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Federal Reserve
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Goldman Sachs joins Wall Street consensus, expects the Federal Reserve to hike rates by 25 basis points at its September 16 meeting.
Goldman Sachs' Chief US Economist, David Mericle, stated in a September 11 research report that the firm has incorporated a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September into its baseli
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Nick Timiraos updates Fed hike forecasts: HSBC changes its call, and JPM now expects two hikes in its revised forecast.
Nick Timiraos updates Fed hike forecasts: HSBC changes its call, and JPM now expects two hikes in its revised forecast.
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US stocks rebound on Friday, S&P 500 up 0.9% and Nasdaq 1%, as Brent crude falls 2.8% to $104.61
US stocks rebounded on Friday, regaining much of their weekly losses, as Brent crude oil prices eased 2.8% to settle at US$104.61 per barrel after nearing US$110 overnight. The S&P 500 climbed 0.9%, s
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Nick Timiraos quotes Goldman Sachs: The firm is reluctant to change its call, seeing no strong economic case for a rate hike and a less clear-cut Fed decision than market pricing implies.
Goldman Sachs believes some FOMC participants may agree there is no strong economic case for raising the funds rate. However, most FOMC participants are likely concerned about the potential market rea
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The Federal Reserve is poised to raise interest rates for the first time in years
The Federal Reserve is poised to raise interest rates for the first time in years
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Former New York Fed President Dudley: He would be shocked if the Federal Reserve did not raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its next meeting.
Former New York Fed President Dudley: He would be shocked if the Federal Reserve did not raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its next meeting.
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Following the higher-than-expected US August core CPI, investment banks including TD Securities, JPMorgan Chase, MUFG, and Citi have adjusted their Federal Reserve interest rate hike predictions, with most institutions now expecting a 25 basis point hike in September.
Following a 0.3% month-over-month increase in the US core CPI for August (above the 0.2% expectation), Wall Street investment banks swiftly revised their forecasts for the Federal Reserve's interest r
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Fed insider Nick Timiraos relayed the view that while US inflation has not significantly worsened, it has not improved either. If it does not move towards the target, the duration of its deviation from the target will become important.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos posted on X, relaying market sentiment that while U.S. inflation rose earlier this year and has not significantly worsened, it has also not improved. He noted tha
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Bitcoin and Ethereum rose after the release of US August CPI data, with analysts believing the data will have little impact on the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook.
According to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year in August, with energy prices being the primary driver.
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US September consumer confidence index falls to a new low of 47.8 in recent years, inflation expectations rise to 4.6%, with soaring gasoline prices and US-Iran conflict weighing.
Preliminary survey results released by the University of Michigan on Friday showed that the US consumer sentiment index for September fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, lower than all economists' forec
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Analysis: BOJ's hawkish remarks lead to rapid market repricing of rate hike expectations, JPY strengthens significantly
Financial markets have rapidly repriced the likelihood of a Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hike next week, following hawkish comments from several BOJ policymakers over the past week, leading to a significa
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Odds of Fed Rate Hike for Sept. 16 FOMC Meeting Surge to Over 85%
CME FedWatch data shows the probability of a quarter-point rate hike at the Federal Open Market Committee's Sept. 16 meeting has risen to 85.6%. This marks a significant shift from Aug. 11, when the o
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U.S. and UK financial regulators conducted a central counterparty (CCP) resolution tabletop exercise on September 3.
Senior officials from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the Board of Governors of th
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Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) Stock Trades Around Buy Point, Attracting Funds
Gold miner Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) is seeing its stock trade around a buy point, attracting funds ahead of the Federal Reserve's September rate-setting meeting. The company is listed among Inves
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US September consumer confidence index fell to 47.8, the second-lowest level in history, and inflation expectations rose to 4.6%.
U.S. consumer sentiment fell to 47.8 in September, down 7.5% from August and 13.2% from a year ago, marking the second-lowest level since records began in 1952, according to the University of Michigan
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US stocks rose on Friday, ending a four-day losing streak, led by tech shares. Oil prices fell, offsetting the impact of persistent inflation, as expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week increased.
U.S. stocks rebounded on Friday, snapping a four-day losing streak. Technology stocks rose over 1%, with Oracle jumping 2% on strong AI cloud infrastructure revenue. NVIDIA and the "Magnificent Seven"
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The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), the Federal Reserve, and other agencies are seeking comments on proposed guidance for managing third-party risks and have issued a statement on community banks' engagement with core service providers.
