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Inflation
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Bitcoin traders reduced bullish bets ahead of US inflation data, with Bitcoin pulling back from $80,000 to $78,000.
AI trading terminal OrderX data shows that as Bitcoin retreated from $80,000 to approximately $78,000, bullish option skew continued to soften, and traders are reducing their long exposure. The US is
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US CPI Report to Guide Fed Decision on Rates; Officials Prepared to Raise Rates if Inflation Doesn't Improve Soon
Federal Reserve officials have signaled they are prepared to raise interest rates if inflation does not improve soon, though they acknowledge their main policy tool may do little to restrain some of t
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U.S. government bond yields broadly rose on Thursday, with the 10-year yield hitting a new high of 4.8589% since November 2023, as investors awaited wholesale inflation data.
U.S. government bond yields generally rose on Thursday, with the 10-year Treasury yield climbing over 2 basis points to 4.8589%, reaching its highest level since November 2023. The 2-year yield rose 1
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Japanese life insurers are expanding real estate investments to counter inflation, with Meiji Yasuda Life planning to double its real estate holdings to $13 billion by 2040.
Japanese life insurance companies are expanding their real estate investments to counter inflation and seek stable returns, with Meiji Yasuda Life planning to double its real estate holdings to $13 bi
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Donald Trump promised to distribute $5,000 checks to the public if the Republican Party wins the midterm elections.
Former U.S. President Donald Trump made this promise at the Republican midterm election rally in Dallas. MarketWatch noted that Trump had previously promised but failed to deliver tariff dividends las
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Asian Stocks Slide, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index Down 1.15%, as Brent Crude Tops $100 Amid Middle East War Fears and Ahead of US Inflation Data
Asian stocks retreated with Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index opening down 289 points, or 1.15%, at 24,985. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.31%, Japan's Nikkei 225 opened 0.57% lo
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Seoul shares open lower, Kospi down 0.29% to 7,031.53, tracking Wall Street losses amid Mideast tensions and rising oil prices
Seoul shares opened lower Thursday, tracking Wall Street losses, as surging oil prices caused by intensifying tensions in the Middle East fueled inflation concerns ahead of key US inflation data. The
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Gold prices held steady near $4,400 as traders weighed the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
Gold prices stabilized around $4,400 per ounce, with traders awaiting US inflation data later this week to gauge whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates. This follows a 1% rise in gold d
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US national average diesel price hits new record of $5.94 a gallon, surpassing June 2022 peak and beating previous 2026 record set days earlier
The national average price for diesel in the US reached a record $5.94 a gallon on Wednesday, exceeding the previous record set just days prior and the peak from June 2022. This surge in diesel prices
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Asian stocks are expected to fall on Thursday, tracking Wall Street's decline, as surging oil prices and U.S. Treasury yields fuel inflation concerns; U.S. crude has risen for eight consecutive trading days.
Asian stocks are expected to fall on Thursday, tracking Wall Street's decline, as surging oil prices and U.S. Treasury yields fuel inflation concerns; U.S. crude has risen for eight consecutive tradin
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Trump says it will take a little bit longer for gasoline prices to come down.
Trump says it will take a little bit longer for gasoline prices to come down.
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International Commodity Prices Near 18-Year High Amid Middle East Conflict, AI Demand, and Dollar Weakness
A broad gauge of international commodity prices is approaching its highest level in 18 years, driven by fighting in the Middle East, growing demand tied to artificial intelligence, and declining confi
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The 2026 Bund Summit Forum will bring together Nobel laureate Thomas J. Sargent and other scholars to discuss new paradigms for AI-driven economic growth, inflationary pressures, and employment restructuring.
On September 9, at the "New Paradigm of AI Economic Growth and Reconstruction of Social Value" insights forum during the 2026 Inclusion · Bund Conference, scholars and industry representatives includi
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Jim Cramer warns interest rates are unlikely to drop, citing "unholy developments" including the U.S. war with Iran
CNBC's Mad Money host Jim Cramer believes interest rates will not fall soon, attributing this to the U.S. war with Iran and the stance of newly installed Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh. Cramer n
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Northwestern Mutual's Matt Stucky says hotter-than-expected inflation could increase the chances of a Fed rate hike this month
Stucky notes that markets currently see roughly a 50-50 chance of a hike. Friday’s core CPI is expected to rise 0.2% month-over-month, and a stronger reading, combined with the resilient U.S. labor ma
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Wall Street strategists raise S&P 500 targets past 8,000, with Ed Yardeni setting 8,400, but warn of growing pullback risks
Wall Street strategists are raising their S&P 500 price targets above 8,000, with RBC Capital Markets maintaining its 12-month target at 8,150, and prominent strategist Ed Yardeni raising his year-end
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Central Banks Focus on Fuel Prices as Inflation Risk; BoE Governor Bailey Says Refined Fuel Prices Better Signal, Estimates 0.4 Pct Point Inflation Boost by H2 2026
Central banks are increasingly watching refining margins, or “crack spreads,” as fuel shortages push gasoline and diesel prices higher. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stated that refined fuel
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ING Chief Economist Blom Says One ECB Rate Hike 'Could Be Enough'
Marieke Blom, chief economist and global head of research at ING, told Bloomberg Television that they don't see much inflationary pressure in core inflation, services, and wages. The European Central
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Dollar Nears Seven-Month Low as Yen Rallies; Traders Focus on US Buybacks and Inflation Data This Week
The dollar neared its lowest in nearly seven months as the yen rallied, with traders looking ahead to the US Treasury’s buyback announcement and inflation data later this week.
