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Federal Reserve
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U.S. stock futures rise ahead of Fed rate decision, with market widely expecting first hike since 2023
S&P 500 futures gained 0.2%, Nasdaq-100 futures climbed 0.4%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures added 0.2%. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders assign a 92.5% probability to a quarter-p
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Bitcoin's correlation with Dollar Index and U.S. stocks collapses ahead of Fed meeting, as Clarity Act focus overshadows macro influences.
Bitcoin's short-window correlation with the Dollar Index has fallen to +0.08 from -0.54 over the past 30 days, while its link to the S&P 500 dropped to 0.43 from 0.75 yesterday, and to the Nasdaq to 0
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Bitcoin hovers around $80,000 ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, as traders turn to stablecoins for safety, with an unexpected decision not to raise rates potentially posing a greater risk.
CoinDesk reported that the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates on Wednesday, with the market pricing in a 92.5% probability of a 25 basis point hike. Ahead of the decision, Bitcoin's p
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Zcash climbs nearly 6% to $1,200 as most major cryptocurrencies slide ahead of Fed rate decision
Zcash was the only major cryptocurrency in the green, rising to just above $1,200. XRP led the decliners, down over 7% to $1.29, while Ether and Solana each fell about 3%. Bitcoin, BNB, and Tron were
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Bitcoin ETFs have attracted $3.8 billion in inflows over the past three weeks, marking their best performance of the year.
Yahoo Finance analysis indicates that with Bitcoin's 25% surge in August, funds are flowing back into Bitcoin ETFs. Data from the Kalshi online prediction market shows a 21% probability of Bitcoin rea
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Gold Rebounds 0.8% to $4,326.44/oz Ahead of Fed Rate Decision; US 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.04%, Highest Since 2007
Spot gold (XAU/USD) gained 0.8% to $4,326.44 an ounce on Wednesday, while gold futures increased 0.8% to $4,366.50. Silver (XAG/USD) advanced 1.4% to $64.59 an ounce, and platinum (XPT/USD) rose 0.7%
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Historically, Fed rate hikes lead to short-term stock declines but long-term buying opportunities
New analysis from strategists at The Kobeissi Letter indicates that the S&P 500 has, on average, declined by 4.0% in the six weeks following the first Fed rate hike of a cycle, based on seven episodes
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BlackRock Strategist Gargi Pal Chaudhuri Opposes Fed Hike, Recommends AI, Quality, and Healthcare Themes
BlackRock strategist Gargi Pal Chaudhuri recommends investors stay invested in the artificial-intelligence sector but broaden into themes like quality and healthcare.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests Fed rate hikes may not succeed in curbing long-term bond yield increases
According to a MarketWatch analysis, if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates to slow the rapid rise in longer-term yields, historical patterns indicate such efforts are unlikely to be successful.
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Markets are cautiously optimistic ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision, with U.S. Treasuries slightly stronger, crude oil gains narrowing, and equity index futures holding steady.
The market is almost certain that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points later on Wednesday. Driven by this expectation, U.S. Treasury bonds saw a slight strengthening, crude
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The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points tonight, with the market watching whether Warsh signals continued rate hikes.
The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points tonight, increasing the federal funds target range to 3.75%-4.00%. However, major Wall Street institutions hold
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Hong Kong and mainland stocks rise, led by tech shares, snapping four-day losing streaks ahead of Fed decision
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 0.2% to 24,713, with the tech index up 0.8%. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.71% to 3,891, and the ChiNext Composite index surged 1.96% to 3,311, dr
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European Stocks Advance as Bond Selloff Eases Ahead of Fed Decision
European shares snapped two days of losses as oil prices eased and the bond selloff slowed, with traders looking ahead to the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision later today.
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Invesco Says It's 'More Risky' If Fed Doesn't Hike Rates
Invesco Says It's 'More Risky' If Fed Doesn't Hike Rates
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Analyst: Federal Reserve Meeting May Challenge Chairman Warsh, Bitcoin Could Benefit
CoinDesk analysis suggests that with the market having almost fully priced in a 25 basis point rate hike (bringing the federal funds target range to 3.75%-4%), Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's f
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Oil falls, Asian stocks rise ahead of Fed rate decision
Crude prices declined on Wednesday but remained near multimonth highs, while Asian stocks gained as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s rate decision.
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Top economists in FT-Booth poll say Fed should defy Trump with rate rise to tame inflation
Top economists in FT-Booth poll say Fed should defy Trump with rate rise to tame inflation
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Bitcoin Under Renewed Pressure Amid Looming Fed Hike and Failed US Regulatory Bill
Bitcoin fell 4% in US trading and declined further in Asia on Wednesday, stabilizing around $75,700. The broader cryptocurrency market also weakened after the US failed to advance a key regulatory bil
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Citigroup and Goldman Sachs expect the Federal Reserve to implement a "dovish rate hike," with Kevin Warsh's press conference becoming the market's biggest suspense.
Wall Street is holding its breath for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Wednesday. Citi and Goldman Sachs are in rare agreement on their core assessment, expecting an almost certain rate
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JPMorgan Strategist Rasid: Inflation Data and Rising Yields Point to Fed Rate Hike
JPMorgan Global Market Strategist Raisah Rasid stated that incoming economic data and rising Treasury yields indicate the Federal Reserve will hike rates. She advised investors to focus on the 12- to
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Copper prices stabilized ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision, as the market focused on rising inventories and easing spreads.
Copper futures on the London Metal Exchange edged higher, extending the modest gains from the previous session. Prices had previously reached an all-time high last week, driven by bets on supply tight
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Asian stocks mixed, Hong Kong slips as US Fed rate hike looms; 10-year Treasury yield holds near 5%
Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index opened up 0.5% before falling 36 points in early trading on Wednesday. Other Asian markets were mixed as global bond yields and oil prices paused ahead of the US
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Traders Brace for Fed Hike With Equities Under Pressure
Bond traders have piled into bearish positions ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting. Equities are under pressure as traders await the Fed's rate decision.
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Seoul stocks open almost flat on Thursday as investors await US Fed rate decision and eye rising oil prices
The benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) was up 0.69 point, or 0.01 percent, to 6,627.95 points as of 9:15 a.m. Wall Street stocks closed lower overnight, with the S&P 500 down 0.45 per
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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