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Monetary Policy
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) hawkish policy board member Naoki Tamura attended the Jackson Hole Symposium, while Governor Kazuo Ueda was absent, cooling market expectations for an interest rate statement.
The move was seen as unusual and dispelled market speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) would make any statements on the future direction of interest rates. Naoki Tamura is considered one of the mo
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The Jackson Hole Economic Symposium has commenced, with central bankers from around the world gathering in Wyoming.
The Jackson Hole Economic Symposium has commenced, with central bankers from around the world gathering in Wyoming.
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Bank of Korea hikes rates by 25 basis points to 3%, highest since January 2025, as core inflation remains elevated
The Bank of Korea's decision to raise rates for a second straight time comes as core inflation in Asia's fourth largest economy climbed to 2.6% in July, its highest level since December 2023. Addition
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Indonesia's sole central bank governor candidate Destry Damayanti outlines 'pro-growth' policies, vows close government synergy while maintaining independence
Damayanti underwent a parliamentary "fit and proper" hearing for the position on August 26.
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Kevin Warsh, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, will speak for the first time this Friday at the Jackson Hole conference, with the market focusing on policy coordination with the Treasury on long-end yields.
Kevin Warsh's speech was his first public statement since the controversial July interest rate decision. Previously, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent directly intervened in the market last week by
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Democratic Lawmakers Urge Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to Maintain 8 FOMC Meetings Annually, Fearing Weakened Policy Responsiveness
Democratic Lawmakers Urge Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to Maintain 8 FOMC Meetings Annually, Fearing Weakened Policy Responsiveness
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Bessent's Policy Moves on Treasury Debt Management May Pressure Warsh
Recent policy actions by US Treasury Secretary Bessent, particularly concerning Treasury debt management and previous currency policies, have raised questions about potential pressure on Warsh, especi
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European Central Bank (ECB) official Cipollone: European corporate competitiveness should be enhanced by removing internal restrictions in the single market
In an interview, Piero Cipollone, a member of the European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board, stated that Europe should fully leverage its vast single market advantage by reducing barriers to the fre
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Why is Bitcoin thriving but struggling to replace the US dollar?
Bitcoin has achieved significant growth and widespread acceptance globally, thanks to its decentralization, scarcity, censorship resistance, and its narrative as "digital gold" for value storage. However, its inherent drastic price volatility, transaction speed limitations, lack of universal fiat currency status, and governments' control over monetary policy make it difficult to become a stable everyday transaction medium and global reserve currency like the US dollar. Bitcoin and the US dollar each play different roles, and it is difficult for them to replace each other in the short term.
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TD Securities expects that the Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh may bring moderate comfort to the market at next week's Jackson Hole Symposium.
TD Securities analysts noted that markets will focus on signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh regarding his policy approach and a reaffirmation of his commitment to fighting inflation. The fi
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San Francisco Federal Reserve President Daly stated that the Federal Reserve's policy is in a good state.
She responded to the recent bond sell-off and suggested that the U.S. Treasury market is signaling that monetary policy is in a good place.
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Bank of America's August survey indicates Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh is expected to strike a neutral tone at the Fed’s Jackson Hole meeting later this month.
However, the survey also shows 31% of respondents anticipate a hawkish message, signaling tighter monetary policy, while only 7% expect a dovish stance, pointing to limited expectations for a softer p
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An economist at the SF Fed estimates the medium-run neutral rate to be around 1.5%, suggesting current monetary policy is accommodative if underlying inflation is at least 2.5%.
An economist at the SF Fed estimates the medium-run neutral rate to be around 1.5%, suggesting current monetary policy is accommodative if underlying inflation is at least 2.5%.
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Citadel Securities says spiking yields reflect Fed policy risk, as the Fed's reluctance to tighten keeps long-term bond yields at multiyear highs
Citadel Securities says spiking yields reflect Fed policy risk, as the Fed's reluctance to tighten keeps long-term bond yields at multiyear highs
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Treasury Yields Fall as Investors Await Latest FOMC Minutes; 10-Year Yield Drops Over 2 Bps to 4.6743%
On Monday, Treasury yields moved lower as traders looked ahead to the latest FOMC minutes, which are due to be released on Wednesday. The 10-year Treasury note yield fell over 2 basis points to 4.6743
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Bank of Japan (BOJ): Will continue to raise interest rates and adjust the degree of monetary easing to stabilize core CPI inflation around 2%
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) stated in its July 2026 "Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices" report that it would continue to raise interest rates and adjust the degree of monetary easing in response to
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Thai Baht Rally May Fade as Central Bank Likely to Maintain Dovish Stance, Analysts Say
Analysts suggest the nascent rally in the Thai baht could be short-lived, as the central bank is expected to maintain a dovish policy stance to support an economy impacted by elevated oil prices.
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: The Federal Reserve should reduce its reliance on lagging data and instead focus on forward-looking developments such as energy and AI capital expenditures.
