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Federal Reserve
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Bernstein expects the CLEAR Act to progress beyond market expectations, stating that "any positive surprises are not yet reflected in stock prices."
Bernstein analysts believe the cryptocurrency market is currently showing a bearish trend ahead of Tuesday's cloture vote on the Clarity Act and Wednesday's Federal Reserve decision.
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This week, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan will announce their interest rate decisions. Fed Chair Warsh will hold a press conference.
This week is packed with macroeconomic events, with the Federal Reserve set to announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday. Fed Chair Warsh will hold a press conference and update the Summary of
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US markets focus on oil, geopolitics, Treasury yields, and Fed positioning amid light data calendar
With a light US economic data calendar, market attention shifts to oil prices, Middle East geopolitics, Treasury yields, and the Federal Reserve's stance. Key events include Canada's CPI release at 8:
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Wall Street Strategists See Stock Rally Surviving Fed Rate Hike
Top Wall Street strategists are renewing bullish equity calls as stronger economic growth enables the market to weather an increase in interest rates.
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Financial Times: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh Faces Pressure to Raise Rates, Potentially Leading to Policy Conflict with President Donald Trump
According to the Financial Times, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is facing market pressure to act on his inflation warnings, with investors broadly expecting the Federal Reserve to raise interest rate
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Copper Slips as Inflation Data Raises Bets on Fed Hiking Rates
Copper Slips as Inflation Data Raises Bets on Fed Hiking Rates
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Asian equities were under pressure on Monday as slowing AI development and soaring oil prices rekindled inflation concerns, with SK Hynix falling over 5% and SoftBank plummeting 11%.
Asian equities broadly opened lower on Monday, impacted by AI giants' calls to slow the pace of frontier model development and renewed inflation concerns fueled by soaring oil prices. South Korea's KO
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Stock futures slide and oil prices rise ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision.
Stock futures slide and oil prices rise ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision.
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Nikkei Asia: BOJ Governor Ueda and Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh will face tough tests this week as markets pressure interest rates.
With renewed inflation concerns and a global bond sell-off, investors are increasing pressure on policymakers to get ahead of inflation and convince markets they can keep pace with evolving expectatio
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MarketWatch Analysis: The 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury yields have risen by approximately 50 and 45 basis points, respectively, since late June, climbing back to their highest levels since 2007. The bond market is pushing for higher rates, even though Federal Reserve rate hikes may not lower gasoline prices.
MarketWatch analysis indicates that long-term U.S. Treasury yields have risen to their highest levels since 2007, increasing borrowing costs for households, businesses, and the U.S. government.
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Fed Whisperer Nick Timiraos Responds to Trump's Views on Fed Independence, Citing Greenspan's Historical Precedent of Rate Hikes Before Elections
Nick Timiraos retweeted a post, responding to Donald Trump's view that the Federal Reserve should remain independent and not raise interest rates before the election. Trump, through Kevin Hassett, sta
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To join America's top 10% of households, a net worth of approximately $2 million is required, according to the Federal Reserve's latest Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF).
The Federal Reserve's Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) indicates that while the median American family has a net worth of $192,900, and the average is $1,063,700, a net worth of roughly $2 million is
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White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that the White House would "100% support" the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision this week, but he and President Donald Trump see no reason for a rate hike.
White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that the White House would "100% support" the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision this week, but he and President Donald Trump see no reason for
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Trump says the U.S. should have the lowest interest rate in the world, when asked about the Fed's decision next week.
Trump says the U.S. should have the lowest interest rate in the world, when asked about the Fed's decision next week.
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Emerging Markets Defy War, $100 Oil, and Rising Yields This Year, With Investors Expecting Rally to Continue Despite Fed Risk
Emerging Markets Defy War, $100 Oil, and Rising Yields This Year, With Investors Expecting Rally to Continue Despite Fed Risk
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Prices of nearly all dinner table items are climbing simultaneously, drawing Wall Street's attention
Rising crop prices are exacerbating the current inflation problem, extending beyond just oil and the Iran war. For investors, this signals a return to the real-asset trade, while for U.S. consumers an
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Economist says Fed rate hike is about Wall Street, not inflation
An economist argues that the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate hike next week is primarily driven by Wall Street concerns rather than inflation. This comes as Goldman Sachs late Friday became the las
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Citi Research Report: Current macro environment shows increased similarity to the 1988-1989 Federal Reserve tightening cycle; models increase exposure to risk assets and favor the US dollar.
Citigroup Research analysts Alex Saunders and Vinh Vo noted in their quantitative macro strategy report published on September 11 that although their macro model remains broadly in the "normal" range,
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The US 10-year government bond yield rose to 4.97%, a new high for 2023 and approaching 5%, exacerbating commercial real estate financing risks.
The U.S. 10-year government bond yield closed at 4.97% last weekend, rising 19 basis points during the week to reach its highest level since 2023, nearing the high seen in 2007. This trend has once ag
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Bitcoin fell to $77,300 on September 12, as hot August CPI data boosted Federal Reserve rate hike expectations, and spot ETFs saw net outflows for four consecutive days.
Yahoo Finance analysis indicates that Bitcoin fell to $77,300 on September 12, primarily due to three factors: the August core CPI data, released on September 11, exceeded expectations, pushing market
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Top Economist Komal Sri-Kumar Urges Fed to Hike Rates 50 Bps Next Week, Citing Bond Market Nearing 'Danger Zone'
Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, told CNBC on Friday, September 11, that the Federal Reserve should raise its policy rate by 50 basis points at its meeting next week. He note
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PNC Chief Investment Officer: Energy-driven inflation complicates Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, further tightening risks policy error
PNC Chief Investment Officer Amanda Agati stated on Bloomberg Television that energy-driven inflation is pushing market expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes, presenting the Fed with dif
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Bloomberg Economics Chief Economist Tom Orlik stated that high interest rates may become the new normal, and Kevin Warsh faces a critical test at next week's Federal Reserve meeting.
Tom Orlik, Chief Economist at Bloomberg Economics, stated that high interest rates could become the new normal, leading to rising debt costs for governments, businesses, and households that have accum
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ClearBridge Investments analyst Jeff Schulze stated that despite rising U.S. government bond yields, U.S. equities remain strong due to robust corporate earnings and the fact that the increase in yields reflects economic growth rather than surging inflation. On Friday, the 10-year U.S. government bond yield was reported at 4.93%.
Jeff Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, noted that the S&P 500 is only about 2% away from its all-time high, primarily due to a strong corporate earnings environ
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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How to buy and sell HERO? First distinguish the project, then check the listing channels
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