Faster global financial news!
Forecasting the market
-
Polymarket’s probability that “GPT-5.6 will not be released to the public before June 28” has risen to 78%, up 67% in the last 24 hours.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, the probability on Polymarket that “GPT-5.6 will not be released to the public before June 28” has risen to 78%, a 67% increase over the past 24 hour
-
Polymarket has been accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and videos showing fake profits
Svmuu News: The prediction market platform Polymarket has been accused of promoting its products on social media by having paid creators post videos of simulated trades and fake profits. Reports indic
-
A "smart money" bettor placed a $220,000 bet on CS2 IEM Cologne Major semifinals, where Furia defeated Aurora
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event “CS2 IEM Cologne Major Semifinals: Furia vs. Aurora,” smart money (0x89dd49bf87c41be422927372a0b75c6ab577f662), wh
-
Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Musk Secures a Record-Breaking 7800亿元 Compensation Package; 2. Analysis: U.S. SEC Plans to Approve Stock Tokenization Trading, Which May Trigger a Structural Reshaping of the U.S. Stock Market; 3.
-
a16z crypto: A combination of events, including the World Cup, drove weekly trading volume in prediction markets to a record high
Svmuu News: Data released by a16z crypto shows that weekly trading volume in prediction markets reached $10.8 billion for the first time, setting a new all-time high. This record-breaking growth was d
-
Polymarket’s probability that “the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal by June 30” has dropped to 9%, down 9% over the past 24 hours
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, the probability on Polymarket that “the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal by June 30” has dropped to 9%, a 9% decline over the past 24 h
-
SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce Discusses Perpetual Contracts and the Regulation of the Prediction Market: Emphasizes Self-Custody and Financial Privacy Principles
Svmuu News: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Commissioner Hester Peirce shared her views on the future of perpetual contracts, prediction markets, and digital asset regulation, striking a
-
Charles Schwab Enters the Prediction Markets, Set to Launch S&P 500 Event Contracts
Svmuu News: Charles Schwab is preparing to enter the prediction markets sector through a partnership with Cboe Global Markets. The two companies are developing options-based contracts that will allow
-
Prediction market platform Kalshi has begun preliminary discussions with investment banks regarding an IPO
Svmuu News: According to sources familiar with the matter, prediction market platform Kalshi has disclosed that it is in early, informal discussions with investment banks regarding an IPO. A Kalshi sp
-
A "smart money" investor bought $190,000 worth of bets on the World Cup group stage match where Australia failed to beat the United States
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “2026 World Cup Group D, Matchday 2: USA vs. Australia,” smart money generated over $1.75 million in profit
-
Reaching an all-time high, Robinhood’s prediction market contract trading volume reached 3.9 billion contracts in May
Svmuu News: The Robinhood platform's May 2026 prediction market contract trading volume reached a record high of 3.9 billion contracts. Since last September, contract trading volume has increased more
-
Insider Information or Luck? New Account Makes Over $7.5 Million in a Single Match Between the Czech Republic and South Africa
Svmuu News: In the Polymarket prediction event for “2026 World Cup Group A, Matchday 2: Czech Republic vs. South Africa,” the new account GRIMDRIP (0x3f87d51f27ba6e19ec52aaeebb68559a839c742c) placed b
-
The probability on Polymarket that “Claude Fable 5 will resume service for U.S. customers by July 1” has risen to 73%, up 33% over the past 24 hours.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, the probability on Polymarket that “Claude Fable 5 will resume service for U.S. customers by July 1” has risen to 73%, up 33% over the past 24 hours.
-
NewGen Invests $10 Million in K25.ai, Completing Its Pre-A Round of Financing, and Acquires a 10% Stake
Svmuu News: According to official reports, NewGenIVF Group (NIVF), a company listed on the Nasdaq, announced an additional investment of $4 million in the prediction market platform K25.ai, completing
-
Polymarket Adds New Listing: “Date of SpaceX Starship’s First Launch in Florida”
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, a new prediction event titled “Time of SpaceX Starship’s First Launch in Florida” has been added to Polymarket. To date, all integrated test flights
-
A "smart money" investor bet $520,000 that the Czech Republic would not defeat South Africa in the World Cup group stage.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “2026 World Cup Group A, Matchday 2: Czech Republic vs. South Africa,” smart money generated profits exceed
-
The probability on Polymarket that “o1’s market cap will exceed $400 million the day after its TGE” has risen to 89%, up 81% over the past 24 hours.
