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Kalshi
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Commodity exchanges urge the US CFTC to block Kalshi's perpetual oil futures plan and call for closing loopholes that allow retail traders to access offshore platforms.
Commodity exchanges are urging the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) not to approve Kalshi Inc.'s proposed perpetual oil futures contract. The Commodity Markets Council, representing de
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Polymarket US and Kalshi Show Similar Taker Profits for 100-Contract Trades
A hypothetical buy at 40 cents and sale at 60 cents on both prediction market platforms produces nearly identical taker profits. However, resting orders and funding methods can alter this comparison,
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Kalshi Expands Crypto Derivatives Offering with Bitcoin-Backed Margin Loans via BitGo and Perpetual Futures on Webull
Kalshi Expands Crypto Derivatives Offering with Bitcoin-Backed Margin Loans via BitGo and Perpetual Futures on Webull
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Prediction market platform Kalshi will partner with BitGo to allow clients to use Bitcoin-backed loans as collateral for leveraged futures trading.
Prediction market platform Kalshi will partner with BitGo to allow clients to use Bitcoin-backed loans as collateral for leveraged futures trading.
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Utah Sues Kalshi and Susquehanna Firms Over Alleged Illegal Betting
Utah has filed a lawsuit against Kalshi and Susquehanna firms, seeking injunctions, restitution, and profits. The state alleges that market makers helped sustain illegal wagering despite Kalshi’s defe
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Prediction Markets See Surging Volume Ahead of Midterms, as CFTC Clarifies Regulatory Stance
Combined monthly trading volume on prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket more than doubled from $26 billion in May to $53 billion in July, with over $30 million traded on House and Senate races by
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Elon Musk donates $158 million to Ken Paxton's Texas Senate campaign; Paxton still trails opponent James Talarico by 26 points on Kalshi prediction market (37% vs 63%).
Elon Musk donates $158 million to Ken Paxton's Texas Senate campaign; Paxton still trails opponent James Talarico by 26 points on Kalshi prediction market (37% vs 63%).
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Anthropic is AI trade's last big hope for a major IPO this year, with 75% odds on Kalshi despite Q3 revenue of $16.8B and valuation cut
Anthropic is seen as the last major AI IPO in 2026, with prediction market Kalshi showing 75% odds for its public debut this year after OpenAI and several other companies postponed their offerings. Th
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Following weekend unrest in France, Kalshi prices Marine Le Pen at an all-time high of 49% in the presidential race, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon stands at 9.2%.
Following weekend unrest in France, Kalshi prices Marine Le Pen at an all-time high of 49% in the presidential race, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon stands at 9.2%.
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Ipsos poll shows most Americans oppose election betting, prediction markets face major trust crisis
According to CryptoSlate, a recent Ipsos poll shows that 69% of Democrats and 61% of Republicans oppose using prediction markets to bet on election outcomes, as well as on military actions and governm
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Odds for a Tesla-SpaceX merger on prediction market Kalshi have risen above 50%, with an expected occurrence in early 2027.
Traders on the prediction market Kalshi have raised the odds of Tesla and SpaceX merging by early 2027 to over 50%, following a report released by Barclays on Wednesday outlining potential forms of su
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Kalshi CEO defends prediction markets amid insider trading concerns, stating its platforms help suss out bad actors.
Kalshi CEO defends prediction markets amid insider trading concerns, stating its platforms help suss out bad actors.
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Kalshi CEO Mansour says state-led oversight would push U.S. prediction markets offshore, also responds to crypto perpetual futures volume inflation accusations
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour stated that state-led oversight of U.S. prediction markets would force them overseas, rather than being a choice between state and federal regulation. He also rejected argumen
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Following a hot US CPI report, Kalshi traders now estimate a 55% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in October, up from 21% previously. This marks the first time in months that the probability of a rate hike has exceeded the probability of maintaining current interest rates.
Following a hot US CPI report, Kalshi traders now estimate a 55% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in October, up from 21% previously. This marks the first time in month
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US September CPI rose 3.7% annually, exceeding forecast of 3.6%, while core inflation also topped expectations, pushing Kalshi's odds for an October Fed hike to 33% from 21%.
US September CPI rose 3.7% annually, exceeding forecast of 3.6%, while core inflation also topped expectations, pushing Kalshi's odds for an October Fed hike to 33% from 21%.
