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Federal Reserve
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Goldman Sachs now forecasts a 25 basis point Fed hike in October, a 180-degree pivot from its earlier call for a September hike followed by a pause.
Goldman Sachs now expects the Federal Reserve to raise its benchmark interest rate again in October, a 180-degree pivot from its earlier call for a September hike followed by a pause. The shift comes
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The Japanese Yen fell past the 156 mark against the US Dollar, as the Federal Reserve raised interest rates and signaled a hawkish stance.
The Japanese yen fell past the 156 mark against the dollar on Thursday morning, following the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and hawkish stance on its future policy outlook, which led to a gener
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Copper Steadies as Traders Shrug Off Fed’s Hawkish Rate Signals
Copper Steadies as Traders Shrug Off Fed’s Hawkish Rate Signals
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Global bond yields fell on Thursday, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield dropping 3 basis points to 4.99%, as Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh vowed to curb inflation.
Global bond yields retreated on Thursday as markets calmed after the Federal Reserve's rate hike and Chairman Warsh's pledge to curb inflation. The 10-year US Treasury yield fell 3 basis points to 4.9
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JPMorgan Asset Management CIO Michele: Our team has bought long-dated government bonds in the US, Japan, and Australia, believing the bond market has reached an "extreme pain" tipping point.
JPMorgan Asset Management CIO Bob Michele stated that his team has started buying long-dated government bonds in the U.S., Japan, and Australia, believing current prices are "simply too cheap." In an
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Trump said he spoke with Warsh before the Federal Reserve's rate hike, telling him, "Do whatever you want to do"; the Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4% on Wednesday.
US President Donald Trump stated that he had spoken with Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh before the Fed's unanimous vote on Wednesday to raise the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis poin
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Nick Timiraos: Only one Fed policymaker now projects a "long-run" rate below 3%, compared to 10 two years ago; 11 now see it above 3%
Nick Timiraos: Only one Fed policymaker now projects a "long-run" rate below 3%, compared to 10 two years ago; 11 now see it above 3%. Two years ago, when the Fed started lowering rates, 10 policymake
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Hong Kong stocks fell 0.8% after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates and signaled further tightening, with the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.5%; China's CSI 300 Index dropped 0.2%.
Hong Kong stocks fell 0.8% after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates and signaled further tightening, with the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.5%; China's CSI 300 Index dropped 0.2%.
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South Korean financial authorities said the Federal Reserve's rate hike would have a limited impact on the market, as the market had already priced in the expectation.
South Korea's financial authorities stated on Thursday that the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike in over three years to combat inflation is expected to have a limited impact on financial mar
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Gold prices rebounded to $4,288 per ounce after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, having previously fallen by 2.7%. Analysts and investment banks maintain a long-term bullish outlook.
Gold prices rebounded to $4,288 per ounce after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, having previously fallen by 2.7%. Analysts and investment banks maintain a long-term bullish outlook.
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South Korean stocks opened 0.1% higher at 6724.46 on Thursday, led by tech shares.
South Korean stocks opened higher on Thursday, with the Kospi index rising 0.1% to 6724.46 points, led by technology shares. This came despite the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike in over th
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Goldman Sachs Traders' Quick Take on Fed Rate Hikes: If Q4 inflation trends remain unchanged, the Federal Reserve may hike rates more than once.
Giulio Esposito of Goldman Sachs' fixed income and equities division noted that the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike on September 16 was more hawkish than Goldman Sachs had anticipated. Gold
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Fed Chairman Warsh presided over the shortest press conference in history (approx. 30 minutes), refusing to offer forward guidance.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh held a press conference in Washington on September 16, lasting only about 30 minutes, setting a new record for the shortest regular press conference by a Fed Chair. Wars
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The Federal Reserve's dot plot indicates one more rate hike this year, with the median interest rate of 4.1% maintained throughout 2027.
The median FOMC member predicts one more rate hike this year and maintaining a median rate of 4.1% throughout 2027. The dot plot also raised the long-run equilibrium rate from 3.1% to 3.2%, but the ra
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UBS: A substantial shift in Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's policy reaction function, becoming more sensitive to financial conditions and less sensitive to the labor market.
UBS's report assesses a substantial shift in Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's policy reaction function compared to his predecessors: greater sensitivity to financial conditions, less sensitivity to labor
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Fed Chairman Warsh hinted at a preference for another rate hike in December, stating that the current economy is strong enough.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh signaled at a press conference that the market interpreted as leaning towards skipping October and acting again in December. Warsh emphasized close monitoring of inflati
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Following the Federal Reserve's rate hike, the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to its highest level since July 2024, and the 10-year yield surpassed 5%.
Following the Federal Reserve's announcement of a 25 basis point rate hike on Wednesday, the 2-year US government bond yield jumped to its highest level since July 2024, and the 10-year government bon
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CICC: US rate increase should only have short-term impact on Hong Kong stocks
China International Capital Corporation (CICC) stated that Hong Kong stocks could face greater volatility from renewed US monetary tightening, but the impact should be short-lived unless the Federal R
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Timiraos: Rising long-term U.S. Treasury yields reflect a market re-evaluation of future inflation and the Federal Reserve's policy credibility.
Nick Timiraos also pointed out that the recent rise in the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to over 5%, near its highest level in 20 years, cannot be simply attributed to Federal Reserve rate hikes. Invest
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"New Fed News Agency" Nick Timiraos: Energy Shocks and AI Investment Are Changing the Inflation Landscape
Nick Timiraos, a reporter for The Wall Street Journal, noted that this rate hike reflects a changed inflation environment for the Federal Reserve. He believes that rising energy prices due to the war
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HKMA raises base rate by a quarter point to 4.25%, the first increase since 2023
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) increased the city’s base rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 4.25% on Thursday. This marks the first rate hike since 2023, following the US Federal Rese
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CNBC commentator Cramer warns: Buying stocks after the Federal Reserve's rate hike means "fighting the Fed."
CNBC commentator Jim Cramer said Wednesday that the range of stocks worth buying is narrowing after the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike in more than three years. He noted that the Federal R
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh did not submit his dot plot interest rate projections for the second consecutive time, stating that they were unhelpful for policy execution and that he would conduct a comprehensive review of policy communication tools, including the dot plot.
In the latest dot plot released on September 16, only 18 dots appeared out of 19 seats again, leading to widespread speculation that Warsh's projection was once again absent. This move has raised mark
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Trump: Still have confidence in Fed Chair Warsh
Trump: Still have confidence in Fed Chair Warsh
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve has taken enforcement actions against three former bank employees for misappropriation of customer funds, misuse of funds, and check fraud.
The Federal Reserve Board announced at 11:00 AM ET on Friday that it has taken enforcement actions against Charles Alan Wright, a former employee of Northstar Bank (alleged misappropriation of custome
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Federal Reserve's Bowman: Third-party reports challenge claims that social media amplified Silicon Valley Bank's run, defending the 2018 regulatory law, contrary to previous Fed reports.
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michelle Bowman detailed the preliminary findings of a third-party review into the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. She stated that the report challenges the narrative that
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New Report Finds Federal Reserve Staff Should Have Known About Silicon Valley Bank's Vulnerabilities
Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Bowman said on Friday that an external review of the Fed's oversight of the 2023 Silicon Valley Bank collapse found that Fed staff "knew or should have known
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WuBlockchain: CoinShares Says Bitcoin Unlikely to Break $80K Without Inflation Improvement or Fed Shift
CoinShares stated that Bitcoin faces two major near-term headwinds: a more hawkish Federal Reserve and a setback to the CLARITY Act. The firm believes a decisive break above $80,000 is unlikely before
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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