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Inflation
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ECB's DeMarco: Stronger Core Inflation Could Be Grounds to Act
ECB's DeMarco: Stronger Core Inflation Could Be Grounds to Act
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US Muni Bonds on Track for Worst Monthly Loss Since 1987 on Iran Tensions, Inflation
US municipal debt is poised for its worst monthly performance in nearly 40 years, amid a global bond market shakeout driven by rising Iran tensions and persistent inflation concerns.
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National Economic Council Director Hassett: U.S. still grappling with impact of Biden's Covid spending, which was a "big mistake"
National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett stated on Tuesday that the U.S. is still dealing with the impact of Covid-19 related stimulus spending from former President Joe Biden's first year in
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Iranians stock up on food and medicine amid fears of new US fighting and tightening embargo
Iranians are stocking up on food and medicines as fears grow that the country will face dire shortages due to tightening US sanctions and a naval blockade. The Iranian government had managed to keep h
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The average price of diesel in the UK is expected to reach £2 per liter within days.
The average price of diesel in the UK is expected to reach £2 per liter within days.
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points each in December and March next year, not ruling out a rate hike in October.
Following the surge in U.S. Treasury yields, the market is closely watching statements from Federal Reserve officials. Deutsche Bank stated that policymakers generally hold a hawkish stance and expect
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose 27.5 basis points over four days, its largest increase since April 2025.
The Wall Street Journal reported that the rise in U.S. government bond yields is starting to show signs of panic. Without new news on inflation, growth, Federal Reserve tightening, budget deficits, or
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Texas Allows Wider Use of Dyed Diesel for Farmers and Truckers Amid Fuel Crunch
Governor Greg Abbott issued a disaster proclamation on Monday, enabling the use of tax-exempt dyed diesel on Texas roads, which is typically restricted to off-road vehicles. The measure also permits h
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Bitcoin faces a critical test at $85,000, with Wall Street focused on multiple US inflation and employment data releases this week.
Glassnode analysis shows that the $84,000-$85,000 range is a concentrated buying area for Bitcoin long-term holders, and Bitcoin is now testing this critical price zone after hitting an intraday low o
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Analysts forecast 10-year Treasury yield to hit 6%, with implications for Bitcoin
10x Research founder Markus Thielen and Niles Investment Management founder Dan Niles predict the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield could reach 6% in the coming months, a level last seen in 2000. Thielen no
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Citi warns: Middle East and Russian diesel exports are both contracting, with a projected global diesel deficit of approximately 1 million barrels per day this year.
Citigroup noted in a report published on September 28 that the synchronized contraction of diesel exports from the Middle East and Russia, coupled with refinery production cuts, is expected to result
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U.S. Treasury yields dip early Tuesday, with 10-year note down 1 bp to 5.2278%
U.S. Treasury yields dipped early Tuesday amid persistent concerns over inflationary pressures. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield fell about 1 basis point to 5.2278%, while the 30-year Treasury bon
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Australia's central bank raises interest rates to 15-year high, marking fourth hike this year
Australia's central bank on Tuesday raised interest rates to their highest level in 15 years, the fourth hike this year, as the country continues to battle inflation exacerbated by global price shocks
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Bitcoin holds above $83,000 as ZEC drops 12%, oil climbs to nearly $107, and global stocks hit one-week low amid rising bond yields
Bitcoin slipped under 1% to just above $83,100 in Asian morning hours, testing last week's range floor, as the 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.25%, its highest since 2007. ZEC fell 12% to about $1,38
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Citi Research: Employment Data Unlikely to Alter Federal Reserve's October Rate Hike Expectations; September Core CPI Becomes Key
Citigroup Research noted in a September 28 report that the Federal Reserve's policy reaction function has become more sensitive to immediate inflation data and energy prices. The bank anticipates that
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The Singapore dollar edged lower against the US dollar in Asian trading, with the greenback appreciating 0.1% to S$1.2777.
The Singapore dollar edged lower against the US dollar in Asian trading, with the greenback strengthening 0.1% to S$1.2777. The Wall Street Journal cited OCBC Bank research strategists, stating that o
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Seoul stocks open lower Tuesday, with KOSPI falling 0.19% to 6,876.43, tracking Wall Street losses amid rising oil prices, inflation concerns, and Middle East tensions.
Seoul stocks open lower Tuesday, with KOSPI falling 0.19% to 6,876.43, tracking Wall Street losses amid rising oil prices, inflation concerns, and Middle East tensions.
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Global bond yields are nearing 4% for the first time since 2007, with overall US Treasury rates hitting a 20-year high.
On Monday, as oil prices rose, government bond yields across all maturities climbed by 7 to 8 basis points, pushing the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index close to 4% for the first time since 2007.
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US stocks fall sharply on Monday, S&P 500 sees largest daily drop since Aug 20; oil prices and Treasury yields rise amid Iran war uncertainty
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 347 points (0.7%) to 51,481, the S&P 500 lost 59 points (0.8%) to 7,683, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 248 points (0.9%) to 26,820. The S&P 500's decline was its
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Asian Bonds Expected to Decline as Oil Fans Inflation Fears
Asian bonds are poised to track Treasuries lower, driven by elevated oil prices, increased inflation concerns, and market bets on further Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes.
