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Federal Reserve
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Federal Reserve Vice Chair Williams pushed back against market expectations for an October rate hike, stating there is "no urgency to act" and that "it may be appropriate to raise rates one more time later this year."
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Vice Chairman John Williams explicitly pushed back against market pricing for an October rate hike, stating there is "no urgency to act" and the Federal Reserve ha
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Euro falls to 16-month low as hawkish Fed-hike bets boost dollar
The euro fell to its weakest level in 16 months, driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve will further boost interest rates, which supports the US dollar.
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Fed Governor Barr Sees More Rate Hikes Ahead, Warns of Increased Inflation Risks and No Clear Path to 2% Target
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that further policy adjustments are likely necessary, citing increased inflation risks and receding labor-market risks. Barr anticipates U.S. economic grow
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Futures markets price 70.3% chance of another Fed rate hike ahead of key US economic data
Futures markets indicate a 70.3% chance of another quarter-point Fed rate increase, up from 55.4% a week ago and 17.7% a month ago, according to CME's FedWatch tool. This comes ahead of upcoming US ec
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points each in December and March next year, not ruling out a rate hike in October.
Following the surge in U.S. Treasury yields, the market is closely watching statements from Federal Reserve officials. Deutsche Bank stated that policymakers generally hold a hawkish stance and expect
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose 27.5 basis points over four days, its largest increase since April 2025.
The Wall Street Journal reported that the rise in U.S. government bond yields is starting to show signs of panic. Without new news on inflation, growth, Federal Reserve tightening, budget deficits, or
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Bitcoin faces a critical test at $85,000, with Wall Street focused on multiple US inflation and employment data releases this week.
Glassnode analysis shows that the $84,000-$85,000 range is a concentrated buying area for Bitcoin long-term holders, and Bitcoin is now testing this critical price zone after hitting an intraday low o
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Analysts forecast 10-year Treasury yield to hit 6%, with implications for Bitcoin
10x Research founder Markus Thielen and Niles Investment Management founder Dan Niles predict the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield could reach 6% in the coming months, a level last seen in 2000. Thielen no
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U.S. Treasury yields dip early Tuesday, with 10-year note down 1 bp to 5.2278%
U.S. Treasury yields dipped early Tuesday amid persistent concerns over inflationary pressures. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield fell about 1 basis point to 5.2278%, while the 30-year Treasury bon
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UBS: The market is overestimating the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in October before the election; historical data shows no October rate hikes in 35 years.
UBS analyst Simon Penn noted in a Monday morning report that while the market is currently pricing in about a 69% probability of a rate hike at the October 28 meeting, this expectation significantly o
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Bitcoin holds above $83,000 as ZEC drops 12%, oil climbs to nearly $107, and global stocks hit one-week low amid rising bond yields
Bitcoin slipped under 1% to just above $83,100 in Asian morning hours, testing last week's range floor, as the 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.25%, its highest since 2007. ZEC fell 12% to about $1,38
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Citi Research: Employment Data Unlikely to Alter Federal Reserve's October Rate Hike Expectations; September Core CPI Becomes Key
Citigroup Research noted in a September 28 report that the Federal Reserve's policy reaction function has become more sensitive to immediate inflation data and energy prices. The bank anticipates that
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US stocks fall sharply on Monday, S&P 500 sees largest daily drop since Aug 20; oil prices and Treasury yields rise amid Iran war uncertainty
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 347 points (0.7%) to 51,481, the S&P 500 lost 59 points (0.8%) to 7,683, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 248 points (0.9%) to 26,820. The S&P 500's decline was its
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Asian Bonds Expected to Decline as Oil Fans Inflation Fears
Asian bonds are poised to track Treasuries lower, driven by elevated oil prices, increased inflation concerns, and market bets on further Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes.
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Gold falls 3.3% to over seven-week low of $4,146.51/oz, silver drops 4.7% as oil prices rise and US dollar strengthens
Spot gold prices fell 3.3% to $4,146.51 per ounce on Monday, marking its lowest level since August 5. US gold futures also declined 3.3% to $4,178.40. Spot silver fell 4.7% to $61.27 per ounce, platin
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Fed Governor Cook Expects Continued Inflationary Pressure from AI Buildout, Higher Oil Prices, and Middle East Conflict
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook stated that in the coming months, she anticipates sustained inflationary pressure stemming from the ongoing AI buildout, elevated oil prices, and supply chain disrup
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Treasury Secretary Bessent hires Wall Street economist David Zervos as counselor
Zervos, former chief market strategist at Jefferies and a CNBC contributor, joins the Treasury Department in a broad advisory capacity. He has previously backed Bessent's decision to increase buybacks
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Ackman Warns: Federal Reserve Rate Hikes May Be a Mistake, AI Boom Is Undermining the Hikes' Dampening Effect on Investment Demand, and Could Drive Up Inflation
Billionaire investor Bill Ackman recently posted on X, stating that the AI arms race is driving tech giants to continuously expand capital expenditures. Even with rising financing costs, companies are
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Chile bond traders focus on the Fed's rate hike outlook amid market pressures
Of all the factors buffeting Chile’s bond market at the moment, it’s the Federal Reserve and the outlook for further rate hikes in the world’s largest economy that are capturing the most attention.
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This week's key U.S. economic data is expected to strengthen the case for an October rate hike.
Key economic reports due this week are expected to further confirm the strengthening U.S. economy, bolstering the arguments of several Federal Reserve officials for higher interest rates, according to
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Brent crude oil surpassed $100/barrel, rising over 2.5% intraday; spot gold fell below $4150/ounce, and spot silver dropped 5.01%.
High oil prices combined with strengthening U.S. economic activity are reinforcing market expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain high interest rates or even continue to raise them, puttin
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U.S. equity futures fell, and the sell-off in U.S. Treasuries intensified, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 5.214%, a multi-year high.
U.S. equity futures fell sharply in early European trading, while the sell-off in U.S. Treasuries intensified. Market sentiment was pressured by key inflation and employment data due to be released th
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Nick Timiraos: Trump's economic advisers' theory on fiscal restraint to lower rates 'hasn't worked out'
According to Nick Timiraos, in the early days of Trump's second term, his economic advisers posited that showing the bond market Washington was serious about closing deficits would lead to long-term i
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Gold Declines as Hormuz Impasse Keeps Rate-Hike Bets Elevated
Gold dropped for a second consecutive week, as an impasse over the Strait of Hormuz kept energy costs elevated and maintained pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates further to combat
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
ZEC (Zcash) is up 6.26% over the past 4 hours, currently trading at $1,330.13.
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2
The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.06% from its previous close, currently trading at 3,650.85.
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3
Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index fell 6.11% from its previous close, currently trading at 39,032.95.
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The Nikkei 225 Index fell 5.76% from its previous close, currently trading at 57,557.09.
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5
South Korea's KOSPI index fell 5.48% from its previous close, currently standing at 5,088.79.
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6
AUD/USD fell 0.89% from its previous close, currently trading at 0.6946.
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Brent crude was up 3.52% from its previous close, currently trading at $98.354.
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8
What is MTH (Monetha)? Project Positioning and Token Supply Analysis
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Where to Buy MANA? A Comprehensive Guide to Decentraland Tokens and Mainstream Trading Channels
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10
Trump's policies and institutional participation drove Ethereum's sharp rally in August 2026, with its market cap reaching approximately $294.8 billion in November
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