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Federal Reserve
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UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti warned investors against complacency, citing increasing geopolitical and economic risks, and predicted that major central banks would raise interest rates in the coming months.
UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti stated on Thursday that financial markets have become complacent over the past few years despite increasing geopolitical and economic risks. He pointed out that new problems are
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UBS: Gold price has fully priced in Federal Reserve policy; a September rate hike would lead to a small dip, while no hike would trigger a significant rally.
UBS noted in its "Global Precious Metals Comment" published on September 9 that the gold market's sensitivity to the Federal Reserve's next moves has significantly decreased, with tightening expectati
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Gold prices held steady near $4,400 as traders weighed the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
Gold prices stabilized around $4,400 per ounce, with traders awaiting US inflation data later this week to gauge whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates. This follows a 1% rise in gold d
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U.S. small-cap stocks have fallen below a key level, raising investor concerns that rising bond yields could signal broader equity market pressure.
U.S. small-cap stocks, which are more sensitive to interest rate changes, have fallen below key chart levels as bond market rates climb ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. Their performance
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Amazon and Oracle's free cash flow turned negative due to surging AI capital expenditures, causing "extreme anxiety" ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting.
Amazon and Oracle are experiencing negative free cash flow due to surging AI data center capital expenditures, leading to "extreme anxiety" ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. Oracle plans
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Jim Cramer says safe bond funds lost money over the past five years, being too cautious was reckless.
Jim Cramer, host of CNBC's "Mad Money," stated that an ultra-conservative bond allocation strategy has penalized patient savers over the past five years. He pointed out that the iShares Core U.S. Aggr
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Jim Cramer warns interest rates are unlikely to drop, citing "unholy developments" including the U.S. war with Iran
CNBC's Mad Money host Jim Cramer believes interest rates will not fall soon, attributing this to the U.S. war with Iran and the stance of newly installed Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh. Cramer n
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Citizens Financial Group CEO: US Consumers Cautious But Still Spending, Expects Federal Reserve Not to Raise Rates in Short Term
Bruce Van Saun, CEO of Citizens Financial Group, stated in a Bloomberg interview that the U.S. economy is performing strongly, with consumers continuing to spend despite being cautious, and having fou
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Northwestern Mutual's Matt Stucky says hotter-than-expected inflation could increase the chances of a Fed rate hike this month
Stucky notes that markets currently see roughly a 50-50 chance of a hike. Friday’s core CPI is expected to rise 0.2% month-over-month, and a stronger reading, combined with the resilient U.S. labor ma
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Analysts believe Bitcoin price could fall 1%-5% if Fed raises rates by 25 bps on Sept. 16, with deeper declines possible depending on forward guidance.
Analysts believe Bitcoin price could fall 1%-5% if Fed raises rates by 25 bps on Sept. 16, with deeper declines possible depending on forward guidance.
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Wall Street strategists raise S&P 500 targets past 8,000, with Ed Yardeni setting 8,400, but warn of growing pullback risks
Wall Street strategists are raising their S&P 500 price targets above 8,000, with RBC Capital Markets maintaining its 12-month target at 8,150, and prominent strategist Ed Yardeni raising his year-end
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Bitcoin and Ethereum opened lower on Wednesday, as escalating tensions in the Middle East and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike weighed on the crypto market.
At 9:00 AM ET on Wednesday, September 9, Bitcoin opened at $78,446.18, down 0.8% from Tuesday's opening price; Ethereum opened at $2,484.93, down 0.2% from Tuesday's opening price. As of 7:11 AM ET, B
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Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF (VTWO) Outperforms S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 YTD, Faces Reckoning Next Week as Fed Considers Rate Hike
The Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF (VTWO), mimicking the Russell 2000 index, has gained 20.2% year-to-date in 2026 (as of Sept. 4), surpassing the S&P 500's 12.7% and Nasdaq-100's 17% returns. However, it
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Gold prices have returned above $4,400, with spot up 1.1% to $4,402.41/oz, due to a weaker dollar and the situation in the Middle East.
