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Kalshi
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Prediction Markets Increasingly Skeptical on Near-Term US-Iran Nuclear Deal
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, currently prices the chances of a deal at 11% before March 1, 2027, 22% before January 1, 2028, and 35% before January 20, 2029.
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Research shows Bitcoin contracts on prediction market Kalshi increasingly lead Binance price discovery as BTC breaks $68,000
Research by financial forecasting firm Synth has found that the price movements of 15-minute Bitcoin contracts on Kalshi are increasingly predictive of subsequent Bitcoin price changes on Binance. Sin
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Cantor Fitzgerald Opens Kalshi Prediction Market Trading to Its ~3,000 Institutional Clients
The investment bank will help its institutional clients execute block event contracts on the CFTC-regulated Kalshi exchange. This move aims to increase institutional participation in prediction market
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Kalshi seeks to launch perpetual futures tied to equity indexes, including a "US500" perp linked to the MerQube U.S. Large Cap Index, according to a regulatory filing.
Kalshi seeks to launch perpetual futures tied to equity indexes, including a "US500" perp linked to the MerQube U.S. Large Cap Index, according to a regulatory filing.
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Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
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Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
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New York City Council Launches Investigation into Prediction Market Platforms, Including Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan
The New York City Council has sent letters to Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan, investigating these platforms for alleged "false, deceptive, or abusive marketing tactics" targeting young
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Kalshi becomes the first prediction market to stream full order books via DoubleZero Edge.
Prediction market platform Kalshi announced that it has become the first prediction market to distribute real-time, full order book data through its DoubleZero Edge service. This move will allow insti
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FlightAware drops lawsuit against Kalshi one day after filing
The flight tracker previously claimed that Kalshi improperly used its data and trademark to run prediction markets on flight cancellations.
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CFTC orders prediction market operator Kalshi to continue operating in New York State after the state filed a lawsuit seeking to block its services
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced that it has used its "emergency powers" to order prediction market operator Kalshi to continue operating in New York State. This follows
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KALSHI tops $4 billion in annualized revenue as it seeks $40 billion valuation.
KALSHI tops $4 billion in annualized revenue as it seeks $40 billion valuation.
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US-Iran nuclear deal odds hit new lows on Kalshi, with traders pricing just a 40% chance before 2028 and 50% before Jan. 20, 2029, with contracts sharply down from spring highs.
US-Iran nuclear deal odds hit new lows on Kalshi, with traders pricing just a 40% chance before 2028 and 50% before Jan. 20, 2029, with contracts sharply down from spring highs.
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FlightAware Sues Kalshi Over Alleged Unauthorized Data Use for Flight Cancellation Markets
FlightAware has sued Kalshi over alleged unauthorized data use for flight cancellation markets. FlightAware is also seeking a temporary restraining order to bar Kalshi from activities involving the fl
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Prediction markets platform Kalshi partners with Nasdaq to enhance trade surveillance, adopting Nasdaq's market surveillance tool amid regulatory scrutiny over alleged insider trading
The multi-year partnership aims to bolster monitoring and oversight of trading activity on Kalshi's platform. This move comes as prediction markets face increasing pressure from lawmakers following hi
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Kalshi traders assign 66.9% probability of S&P 500 hitting 8,000 in 2026
Kalshi traders now assign a 66.9% probability that the S&P 500 reaches 8,000 in 2026, after the index rallied more than 5% in four sessions. The S&P 500 is currently just 3.6% below this milestone. Th
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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Blockchain prediction market Polymarket targets $20 billion valuation in new funding round, months after closing a $15 billion round that included a $600 million investment from Intercontine
The move comes as competition intensifies in the prediction market sector, with rival Kalshi reportedly seeking new capital at a $40 billion valuation.
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New York Judge Denies CFTC Motion to Stay Enforcement Action Against Prediction Market Platform Kalshi
The ruling preserves New York State’s case against Kalshi while allowing the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to refile its request before Judge Victor Marrero.
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Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour invoked Nasdaq, Uber, and Airbnb in his defense against a New York lawsuit
Mansour stated during a CNBC interview that the lawsuit could be 'copy and pasted' and filed against Nasdaq, implying the suit's broad applicability.