Nick Timiraos, a Wall Street Journal reporter widely regarded as a "Fed whisperer," published an article reflecting on whether the Federal Reserve, when formulating its forecasts, should reduce its re
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) plans to further reduce JGB purchases, targeting around JPY 2 trillion per month by Q1 2027
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) today released its Market Operations Report for fiscal year 2025, stating that at its monetary policy meeting in June 2025, the bank decided to reduce its monthly Japanese gove
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) July meeting summary of opinions showed strong internal calls for accelerating interest rate hikes, with market expectations for a September hike exceeding 60%.
The "Summary of Opinions" from the Bank of Japan (BOJ)'s Monetary Policy Meeting on July 30-31, released on August 10, revealed intense early calls for interest rate hikes within the committee, includ
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Analysis points out a paradox in the Federal Reserve's policy: tightening credit for the private sector while remaining tolerant of expanding government deficits.
Wallstreetcn.com analysis points out that the Federal Reserve has failed to achieve its dual mandate over the past five years, with inflation consistently deviating from the 2% target, and small and m
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) expects underlying CPI inflation to gradually increase, reaching price stability target by late FY2026-FY2027, with significant upside risks to prices
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) released its Summary of Opinions from the July 30-31 Monetary Policy Meeting, projecting that underlying CPI inflation is likely to gradually increase, reaching a level consist
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Rosenberg Research Senior Market Strategist Mehmet Berceren Explains Why Higher Bond Yields Are Here to Stay, Citing Lower Demand, Higher Supply, and Policy Uncertainty
Rosenberg Research Senior Market Strategist Mehmet Berceren Explains Why Higher Bond Yields Are Here to Stay, Citing Lower Demand, Higher Supply, and Policy Uncertainty
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SF Fed President Mary Daly to present a bimodal outlook, stating her base case (scenario one) remains but a second scenario is gaining ground, and explains July's Fed inaction was about asse
Nick Timiraos reported that San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly will deliver a speech tonight (Thursday morning in Tokyo time) outlining a bimodal economic outlook. Daly indicated that while scenari
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The Federal Reserve extends reserve management purchases until mid-October.
The Federal Reserve on Monday said it would pause its purchases of Treasury bills for reserve management purposes for a second consecutive month, signaling policymakers are comfortable with the level
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China's M2 money supply rose 7.5% YoY in August, slightly below the estimated 7.6%, while new yuan loans for Jan-Aug totaled CNY10.44T, missing the estimated CNY10.784T.
China's M2 money supply rose 7.5% YoY in August, slightly below the estimated 7.6%, while new yuan loans for Jan-Aug totaled CNY10.44T, missing the estimated CNY10.784T.
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Bearish Bets Build in India's Short-Term Bonds as Traders Expect Yields to Rise on Central Bank's Cash Drain Efforts
Bets against India’s short-term bonds are rising, with traders wagering that yields will go up on the central bank’s efforts to drain excess cash from the banking system.
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Market attention is focused on rumors surrounding the future of European Central Bank President Lagarde and core hawk Executive Board member Schnabel, which could impact the policy path after December.
Speculation is mounting regarding the potential early departure of European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde (rumored to take over as Chair of the World Economic Forum or enter French po
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Lu Lei, Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China (PBOC): Will improve the reserve requirement system, conduct open market operations more flexibly and precisely, and gradually de-emphasize quantitative intermediate targets.
Lu Lei, Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), stated at the "Starting the 15th Five-Year Plan" series of press conferences on September 10 that during the 15th Five-Year Plan period, t
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Lu Lei, Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China: China has no need or intention to gain trade competitive advantage through currency devaluation.
Lu Lei, Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office on September 10 that the "15th Five-Year Plan for Building a Fin
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The Financial Times commented that Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh could be competent, but needs to clarify policy goals and act wisely.
A commentary in the Financial Times suggests that Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh could be an excellent chairman, but he must clarify policy objectives and be prudent in how the central bank operates.
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Bank of Japan: Japan's M2 money stock rose 2.0% year-on-year in August, M3 increased by 1.3%, and broad liquidity expanded by 4.4%.
Bank of Japan: Japan's M2 money stock rose 2.0% year-on-year in August, M3 increased by 1.3%, and broad liquidity expanded by 4.4%.
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Market expectations for a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September have risen to 52%, as Donald Trump continues to pressure Warsh to cut rates.
Market expectations for a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September have risen to 52%, while the probability of rates remaining unchanged stands at 48%. This shift occurs as US Pres
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Saylor: US Added 162,000 Jobs, Yet 'Statistical Noise Has Turned Into Monetary Policy'
MicroStrategy Chairman Michael Saylor commented on the latest US payrolls report, noting that the addition of 162,000 jobs on a base of 159.1 million (0.10%) falls within the Bureau of Labor Statistic
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Investors are closely monitoring every data point to navigate various Federal Reserve policy scenarios, according to Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
Investors are closely monitoring every data point to navigate various Federal Reserve policy scenarios, according to Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller on Thursday publicly countered Chairman Warsh's downplaying of forward guidance, stating that effective monetary policy communication requires a clear policy framework.
