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Inflation
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Analyst: Oil Prices Approach the 100-Yuan Mark Again; Alarm Bells Ring Once More as Global Central Banks Raise Interest Rates
Svmuu News: Central banks around the world are grappling with how to respond to oil prices returning to around $100 per barrel. The Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) ma
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Morgan Stanley: The Fed is expected to hold rates steady next week
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley strategists said in a report that recent data suggests the Federal Reserve will hold off on raising rates at its July meeting and is likely to keep rates unchanged for the r
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Analysis: U.S. initial jobless claims fell sharply last week, and the job market remains stable.
Svmuu News: The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. fell sharply last week, indicating that the U.S. job market remains stable and that Federal Reserve officials need to continue focusing on
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Analyst: If tensions persist, Brent crude could rise to $100 per barrel
According to a report by Svmuu, Phillip Nova analyst Priyanka Sachdeva noted that if tensions continue to escalate, Brent crude prices could surge to $100 per barrel. She stated that while the market
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Yields on 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds hit two-month highs as rising oil prices fuel inflation concerns
Svmuu News: The U.S. Treasury market fell, with yields on 10-year and 30-year Treasuries rising to their highest levels in about two months. Surging crude oil prices fueled market concerns that inflat
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CZ: AI cannot combat inflation; Bitcoins possess long-term value storage properties
Svmuu News: CZ posted on X, stating that AI and Bitcoin serve different functions—AI drives productivity gains, while Bitcoin is used to combat inflation and protect wealth. CZ noted that AI cannot pr
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HSBC: The Direct Impact of AI on Inflation Is More Likely to Be Seen in South Korea
Svmuu News: HSBC economists stated in a research report that AI may have a more direct impact on inflation in South Korea, which serves as an upstream hardware supplier. They noted that bottlenecks in
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Coinbase CEO: AI May Continue to Draw Energy Away from Bitcoin Mining in the Long Term, but BTC Prices Are Still Primarily Driven by Inflation Expectations
Svmuu News: Brian Armstrong, CEO of Coinbase, responded on X to Chamath Palihapitiya’s views on market changes in the Bitcoin.Armstrong stated that of the two issues Chamath raised, the shift of margi
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The President of the Cleveland Fed Hints at the Need for Rate Hikes to Combat Inflation; Markets See a 65% Probability of a Rate Hike in September
Svmuu News: Hamack, President of the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, recently hinted that the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates to curb persistently high inflation. Currently, interest
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European Central Bank (ECB) Interest rates are expected to remain unchanged in July, with the deposit rate staying at 2.25%.
Svmuu News: Scotiabank stated that policy adjustments do not have to follow a linear path, especially during periods of high uncertainty. The market expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to keep the
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U.S. Consumer Confidence Index Rises to 54.4; Declining Inflation Expectations Offer Relief to the Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Samuel Tombs of Pantheon noted that the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 54.4 from 49.5 in June, exceeding economists’ expectations of 50.5 but remaining below last
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Fed’s Hamak: There Is No Conflict Between the Fed’s Dual Mandates
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve official Hammack stated that there is no conflict between the Fed’s dual mandates. Persistently high inflation is the greater cause for concern. The labor market is nearing
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Preliminary estimate of the U.S. one-year inflation rate for July: 4.2%, compared to the expected 4.50%
Svmuu News: The preliminary estimate for the U.S. one-year inflation rate in July was 4.2%, compared to a forecast of 4.50% and a previous reading of 4.60%. (Jin Shi)
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U.S. Economic Confidence Falls to a Two-Year Low: 61% of the Public Is Pessimistic About the Outlook, and Most Respondents Are Dissatisfied Donald Trump Economic Policy
Svmuu News: A recent poll released by CNBC shows that pessimism among Americans regarding the economic outlook continues to grow,with 61% of respondents expressing pessimism about current economic con
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Federal Reserve Vice Chair: If Inflation Doesn't Ease in the Short Term, We May Need to Reconsider Our Policy Stance
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Vice Chair Jefferson stated that if inflation does not cool down soon, interest rate hikes should be considered, but the current monetary policy is sound. In remarks prepar
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Federal Reserve's Schmid: Recent inflation data is encouraging, but it is still too early to draw conclusions
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve official Schmid stated that recent inflation data is encouraging, but it is still too early to draw conclusions. When formulating monetary policy, it is time to stop exclud
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Fed's Logan: Interest Rates Should Be Raised to Combat Inflation
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve official Logan stated that the Fed should raise interest rates to combat high inflation. June inflation data showed that price increases were slowing, but not enough to con
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Analysis: The Federal Reserve is likely to keep rates on hold, as inflation remains an unpredictable economic variable
Svmuu News: Federated Hermes fund manager Karen Manna stated in a report that the firm continues to believe the Federal Reserve will largely hold rates steady, while inflation remains one of the most
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CZ: AI can't combat inflation, but Bitcoin can
Svmuu News: CZ posted that while AI is powerful, it cannot protect personal assets from inflation—but Bitcoin can.