According to monitoring data from the Svmuu Seer channel, the probability that “o1’s market cap will exceed $400 million on the day after its TGE” on Polymarket has risen to 89%, up 81% over the past
-
$7.46 million bet on a single match: A high-roller bets on Colombia to beat Uzbekistan
Svmuu News: Giant Whale "endlessFate" placed a $7.46 million bet on Colombia to win in their World Cup match against Uzbekistan. If the bet wins, he will profit $2.71 million; if it loses, he will los
-
Kentucky Sues Platform Involved in Sports Betting Prediction Markets
Svmuu News: Kentucky has joined other states in filing a lawsuit against prediction market platforms engaged in sports betting. The state is politically conservative and supports President Donald Trum
-
Kalshi CEO: When asked about competitors, the first names that come to mind aren’t Polymarket, but platforms like CME and Robinhood.
Svmuu News: Tarek Mansour, co-founder and CEO of Kalshi, said in an interview with FOX: “To be honest, when I think of competitors, Polymarket isn’t the first thing that comes to mind—it’s actually so
-
Opinion: Prediction markets will not be dominated by a single platform; they will follow the development path of perpetual contracts and evolve into a landscape where multiple platforms coexist.
Svmuu News: CJ Hetherington, co-founder and CEO of the prediction market platform Limitless Labs, stated that he does not believe the prediction market industry will see a single dominant player emerg
-
Kalshi Partners with StarCompliance to Launch Real-Time Employee Trading Monitoring Service
Svmuu News: Kalshi, a U.S.-based compliance-focused prediction trading platform, has entered into a strategic partnership with financial compliance service provider StarCompliance to launch a real-tim
-
CME Group CEO Terry Duffy is set to step down
Svmuu News: According to market reports, Terry Duffy, CEO of CME Group, is set to step down. Perhaps as a result, CME Group’s stock price fell 4% in premarket trading. Terry Duffy had previously expre
-
A "smart money" investor bet $243,000 on Portugal to defeat the Democratic Republic of the Congo in a World Cup group stage match.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “2026 World Cup Group H, Round 1: Portugal vs. DR Congo,” a “smart money” account with a 49% win rate smart
-
Needham Says Crypto Rally Has Strong Momentum, Prediction Market Kalshi Expects Bitcoin to Reach $90,000 This Year
Needham stated that the cryptocurrency rebound is strong, believing that the large-scale sell-off has largely ended and investor attention is shifting towards digital assets. The prediction market Kal
-
Yahoo Finance Review: Gemini exchange offers bank-grade security and regulation, but has higher trading fees and limited coin selection
Reviews indicate that the Gemini exchange, founded by the Winklevoss brothers in 2014, operates as a New York trust company and is strictly regulated by state banking authorities, having reported no l
-
Argus Downgrades DraftKings (DKNG) to Hold From Buy, Removes Price Target on Rising Costs, Tax Uncertainty
Argus noted that DraftKings' stock price has fallen by 43.22% over the past year, primarily due to high customer acquisition costs, rising state gaming taxes, and increased competition in prediction m
-
Gemini partners with Apex Fintech Solutions to expand regulated crypto prediction markets
Under the planned tie-up, Gemini Titan will become the exclusive CFTC-regulated venue for crypto event contracts offered through Apex’s futures commission merchant to its brokerage customers. Gemini w
-
Prediction Market Kalshi Faces Bans in Multiple US States Amid Legal Battles, While CFTC Defends Industry and Proposes New Rules
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is currently blocked for customers in Washington, Michigan, and Nevada, with Washington state authorities accusing the company of operating an illegal gambling bu
-
Kalshi traders predict Bitcoin to end 2026 near current levels, around $75,000
Speculators on the prediction market platform estimate Bitcoin's price at the end of 2026 will be approximately $75,000, based on an average of contracts. This forecast suggests a slight decline from
-
Prediction Markets Increasingly Skeptical on Near-Term US-Iran Nuclear Deal
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, currently prices the chances of a deal at 11% before March 1, 2027, 22% before January 1, 2028, and 35% before January 20, 2029.