Gold prices rose on Wednesday, with spot gold up 1.1% to $4,402.41 per ounce and futures up 0.2% to $4,445.85 per ounce, climbing back above $4,400 after three consecutive trading days of declines. A
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China Asset Management Says Chinese Stocks Face US Fed, Oil Pressures, Likely to Trade Sideways Through September
China Asset Management Says Chinese Stocks Face US Fed, Oil Pressures, Likely to Trade Sideways Through September
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British Pound Faces Deeper Weakness as BOE Turns Dovish and Crucial Budget Looms
The Bank of England (BOE) is seen as increasingly dovish, with low market expectations for a rate hike at its September meeting, contrasting with anticipated hikes from the ECB and Fed. Rabobank strat
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The Financial Times commented that Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh could be competent, but needs to clarify policy goals and act wisely.
A commentary in the Financial Times suggests that Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh could be an excellent chairman, but he must clarify policy objectives and be prudent in how the central bank operates.
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MarketWatch Analysis: US Stocks Fall Post-Labor Day, Dow Drops 1% on Tuesday, Marking Largest Daily Decline in Over Two Weeks
The media noted that the stock market might soon need to adapt to the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023. As of Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen 2.1% in Septembe
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Aristotle Pacific's Jeff Klingelhofer sees mispricing in fixed income, positions funds long duration on Fed Chair Warsh's inflation stance
Aristotle Pacific, which manages approximately $16 billion in assets, employs a relative value bond strategy across fixed income sectors. Portfolio Manager Jeff Klingelhofer believes the market is und
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OPEC+ has paused its production increase, but its control over oil prices is weakening due to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and member withdrawals. Diesel prices have hit a new all-time high.
OPEC+ held a virtual meeting on Sunday, September 6, deciding to keep oil production targets for October at the same level as September, ending six consecutive months of increases. However, analysis i
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CNBC Analyst Santoli: A Key Tech ETF May Signal Whether This Bull Market Can Continue
CNBC analyst Mike Santoli noted that the S&P 500 index remains on an upward path, institutional investors are fully invested, but market expectations for a rate hike at the Federal Reserve's next meet
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Bitcoin fell 1.6% to $78,370 on Tuesday, and Ethereum dropped 1% to $2,473, as the ongoing conflict between the US and Iran and escalating inflation concerns weighed on markets.
Bitcoin opened at $79,093.85 on Tuesday morning, September 8, US Eastern Time, down 1.6% from Monday's opening price, and fell to $78,370.62 by 7:20 AM. Ethereum opened at $2,489.84, down 1% from Mond
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BMO's Davis Says CPI Can Give Fed 'Easy Out' on a Rate Hike
Earl Davis, head of fixed income and money markets at BMO Global Asset Management, is looking ahead to Friday's US CPI data and explains he is watching mortgage convexity sellers.
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The US 10-year government bond yield rose to 4.802%, the DXY (US Dollar Index) fell 0.2% to 98.989, and the Japanese Yen strengthened against the US Dollar to a six-month high of 152.89.
The US 10-year government bond yield rose to 4.802%, the DXY (US Dollar Index) fell 0.2% to 98.989, and the Japanese Yen strengthened against the US Dollar to a six-month high of 152.89. The rise in U
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U.Today Analysis: Bollinger Bands and Supply Alert – XRP's Rise to $2 May Take Two Years
U.Today analysis suggests that it could take two years for XRP to return to a price of $2, primarily because the Bollinger Bands indicate it has entered an extreme compression phase. Currently priced
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Chipmakers post longest weekly drop since November
A gauge of chipmakers edged up but posted its longest weekly drop since November, as a resurgence in oil prices dragged down stocks and bonds, stoking inflation concerns just days ahead of the Federal
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U.S. October Flash PMI Signals Strong Growth Amid Accelerating Inflation
The S&P Global Flash U.S. PMI for October indicates robust economic expansion, with the Composite PMI at 57.6 and the Services PMI at 57.9. The Manufacturing PMI reached 56.0, marking a 53-month high.
