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Federal Reserve
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's speech was overinterpreted by the market; Friday's inflation report becomes key for rate hikes.
Markets have overreacted to Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, with investors perceiving a higher likelihood of interest rate hikes and beginning to price in increases that Warsh ne
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Fed September 25-bp Hike Odds Surge to 64% After ECB's 25-bp Rate Increase
Fed September 25-bp Hike Odds Surge to 64% After ECB's 25-bp Rate Increase
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Bank of America analysts say a "credibility shock" hit Wall Street after Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's latest interest rate decision.
Bank of America's economics team noted that the market's muted reaction to Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's July 29 press conference led to a "central bank inflation credibility shock." Warsh re
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Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Hatzius warns: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's policy strategy could lead to "unhelpful volatility" in the markets.
Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius stated that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's more opaque approach to policy guidance could be counterproductive. Hatzius believes that while forward gui
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US August PPI accelerated to 5.4% YoY, exceeding expectations, with core PPI at 4.6% YoY, leading to a sharp increase in Federal Reserve rate hike expectations.
Data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday showed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August rose by 5.4% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations of 5.3% and significantly
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Key Gauge of US Producer Prices Rises Less Than Forecast
A key measure of US producer prices in August was lower than forecast, offering limited guidance as Federal Reserve officials debate whether to raise interest rates next week.
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U.S. August wholesale costs rose 0.4% month-over-month, as the Iran conflict and rising oil prices pushed inflation higher again.
U.S. government data released on Thursday showed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.4% month-over-month in August, primarily driven by an increase in gasoline prices. This follows two months o
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UBS's Reiman Expects Two Fed Rate Hikes This Year, Says US Economy Can Withstand Them
Kurt Reiman, head of fixed income at UBS Global Wealth Management, expects two interest-rate hikes from the Federal Reserve this year, stating that the US economy can withstand them. He attributes ris
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Bitcoin traders reduced bullish bets ahead of US inflation data, with Bitcoin pulling back from $80,000 to $78,000.
AI trading terminal OrderX data shows that as Bitcoin retreated from $80,000 to approximately $78,000, bullish option skew continued to soften, and traders are reducing their long exposure. The US is
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US CPI Report to Guide Fed Decision on Rates; Officials Prepared to Raise Rates if Inflation Doesn't Improve Soon
Federal Reserve officials have signaled they are prepared to raise interest rates if inflation does not improve soon, though they acknowledge their main policy tool may do little to restrain some of t
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U.S. government bond yields broadly rose on Thursday, with the 10-year yield hitting a new high of 4.8589% since November 2023, as investors awaited wholesale inflation data.
U.S. government bond yields generally rose on Thursday, with the 10-year Treasury yield climbing over 2 basis points to 4.8589%, reaching its highest level since November 2023. The 2-year yield rose 1
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Analysts point out that Hong Kong investors are concerned about high market volatility due to geopolitical tensions, weak earnings growth, setbacks in AI trading, and the potential for tighter US policies.
The South China Morning Post's analysis indicates that while state-backed "national team" buying provides a floor for mainland Chinese equities, Hong Kong investors are concerned about navigating high
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Asian Stocks Slide, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index Down 1.15%, as Brent Crude Tops $100 Amid Middle East War Fears and Ahead of US Inflation Data
Asian stocks retreated with Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index opening down 289 points, or 1.15%, at 24,985. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.31%, Japan's Nikkei 225 opened 0.57% lo
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UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti warned investors against complacency, citing increasing geopolitical and economic risks, and predicted that major central banks would raise interest rates in the coming months.
UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti stated on Thursday that financial markets have become complacent over the past few years despite increasing geopolitical and economic risks. He pointed out that new problems are
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UBS: Gold price has fully priced in Federal Reserve policy; a September rate hike would lead to a small dip, while no hike would trigger a significant rally.
UBS noted in its "Global Precious Metals Comment" published on September 9 that the gold market's sensitivity to the Federal Reserve's next moves has significantly decreased, with tightening expectati
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Gold prices held steady near $4,400 as traders weighed the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
Gold prices stabilized around $4,400 per ounce, with traders awaiting US inflation data later this week to gauge whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates. This follows a 1% rise in gold d
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U.S. small-cap stocks have fallen below a key level, raising investor concerns that rising bond yields could signal broader equity market pressure.
U.S. small-cap stocks, which are more sensitive to interest rate changes, have fallen below key chart levels as bond market rates climb ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. Their performance
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Amazon and Oracle's free cash flow turned negative due to surging AI capital expenditures, causing "extreme anxiety" ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting.
Amazon and Oracle are experiencing negative free cash flow due to surging AI data center capital expenditures, leading to "extreme anxiety" ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. Oracle plans
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Jim Cramer says safe bond funds lost money over the past five years, being too cautious was reckless.
Jim Cramer, host of CNBC's "Mad Money," stated that an ultra-conservative bond allocation strategy has penalized patient savers over the past five years. He pointed out that the iShares Core U.S. Aggr
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Jim Cramer warns interest rates are unlikely to drop, citing "unholy developments" including the U.S. war with Iran
CNBC's Mad Money host Jim Cramer believes interest rates will not fall soon, attributing this to the U.S. war with Iran and the stance of newly installed Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh. Cramer n
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Citizens Financial Group CEO: US Consumers Cautious But Still Spending, Expects Federal Reserve Not to Raise Rates in Short Term
Bruce Van Saun, CEO of Citizens Financial Group, stated in a Bloomberg interview that the U.S. economy is performing strongly, with consumers continuing to spend despite being cautious, and having fou
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Northwestern Mutual's Matt Stucky says hotter-than-expected inflation could increase the chances of a Fed rate hike this month
Stucky notes that markets currently see roughly a 50-50 chance of a hike. Friday’s core CPI is expected to rise 0.2% month-over-month, and a stronger reading, combined with the resilient U.S. labor ma
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Analysts believe Bitcoin price could fall 1%-5% if Fed raises rates by 25 bps on Sept. 16, with deeper declines possible depending on forward guidance.
Analysts believe Bitcoin price could fall 1%-5% if Fed raises rates by 25 bps on Sept. 16, with deeper declines possible depending on forward guidance.
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Wall Street strategists raise S&P 500 targets past 8,000, with Ed Yardeni setting 8,400, but warn of growing pullback risks
Wall Street strategists are raising their S&P 500 price targets above 8,000, with RBC Capital Markets maintaining its 12-month target at 8,150, and prominent strategist Ed Yardeni raising his year-end
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
The Nikkei 225 Index fell 5.76% from its previous close, currently trading at 57,557.09.
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ZEC (Zcash) is up 6.26% over the past 4 hours, currently trading at $1,330.13.
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AUD/USD fell 0.89% from its previous close, currently trading at 0.6946.
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Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index fell 6.11% from its previous close, currently trading at 39,032.95.
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The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.06% from its previous close, currently trading at 3,650.85.
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Brent crude was up 3.52% from its previous close, currently trading at $98.354.
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South Korea's KOSPI index fell 5.48% from its previous close, currently standing at 5,088.79.
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Trump's policies and institutional participation drove Ethereum's sharp rally in August 2026, with its market cap reaching approximately $294.8 billion in November
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9
What is MTH (Monetha)? Project Positioning and Token Supply Analysis
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An Analysis of the Current Status and Future Development Prospects of Curve (CRV)
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