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Kalshi sees $3.9 billion trading days, driven by parlays
Kalshi, a regulated prediction market platform, has seen trading days reach $3.9 billion, primarily driven by parlays (combination bets). According to an analysis by Bitcoin.com, these combination bet
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Iran's IRGC Navy chief threatens to sink US warships approaching Hormuz Strait; Kalshi traders price only a 44% chance of shipping traffic normalizing before October 2027
According to Fars, Iran's IRGC Navy chief stated that US warships approaching the Hormuz Strait could be sunk. Kalshi traders currently assess a 44% probability of shipping traffic returning to normal
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Kalshi's Top Inflation Trader: A Former Theater Director Beats Wall Street Banks From His Garage
A former theater director found an unexpected and lucrative niche on the Kalshi platform, beating out Wall Street banks to become the platform's top inflation trader.
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NEXTPredict hedges conference risk on prediction market Kalshi
NEXTPredict, organizers of a prediction markets conference, paid a $12,000 premium on Kalshi to hedge their upcoming event, securing $3 million in coverage if more than half of flights to New York's J
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Prediction markets indicate 2026 inflation may have peaked but will remain "sticky."
According to CNBC, traders on the prediction market platform Kalshi believe that inflation may have peaked in 2026, but will not fall significantly in the short term. Traders expect core inflation (ex
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Democrats inject another $7 million into the Ohio Senate race, with the latest poll showing Brown leading Hirst by 6 percentage points.
Democrats are injecting another $7 million into the Ohio Senate race, where the latest CNN/SSRS poll shows Sherrod Brown leading Jon Husted by 6 percentage points. Kalshi traders are pricing Brown at
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Kalshi Investigates Bets on Trump Press Secretary Pick, According to The Wall Street Journal
Event contract platform Kalshi is investigating bets on Donald Trump's press secretary pick after three wagers (for $19, $74, and $80) were placed just before news broke that Katie Zacharia had been s
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Kalshi traders anticipate over 5,100 data centers will be planned or operational in the U.S. by 2027.
Despite growing opposition to data center construction, traders on the prediction market platform Kalshi believe there is a 75% probability that the number of data centers planned or operating in the
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Prediction market Kalshi traders expect US gas prices to remain above $4 per gallon on Election Day with 87% probability
Traders on prediction market platform Kalshi give an 87% chance that the AAA national average for gas prices will remain above $4 per gallon on November 3. They also see a 42% chance the average is ab
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Kalshi and Polymarket Secure Media Deals Ahead of Midterm Elections
Prediction market operators Kalshi Inc. and Polymarket have struck business partnerships with several media companies, including CNN, CBS News, Dow Jones, and CNBC, ahead of the midterm elections. The
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Kalshi's Senate contracts face settlement risk, with the same election potentially yielding different outcomes.
Prediction market Kalshi's Senate market showed on October 28 that its Senate control contract and Democratic seat count contract could yield different outcomes for the same election event due to diff
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Senators Warren and Curtis Press Kalshi and Polymarket on Election Trading Safeguards
Senators Elizabeth Warren and Katie Britt have pressed prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket for information on their election trading safeguards. The senators have set a November 3 deadli
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CFTC Chairman Calls Utah Lawsuit Against Prediction Market Platform Kalshi "Blatant Overreach"
The Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) stated that Utah's lawsuit against prediction market platform Kalshi is a "blatant overreach." This follows a federal lawsuit that
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Event prediction platform Kalshi completes $1 billion funding round, reaching a valuation of $40 billion, with non-sports revenue run rate exceeding $1 billion.
Event prediction platform Kalshi has completed a $1 billion funding round, valuing the company at $40 billion, with non-sports revenue run rate exceeding $1 billion. This funding comes as the company
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Prediction-market platform Kalshi reaches $40 billion valuation after $1 billion funding round co-led by Wellington and Sequoia
Prediction-market platform Kalshi has reached a $40 billion valuation after raising $1 billion in a funding round co-led by Wellington and Sequoia. Additional investors include Andreessen Horowitz, Mo
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Prediction market platform Kalshi has completed a $1 billion funding round, bringing its post-money valuation to $40 billion, a significant increase from $5 billion a year ago.
Prediction market platform Kalshi has completed a $1 billion funding round, valuing the company at $40 billion post-money, a significant increase from $5 billion a year ago. The round was co-led by Se
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Prediction market platform Kalshi has completed a Series G funding round of $1 billion, reaching a post-money valuation of $40 billion, led by Sequoia and Wellington Management.
Prediction market platform Kalshi has completed a Series G funding round of $1 billion, reaching a post-money valuation of $40 billion, led by Sequoia and Wellington Management.
