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Monetary Policy
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is considering reducing the number of FOMC meetings, a move that could increase market volatility.
Since taking office in May, Warsh has taken several steps aimed at reducing the Federal Reserve's influence on financial markets, including cutting forward guidance, shortening post-meeting statements
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Municipal-bond market on pace for third straight record year of issuance
While geopolitical and monetary policy concerns have pushed global nominal yields higher, municipal bond technicals remain strong, helping the market easily digest record issuance. Nisha Patel, Senior
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Economist Shan analyzes that the new Federal Reserve chairman, Warsh, faces a choice between "Financial Crisis 2.0" or "Dollar Crisis 1.0," and predicts he is more likely to choose the latter.
Economist aka Shan points out that the monetary policy choices of the Federal Reserve's new head, Warsh, are pushing the US economy to a critical juncture. Shan believes that Warsh will either stick t
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Kansas City Fed President Schmid (non-voter) states tighter policy is needed to bring inflation to 2%, becoming the fifth Fed president to express desire for rate hikes since last week's mee
Schmid believes the current monetary policy stance is not restrictive, "given the strength of demand and investment," and that a tighter policy will be required to achieve the Fed's 2% inflation objec
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Fed insider Nick Timiraos relayed: Bessent's monetary policy stance has shifted from favoring "rate cuts" in January to favoring "no rate hikes" in August.
Fed insider Nick Timiraos relayed: Bessent's monetary policy stance has shifted from favoring "rate cuts" in January to favoring "no rate hikes" in August.
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Traders Bet RBI Rate Hold & Cash Boost to Steepen India Yield Curve, Short-Dated Bonds to Outperform
According to traders, India's short-dated bonds are expected to outperform long-duration debt. This outlook is based on expectations that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will maintain current interest
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Fed Chair Warsh is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, and S&P traders are concerned that the market will experience sharp volatility
Bloomberg Markets reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, a move interpreted by the market as a form of “silent treatment” that has he
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Japan’s Two-Year Bond Sale Demand Weaker Than 12-Month Average
Japan’s two-year government bond auction on Thursday saw lower demand than the 12-month average amid growing expectations of central bank tightening.
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Federal Reserve Chair Warsh: The Federal Reserve Is Not Bound by Market Prices
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh stated that the Federal Reserve is not constrained by market prices when formulating policy. He noted that markets can serve as a source of information, but they a
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RBA Governor Bullock Says Australian Economy Cooling, Unsure If Current Rates Are Sufficient
Australia's central bank chief, Michele Bullock, stated that there are signs the economy is adjusting as anticipated. However, she remains unsure if this year's interest-rate hikes are enough to retur
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USDT (USDT) and Global Monetary Policy: Far-Reaching Implications for Traditional Financial Stability
As of July 2026, USDT (USDT)—the world’s largest stablecoin—had reached a market capitalization of approximately $184 billion and plays a central role in the crypto ecosystem. Its reserve composition has shifted significantly toward U.S. Treasury bonds, making it a major holder of U.S. government debt.This article will explore the latest developments regarding USDT in terms of reserve transparency and global regulatory compliance (such as the U.S. GENIUS Act and the EU’s MiCA), and provide an in-depth analysis of how its growing influence poses potential challenges to central banks’ monetary policy transmission mechanisms, the banking deposit base, and overall financial stability.
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Federal Reserve's Schmid: Recent inflation data is encouraging, but it is still too early to draw conclusions
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve official Schmid stated that recent inflation data is encouraging, but it is still too early to draw conclusions. When formulating monetary policy, it is time to stop exclud
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Analysis: The Federal Reserve is likely to keep rates on hold, as inflation remains an unpredictable economic variable
Svmuu News: Federated Hermes fund manager Karen Manna stated in a report that the firm continues to believe the Federal Reserve will largely hold rates steady, while inflation remains one of the most
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Fed's Williams: Inflation Remains Too High; Expected to Return to 2% Target in 2028
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve’s Williams stated that inflation is undoubtedly still too high at around 4%, and that efforts must continue to bring it back down to the 2% target; the current monetary pol
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European Central Bank (ECB) Kochler, a member of the Governing Council: "We will take the necessary measures to bring medium-term inflation back down to 2%."
Svmuu News European Central Bank (ECB) Board Member Kocher stated that European Central Bank (ECB) will take the necessary measures to bring medium-term inflation back down to 2%. If necessary, Europe
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Warsh: The Federal Reserve can start seriously considering when to begin purchasing Treasury debt
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh stated, “The Fed can begin to seriously consider when to purchase Treasury debt; I don’t think we can return to the 2006 level of our balance sheet.” (Jin Shi)
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Warsh Emphasizes Monetary Policy Independence and Reaffirms Commitment to the 2% Inflation Target
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh reiterated his commitment not to provide forward guidance on interest rates during a hearing on Tuesday, with his testimony making almost no mention of interest
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Warsh: The Federal Reserve's top priority is to get monetary policy right
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh stated that the Fed’s top priority is to get monetary policy right—or as close to right as possible. If we choose the right policy, the surge in inflation over
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller favors setting the inflation target within the 1.5%–2.5% range
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that he favors setting an inflation target as a range rather than the current single target of 2 percent, and personally prefers a range of 1.5 perce
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Kevin Warsh has assembled a team of external experts to review the Federal Reserve monetary policy framework
Svmuu News: Kevin Warsh, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, has formed five working groups to conduct a comprehensive review of the Federal Reserve’s Federal Reserve monetary policy framework, covering
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Federal Reserve Waller put forward “two considerations” regarding monetary policy: initial conditions and forward guidance determine the effectiveness of transmission.
