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Inflation
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RBNZ Warns Near-Term Inflation May Beat Estimates, Adding to Signs of Another Rate Hike as Soon as October
RBNZ Warns Near-Term Inflation May Beat Estimates, Adding to Signs of Another Rate Hike as Soon as October
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JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon: Hyperscale cloud companies' AI spending may reach $1 trillion next year, expected to boost GDP by 1% annually and push up inflation.
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon: Hyperscale cloud companies' AI spending may reach $1 trillion next year, expected to boost GDP by 1% annually and push up inflation.
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Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem warns: New US tariffs could push Q4 economic growth below 1%, high oil prices exacerbate inflation.
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem stated on Monday that a new round of U.S. tariffs could prompt businesses to delay investment and hiring, causing Canada's fourth-quarter economic growth to "rough
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Fed's Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Likely Needed to Cool Prices, Policy May Still Be Stimulative
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem said additional interest rate increases may be needed to achieve the central bank’s inflation goal, adding that monetary policy may still be
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Billionaire Tim Draper Criticizes Apple and Meta for Not Holding Bitcoin, Calls It "Irresponsible"
Billionaire venture capitalist Tim Draper stated that it is "irresponsible" for companies the size of Apple and Meta not to hold Bitcoin as part of their corporate reserves. He believes that current f
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Deutsche Bank macro strategists warn: Markets may again be underestimating the terminal interest rate after synchronized rate hikes by the world's three major central banks.
Deutsche Bank macro strategist Henry Allen warned on Monday that despite the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan all raising interest rates in the past two weeks, the mar
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Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
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U.S. fuel prices are surging, with diesel nearing $6.50/gallon and gasoline rising to $4.48/gallon, which could push inflation expectations higher and reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance.
U.S. diesel prices have surged to nearly $6.50/gallon, up approximately 18% from the August average, while gasoline prices have climbed to $4.48/gallon. Consumer surveys have not yet fully reflected t
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Fed's Goolsbee warns: Returning to 2% inflation target "will not be without pain," employment and wages may pay the price.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee stated on Monday that supply shocks have become more frequent and persistent in recent years, and the Federal Reserve can no longer simply "look through" them as
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Fed's Goolsbee: Rate cuts would be "no problem" if inflation clearly returns to 2%.
The Federal Reserve's Austan Goolsbee stated he would have "no problem" with cutting interest rates if inflation clearly returns to the 2% target. He believes the Fed is currently facing an inflation
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Iran’s GDP shrank 10.1% in Q1 (March 21-June 20) amid US-Israel war, with oil and gas sector contracting 26.4%
Official data from the Statistical Center of Iran shows the country's gross domestic product (GDP) contracted by 10.1% year-on-year during the first quarter of the Persian calendar (March 21 to June 2
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Bitcoin's $80k rally faces inflation expectations test this week, with price model predicting $95k
CryptoSlate analysis indicates that Bitcoin's rebound above $80,000 could be tested by two key economic reports this week. The University of Michigan's final September consumer survey, due September 2
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Bloomberg Markets Analysis: The market can handle the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, but not uncertainty.
Bloomberg Markets analysis indicates that the Federal Reserve's increasing clarity in its commitment to combating inflation provides a bullish case for investors, but risks related to oil prices and a
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Institutional investors stockpile cash at record pace, retreat from US/UK equities due to inflation and geopolitical risks: Marsh Investments survey
Institutional investors stockpile cash at record pace, retreat from US/UK equities due to inflation and geopolitical risks: Marsh Investments survey
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Global shipping costs surge 201%, nearing 2021 peak; tanker charter rates hit record highs; Saudi Aramco suspends crude oil deliveries due to attacks.
Global shipping costs are experiencing a new round of severe shocks, with container freight rates surging by 201%, nearing the crisis peak of 2021, while geopolitical turmoil has pushed tanker charter
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Donald Trump posted that gasoline prices and almost all other prices have been much higher under Biden's term than under his own.
Donald Trump posted that gasoline prices and almost all other prices have been much higher under Biden's term than under his own.
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U.S. retail diesel prices have surpassed $6.50 per gallon for the first time, as the war exacerbates global fuel supply tightness.
U.S. retail diesel prices have surpassed $6.50 per gallon for the first time, extending a war-driven rally that is having ripple effects across the economy.
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Wall Street's three major banks predict the U.S. Treasury will issue approximately $1 trillion in short-term Treasury bills over the next year, posing a dilemma for Scott Bessent's policy.
Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and Goldman Sachs latest forecasts indicate that the U.S. Treasury will net borrow approximately $1 trillion through the issuance of short-term Treasury bills in the c
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Gold holds steady as traders weigh inflation and Federal Reserve rate hike prospects.