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the National Credit Union Administration, and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (collective
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White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett: Inflation has "significantly decelerated," adding that Donald Trump may comment on the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes.
White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that inflation has "decelerated significantly" over the past three months and emphasized that the Federal Reserve's independence should be respected.
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S&P 500 remains 5.4% away from 8,000 milestone, CFRA targets 8,050 by year-end but warns of 5%-10% correction
The S&P 500's rally is being stalled by rising bond yields, sticky inflation, and a hawkish Fed outlook. Despite these macro risks, Wall Street remains relatively calm, with the VIX below 20 and corpo
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Analysis: Fed Chair Warsh's Credibility on the Line Ahead of Next Week's Rate Decision Following August CPI Data Release
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a severe test for next week's interest rate decision after the August CPI data release. The latest data shows that the US August core CPI rose by 0.3% month-on-mon
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Dollar Wavers as Inflation Aids Fed Hike Bets While Oil Falls
The dollar oscillated Friday after a key gauge of US consumer prices rose by more than expected pushing traders to add to bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week.
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US August core CPI boosted by record 5.9% surge in wireless phone service prices, adding 0.08 percentage points; housing inflation softer but Fed pressure remains
US August core CPI boosted by record 5.9% surge in wireless phone service prices, adding 0.08 percentage points; housing inflation softer but Fed pressure remains
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U.S. inflation accelerated in August, with the overall CPI rising 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, strengthening the case for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week.
U.S. inflation accelerated in August, strengthening the case for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week. Data showed that the overall CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year in August; c
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Traders now anticipate a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week, up from 70% before the inflation report was released.
Traders now anticipate a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week, up from 70% before the inflation report was released.
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Fed's Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Likely Needed to Cool Prices, Policy May Still Be Stimulative
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem said additional interest rate increases may be needed to achieve the central bank’s inflation goal, adding that monetary policy may still be
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The Federal Reserve's preliminary SVB report has not been publicly released, requiring journalists to register for access; the current head of the Fed's supervision department previously served as an executive at the law firm reviewing the report, raising conflict of interest concerns.
Journalist Nick Timiraos tweeted that the Federal Reserve's preliminary report on Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has not yet been made public through official Fed channels, and he had to register for a non
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Deutsche Bank macro strategists warn: Markets may again be underestimating the terminal interest rate after synchronized rate hikes by the world's three major central banks.
Deutsche Bank macro strategist Henry Allen warned on Monday that despite the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan all raising interest rates in the past two weeks, the mar
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Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee: Higher interest rates will have to slow the economy to combat supply shocks, which will be "painful."
Austan Goolsbee stated that central banks have reached their limit in waiting for supply shocks, meaning higher interest rates will have to slow down sectors of the economy that may not be pushing up
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Bitcoin hit an eight-month high of $86,332 on Monday, with short liquidations exceeding $740 million, driven by falling oil prices and a retreat in US Treasury yields.
Bitcoin reached a high of $86,332 on Monday, marking an eight-month high and its first since January this year. Over the past 24 hours, total crypto market liquidations amounted to $877.31 million, wi
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Bitcoin price surges nearly 7% to break $86,000, shrugging off last week's setback for the Crypto-Asset Clarity Act.
Bitcoin's price briefly touched $86,247 in early New York trading on Monday, rising nearly 7% in the past 24 hours, despite the highly anticipated Crypto-Asset Clarity Act failing to pass through the
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Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
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U.S. fuel prices are surging, with diesel nearing $6.50/gallon and gasoline rising to $4.48/gallon, which could push inflation expectations higher and reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance.
U.S. diesel prices have surged to nearly $6.50/gallon, up approximately 18% from the August average, while gasoline prices have climbed to $4.48/gallon. Consumer surveys have not yet fully reflected t
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses confidence in Fed Chair Warsh regarding Fed rate hikes
US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses confidence in Fed Chair Warsh regarding Fed rate hikes
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Fed's Goolsbee warns: Returning to 2% inflation target "will not be without pain," employment and wages may pay the price.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee stated on Monday that supply shocks have become more frequent and persistent in recent years, and the Federal Reserve can no longer simply "look through" them as
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Fed's Goolsbee: Rate cuts would be "no problem" if inflation clearly returns to 2%.
