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Federal Reserve
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Traders Brace for Fed Hike With Equities Under Pressure
Bond traders have piled into bearish positions ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting. Equities are under pressure as traders await the Fed's rate decision.
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Seoul stocks open almost flat on Thursday as investors await US Fed rate decision and eye rising oil prices
The benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) was up 0.69 point, or 0.01 percent, to 6,627.95 points as of 9:15 a.m. Wall Street stocks closed lower overnight, with the S&P 500 down 0.45 per
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Short positions in the U.S. Treasury market have reached levels rarely seen in recent years, with traders betting on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points tonight.
The U.S. 10-year government bond yield rose to its highest level since 2007 on Tuesday, while the 2-year yield also hit its 2024 peak. Market pricing indicates that Wall Street's expectation for a 25
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Asian stocks are poised for a modest rise on Wednesday as traders await the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
Asian equities are poised for a modest rise on Wednesday, as surging oil prices and climbing bond yields keep traders on edge, with markets awaiting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
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MarketWatch: Federal Reserve rate hike could be a ‘rare win’ for retirement money, but beware rising credit-card rates
Retirees may benefit from this week’s expected interest-rate hike by earning more on cash kept in CDs, high-yield savings accounts or money-market funds. However, these gains may be offset by higher i
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"Extreme" bearish positions in the U.S. Treasury market bet on Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Bond traders have built up significant bearish positions ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting, betting that the sell-off in U.S. Treasuries will continue, pushing yields to their highest level
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Bitcoin and crypto stocks fall ahead of CLARITY Act Senate vote and Fed rate decision
Bitcoin is trading around $76,431, down 2.19% over 24 hours, while Ether fell 1.8% and Solana dropped 1.02%. Crypto-linked stocks also saw declines, with Coinbase down 6.11%, Robinhood 3.83%, Circle 8
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MarketWatch analysis: The Fed faces a decision on whether the two-decade era of low interest rates is over
Global bond yields are touching multiyear highs, and as the Federal Reserve meets this week to set interest-rate policy, officials will have to discuss whether this is a repricing back to pre-2007/08
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Analyst: Corporate Earnings Resilience Is the Top Reason to Buy and Hold Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)
The analyst noted that despite persistent inflation, rising Treasury yields, and a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike this week, corporate earnings have shown significant resilience and ar
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MarketWatch Analysis: Gold's movement is starting to be influenced by factors such as the Federal Reserve's credibility, rather than just inflation.
MarketWatch analysis suggests that gold is currently weighing the Federal Reserve's credibility, rather than just traditional price drivers such as inflation and interest rates. The US August Consumer
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Wall Street Banks Overwhelmingly Expect Fed September Hike; Most Forecast 50bps Total Tightening in 2026, While BofA, Deutsche Bank and RBC See 75bps
According to a WSJ survey, nearly every major Wall Street bank now expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates in September. Most forecast 50 basis points of total tightening in 2026, while Bank of Ame
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Wall Street investors are looking to the Federal Reserve's dot plot this week to predict the extent of future increases in borrowing costs.
Wall Street investors are looking to the Federal Reserve's dot plot this week to predict the extent of future increases in borrowing costs.
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Fed Chairman Warsh and Treasury Secretary Bessent Face Credibility Tests as 10-Year Treasury Yield Holds Near 5%
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is tasked with fighting inflation, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent serves as the nation's top bond salesman. With the 10-year Treasury yield holding near 5%
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Carlyle's Thomas: Federal Reserve Faces "Immense Pressure" to Hike Rates by 25 Basis Points, AI Investment Slowdown "More Likely"
Jason Thomas, Head of Global Research and Investment Strategy at Carlyle Group, stated during the Carlyle Global Investor Conference in Washington that the Federal Reserve faces "immense pressure" to
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U.S. gasoline prices rose 16.2 cents weekly to $4.319/gallon, with diesel surging 31.8 cents to $6.285/gallon, adding fresh pressure on consumers and inflation.
