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Interest rate hike
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Traders price in 4 Fed rate hikes by June 2027 as bitcoin slides below $83,000
Traders are pricing in four quarter-point rate hikes by the Federal Reserve by June 2027, which would bring the federal funds rate to a 4.75% to 5% range. This comes as U.S. Treasury yields across the
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Allspring and BlueBay challenge rate-hike bets, sticking with short-dated bonds in Europe and the UK as they believe expectations for interest rate increases have gone too far.
Allspring and BlueBay challenge rate-hike bets, sticking with short-dated bonds in Europe and the UK as they believe expectations for interest rate increases have gone too far.
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New York Fed President Williams: Market expectations for another rate hike by year-end are "reasonable"; the AI boom is a demand shock that could make inflation more persistent.
New York Fed President Williams: Market expectations for another rate hike by year-end are "reasonable"; the AI boom is a demand shock that could make inflation more persistent.
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Global bond sell-off deepens as oil holds above $100, with Fed October rate hike expectations at ~70%
Global bond sell-off deepens as oil holds above $100, with Fed October rate hike expectations at ~70%. Rising yields are straining public finances.
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Gold maintained its decline as rising oil prices and strong US data intensified expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
Gold maintained its decline as rising oil prices and strong US data intensified expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
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U.S. Treasury Market Faces "Perfect Storm": 10-Year Treasury Yield Surges 14 Basis Points to 5.113%, a New High Since 2007
The U.S. Treasury market experienced its worst single-day sell-off in nearly 18 months on Wednesday, with the 10-year Treasury yield surging approximately 14 basis points to close at 5.113%, breaking
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Asian Stocks, Bonds Set to Decline Thursday on Inflation Jitters
The decline tracks Wall Street losses as an oil rally and stronger-than-expected US economic data fueled inflation concerns and bets on further interest-rate hikes. The yen, near a three-week low, wil
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Analysts point out that a 25 basis point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve will result in US credit card borrowers paying an additional $2 billion in interest over the next 12 months, with young and low-income households being more significantly affected.
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate at the conclusion of its September meeting and hinted at another potential rate hike this year. Analysts noted that this 25-basis-point increase
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Former White House economic advisor Hassett questions the Federal Reserve's rate hike decision
Former White House economic advisor Hassett questions the Federal Reserve's rate hike decision
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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OECD does not believe the Bank of England needs to raise interest rates, citing the UK's 'different starting position' on monetary policy
The Paris-based group stated that the UK is 'starting from a different position' on monetary policy compared with other countries.
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Dollar hits 8-week high, DXY at 100.862, as Fed hike bets surge; markets price 53% chance of Oct 25bp hike and fully price Dec hike
Dollar hits 8-week high, DXY at 100.862, as Fed hike bets surge; markets price 53% chance of Oct 25bp hike and fully price Dec hike
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Euro Hits Two-Month Low Against Dollar as Options Traders Bet on Further Weakness After Fed Rate Hike
The euro fell to its lowest in nearly two months versus the dollar, as options traders stepped up bets on further weakness following the Federal Reserve’s latest interest-rate increase.
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Options traders are increasing their hedges against a shallower Federal Reserve hiking cycle than the market anticipates.
Bloomberg Markets reports that options traders are hedging against the possibility that the Federal Reserve's rate hikes might be smaller than currently priced in by the market.
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MarketWatch analysis: Bond market flashing warning for stocks as yield curve flattens, potentially inverting
MarketWatch analysis indicates that the U.S. Treasury yield curve has flattened dramatically since the start of the Iran war, driven by surging oil prices and market expectations of Federal Reserve in
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Demand for the U.S. Treasury's two-year note auction was strong, with the yield reaching 4.787%, a new high since May 2024.
The U.S. Treasury auctioned $69 billion in two-year notes on Tuesday, with a high yield of 4.787%, the highest since the May 2024 auction (which yielded 4.917%). The auction comes as investors brace f
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Jobs experts weigh in on fall hiring trends: September surge expected to be a 'bump' rather than a 'surge', with Fed rate hike potentially slowing market
Career coaches anticipate a "bump" in fall hiring, but not a full "surge" as seen in previous years. The Federal Reserve's interest rate hike on September 16 to 3.75%-4%, its first increase since July
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The Wall Street Journal: The delinquency rate for some multi-family apartment mortgage pools issued in 2021 rose to 28% in August.