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Parker Lewis Predicts Bitcoin Will Settle All Global Payments as $107 Trillion Debt Intensifies Credit System Strain
Bitcoin Magazine reported that author Parker Lewis believes that as $107 trillion in debt strains the credit system, merchants will shift to zero-fee payments, and ultimately Bitcoin will settle 100%
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Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing reasons such as depleted ETF funds, increased correlation with the stock market, Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and macroeconomic headwinds.
Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing reasons such as depleted ETF funds, increased correlation with the stock market, Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, an
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American Express was fined $350 million by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve for deficiencies in its anti-money laundering system.
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Reserve took enforcement action against American Express earlier this month, alleging deficiencies in its anti-money laundering syst
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Bitcoin consolidates above $81,000, AI-related tech stock sell-off slows, Brent crude hits highest since early May.
Bitcoin traded in a range of less than $1,000 early Friday, near $81,500, after falling to $81,000 on Thursday, ending a volatile week that saw swings of $3,000. Nasdaq 100 futures were little changed
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Bitcoin stabilizes near $81,700, altcoins rebound, PEPE up 13%
Bitcoin has risen 0.5% since UTC midnight, trading at around $81,700, but its gains lag behind altcoins. Ethereum is up 0.9%, the CoinDesk 80 Index is up 0.7%, while the Memecoin Index has gained 2.9%
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Analyst: Bitcoin Market in "Wait-and-See Mode," Potentially Signaling Bull Run Nearing
Decrypt reports that the crypto market has been largely calm recently, with Bitcoin's volatility not exceeding 6% over the past month, currently priced at approximately $81,735, down 1.2% on the day.
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Nomura: AI growth panic replaces inflation narrative, U.S. Treasuries regain hedging function; Thursday's 10-year U.S. Treasury yield plunged over 15 basis points, Nasdaq Composite plummeted 2.6%.
Nomura cross-asset strategist Charlie McElligott noted in his latest report that market drivers have shifted from the inflation narrative to a systemic re-evaluation of AI-driven growth prospects. Thi
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell below 5% to a nearly one-month low, with Goldman Sachs analysts characterizing the ebbing AI capital expenditure as "alternative quantitative easing" for the bond market.
On Thursday, U.S. Treasury yields across the board fell sharply, driven by market doubts about the sustainability of AI capital expenditures following earnings reports from several tech giants. The da
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US Fed Balance Sheet as of October 22, 2026: $6.75 trillion, prior $6.76 trillion.
US Fed Balance Sheet as of October 22, 2026: $6.75 trillion, prior $6.76 trillion.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 16, prior 20
US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 16, prior 20
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US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11, prior 14
US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11, prior 14
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Gold falls 1.3% to $4,083 as rising oil prices complicate Fed rate outlook
Gold slipped 1.3% to $4,083, pressured by concerns that higher oil prices could fuel inflation and delay Federal Reserve rate cuts. Capital.com's Monte Safieddine warns that gold faces a "difficult co
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Bitcoin holds key $80,000 support, but ETF inflows slow, with Friday's inflation data posing a test.
Bitcoin is currently holding in the $80,000 region, which Glassnode estimates to be the average acquisition cost for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and publicly listed corporate treasuries, CryptoSlate report
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Bitcoin reclaims $84,500 as crypto market rebounds from October dip.
Bitcoin traded near $84,500 on Wednesday, up 2.5% in 24 hours, as the crypto market rebounded from a mid-October dip below $80,000. Ethereum rose 2.5% to $2,504, Solana gained 2.2% to $108.18, and BNB
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K33 Research noted that Bitcoin's volatility is approaching 2026 lows, and market trading activity is weak, as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve's decision and the US midterm elections.
K33 Research noted that Bitcoin's volatility is approaching 2026 lows, and market trading activity is weak, as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve's decision and the US midterm elections.
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Sells Out 128 Hong Kong Apartments Amid Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), one of Hong Kong's largest developers, sold out the latest batch of 128 apartments at its Sierra Sea project in the New Territories on Wednesday. The apartments were so
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Gold steadies as conflicting Iran signals cloud Fed rate path
Gold held a decline, trading around $4,115 an ounce, as conflicting signals on efforts to end the Iran war clouded the outlook for inflation and the Federal Reserve’s path for interest rates. An unnam
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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