-
Research shows Bitcoin contracts on prediction market Kalshi increasingly lead Binance price discovery as BTC breaks $68,000
Research by financial forecasting firm Synth has found that the price movements of 15-minute Bitcoin contracts on Kalshi are increasingly predictive of subsequent Bitcoin price changes on Binance. Sin
-
Cantor Fitzgerald Opens Kalshi Prediction Market Trading to Its ~3,000 Institutional Clients
The investment bank will help its institutional clients execute block event contracts on the CFTC-regulated Kalshi exchange. This move aims to increase institutional participation in prediction market
-
South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns
The Korea Media and Communications Commission stated that Polymarket's structure and operations amount to illegal gambling, despite its noncustodial design and smart contracts.
-
JPMorgan Chase stopped providing banking services to prediction market platform Polymarket last October due to regulatory concerns.
According to The Wall Street Journal, JPMorgan Chase severed banking services with prediction market platform Polymarket in October last year, citing regulatory concerns. Despite the disruption in ban
-
Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
-
Prediction market Novig sues Wisconsin Attorney General in anticipation of state lawsuit over sports contracts
Prediction market platform Novig has filed a lawsuit against Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul and state gaming administrator John Dillett. The move is preemptive, as Novig anticipates Wisconsin wi
-
Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting with cryptocurrency CEOs at the White House this Wednesday, sources say
U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting at the White House this Wednesday that will bring together CEOs of cryptocurrency, prediction market, and artificial intelligence companies,
-
Hyperliquid ETFs See Inflow Reversal Amidst Rising Perpetual Futures Competition
Funds including Grayscale Hyperliquid Staking ETF (HYPG), Bitwise Hyperliquid ETF (BHYP), and 21Shares Hyperliquid ETF (THYP) initially performed well, with HYPG nearing $113 million in AUM and the la
-
Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
-
Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
-
Gemini shares slide after reporting $108 million loss; Winklevoss says 'we still have work to do'
The crypto exchange's prediction market volume nearly doubled as it continued expanding beyond traditional crypto trading.
-
Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
-
US CFTC to hold meeting on Aug. 20 to explore crypto, AI, and prediction market regulations with SEC, without waiting for CLARITY bill
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) will hold a meeting for its Innovation Advisory Committee on Aug. 20 to address regulation related to crypto assets, artificial intelligence and pred
-
US CFTC cautions prediction market platforms over "deficient" incentive program filings, citing manipulation risks
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued guidance, expressing concern over an increase in "procedurally or substantively deficient" filings from prediction market firms for ince
-
Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
-
SKALE Labs launches Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired paper-trading sandbox for training AI agents
SKALE Labs launched Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired, paper-trading prediction market sandbox on its zero-gas blockchain, allowing builders to train AI agents before taking them live on Polymarket.
-
New York City Council Launches Investigation into Prediction Market Platforms, Including Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan
The New York City Council has sent letters to Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan, investigating these platforms for alleged use of "false, deceptive, or abusive marketing strategies" targe
-
SX Network (SX) Token Analysis: Value, Applications, and Investment Considerations
SX Network is an EVM-compatible blockchain project focused on decentralized sports betting and prediction markets. Its native token, SX, plays a role in network governance, staking, paying gas fees, and obtaining fee discounts. SX Network has processed over $500 million in betting volume through its flagship dApp, SX Bet. However, as of the time of writing, the SX token has extremely low trading volume, and market liquidity faces challenges. This article will delve into SX's value proposition, technical features, tokenomics, and its potential investment risks.
-
BOT (Bodhi) Coin Analysis: The Positioning and Current Status of Bodhi, a Decentralized Prediction Market Token
BOT, the native token of the Bodhi platform, aims to build a decentralized, transparent global prediction market. The project was originally developed on the Qtum blockchain, utilizing a replaceable oracle mechanism that allows holders to participate in arbitration, voting, and paying service fees. Bodhi was launched in 2017 with a total supply of 100 million BOT. As of recently, its market capitalization is approximately $1.67 million, with a unit price of about $0.04. Currently, the trading liquidity of BOT tokens is limited, and investors need to fully understand the risks involved.