The delinquency rate for commercial real estate collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) rose to 28% in August, up from 19% in July. These floating-rate loans are sometimes used to finance riskier acqui
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RBNZ Warns Near-Term Inflation May Beat Estimates, Adding to Signs of Another Rate Hike as Soon as October
RBNZ Warns Near-Term Inflation May Beat Estimates, Adding to Signs of Another Rate Hike as Soon as October
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Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, dropping below the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, with a weekly decline of nearly 4%.
Gold futures fell 1.10% to $3,980.80 per ounce, breaching the $4,000 mark, as inflation concerns and interest rate hike expectations triggered a sell-off, leading to a nearly 4% weekly decline. Rising
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Japan's core CPI for September rose to 2.1%, exceeding 2% for the first time this year; over 80% of economists expect the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to raise interest rates in December.
Japan's core CPI rose 2.1% year-on-year in September, exceeding the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the first time in nine months, data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications showed to
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Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
Japan's inflation rose above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) target level for the first time this year, supporting expectations for a December rate hike.
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Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated that the country's economic growth could fall below the 1.75% forecast in the May budget, impacted by interest rate hikes and inflation.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
The Philippine central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.5% on Thursday to curb inflation, double the amount economists predicted, Nikkei Asia reported.
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Bank of Korea maintains policy rate at 3%, following President Lee Jae-myung's call for increased housing supply.
The Bank of Korea announced on Thursday that it would keep its policy rate unchanged at 3%, in line with market expectations, following two consecutive rate hikes. This decision comes after President
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Sells Out 128 Hong Kong Apartments Amid Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), one of Hong Kong's largest developers, sold out the latest batch of 128 apartments at its Sierra Sea project in the New Territories on Wednesday. The apartments were so
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UK September inflation jumps to 3.5%, highest since Oct 2025, fueling BoE rate hike bets; public debt surpasses £3 trillion
British consumer price inflation rose to 3.5% in September, up from 3.1% in August, exceeding economists' forecasts of 3.4% and the Bank of England's 3% prediction. This marks the highest inflation ra
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UK inflation jumps to 3.5% in September, highest in a year
U.K. inflation rose by a hotter-than-expected 3.5% in the 12 months to September, driven by surging motor fuel costs, cementing rate hike expectations. This marks a continuation of the upward trend, f
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US Housing Market Deteriorates in September, Flashing Warning Signs as Fed Weighs Rate Hikes
US housing data further deteriorated in September, with pending home sales hitting an all-time low since 2001, falling 7.3% month-over-month. Housing starts also declined 5.2% against expectations, wh
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Decrypt Analysis: Bitcoin Trades Below $83,000, Key Resistance and Support Levels in Focus
Decrypt's analysis indicates that Bitcoin is currently trading below $83,000, above both its short-term and long-term moving averages. The article lists key levels traders are watching: overhead resis
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Treasuries Rise as Oil Retreats From Highest Levels in Weeks, Prompting Traders to Trim Fed Rate Hike Bets
Treasuries rose as benchmark oil prices retreated from the highest levels in weeks, prompting traders to trim wagers on Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes over the coming year.
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as December.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as
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Ares Warns of Australian Private Credit Stress From Rising Rates Amid Struggling Real Estate Market
Peter Graf, partner and head of Asia direct lending at Ares Management Corp., warned that elevated interest rates, including Australia's central bank raising rates four times to 4.6% this year, threat
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Bank Indonesia faces mounting pressure to hike rates after MSCI downgrade threat
Bank Indonesia is under increasing pressure to raise interest rates on Wednesday, as global index provider MSCI warned it may downgrade the country's stock market from emerging-market to standalone st
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Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
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New Zealand Q3 inflation seen easing to 3.8%, but Q4 acceleration is forecast to drive more rate hikes
New Zealand's third-quarter consumer price index is expected to rise 3.8% year-on-year, down from 4.1% in Q2 and slightly below the Reserve Bank's September projection. However, economists anticipate
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Economists, Traders See Growing Bets for Bank of Canada Hike Next Week
More economists and traders expect the Bank of Canada to hike interest rates next week, after the central bank’s latest surveys showed inflation expectations rising.
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Bitcoin hovers around $82,000, testing key support amid rising oil prices, U.S. Treasury yields breaking 5%, and an AI stock sell-off.
Bitcoin hovered near $82,000 on Monday, up about 1% for the day, following weekend attacks on oil tankers in the Persian Gulf and Russian crude facilities, which pushed Brent crude prices close to $10
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Bank of America Still Expects Fed Rate Hike on October 28
Bank of America maintains its forecast for a Fed rate hike on October 28, despite markets pricing in only a 20% probability. The bank warns that persistent inflation and strong economic activity could
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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