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Natixis expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged throughout 2026
Svmuu News: Christopher Hodge, former chief economist at the New York Fed and chief U.S. economist at Natixis, said that Fed Chair Warsh’s hawkish start could create a “credibility trap.” Christopher
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Fidelity International Plans to Rebuild Its Gold Holdings, Believing the Long-Term Bullish Case Remains Unchanged
Svmuu News: Asset management firm Fidelity International has stated that it plans to rebuild its gold positions—which it reduced earlier this year—at an appropriate time in the future, believing that
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The Bank of Korea said it will maintain its stance on raising interest rates going forward
Svmuu News: The Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of Korea stated on the 28th that it will continue to maintain a stance of raising interest rates in the future, while comprehensively considering
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Federal Reserve Governor Cook: Ready to Take Action If Inflation Doesn't Slow Down Soon
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Cook said Wednesday that it would be prudent to wait for inflation to ease for a while, but that the Fed is prepared to take action if inflation does not slow down
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Federal Reserve Chair: AI Is Expected to Drive Up Observable Price Levels Over the Next 12 Months
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash, testifying before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs at a hearing on the “Federal Reserve’s Semiannual Monetary Policy Report,” stated
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Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose to 3.055%, the highest since August 1996.
Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose 8 basis points to 3.055% on Thursday, reaching its highest level since August 1996. This followed a surge in U.S. Treasury yields, driven by a rebound in oil
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Asian Stocks, Bonds Set to Decline Thursday on Inflation Jitters
The decline tracks Wall Street losses as an oil rally and stronger-than-expected US economic data fueled inflation concerns and bets on further interest-rate hikes. The yen, near a three-week low, wil
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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ECB's Lane: Eurozone HICP inflation is projected at 3.0% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027.
In a speech in Geneva, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, unveiled the ECB's September macroeconomic projections, forecasting HICP inflation for the Eurozone a
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McDonald's CEO expects high inflation and flat traffic to persist in restaurant industry
McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski stated on Wednesday that the company does not anticipate a change in these conditions, viewing them as the new operating environment. He noted that in the most recent
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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U.S. September PMI data surged to a five-year high, with input costs reaching their highest since 2022, intensifying inflation concerns.
U.S. business activity accelerated significantly in September, with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rising to 57.0, the Services PMI to 58.7, and the Composite PMI to 58.4. All figures substantially
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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Eastmoney Securities Research Institute Report: The world has not yet entered a phase of full tightening, and there is room to increase allocation to US Treasury bonds.
Eastmoney Securities Research Institute released a macro special report on September 23, outlining the characteristics and patterns of ten global synchronized tightening cycles since the 1970s. The re
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Analysts conclude their longest upgrade cycle in five years, holding a net negative view on U.S. corporate earnings prospects for the first time.
For the first time in months, equity analysts have turned net negative on the outlook for U.S. corporate earnings, reflecting concerns about the impact of inflation and high interest rates on company
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Hong Kong's August overall consumer prices rose 1.7% YoY, underlying inflation 1.9%
Hong Kong's overall consumer prices rose by 1.7% year-on-year in August, matching July's figure. The underlying inflation rate, which excludes one-off government relief measures, also remained unchang
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks warns: Out-of-control US fiscal discipline is the fundamental reason for rising interest rates, with the current deficit at about 6% of GDP.
Oaktree Capital co-founder Howard Marks stated in his latest memo on Tuesday that the uncontrolled fiscal discipline in the U.S. is the fundamental reason for rising long-term interest rates, and that
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Singapore Core Inflation Rises Third Month to 2.2% in August, Highest Since 2024
Singapore's core inflation, which excludes housing and private transportation costs, accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year in August, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest
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Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day.
Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day, with the cost of filling up a tank increasing by 40% since the beginning of the year.
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ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
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Citigroup Survey: Inflation Overtakes Tariffs as Family Offices' Top Concern, Wealthy Flock to Gold and US Equities
Inflation has supplanted trade wars and tariffs as the top risk concern for ultra-high-net-worth individuals this year, with interest rate changes and global financial system stability closely followi
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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