Inflation
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Fed's Logan: Interest Rates Should Be Raised to Combat Inflation
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve official Logan stated that the Fed should raise interest rates to combat high inflation. June inflation data showed that price increases were slowing, but not enough to con
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Analysis: The Federal Reserve is likely to keep rates on hold, as inflation remains an unpredictable economic variable
Svmuu News: Federated Hermes fund manager Karen Manna stated in a report that the firm continues to believe the Federal Reserve will largely hold rates steady, while inflation remains one of the most
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CZ: AI can't combat inflation, but Bitcoin can
Svmuu News: CZ posted that while AI is powerful, it cannot protect personal assets from inflation—but Bitcoin can.
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Natixis expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged throughout 2026
Svmuu News: Christopher Hodge, former chief economist at the New York Fed and chief U.S. economist at Natixis, said that Fed Chair Warsh’s hawkish start could create a “credibility trap.” Christopher
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Fidelity International Plans to Rebuild Its Gold Holdings, Believing the Long-Term Bullish Case Remains Unchanged
Svmuu News: Asset management firm Fidelity International has stated that it plans to rebuild its gold positions—which it reduced earlier this year—at an appropriate time in the future, believing that
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The Bank of Korea said it will maintain its stance on raising interest rates going forward
Svmuu News: The Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of Korea stated on the 28th that it will continue to maintain a stance of raising interest rates in the future, while comprehensively considering
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Federal Reserve Governor Cook: Ready to Take Action If Inflation Doesn't Slow Down Soon
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Cook said Wednesday that it would be prudent to wait for inflation to ease for a while, but that the Fed is prepared to take action if inflation does not slow down
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Federal Reserve Chair: AI Is Expected to Drive Up Observable Price Levels Over the Next 12 Months
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash, testifying before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs at a hearing on the “Federal Reserve’s Semiannual Monetary Policy Report,” stated
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Warsh: Recent inflation data do not fully reflect underlying inflation trends
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh stated that recent inflation data do not perfectly reflect underlying inflation trends. (Jin Shi)
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Fed's Williams: Inflation Remains Too High; Expected to Return to 2% Target in 2028
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve’s Williams stated that inflation is undoubtedly still too high at around 4%, and that efforts must continue to bring it back down to the 2% target; the current monetary pol
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U.S. PPI for June came in at 5.5% year-over-year, compared with an expected 6.2%
Svmuu News: On July 15, the U.S. PPI for June came in at 5.5% year-over-year, compared with an expected 6.2%; the previous reading was revised down from 6.50% to 6%.
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U.S. PPI for June fell 0.3% month-over-month, compared with an expected 0%
Svmuu News: On July 15, the U.S. PPI for June fell 0.3% month-over-month, compared with an expected 0%; the previous reading was revised down from 1.10% to 0.6%.
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U.S. CPI Fell 0.4% Month-Over-Month in June; BTC Rose to $64,900
Svmuu News: U.S. CPI fell 0.4% month-over-month in June, marking the largest monthly decline since April 2020; the year-over-year rate dropped from 4.2% in May to 3.5%, below the expected 3.8%. Core C
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Analyst: If Oil Prices Stabilize, the U.S. Tech Sector May Benefit
Svmuu News: Patrick Munnelly of Tickmill Group noted in a report that the U.S. technology sector could benefit if oil prices stabilize and investors scale back their expectations for Federal Reserve i
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European Central Bank (ECB) Kochler, a member of the Governing Council: "We will take the necessary measures to bring medium-term inflation back down to 2%."
Svmuu News European Central Bank (ECB) Board Member Kocher stated that European Central Bank (ECB) will take the necessary measures to bring medium-term inflation back down to 2%. If necessary, Europe
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CICC: We maintain our baseline forecast that the Fed will not raise interest rates this year, but the threshold for a rate hike has already been lowered.
