, following a week of sharp fluctuations, as investors await key employment data for clues on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
US government bond yields stabilized ahead of the jobs report, following a week of sharp fluctuations, as investors await key employment data for clues on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
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Investors are closely monitoring every data point to navigate various Federal Reserve policy scenarios, according to Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
Investors are closely monitoring every data point to navigate various Federal Reserve policy scenarios, according to Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
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Citi economist Clark said the Federal Reserve's labor market narrative could shift rapidly.
Citi economist Veronica Clark said she sees several scenarios where inflation and labor market data could lead the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
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Morgan Stanley Expects Fed to Hold Rates Despite Warsh’s Hawkish Tone, Citing August Core CPI/PCE Forecasts
Morgan Stanley expects the Fed to keep rates unchanged, despite Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech. The bank forecasts August core CPI at +0.23% MoM and core PCE at +0.20%, supporting pat
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Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index jumps 1.7% to 25,650, led by tech rebound, as Fed Waller's dovish remarks ease rate hike fears
The benchmark Hang Seng Index rose 437 points, or 1.7 percent, to close at 25,650 on Friday, with the tech index gaining 2.3 percent. This surge followed Federal Reserve governor Christopher Waller's
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U.S. Stock Futures Nudge Higher, Treasury Yields Edge Lower Ahead of Jobs Data
U.S. stock futures nudged higher and Treasury yields edged lower in early European trade on Friday, as investors held positions steady ahead of crucial U.S. jobs data. This follows Thursday's rally in
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World's Biggest Money Managers Are Rebuilding Gold Positions, Betting on Long-Term Drivers Despite Fed's Assertive Stance
Some of the world’s biggest money managers have rebuilt their gold holdings after prices dropped, betting that long-term drivers of the precious metal will endure even as the US Federal Reserve takes
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Asia-Pacific stock markets generally rebounded, with South Korea's Seoul Composite Index closing up 1.64% and the Nikkei 225 Index rising 1.3%.
Global equities rose for a third consecutive day, influenced by dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials, with Asia-Pacific markets generally strengthening. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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The U.S. August non-farm payroll report is set to be released on Friday, with market expectations of 55,000 new jobs. Former Federal Reserve Governor Warsh previously stated that the economy is at full employment with high inflation. Analysts believe that strong data could push up U.S. Treasury yields and suppress U.S. equities.
The US August non-farm payrolls report is due on Friday, with market consensus expecting 55,000 new jobs and the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 4.1%. Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh has clear
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Global bond yields surge to multi-year highs, with US 10-year Treasury at highest since Nov 2023 and Japan's since 1996, on persistent inflation fears
Global government bond yields have surged this week, reflecting investor anxiety that inflation could remain structurally higher due to rising debt, tariffs, defense spending, and energy shocks. The U
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Emerging Market Stocks and Currencies Rise as Fed Hike Bets Ease
MSCI’s emerging market stock index jumped as much as 1.1%, while a similar currency gauge rose 0.2%. Investors pared bets on a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike this month, sending the dollar lower,
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Deutsche Bank Report: Gold's Structural Bull Market Drivers Now Surpass Interest Rates; Strait of Hormuz Conflict More Critical Than Fed's Warsh
Deutsche Bank, in its latest report, offered its long-term rationale for gold, asserting that the fundamental driver of its structural bull market is reserve diversification, which has extended into t
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Bianco Research: The Federal Reserve's September meeting vote is finely balanced, with the "maintain" camp leading 6-5 after Christopher Waller shifted to favoring holding rates steady. Jerome Powell's vote becomes crucial.
Jim Bianco, founder of Bianco Research, analyzed that the voting landscape is highly contested ahead of the Federal Reserve's September 16 FOMC meeting. Following recent remarks from Fed Governor Wall
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US Dollar Slumps to Start September as Yen Surges on Rate Bets
The dollar slumped to start September as traders cut bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this month and a surging yen rippled across global currency markets.
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Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve has taken enforcement actions against three former bank employees for misappropriation of customer funds, misuse of funds, and check fraud.
The Federal Reserve Board announced at 11:00 AM ET on Friday that it has taken enforcement actions against Charles Alan Wright, a former employee of Northstar Bank (alleged misappropriation of custome
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
-
From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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