At a Reuters event, Waller stated that effective monetary policy communication should revolve around the current policy stance, the outlook for policy, and forward guidance under specific circumstance
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Malaysia Extends Rate Pause, Drops ‘Appropriate’ Language
Malaysia's central bank kept its key interest rate unchanged, citing the economy's continued modest inflation and rapid growth. The bank also tweaked its monetary policy statement by removing a refere
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State Street strategist Seder stated that if the Federal Reserve maintains interest rates, the market will react poorly.
Cayla Seder, Macro Multi-Asset Strategist at State Street, discussed her concerns about higher government bond yields and looked ahead to the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting dec
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Australia posts second-quarter growth of 2.1%, beating expectations
Australia's economy expanded by 2.1% year on year in the second quarter, exceeding Reuters polled economists' estimate of 1.8%. This stronger-than-expected GDP print may allow the Reserve Bank of Aust
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ECB's Vujčić Emphasizes High-Quality Surveys and Evidence-Based Research are Crucial for Understanding Household Expectations and Their Impact on Monetary Policy
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Boris Vujčić stated that household expectations regarding inflation, income, employment, interest rates, and house prices significantly influence s
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Adam Posen Explains Fed Chairman Warsh's 'Family Fight' Term, Suggests Dissents Can Be Beneficial
Peterson Institute for International Economics President Adam Posen, on the Odd Lots podcast, explained what Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh means by "family fight" to describe policy decision debates, and w
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the yen's movement is "under control" and expects the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to "do the right thing."
The Japanese Yen (JPY) fell to 160.11 against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, once again breaching the market-watched 160 level. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated in an interview on Sunday tha
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Krugman: "Obvious Contradiction" Between Fed Chair Warsh and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Monetary Policy Tools
Nobel laureate Paul Krugman commented on Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's inaugural Jackson Hole speech on August 29, noting that Warsh emphasized short-term interest rates as the primary tool a
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Bank of England Governor Bailey struck a dovish tone at Jackson Hole, signaling no rush to act.
Bailey stated that the UK is experiencing a fairly modest second-round inflation effect, and the labor market has softened for some time. He believes it is currently appropriate to continue observing
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BOE MPC Member Mann Discusses Hawkish Policy, Inflation, and Central Bank Reaction Functions at Jackson Hole
Catherine Mann, a member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee, discussed central bank reaction functions and how to manage inflation caused by supply shocks during the Jackson Hole Econo
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European stocks gained on Friday, poised for fifth straight monthly advance ahead of central bankers' speeches at Jackson Hole symposium.
European stocks gained on Friday, poised for fifth straight monthly advance ahead of central bankers' speeches at Jackson Hole symposium.
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Demand for Japan's two-year government bond auction plummeted, with the bid-to-cover ratio hitting a nearly one-year low and the tail spread being the widest since 2016.
On Friday, the bid-to-cover ratio for Japan's two-year government bond auction fell to 2.97 from its 12-month average of 3.74, and the tail widened sharply from the previous 0.007 to 0.034, the widest
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Japan's two-year government bond auction on Friday showed weaker demand amid speculation of central bank tightening.
Japan's two-year government bond auction on Friday showed weaker demand amid speculation of central bank tightening.
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Profound Impact and Current Status Analysis of Ethereum's Monetary Policy Post-Merge
The Merge, Ethereum's transition from Proof-of-Work (PoW) to Proof-of-Stake (PoS), and the implementation of EIP-1559 have revolutionized ETH's monetary policy. Daily new issuance has been drastically reduced by approximately 88%, and the annualized inflation rate has significantly decreased. Although recent data shows a slight increase in Ethereum's supply, its overall scarcity narrative has been strengthened, and the liquidity issue of staked ETH has been resolved, making it a more efficient and environmentally friendly blockchain network.
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Why is Bitcoin thriving but struggling to replace the US dollar?
Bitcoin has achieved significant growth and widespread acceptance globally, thanks to its decentralization, scarcity, censorship resistance, and its narrative as "digital gold" for value storage. However, its inherent drastic price volatility, transaction speed limitations, lack of universal fiat currency status, and governments' control over monetary policy make it difficult to become a stable everyday transaction medium and global reserve currency like the US dollar. Bitcoin and the US dollar each play different roles, and it is difficult for them to replace each other in the short term.
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USDT (USDT) and Global Monetary Policy: Far-Reaching Implications for Traditional Financial Stability
As of July 2026, USDT (USDT)—the world’s largest stablecoin—had reached a market capitalization of approximately $184 billion and plays a central role in the crypto ecosystem. Its reserve composition has shifted significantly toward U.S. Treasury bonds, making it a major holder of U.S. government debt.This article will explore the latest developments regarding USDT in terms of reserve transparency and global regulatory compliance (such as the U.S. GENIUS Act and the EU’s MiCA), and provide an in-depth analysis of how its growing influence poses potential challenges to central banks’ monetary policy transmission mechanisms, the banking deposit base, and overall financial stability.
Monetary Policy
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