Gold prices held steady as traders weighed the risks of persistent inflation against the Federal Reserve's path for interest rate hikes. This follows the Fed's first rate hike since 2023, with a unani
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Black Sea shipping turmoil impacts wheat market, exacerbating inflation risks
The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has disrupted crucial grain shipments in the Black Sea region, forcing buyers to scramble for alternative supplies and further amplifying global inflation risks
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US Treasury investors are shifting to short-term bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will succeed in curbing inflation.
U.S. government bond investors are shifting their focus to holding short-term government bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will ultimately succeed in curbing inflation. This comes after the two-
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Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy
Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy, with a major risk being that high diesel prices will continue to put upward pressure on inflation.
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Iran's car market prices surge 40-130% since February, with officials calling it a 'mafia system', highlighting cost-of-living crisis
Domestic car prices in Iran have mostly risen 40% to 80% since the start of the war in February, with some vehicles selling for over 130% of their September 2025 costs. This makes even locally made ca
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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ECB President Christine Lagarde: October inflation rose to 4% mainly driven by energy, core inflation remains stable
In an interview with the Yomiuri Shimbun, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that headline inflation rose to 4% in October, driven primarily by an increase in energy inflation (t
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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U.S. November University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 51.0, beating expectations
The US November University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 51.0, beating the market expectation of 48.0. Specifically, the Current Economic Conditions Index came in at 51.0 (compared to 4
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Bank of England raises interest rates by 25 basis points to 4% and expects inflation to be near 5% next year
The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate hike, bringing its benchmark rate to 4%. The current interest rate level reflects growing concerns over inflation exacerbated by persistent
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Bitcoin's rate-cut rally has stalled due to rising services inflation
Bitcoin's rate-cut relief rally has stalled due to surging service sector inflation. Although the October services prices index edged down to 73, its 12-month moving average reached 69.2, hitting the
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Analysts say that as a net energy exporter, Malaysia is attracting buyers into its government bonds to hedge against regional inflation.
Analysts say that as a net energy exporter, Malaysia is attracting buyers into its government bonds to hedge against regional inflation.
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Canada and Bank of Canada Renew Policy Framework to Focus on 2% Inflation Target
Canada and the Bank of Canada have renewed their policy framework, narrowing its focus on price stability and confirming that hitting its 2% inflation target is its most important priority.
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Reform UK leader Farage fears Trump will continue attacking Iran after the US midterm elections.
Reform UK leader and British Member of Parliament Nigel Farage has expressed concern that his political ally, US President Donald Trump, might launch further attacks on Iran following a defeat in the
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ECB President Lagarde: Energy shocks and AI are pulling the current situation in opposite directions
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that energy shocks and artificial intelligence are pulling the current economic situation in opposite directions, making it difficult to disent
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Zandi: Little Substantive Change Expected in US Economic Policy After Midterm Landslide for Democrats
Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Zandi said that following the Democrats' landslide victory in the midterm elections, he expects no changes to U.S. economic policy; policies such as tariffs, trade po
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Yardeni: US 10-year Treasury yields attractive at 5% amid cooling inflation
Yardeni: US 10-year Treasury yields attractive at 5% amid cooling inflation
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Philippines' October inflation rate rises to 7.8%, nearing four-year high
The Philippines' inflation rate rose to 7.8% in October, marking the fastest pace in nearly four years. This was primarily driven by the ongoing Middle East conflict, which pushed up fuel, electricity
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US Vice President JD Vance blamed the Republican midterm election defeats on the Iran war.
US Vice President JD Vance stated that the Republican Party's defeat in the midterms was due to voters who supported Donald Trump in 2024 shifting toward the Democrats, noting that internal polling sh
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International Policy Analyst: US Midterm Election Results Indicate War with Iran Has Become a Political Liability
Citing analysis from Negar Mortazavi, a senior researcher at the Center for International Policy, Al Jazeera's live updates noted that the US midterm election results indicate the US president cannot
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Discontent with Donald Trump's Policies and the War with Iran
Political analyst Rami Khouri stated that the results of the U.S. midterm elections reflect widespread public dissatisfaction with Donald Trump's policies, noting that the war with Iran has highlighte
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Protests Against Trump's Iran War and Economic Consequences
Political analyst Yousef Munayyer said in an interview with Al Jazeera that the U.S. midterm election results reflect widespread public anger over Donald Trump's war with Iran and its ensuing economic
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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Bloomberg: Private Survey Shows Unexpected Slowdown in China's Services Sector as Firms Cut Prices
According to Bloomberg, a private survey showed that growth in China's services sector unexpectedly slowed, hitting its first deceleration since July. Business confidence weakened, and firms lowered t
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White House: Prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in over 60 years under the Trump administration, with a cumulative drop of 4.5% in 2026.
The White House stated that under President Donald Trump, prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in decades, providing millions of Americans with tangible and measurable financial
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JetBlue raises checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs
JetBlue has raised its checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs. For off-peak travel, the fee for a first checked bag purchased more than 24 hours in advance by economy p
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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