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Federal Reserve
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Short positions in the U.S. Treasury market have reached levels rarely seen in recent years, with traders betting on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points tonight.
The U.S. 10-year government bond yield rose to its highest level since 2007 on Tuesday, while the 2-year yield also hit its 2024 peak. Market pricing indicates that Wall Street's expectation for a 25
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Asian stocks are poised for a modest rise on Wednesday as traders await the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
Asian equities are poised for a modest rise on Wednesday, as surging oil prices and climbing bond yields keep traders on edge, with markets awaiting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
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MarketWatch: Federal Reserve rate hike could be a ‘rare win’ for retirement money, but beware rising credit-card rates
Retirees may benefit from this week’s expected interest-rate hike by earning more on cash kept in CDs, high-yield savings accounts or money-market funds. However, these gains may be offset by higher i
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"Extreme" bearish positions in the U.S. Treasury market bet on Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Bond traders have built up significant bearish positions ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting, betting that the sell-off in U.S. Treasuries will continue, pushing yields to their highest level
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Bitcoin and crypto stocks fall ahead of CLARITY Act Senate vote and Fed rate decision
Bitcoin is trading around $76,431, down 2.19% over 24 hours, while Ether fell 1.8% and Solana dropped 1.02%. Crypto-linked stocks also saw declines, with Coinbase down 6.11%, Robinhood 3.83%, Circle 8
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MarketWatch analysis: The Fed faces a decision on whether the two-decade era of low interest rates is over
Global bond yields are touching multiyear highs, and as the Federal Reserve meets this week to set interest-rate policy, officials will have to discuss whether this is a repricing back to pre-2007/08
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Analyst: Corporate Earnings Resilience Is the Top Reason to Buy and Hold Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)
The analyst noted that despite persistent inflation, rising Treasury yields, and a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike this week, corporate earnings have shown significant resilience and ar
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MarketWatch Analysis: Gold's movement is starting to be influenced by factors such as the Federal Reserve's credibility, rather than just inflation.
MarketWatch analysis suggests that gold is currently weighing the Federal Reserve's credibility, rather than just traditional price drivers such as inflation and interest rates. The US August Consumer
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Wall Street Banks Overwhelmingly Expect Fed September Hike; Most Forecast 50bps Total Tightening in 2026, While BofA, Deutsche Bank and RBC See 75bps
According to a WSJ survey, nearly every major Wall Street bank now expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates in September. Most forecast 50 basis points of total tightening in 2026, while Bank of Ame
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Wall Street investors are looking to the Federal Reserve's dot plot this week to predict the extent of future increases in borrowing costs.
Wall Street investors are looking to the Federal Reserve's dot plot this week to predict the extent of future increases in borrowing costs.
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Fed Chairman Warsh and Treasury Secretary Bessent Face Credibility Tests as 10-Year Treasury Yield Holds Near 5%
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is tasked with fighting inflation, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent serves as the nation's top bond salesman. With the 10-year Treasury yield holding near 5%
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Carlyle's Thomas: Federal Reserve Faces "Immense Pressure" to Hike Rates by 25 Basis Points, AI Investment Slowdown "More Likely"
Jason Thomas, Head of Global Research and Investment Strategy at Carlyle Group, stated during the Carlyle Global Investor Conference in Washington that the Federal Reserve faces "immense pressure" to
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U.S. gasoline prices rose 16.2 cents weekly to $4.319/gallon, with diesel surging 31.8 cents to $6.285/gallon, adding fresh pressure on consumers and inflation.
The sharp increase in U.S. fuel prices, with regular gasoline now $1.151 higher than a year ago and diesel up $2.546 year-over-year, could reinforce inflation concerns ahead of upcoming Federal Reserv
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CNBC analyst Santoli: AI's "adolescence" is over, market narrative shifts to risk, public is cool on tech, order backlog forecasts are questionable
CNBC analyst Santoli stated that the "adolescence" of artificial intelligence has ended, and the market narrative has shifted to focus on risks. The public holds a cool attitude towards the tech secto
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Bitcoin fell to $76,931 and Ethereum dropped to $2,480, as the market focuses on the Federal Reserve meeting.
At 7:24 AM ET on September 15, Bitcoin's price fell to $76,931.56, and Ethereum dropped to $2,480.37. Cryptocurrency prices declined ahead of the Federal Reserve's two-day interest rate meeting. The C
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Silver prices fell below $64 on Tuesday, now trading at $63.60 per ounce, as the market widely anticipates an interest rate hike ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.
Silver December futures opened at $63.76 per ounce on Tuesday, down 0.6% from Monday's closing price, and further declined to $63.60 during the session. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve t
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Gold prices hit multi-week lows, opening at $4340.30 per ounce on Tuesday ET, as U.S. Treasury yields rose to their highest level since 2007.
Gold futures opened at $4340.30 per ounce on Tuesday, down 0.3% from Monday's close, and further declined to $4315.30 during the session. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to its highest
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CNBC survey: Majority of respondents now forecast the Fed will hike rates at least twice over the next year
The survey indicates a significant shift from last month, when only 46% expected a hike. Approximately three quarters of respondents believe the inflation problem is broader than just energy prices, w
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The U.S. Treasury will auction $13 billion in 20-year bonds today, and the first day of the FOMC meeting will convene.
Today's 20-year Treasury re-opening is the largest market test within the fixed-income segment. Given that long-term yields are already elevated, demand at this auction will significantly impact the m
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The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by another 25 basis points this week, with CoreWeave and IREN facing different interest rate risks.
Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase anticipate a 25 basis point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve this week, with the futures market pricing in a probability of approximately 90%. Analysis indica
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WSJ Market Analysis: Bond Yields Could Come Down as Fast as They’ve Climbed, Driven by Expectations for Fed Actions
The Wall Street Journal's market analysis suggests that the main reason for rising bond yields is the likely increase in short-term interest rates, with expectations for the Federal Reserve's actions
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Standard Chartered Bank's report predicts the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its September FOMC meeting, contrary to the market's 88% expectation of a 25 basis point hike.
Standard Chartered Bank released a report on September 14, explicitly stating its judgment that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, deeming the
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Global bond markets face a "perfect storm": 10-year US Treasury yields break 5% to hit a new high since 2007, Japanese and South Korean stock markets fall collectively, and Brent crude rises nearly 2% again.
On Tuesday, the U.S. 10-year government bond yield rose by as much as 4 basis points to 5.02%, touching this level for the first time since 2007, triggering a global bond market sell-off. Japan's 30-y
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The U.S. 10-year government bond yield rose to 5.025%, a new high since 2007.
The benchmark yield rose over 6 basis points on Tuesday, as the sell-off in U.S. government bonds intensified ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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