Federal Reserve
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Asian Stocks Slide, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index Down 1.15%, as Brent Crude Tops $100 Amid Middle East War Fears and Ahead of US Inflation Data
Asian stocks retreated with Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index opening down 289 points, or 1.15%, at 24,985. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.31%, Japan's Nikkei 225 opened 0.57% lo
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UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti warned investors against complacency, citing increasing geopolitical and economic risks, and predicted that major central banks would raise interest rates in the coming months.
UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti stated on Thursday that financial markets have become complacent over the past few years despite increasing geopolitical and economic risks. He pointed out that new problems are
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UBS: Gold price has fully priced in Federal Reserve policy; a September rate hike would lead to a small dip, while no hike would trigger a significant rally.
UBS noted in its "Global Precious Metals Comment" published on September 9 that the gold market's sensitivity to the Federal Reserve's next moves has significantly decreased, with tightening expectati
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Gold prices held steady near $4,400 as traders weighed the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
Gold prices stabilized around $4,400 per ounce, with traders awaiting US inflation data later this week to gauge whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates. This follows a 1% rise in gold d
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U.S. small-cap stocks have fallen below a key level, raising investor concerns that rising bond yields could signal broader equity market pressure.
U.S. small-cap stocks, which are more sensitive to interest rate changes, have fallen below key chart levels as bond market rates climb ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. Their performance
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Amazon and Oracle's free cash flow turned negative due to surging AI capital expenditures, causing "extreme anxiety" ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting.
Amazon and Oracle are experiencing negative free cash flow due to surging AI data center capital expenditures, leading to "extreme anxiety" ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. Oracle plans
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Jim Cramer says safe bond funds lost money over the past five years, being too cautious was reckless.
Jim Cramer, host of CNBC's "Mad Money," stated that an ultra-conservative bond allocation strategy has penalized patient savers over the past five years. He pointed out that the iShares Core U.S. Aggr
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Jim Cramer warns interest rates are unlikely to drop, citing "unholy developments" including the U.S. war with Iran
CNBC's Mad Money host Jim Cramer believes interest rates will not fall soon, attributing this to the U.S. war with Iran and the stance of newly installed Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh. Cramer n
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Citizens Financial Group CEO: US Consumers Cautious But Still Spending, Expects Federal Reserve Not to Raise Rates in Short Term
Bruce Van Saun, CEO of Citizens Financial Group, stated in a Bloomberg interview that the U.S. economy is performing strongly, with consumers continuing to spend despite being cautious, and having fou
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Northwestern Mutual's Matt Stucky says hotter-than-expected inflation could increase the chances of a Fed rate hike this month
Stucky notes that markets currently see roughly a 50-50 chance of a hike. Friday’s core CPI is expected to rise 0.2% month-over-month, and a stronger reading, combined with the resilient U.S. labor ma
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Analysts believe Bitcoin price could fall 1%-5% if Fed raises rates by 25 bps on Sept. 16, with deeper declines possible depending on forward guidance.
Analysts believe Bitcoin price could fall 1%-5% if Fed raises rates by 25 bps on Sept. 16, with deeper declines possible depending on forward guidance.
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Wall Street strategists raise S&P 500 targets past 8,000, with Ed Yardeni setting 8,400, but warn of growing pullback risks
Wall Street strategists are raising their S&P 500 price targets above 8,000, with RBC Capital Markets maintaining its 12-month target at 8,150, and prominent strategist Ed Yardeni raising his year-end
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Bitcoin and Ethereum opened lower on Wednesday, as escalating tensions in the Middle East and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike weighed on the crypto market.
At 9:00 AM ET on Wednesday, September 9, Bitcoin opened at $78,446.18, down 0.8% from Tuesday's opening price; Ethereum opened at $2,484.93, down 0.2% from Tuesday's opening price. As of 7:11 AM ET, B
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Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF (VTWO) Outperforms S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 YTD, Faces Reckoning Next Week as Fed Considers Rate Hike
The Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF (VTWO), mimicking the Russell 2000 index, has gained 20.2% year-to-date in 2026 (as of Sept. 4), surpassing the S&P 500's 12.7% and Nasdaq-100's 17% returns. However, it
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Gold prices have returned above $4,400, with spot up 1.1% to $4,402.41/oz, due to a weaker dollar and the situation in the Middle East.
Gold prices rose on Wednesday, with spot gold up 1.1% to $4,402.41 per ounce and futures up 0.2% to $4,445.85 per ounce, climbing back above $4,400 after three consecutive trading days of declines. A
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China Asset Management Says Chinese Stocks Face US Fed, Oil Pressures, Likely to Trade Sideways Through September
China Asset Management Says Chinese Stocks Face US Fed, Oil Pressures, Likely to Trade Sideways Through September
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British Pound Faces Deeper Weakness as BOE Turns Dovish and Crucial Budget Looms
The Bank of England (BOE) is seen as increasingly dovish, with low market expectations for a rate hike at its September meeting, contrasting with anticipated hikes from the ECB and Fed. Rabobank strat
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The Financial Times commented that Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh could be competent, but needs to clarify policy goals and act wisely.
A commentary in the Financial Times suggests that Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh could be an excellent chairman, but he must clarify policy objectives and be prudent in how the central bank operates.
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MarketWatch Analysis: US Stocks Fall Post-Labor Day, Dow Drops 1% on Tuesday, Marking Largest Daily Decline in Over Two Weeks
The media noted that the stock market might soon need to adapt to the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023. As of Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen 2.1% in Septembe
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Aristotle Pacific's Jeff Klingelhofer sees mispricing in fixed income, positions funds long duration on Fed Chair Warsh's inflation stance
Aristotle Pacific, which manages approximately $16 billion in assets, employs a relative value bond strategy across fixed income sectors. Portfolio Manager Jeff Klingelhofer believes the market is und
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OPEC+ has paused its production increase, but its control over oil prices is weakening due to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and member withdrawals. Diesel prices have hit a new all-time high.
OPEC+ held a virtual meeting on Sunday, September 6, deciding to keep oil production targets for October at the same level as September, ending six consecutive months of increases. However, analysis i
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CNBC Analyst Santoli: A Key Tech ETF May Signal Whether This Bull Market Can Continue
CNBC analyst Mike Santoli noted that the S&P 500 index remains on an upward path, institutional investors are fully invested, but market expectations for a rate hike at the Federal Reserve's next meet
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Bitcoin fell 1.6% to $78,370 on Tuesday, and Ethereum dropped 1% to $2,473, as the ongoing conflict between the US and Iran and escalating inflation concerns weighed on markets.
Bitcoin opened at $79,093.85 on Tuesday morning, September 8, US Eastern Time, down 1.6% from Monday's opening price, and fell to $78,370.62 by 7:20 AM. Ethereum opened at $2,489.84, down 1% from Mond
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BMO's Davis Says CPI Can Give Fed 'Easy Out' on a Rate Hike
Earl Davis, head of fixed income and money markets at BMO Global Asset Management, is looking ahead to Friday's US CPI data and explains he is watching mortgage convexity sellers.
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve has taken enforcement actions against three former bank employees for misappropriation of customer funds, misuse of funds, and check fraud.
The Federal Reserve Board announced at 11:00 AM ET on Friday that it has taken enforcement actions against Charles Alan Wright, a former employee of Northstar Bank (alleged misappropriation of custome
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Federal Reserve's Bowman: Third-party reports challenge claims that social media amplified Silicon Valley Bank's run, defending the 2018 regulatory law, contrary to previous Fed reports.
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michelle Bowman detailed the preliminary findings of a third-party review into the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. She stated that the report challenges the narrative that
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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