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Gold falls 3.3% to over seven-week low of $4,146.51/oz, silver drops 4.7% as oil prices rise and US dollar strengthens
Spot gold prices fell 3.3% to $4,146.51 per ounce on Monday, marking its lowest level since August 5. US gold futures also declined 3.3% to $4,178.40. Spot silver fell 4.7% to $61.27 per ounce, platin
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ECB's Lagarde: Rising long-term interest rates will curb growth and inflation; market expectations for an October rate hike fall to below 40%.
European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde stated on Monday that the significant rise in long-term interest rates would slow economic growth and curb inflation to an extent greater than t
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Fed Governor Cook Expects Continued Inflationary Pressure from AI Buildout, Higher Oil Prices, and Middle East Conflict
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook stated that in the coming months, she anticipates sustained inflationary pressure stemming from the ongoing AI buildout, elevated oil prices, and supply chain disrup
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Former BoC and BoE Governor Mark Carney states Canada's core inflation at 2% and strong fiscal position mean less pressure than other jurisdictions
In an interview, Mark Carney, former Governor of the Bank of Canada and Bank of England, defended central bank independence. He noted that Canada's core inflation is running at 2%, with headline infla
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ECB President Christine Lagarde: October inflation rose to 4% mainly driven by energy, core inflation remains stable
In an interview with the Yomiuri Shimbun, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that headline inflation rose to 4% in October, driven primarily by an increase in energy inflation (t
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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U.S. November University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 51.0, beating expectations
The US November University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 51.0, beating the market expectation of 48.0. Specifically, the Current Economic Conditions Index came in at 51.0 (compared to 4
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Bank of England raises interest rates by 25 basis points to 4% and expects inflation to be near 5% next year
The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate hike, bringing its benchmark rate to 4%. The current interest rate level reflects growing concerns over inflation exacerbated by persistent
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Bitcoin's rate-cut rally has stalled due to rising services inflation
Bitcoin's rate-cut relief rally has stalled due to surging service sector inflation. Although the October services prices index edged down to 73, its 12-month moving average reached 69.2, hitting the
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Analysts say that as a net energy exporter, Malaysia is attracting buyers into its government bonds to hedge against regional inflation.
Analysts say that as a net energy exporter, Malaysia is attracting buyers into its government bonds to hedge against regional inflation.
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Canada and Bank of Canada Renew Policy Framework to Focus on 2% Inflation Target
Canada and the Bank of Canada have renewed their policy framework, narrowing its focus on price stability and confirming that hitting its 2% inflation target is its most important priority.
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Reform UK leader Farage fears Trump will continue attacking Iran after the US midterm elections.
Reform UK leader and British Member of Parliament Nigel Farage has expressed concern that his political ally, US President Donald Trump, might launch further attacks on Iran following a defeat in the
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ECB President Lagarde: Energy shocks and AI are pulling the current situation in opposite directions
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that energy shocks and artificial intelligence are pulling the current economic situation in opposite directions, making it difficult to disent
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Zandi: Little Substantive Change Expected in US Economic Policy After Midterm Landslide for Democrats
Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Zandi said that following the Democrats' landslide victory in the midterm elections, he expects no changes to U.S. economic policy; policies such as tariffs, trade po
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Yardeni: US 10-year Treasury yields attractive at 5% amid cooling inflation
Yardeni: US 10-year Treasury yields attractive at 5% amid cooling inflation
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Philippines' October inflation rate rises to 7.8%, nearing four-year high
The Philippines' inflation rate rose to 7.8% in October, marking the fastest pace in nearly four years. This was primarily driven by the ongoing Middle East conflict, which pushed up fuel, electricity
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US Vice President JD Vance blamed the Republican midterm election defeats on the Iran war.
US Vice President JD Vance stated that the Republican Party's defeat in the midterms was due to voters who supported Donald Trump in 2024 shifting toward the Democrats, noting that internal polling sh
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International Policy Analyst: US Midterm Election Results Indicate War with Iran Has Become a Political Liability
Citing analysis from Negar Mortazavi, a senior researcher at the Center for International Policy, Al Jazeera's live updates noted that the US midterm election results indicate the US president cannot
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Discontent with Donald Trump's Policies and the War with Iran
Political analyst Rami Khouri stated that the results of the U.S. midterm elections reflect widespread public dissatisfaction with Donald Trump's policies, noting that the war with Iran has highlighte
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Protests Against Trump's Iran War and Economic Consequences
Political analyst Yousef Munayyer said in an interview with Al Jazeera that the U.S. midterm election results reflect widespread public anger over Donald Trump's war with Iran and its ensuing economic
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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Bloomberg: Private Survey Shows Unexpected Slowdown in China's Services Sector as Firms Cut Prices
According to Bloomberg, a private survey showed that growth in China's services sector unexpectedly slowed, hitting its first deceleration since July. Business confidence weakened, and firms lowered t
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White House: Prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in over 60 years under the Trump administration, with a cumulative drop of 4.5% in 2026.
The White House stated that under President Donald Trump, prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in decades, providing millions of Americans with tangible and measurable financial
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JetBlue raises checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs
JetBlue has raised its checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs. For off-peak travel, the fee for a first checked bag purchased more than 24 hours in advance by economy p
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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