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Kalshi and Polymarket's Combined Volume Reaches All-Time High in July, Surpassing $50 Billion
Notably, Polymarket US's volume rose 54% in July, while the main Polymarket platform's volume fell 26% compared to June.
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Fed Holds Rates Steady, But Market Odds for a September Hike Rise to 53%
The US Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates, but market expectations for a September rate hike have increased. Despite the Fed holding rates steady and offering no guidance, Kalshi now prices
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New York State Sues Kalshi for $36 Billion Over Alleged Illegal Gambling
New York State has filed a lawsuit against Kalshi, alleging the platform operates an illegal gambling enterprise and seeking at least $36 billion in compensatory damages.
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Markets Split Ahead of Fed Rate Decision: Kalshi Traders Favor Hold, Citadel Securities Expects Hike
Ahead of today's Federal Reserve rate decision, Kalshi traders assign a 77% probability to the Fed holding rates steady and a 23% chance of a surprise 25 basis point hike. However, Citadel Securities
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Kalshi and Polymarket Secure Media Deals Ahead of Midterm Elections
Prediction market operators Kalshi Inc. and Polymarket have struck business partnerships with several media companies, including CNN, CBS News, Dow Jones, and CNBC, ahead of the midterm elections. The
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Kalshi's Senate contracts face settlement risk, with the same election potentially yielding different outcomes.
Prediction market Kalshi's Senate market showed on October 28 that its Senate control contract and Democratic seat count contract could yield different outcomes for the same election event due to diff
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Senators Warren and Curtis Press Kalshi and Polymarket on Election Trading Safeguards
Senators Elizabeth Warren and Katie Britt have pressed prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket for information on their election trading safeguards. The senators have set a November 3 deadli
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CFTC Chairman Calls Utah Lawsuit Against Prediction Market Platform Kalshi "Blatant Overreach"
The Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) stated that Utah's lawsuit against prediction market platform Kalshi is a "blatant overreach." This follows a federal lawsuit that
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Event prediction platform Kalshi completes $1 billion funding round, reaching a valuation of $40 billion, with non-sports revenue run rate exceeding $1 billion.
Event prediction platform Kalshi has completed a $1 billion funding round, valuing the company at $40 billion, with non-sports revenue run rate exceeding $1 billion. This funding comes as the company
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Prediction-market platform Kalshi reaches $40 billion valuation after $1 billion funding round co-led by Wellington and Sequoia
Prediction-market platform Kalshi has reached a $40 billion valuation after raising $1 billion in a funding round co-led by Wellington and Sequoia. Additional investors include Andreessen Horowitz, Mo
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Prediction market platform Kalshi has completed a $1 billion funding round, bringing its post-money valuation to $40 billion, a significant increase from $5 billion a year ago.
Prediction market platform Kalshi has completed a $1 billion funding round, valuing the company at $40 billion post-money, a significant increase from $5 billion a year ago. The round was co-led by Se
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Prediction market platform Kalshi has completed a Series G funding round of $1 billion, reaching a post-money valuation of $40 billion, led by Sequoia and Wellington Management.
Prediction market platform Kalshi has completed a Series G funding round of $1 billion, reaching a post-money valuation of $40 billion, led by Sequoia and Wellington Management.
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Utah Files Criminal Charges Against Prediction Market Platform Kalshi and Its Co-Founders
Utah has filed criminal charges against prediction market platform Kalshi and its two co-founders, Tarek Mansour (CEO) and Luana Lopes Lara (COO), alleging illegal promotion of gambling. This follows
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Utah Files Criminal Charges Against Prediction Market Platform Kalshi and Its Co-Founders
Utah has filed criminal charges, including 13 felonies and one misdemeanor, against prediction market platform Kalshi and its co-founders. This action comes as the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commi
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Phantom launches CFTC-regulated prediction markets for US users via Kalshi
Crypto wallet Phantom has launched prediction markets for its US users, powered by Kalshi. The new integration offers event contracts that are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CF
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Phantom Widens US Rollout of Kalshi Prediction Markets, Excluding Michigan, Nevada, and Washington
Phantom Widens US Rollout of Kalshi Prediction Markets, Excluding Michigan, Nevada, and Washington
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Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said the company is seeking additional measures to protect customers, after a study showed customers lost money betting on the prediction market platform.