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China's National Bureau of Statistics: In August 2026, the national consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.8% year-on-year, in line with expectations.
China's National Bureau of Statistics announced that in August 2026, the national Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.8% year-on-year. Specifically, urban areas saw an increase of 0.8%, rural areas 0
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Aristotle Pacific's Jeff Klingelhofer sees mispricing in fixed income, positions funds long duration on Fed Chair Warsh's inflation stance
Aristotle Pacific, which manages approximately $16 billion in assets, employs a relative value bond strategy across fixed income sectors. Portfolio Manager Jeff Klingelhofer believes the market is und
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Kroger (KR) stock has fallen 15.42% over the past year, with a more than 20% drop in Q2, due to inflationary pressures and slowing sales.
Kroger (KR) stock has fallen 15.42% over the past year, with a Q2 decline exceeding 20%, due to inflationary pressures and slowing sales. Harbor Mid Cap Value Fund, in its Q2 2026 letter to investors,
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Nikkei Asia: Inflation Threat May End Japan's Seven-Month Streak of Real Wage Growth
Japan's real wages have seen year-on-year growth for seven consecutive months (as of July), but Nikkei Asia reports that the threat of inflation, driven by an anticipated surge in food and energy pric
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New York Fed report shows increased US consumer concerns about personal finances and employment.
U.S. consumers grew more concerned about the job market and their personal financial situations in August, even as their inflation outlook remained largely unchanged, a report from the New York Fed sh
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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ECB's Lane: Eurozone HICP inflation is projected at 3.0% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027.
In a speech in Geneva, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, unveiled the ECB's September macroeconomic projections, forecasting HICP inflation for the Eurozone a
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McDonald's CEO expects high inflation and flat traffic to persist in restaurant industry
McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski stated on Wednesday that the company does not anticipate a change in these conditions, viewing them as the new operating environment. He noted that in the most recent
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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U.S. September PMI data surged to a five-year high, with input costs reaching their highest since 2022, intensifying inflation concerns.
U.S. business activity accelerated significantly in September, with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rising to 57.0, the Services PMI to 58.7, and the Composite PMI to 58.4. All figures substantially
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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Eastmoney Securities Research Institute Report: The world has not yet entered a phase of full tightening, and there is room to increase allocation to US Treasury bonds.
Eastmoney Securities Research Institute released a macro special report on September 23, outlining the characteristics and patterns of ten global synchronized tightening cycles since the 1970s. The re
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Analysts conclude their longest upgrade cycle in five years, holding a net negative view on U.S. corporate earnings prospects for the first time.
For the first time in months, equity analysts have turned net negative on the outlook for U.S. corporate earnings, reflecting concerns about the impact of inflation and high interest rates on company
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Hong Kong's August overall consumer prices rose 1.7% YoY, underlying inflation 1.9%
Hong Kong's overall consumer prices rose by 1.7% year-on-year in August, matching July's figure. The underlying inflation rate, which excludes one-off government relief measures, also remained unchang
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks warns: Out-of-control US fiscal discipline is the fundamental reason for rising interest rates, with the current deficit at about 6% of GDP.
Oaktree Capital co-founder Howard Marks stated in his latest memo on Tuesday that the uncontrolled fiscal discipline in the U.S. is the fundamental reason for rising long-term interest rates, and that
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Singapore Core Inflation Rises Third Month to 2.2% in August, Highest Since 2024
Singapore's core inflation, which excludes housing and private transportation costs, accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year in August, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest
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Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day.
Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day, with the cost of filling up a tank increasing by 40% since the beginning of the year.
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ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
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Citigroup Survey: Inflation Overtakes Tariffs as Family Offices' Top Concern, Wealthy Flock to Gold and US Equities
Inflation has supplanted trade wars and tariffs as the top risk concern for ultra-high-net-worth individuals this year, with interest rate changes and global financial system stability closely followi
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Demand Surges at South African Bond Auction Ahead of Rate Call
Demand surged at an auction of South African government bonds as investors sought relatively high yields ahead of inflation data and a central bank policy meeting scheduled for later this week.
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ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood dismisses Fed rate-hike fears, expects tech innovation to drive stronger growth and lower inflation
ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood states that higher interest rates will not derail the technology boom, arguing that rapid innovation will drive stronger economic growth. Wood anticipates the current tech r
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U.S. Treasury yields retreated as the market focused on ADP employment data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that all Iranian airlines would be shut down starting Wednesday.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell 2 basis points to 4.943%, the 2-year yield dropped 1 basis point to 4.741%, and the 30-year yield declined 2 basis points to 5.272%. Investors are awaiting th
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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Report: Apple is developing a screenless fitness tracker prototype, targeting Whoop, with a potential launch as early as 2028; Garmin's stock price fell by as much as 2.5% intraday.
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