-
DPY Coin (Delphy): Project Overview and Current Market Status Analysis
DPY (Delphy) was once a mobile prediction market platform based on Ethereum, aiming to provide decentralized prediction services. However, as of August 2026, the market performance of DPY tokens has been extremely poor, with prices having fallen sharply from historical highs and market capitalization close to zero. Public information indicates that its trading liquidity has dried up, and it has been widely regarded as a high-risk asset, with almost no active trading market currently.
-
POLK Coin Value Analysis: Is Polkamarkets' prediction market token worth long-term attention?
POLK is the native token of Polkamarkets, a decentralized prediction market platform initially based on Ethereum and later migrated to Polkadot. POLK is used for market creation, rewards, gamification, and transaction fee buybacks. As of August 11, 2026, POLK's market activity is extremely low, with both 24-hour trading volume and market capitalization at low levels, and a lack of a clear market narrative. Its long-term value depends on user adoption and ecosystem development, but it currently faces challenges of insufficient liquidity and limited market attention.
-
Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
-
Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
-
THALES Coin Trading Guide: Learn About Its Name Change and Where to Buy It
The THALES token is the governance token of the Thales Protocol, which focuses on prediction markets. It is important to note that the THALES token was recently renamed to Overtime (OVER) and migrated to a new contract. As a result, most trading activity in the market is now centered around the OVER token. This article will outline the historical trading activity of the THALES token and details regarding its rebranding, and will note that users may trade the token via decentralized exchanges (DEXs) or certain centralized platforms.
-
How do I buy and sell POLK? On which major exchanges is the POLK token listed?
POLK is the native token of the Polkamarkets platform, a DeFi-based prediction market designed to provide decentralized cross-chain information exchange and event prediction capabilities. The POLK token is primarily issued on the Ethereum blockchain, and users can buy and sell it on centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX).This article will provide a detailed overview of how to trade POLK and the trading platforms where it is currently listed.
-
What Is Augur (REP)? Analysis of REP Token Crowdfunding Price and Investment Prospects
Augur (REP) is a decentralized prediction market platform based on the Ethereum, which allows users to make predictions about real-world events. Its native token, REP, is primarily used for reporting and verifying event outcomes, ensuring the accuracy of the platform’s decentralized oracle.REP’s ICO was held in 2015 at a price of approximately $0.60, raising a total of about $5 million to $5.3 million. The investment outlook for REP depends on the adoption rate of the Augur platform, market competition, the regulatory environment, and its utility as a utility token—rather than as a passive investment.
-
Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
Forecasting the market
24H Trending
-
1
KARRAT Protocol Governance Disputes and METAV Project Analysis: A Summary of Market Focus
-
2
USDT and Digital Currency Exchange Selection Guide: Global Compliance and Reliability Considerations
-
3
High-Leverage Virtual Currency Platforms: A Review of Trading Restrictions and Risks Under Singaporean Regulation
-
4
How to Choose a Reliable Cryptocurrency Exchange Platform? A Guide to Evaluating Mainstream Platforms
-
5
Why is Litecoin considered a mainstream cryptocurrency?
-
6
RWA Tokenization Wave: On-chain U.S. Treasury Market Surpasses $15 Billion, Reshaping DeFi Yield Landscape
-
7
LBC Token Analysis: The Current State of LBRY Credits and Market Liquidity Analysis
-
8
A Rundown of Major Global Bitcoin Trading Platforms: An Analysis of Giants like Binance, Coinbase, and OKX
-
9
Dogecoin and FinTech: Converging Trends and Future Outlook
-
10
Bytecoin (BCN) Current Status Analysis: Market Liquidity and Historical Trading Platforms
Markets Today
Recommended Reading
Hot Topics
Svmuu focuses on blockchain industry trends and cutting-edge cryptocurrency news, while also covering real-time market data and in-depth analysis of the Hong Kong, U.S., and foreign exchange markets. Here, you can not only access professional 24/7 news updates and accurate market data, but also utilize practical investment tools to help you capitalize on opportunities in both digital assets and traditional financial markets. Whether you are a blockchain enthusiast or an investor in Hong Kong, U.S., or foreign exchange markets, we provide efficient and timely information services to empower your investment decisions.
- User Agreement
- Privacy Policy
- Contact Us
- Business Partnerships
- Disclaimer
- Content Statement
- About Us
- Sitemap
Coming Soon!