Svmuu News CICC: According to a research report, the U.S. CPI for June fell 0.4% month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis, while the year-over-year increase slowed to 3.5%; core CPI showed zero
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Kevin Warsh: The Federal Reserve Is Reluctant to Bail Out Cryptocurrencies or Stablecoins
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh stated at a House Financial Services Committee hearing on July 14 that the Fed has no intention of providing a bailout if a run occurs in the cryptocur
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Federal Reserve Chair Warsh: Will Firmly Support the 2% Inflation Target
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh said he will firmly support the 2% inflation target. (Jin Shi)
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June CPI data support the market view that the likelihood of a Fed rate hike is overestimated
Svmuu News: Tony Welch of SignatureFD said the market has overestimated the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike. Following weak CPI inflation data in June, the futures market has priced in a low
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Warsh: The two aspects of the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate—price stability and maximum employment—are not in conflict with each other
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh outlined his views on the economy. Warsh stated that economic conditions are robust and financial markets appear to be functioning well, but the housing market
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Warsh Emphasizes Monetary Policy Independence and Reaffirms Commitment to the 2% Inflation Target
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh reiterated his commitment not to provide forward guidance on interest rates during a hearing on Tuesday, with his testimony making almost no mention of interest
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Federal Reserve Chair Warsh: Will Re-examine Inflation Framework; Inflation Target Set at 2%
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh testified at a House Financial Services Committee hearing on the “Federal Reserve’s Semiannual Monetary Policy Report,” stating that he hopes for broader econom
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Hassett: Core Inflation Momentum in the U.S. Is Approaching the Fed’s Target
Svmuu News: Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated that the momentum of core inflation in the U.S. is approaching the Federal Reserve’s target, and the latest inflation
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eToro: Rising Oil Prices and Inflation Risks Remain the Focus of Market Trading
Svmuu News: In a report, eToro analyst Lale Akoner stated that the U.S.-Iran conflict is driving up oil prices, exacerbating inflation risks, and may keep interest rates high for an extended period. S
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Asian Stocks, Bonds Set to Decline Thursday on Inflation Jitters
The decline tracks Wall Street losses as an oil rally and stronger-than-expected US economic data fueled inflation concerns and bets on further interest-rate hikes. The yen, near a three-week low, wil
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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ECB's Lane: Eurozone HICP inflation is projected at 3.0% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027.
In a speech in Geneva, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, unveiled the ECB's September macroeconomic projections, forecasting HICP inflation for the Eurozone a
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McDonald's CEO expects high inflation and flat traffic to persist in restaurant industry
McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski stated on Wednesday that the company does not anticipate a change in these conditions, viewing them as the new operating environment. He noted that in the most recent
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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U.S. September PMI data surged to a five-year high, with input costs reaching their highest since 2022, intensifying inflation concerns.
U.S. business activity accelerated significantly in September, with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rising to 57.0, the Services PMI to 58.7, and the Composite PMI to 58.4. All figures substantially
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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Eastmoney Securities Research Institute Report: The world has not yet entered a phase of full tightening, and there is room to increase allocation to US Treasury bonds.
Eastmoney Securities Research Institute released a macro special report on September 23, outlining the characteristics and patterns of ten global synchronized tightening cycles since the 1970s. The re
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Analysts conclude their longest upgrade cycle in five years, holding a net negative view on U.S. corporate earnings prospects for the first time.
For the first time in months, equity analysts have turned net negative on the outlook for U.S. corporate earnings, reflecting concerns about the impact of inflation and high interest rates on company
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Hong Kong's August overall consumer prices rose 1.7% YoY, underlying inflation 1.9%
Hong Kong's overall consumer prices rose by 1.7% year-on-year in August, matching July's figure. The underlying inflation rate, which excludes one-off government relief measures, also remained unchang
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks warns: Out-of-control US fiscal discipline is the fundamental reason for rising interest rates, with the current deficit at about 6% of GDP.
Oaktree Capital co-founder Howard Marks stated in his latest memo on Tuesday that the uncontrolled fiscal discipline in the U.S. is the fundamental reason for rising long-term interest rates, and that
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Singapore Core Inflation Rises Third Month to 2.2% in August, Highest Since 2024
Singapore's core inflation, which excludes housing and private transportation costs, accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year in August, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest
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Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day.
Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day, with the cost of filling up a tank increasing by 40% since the beginning of the year.
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ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
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Citigroup Survey: Inflation Overtakes Tariffs as Family Offices' Top Concern, Wealthy Flock to Gold and US Equities
Inflation has supplanted trade wars and tariffs as the top risk concern for ultra-high-net-worth individuals this year, with interest rate changes and global financial system stability closely followi
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Demand Surges at South African Bond Auction Ahead of Rate Call
Demand surged at an auction of South African government bonds as investors sought relatively high yields ahead of inflation data and a central bank policy meeting scheduled for later this week.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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