The Federal Reserve's Austan Goolsbee stated he would have "no problem" with cutting interest rates if inflation clearly returns to the 2% target. He believes the Fed is currently facing an inflation
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Bitcoin breaks $80,000 as $148 billion US liquidity shock fails to crack market
According to Federal Reserve data, the U.S. Treasury General Account increased by $148.003 billion before September 16, causing commercial bank deposits at the Federal Reserve to decrease by $114.971
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Bitcoin surges above $83,500, Monero (XMR) up 13%, as falling oil prices lift risk assets; Trump-Xi summit eyed
Bitcoin traded just under $84,000 on Monday, extending gains from late last week, with Monero's XMR leading larger tokens with a 13% rise. Broader risk assets also climbed, including S&P 500 and Nasda
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US Treasury yields ease on Monday, with 10-year note falling 3 bps to 4.967%
US Treasury yields were lower on Monday, tracking a global easing of government borrowing costs amid falling oil prices. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield fell by around 3 basis points to 4.96
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Citi Raises 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Forecast to 5.0% by Year-End
Citi's strategist Jason Williams explained that the world is now fundamentally different compared to the July FOMC, leading to the revised outlook. The bank assumes Fed rate hike pricing will remain u
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Bloomberg Markets Analysis: The market can handle the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, but not uncertainty.
Bloomberg Markets analysis indicates that the Federal Reserve's increasing clarity in its commitment to combating inflation provides a bullish case for investors, but risks related to oil prices and a
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Fed and BoE step up scrutiny of banks' exposure to trading firms after Jane Street loss
The US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are intensifying their questioning of prime brokers regarding banks' exposure to trading firms, following a loss at Jane Street and the blow-up of AI-foc
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Morgan Stanley: The core of Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's policy lies in the balance sheet; the market may be overestimating the extent of interest rate hikes.
Morgan Stanley stated in its latest research report that the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike last week was not the start of a new tightening cycle, but rather a "policy fine-tuning" to main
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Asian stock markets generally rose on Monday, with the Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong once gaining 140 points during intraday trading; oil prices pulled back, with Brent crude falling 2.1% to $101.63.
Asian equities mostly rose on Monday, with chipmakers boosted by AI data demand, while better-than-expected crude oil supply from the Middle East eased market concerns about oil prices. Hong Kong's Ha
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Deutsche Bank: Gold Price Rally Driven by Reserve Management Institutions, Strait of Hormuz Conflict and Oil Price Decline Outweigh Federal Reserve Rate Hikes
Deutsche Bank's latest metal flow report indicates an anomalous rise in gold prices following the Federal Reserve's rate hike, despite no significant increase in volume from conventional buyers (comme
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Wall Street's three major banks predict the U.S. Treasury will issue approximately $1 trillion in short-term Treasury bills over the next year, posing a dilemma for Scott Bessent's policy.
Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and Goldman Sachs latest forecasts indicate that the U.S. Treasury will net borrow approximately $1 trillion through the issuance of short-term Treasury bills in the c
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Gold holds steady as traders weigh inflation and Federal Reserve rate hike prospects.
Gold prices held steady as traders weighed the risks of persistent inflation against the Federal Reserve's path for interest rate hikes. This follows the Fed's first rate hike since 2023, with a unani
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US Treasury investors are shifting to short-term bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will succeed in curbing inflation.
U.S. government bond investors are shifting their focus to holding short-term government bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will ultimately succeed in curbing inflation. This comes after the two-
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Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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JPMorgan CEO Dimon to Visit India This Week, Ramping Up Push for Deal Boom
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XRP is testing the $1.50 resistance level, a key threshold that has capped its advances for roughly 230 days, with a break potentially leading to $1.80+
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Seoul stocks rise 1.65% on chip gains despite Middle East tensions
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Novo Nordisk, the Danish pharmaceutical giant, saw its shares fall by 7% despite setting a $23 billion sales target for its weight-loss drug.
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Binance Stock Trading Platform Adds 25 New Stocks
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Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says US Stocks Risk 7% Drop in Near Term
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A Hong Kong hotel has been put up for sale by Nanyang Commercial Bank for HK$1.87 billion after being taken over, reflecting a trend of converting hotels into student dormitories.
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US equity futures rise, led by AI stocks; oil prices fall over 2% to around $101; US Treasury yields decline; US and Chinese officials discuss AI national security "notification mechanism."
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Commodities trader Trafigura plans to float its supertanker arm Volare Shipping in Oslo, marking the business's first IPO
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BofA Estimates: AI Infrastructure May Require $1.2 Trillion in External Financing Over Next 5 Years, With Over $300 Billion in Annual Incremental Debt Supply
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