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said the company is seeking additional measures to protect customers, after a study showed customers lost money betting on the prediction market platform.
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Democratic win in midterms could increase scrutiny of prediction markets and CFTC, raising questions about Trump Jr.'s advisory role
A Democratic-controlled House after the midterms could intensify scrutiny of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, as well as the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Lawmakers may fo
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Kalshi Inc., a leading U.S. prediction market operator, announced new restrictions for users aged 18 to 20, including a monthly deposit limit of $2,500.
Kalshi Inc., a leading U.S. prediction market operator, announced new restrictions for users aged 18 to 20, including a monthly deposit limit of $2,500.
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CFTC files complaint against Utah over prediction market enforcement
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has filed a federal complaint against Utah, seeking to block the state's enforcement actions against prediction markets. The lawsuit specifically t
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A week before the midterm elections, prediction markets show Democrats are favored to control both chambers of the U.S. Congress. Prediction platform Kalshi data indicates Democrats have a 63% chance of winning control of both the House and the Senate.
A week before the midterm elections, prediction markets show Democrats are favored to control both chambers of the U.S. Congress. Prediction platform Kalshi data indicates Democrats have a 63% chance
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S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) has partnered with Kalshi to create new financial indices powered by Kalshi’s prediction markets
S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) has partnered with Kalshi to create new financial indices powered by Kalshi’s prediction markets, potentially bringing prediction markets closer to mainstream finance.
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Kalshi, a prediction market platform, has reached an agreement with S&P Dow Jones Indices to incorporate S&P Dow Jones gauges into its financial event contracts. This partnership adds S&P Dow Jones to a growing list of Wall Street firms expanding their involvement in prediction markets.
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, has reached an agreement with S&P Dow Jones Indices to incorporate S&P Dow Jones gauges into its financial event contracts. This partnership adds S&P Dow Jones to
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The NBA has designated Kalshi and Polymarket as preferred prediction market exchanges. This agreement will provide Kalshi with official league data and NBA branding, while Polymarket has also received the same preferred designation.
The NBA has designated Kalshi and Polymarket as preferred prediction market exchanges. This agreement will provide Kalshi with official league data and NBA branding, while Polymarket has also received
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Bitcoin price bets drive record $2.7 billion weekly trading volume on crypto prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket
Weekly notional trading volume for crypto-related contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket reached a record $2.7 billion last week, Bloomberg reported, citing Dune Analytics data. This surge was primarily d
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Bank of America analyst Shaun Kelley states prediction markets are disrupting the sports betting industry, with platforms like Kalshi challenging traditional sportsbooks.
Bank of America analyst Shaun Kelley states prediction markets are disrupting the sports betting industry, with platforms like Kalshi challenging traditional sportsbooks such as DraftKings and FanDuel
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Phantom launches Kalshi prediction markets for US users
Phantom has rolled out Kalshi prediction markets to its US users, stating it is “confident and comfortable” amidst ongoing state lawsuits. Users will fund trades with CASH stablecoins, with market res
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Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
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Prediction Market Trading Platforms: An Overview of Four Core Platforms
Prediction market platforms allow users to bet on or trade the outcomes of future events, aggregating collective intelligence to forecast trends. This article will delve into four core platforms: Kalshi, regulated by the U.S. CFTC; Polymarket, a crypto-native platform based on Polygon; Augur, a decentralized pioneer on Ethereum; and Zeitgeist, which employs a Futarchy governance model within the Kusama ecosystem. We will analyze their operational models, regulatory compliance, technical characteristics, and current development status to help readers understand the diverse landscape of this emerging field.
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Polymarket vs. Kalshi Valuation Showdown: An In-depth Analysis of Prediction Market Platform Investment Value
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi are competing in the rapidly evolving event contracts sector. Polymarket is seeking a $21 billion valuation, while Kalshi is targeting $40 billion. This article will provide a comprehensive comparison of their valuations, regulatory compliance, market share, trading volume, revenue models, and potential risks, offering readers a complete perspective to explore which holds greater investment potential in the current market environment.
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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