The sharp increase in U.S. fuel prices, with regular gasoline now $1.151 higher than a year ago and diesel up $2.546 year-over-year, could reinforce inflation concerns ahead of upcoming Federal Reserv
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CNBC analyst Santoli: AI's "adolescence" is over, market narrative shifts to risk, public is cool on tech, order backlog forecasts are questionable
CNBC analyst Santoli stated that the "adolescence" of artificial intelligence has ended, and the market narrative has shifted to focus on risks. The public holds a cool attitude towards the tech secto
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Bitcoin fell to $76,931 and Ethereum dropped to $2,480, as the market focuses on the Federal Reserve meeting.
At 7:24 AM ET on September 15, Bitcoin's price fell to $76,931.56, and Ethereum dropped to $2,480.37. Cryptocurrency prices declined ahead of the Federal Reserve's two-day interest rate meeting. The C
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Silver prices fell below $64 on Tuesday, now trading at $63.60 per ounce, as the market widely anticipates an interest rate hike ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.
Silver December futures opened at $63.76 per ounce on Tuesday, down 0.6% from Monday's closing price, and further declined to $63.60 during the session. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve t
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Gold prices hit multi-week lows, opening at $4340.30 per ounce on Tuesday ET, as U.S. Treasury yields rose to their highest level since 2007.
Gold futures opened at $4340.30 per ounce on Tuesday, down 0.3% from Monday's close, and further declined to $4315.30 during the session. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to its highest
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CNBC survey: Majority of respondents now forecast the Fed will hike rates at least twice over the next year
The survey indicates a significant shift from last month, when only 46% expected a hike. Approximately three quarters of respondents believe the inflation problem is broader than just energy prices, w
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The U.S. Treasury will auction $13 billion in 20-year bonds today, and the first day of the FOMC meeting will convene.
Today's 20-year Treasury re-opening is the largest market test within the fixed-income segment. Given that long-term yields are already elevated, demand at this auction will significantly impact the m
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The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by another 25 basis points this week, with CoreWeave and IREN facing different interest rate risks.
Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase anticipate a 25 basis point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve this week, with the futures market pricing in a probability of approximately 90%. Analysis indica
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WSJ Market Analysis: Bond Yields Could Come Down as Fast as They’ve Climbed, Driven by Expectations for Fed Actions
The Wall Street Journal's market analysis suggests that the main reason for rising bond yields is the likely increase in short-term interest rates, with expectations for the Federal Reserve's actions
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Standard Chartered Bank's report predicts the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its September FOMC meeting, contrary to the market's 88% expectation of a 25 basis point hike.
Standard Chartered Bank released a report on September 14, explicitly stating its judgment that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, deeming the
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Dollar hits 8-week high, DXY at 100.862, as Fed hike bets surge; markets price 53% chance of Oct 25bp hike and fully price Dec hike
Dollar hits 8-week high, DXY at 100.862, as Fed hike bets surge; markets price 53% chance of Oct 25bp hike and fully price Dec hike
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Euro Hits Two-Month Low Against Dollar as Options Traders Bet on Further Weakness After Fed Rate Hike
The euro fell to its lowest in nearly two months versus the dollar, as options traders stepped up bets on further weakness following the Federal Reserve’s latest interest-rate increase.
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Copper Retreats From Near Record as Traders Weigh Fed Outlook
Industrial metals also fell, with traders assessing the outlook for US interest rates amid shifting oil prices and comments from Federal Reserve officials.
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Gold prices held steady at $4,360 an ounce, as progress in US-Iran negotiations eased market concerns about the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
Gold prices fluctuated around $4,360/oz on Tuesday, ultimately closing up 0.4%. This followed U.S. President Donald Trump's statement that U.S. officials held a "very successful" meeting with Iranian
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Fed's Perli: The Federal Reserve's bond purchases will be adjusted based on market conditions, focusing on signs of funding stress to maintain ample reserves.