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Utah Files Criminal Charges Against Prediction Market Platform Kalshi and Its Co-Founders
Utah has filed criminal charges against prediction market platform Kalshi and its two co-founders, Tarek Mansour (CEO) and Luana Lopes Lara (COO), alleging illegal promotion of gambling. This follows
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Utah Files Criminal Charges Against Prediction Market Platform Kalshi and Its Co-Founders
Utah has filed criminal charges, including 13 felonies and one misdemeanor, against prediction market platform Kalshi and its co-founders. This action comes as the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commi
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Phantom launches CFTC-regulated prediction markets for US users via Kalshi
Crypto wallet Phantom has launched prediction markets for its US users, powered by Kalshi. The new integration offers event contracts that are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CF
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Phantom Widens US Rollout of Kalshi Prediction Markets, Excluding Michigan, Nevada, and Washington
Phantom Widens US Rollout of Kalshi Prediction Markets, Excluding Michigan, Nevada, and Washington
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Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said the company is seeking additional measures to protect customers, after a study showed customers lost money betting on the prediction market platform.
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said the company is seeking additional measures to protect customers, after a study showed customers lost money betting on the prediction market platform.
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Democratic win in midterms could increase scrutiny of prediction markets and CFTC, raising questions about Trump Jr.'s advisory role
A Democratic-controlled House after the midterms could intensify scrutiny of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, as well as the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Lawmakers may fo
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Kalshi Inc., a leading U.S. prediction market operator, announced new restrictions for users aged 18 to 20, including a monthly deposit limit of $2,500.
Kalshi Inc., a leading U.S. prediction market operator, announced new restrictions for users aged 18 to 20, including a monthly deposit limit of $2,500.
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CFTC files complaint against Utah over prediction market enforcement
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has filed a federal complaint against Utah, seeking to block the state's enforcement actions against prediction markets. The lawsuit specifically t
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A week before the midterm elections, prediction markets show Democrats are favored to control both chambers of the U.S. Congress. Prediction platform Kalshi data indicates Democrats have a 63% chance of winning control of both the House and the Senate.
A week before the midterm elections, prediction markets show Democrats are favored to control both chambers of the U.S. Congress. Prediction platform Kalshi data indicates Democrats have a 63% chance
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S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) has partnered with Kalshi to create new financial indices powered by Kalshi’s prediction markets
S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) has partnered with Kalshi to create new financial indices powered by Kalshi’s prediction markets, potentially bringing prediction markets closer to mainstream finance.
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Kalshi, a prediction market platform, has reached an agreement with S&P Dow Jones Indices to incorporate S&P Dow Jones gauges into its financial event contracts. This partnership adds S&P Dow Jones to a growing list of Wall Street firms expanding their involvement in prediction markets.
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, has reached an agreement with S&P Dow Jones Indices to incorporate S&P Dow Jones gauges into its financial event contracts. This partnership adds S&P Dow Jones to
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The NBA has designated Kalshi and Polymarket as preferred prediction market exchanges. This agreement will provide Kalshi with official league data and NBA branding, while Polymarket has also received the same preferred designation.
The NBA has designated Kalshi and Polymarket as preferred prediction market exchanges. This agreement will provide Kalshi with official league data and NBA branding, while Polymarket has also received
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Bitcoin price bets drive record $2.7 billion weekly trading volume on crypto prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket
Weekly notional trading volume for crypto-related contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket reached a record $2.7 billion last week, Bloomberg reported, citing Dune Analytics data. This surge was primarily d
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Bank of America analyst Shaun Kelley states prediction markets are disrupting the sports betting industry, with platforms like Kalshi challenging traditional sportsbooks.
Bank of America analyst Shaun Kelley states prediction markets are disrupting the sports betting industry, with platforms like Kalshi challenging traditional sportsbooks such as DraftKings and FanDuel
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Phantom launches Kalshi prediction markets for US users
Phantom has rolled out Kalshi prediction markets to its US users, stating it is “confident and comfortable” amidst ongoing state lawsuits. Users will fund trades with CASH stablecoins, with market res
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Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
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Prediction Market Trading Platforms: An Overview of Four Core Platforms
Prediction market platforms allow users to bet on or trade the outcomes of future events, aggregating collective intelligence to forecast trends. This article will delve into four core platforms: Kalshi, regulated by the U.S. CFTC; Polymarket, a crypto-native platform based on Polygon; Augur, a decentralized pioneer on Ethereum; and Zeitgeist, which employs a Futarchy governance model within the Kusama ecosystem. We will analyze their operational models, regulatory compliance, technical characteristics, and current development status to help readers understand the diverse landscape of this emerging field.
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Polymarket vs. Kalshi Valuation Showdown: An In-depth Analysis of Prediction Market Platform Investment Value
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi are competing in the rapidly evolving event contracts sector. Polymarket is seeking a $21 billion valuation, while Kalshi is targeting $40 billion. This article will provide a comprehensive comparison of their valuations, regulatory compliance, market share, trading volume, revenue models, and potential risks, offering readers a complete perspective to explore which holds greater investment potential in the current market environment.
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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