Roberto Perli, an official at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, stated on Tuesday that the Fed's purchases of U.S. Treasury bills are not on a preset path and will be adjusted in the future based
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Options traders are increasing their hedges against a shallower Federal Reserve hiking cycle than the market anticipates.
Bloomberg Markets reports that options traders are hedging against the possibility that the Federal Reserve's rate hikes might be smaller than currently priced in by the market.
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Federal Reserve Board approves BancFirst Corporation's application to acquire Spirit BankCorp, Inc.
The Federal Reserve Board on Tuesday approved the application by BancFirst Corporation of Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, to acquire and merge with Spirit BankCorp, Inc., of Bristow, Oklahoma, thereby indire
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MarketWatch analysis: Bond market flashing warning for stocks as yield curve flattens, potentially inverting
MarketWatch analysis indicates that the U.S. Treasury yield curve has flattened dramatically since the start of the Iran war, driven by surging oil prices and market expectations of Federal Reserve in
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CryptoQuant: Bitcoin price breaks above 365-day moving average, signaling the end of the bear market and entry into a bull market.
CryptoQuant, a data firm, reported that Bitcoin's price has broken above its 365-day moving average, a technical signal that has historically marked the beginning of bull markets in past cycles. This
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Fed data highlights rising financial vulnerability, suggesting danger for Bitcoin's rally
The Federal Reserve's new Financial Vulnerability Index (FVI) indicates that despite firm spot demand for Bitcoin, the financial system's capacity to amplify shocks is increasing. The FVI's aggregate
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Demand for the U.S. Treasury's two-year note auction was strong, with the yield reaching 4.787%, a new high since May 2024.
The U.S. Treasury auctioned $69 billion in two-year notes on Tuesday, with a high yield of 4.787%, the highest since the May 2024 auction (which yielded 4.917%). The auction comes as investors brace f
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Binance Research: RWA-Pegged Perpetual Contracts Capture Significant Trading Demand Outside US Regular Trading Hours
Binance Research reports that perpetual contracts linked to real-world assets (RWA) are capturing trading demand around macro events and individual stocks outside of regular U.S. trading hours. Data s
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Fed’s Williams Says Treasuries Clearing Moving Ahead of Schedule
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said the shift to central clearing for US Treasuries and Treasury-collateralized repurchase agreements was ahead of schedule.
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Jobs experts weigh in on fall hiring trends: September surge expected to be a 'bump' rather than a 'surge', with Fed rate hike potentially slowing market
Career coaches anticipate a "bump" in fall hiring, but not a full "surge" as seen in previous years. The Federal Reserve's interest rate hike on September 16 to 3.75%-4%, its first increase since July
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Nick Timiraos reposted a paper stating that since August 2020, 90% of the increase in 10-year U.S. Treasury yields occurred within a three-day window following non-farm payroll reports or speeches by senior Federal Reserve officials (the Chair, Vice Chair, Christopher Waller). These days accounted for only 24% of total trading days, suggesting that the market primarily revises short-term interest rate expectations rather than concerns about long-term debt.
Nick Timiraos reposted a paper stating that since August 2020, 90% of the increase in 10-year U.S. Treasury yields occurred within a three-day window following non-farm payroll reports or speeches by
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CNBC Santoli: S&P 500 Nears All-Time High, Bull Market Relies on Familiar Leading Sectors
CNBC contributor Mike Santoli noted that the U.S. stock bull market is relying on familiar leading sectors, with the S&P 500 index nearing an all-time high. He believes that although the market experi
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ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood dismisses Fed rate-hike fears, expects tech innovation to drive stronger growth and lower inflation
ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood states that higher interest rates will not derail the technology boom, arguing that rapid innovation will drive stronger economic growth. Wood anticipates the current tech r
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The Wall Street Journal: The delinquency rate for some multi-family apartment mortgage pools issued in 2021 rose to 28% in August.
The delinquency rate for commercial real estate collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) rose to 28% in August, up from 19% in July. These floating-rate loans are sometimes used to finance riskier acqui
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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