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Waller presented “two points of consideration” regarding the monetary policy transmission mechanism, emphasizing that the effectiveness of policy depends on initial conditio
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Warsh has invited former Bank of England Governor Mervyn King to lead the communications working group at Federal Reserve
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh has invited former Bank of England Governor Mervyn King to serve as co-chair of the newly established communications working group at Federal Reserve. Warsh h
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Federal Reserve Williams: The current monetary policy stance will help bring inflation back to 2%
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Williams stated that the current monetary policy stance is well-positioned to bring inflation back to Federal Reserve the 2% target, while also acknowledging that risks rema
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Danske Bank expects Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at least twice
Svmuu News: In a report, Danske Bank Senior Analyst Kirstine Kundby-Nielsen and Chief Analyst Jens Peter Sorensen stated thatFederal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates twice, in December 2026
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China's M2 money supply rose 7.5% YoY in August, slightly below the estimated 7.6%, while new yuan loans for Jan-Aug totaled CNY10.44T, missing the estimated CNY10.784T.
China's M2 money supply rose 7.5% YoY in August, slightly below the estimated 7.6%, while new yuan loans for Jan-Aug totaled CNY10.44T, missing the estimated CNY10.784T.
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Bearish Bets Build in India's Short-Term Bonds as Traders Expect Yields to Rise on Central Bank's Cash Drain Efforts
Bets against India’s short-term bonds are rising, with traders wagering that yields will go up on the central bank’s efforts to drain excess cash from the banking system.
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Market attention is focused on rumors surrounding the future of European Central Bank President Lagarde and core hawk Executive Board member Schnabel, which could impact the policy path after December.
Speculation is mounting regarding the potential early departure of European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde (rumored to take over as Chair of the World Economic Forum or enter French po
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Lu Lei, Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China (PBOC): Will improve the reserve requirement system, conduct open market operations more flexibly and precisely, and gradually de-emphasize quantitative intermediate targets.
Lu Lei, Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), stated at the "Starting the 15th Five-Year Plan" series of press conferences on September 10 that during the 15th Five-Year Plan period, t
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Lu Lei, Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China: China has no need or intention to gain trade competitive advantage through currency devaluation.
Lu Lei, Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office on September 10 that the "15th Five-Year Plan for Building a Fin
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The Financial Times commented that Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh could be competent, but needs to clarify policy goals and act wisely.
A commentary in the Financial Times suggests that Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh could be an excellent chairman, but he must clarify policy objectives and be prudent in how the central bank operates.
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Bank of Japan: Japan's M2 money stock rose 2.0% year-on-year in August, M3 increased by 1.3%, and broad liquidity expanded by 4.4%.
Bank of Japan: Japan's M2 money stock rose 2.0% year-on-year in August, M3 increased by 1.3%, and broad liquidity expanded by 4.4%.
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Market expectations for a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September have risen to 52%, as Donald Trump continues to pressure Warsh to cut rates.
Market expectations for a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September have risen to 52%, while the probability of rates remaining unchanged stands at 48%. This shift occurs as US Pres
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Saylor: US Added 162,000 Jobs, Yet 'Statistical Noise Has Turned Into Monetary Policy'
MicroStrategy Chairman Michael Saylor commented on the latest US payrolls report, noting that the addition of 162,000 jobs on a base of 159.1 million (0.10%) falls within the Bureau of Labor Statistic
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Investors are closely monitoring every data point to navigate various Federal Reserve policy scenarios, according to Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
Investors are closely monitoring every data point to navigate various Federal Reserve policy scenarios, according to Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller on Thursday publicly countered Chairman Warsh's downplaying of forward guidance, stating that effective monetary policy communication requires a clear policy framework.
At a Reuters event, Waller stated that effective monetary policy communication should revolve around the current policy stance, the outlook for policy, and forward guidance under specific circumstance
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Malaysia Extends Rate Pause, Drops ‘Appropriate’ Language
Malaysia's central bank kept its key interest rate unchanged, citing the economy's continued modest inflation and rapid growth. The bank also tweaked its monetary policy statement by removing a refere
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State Street strategist Seder stated that if the Federal Reserve maintains interest rates, the market will react poorly.
Cayla Seder, Macro Multi-Asset Strategist at State Street, discussed her concerns about higher government bond yields and looked ahead to the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting dec
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Australia posts second-quarter growth of 2.1%, beating expectations
Australia's economy expanded by 2.1% year on year in the second quarter, exceeding Reuters polled economists' estimate of 1.8%. This stronger-than-expected GDP print may allow the Reserve Bank of Aust
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ECB's Vujčić Emphasizes High-Quality Surveys and Evidence-Based Research are Crucial for Understanding Household Expectations and Their Impact on Monetary Policy
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Boris Vujčić stated that household expectations regarding inflation, income, employment, interest rates, and house prices significantly influence s
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Adam Posen Explains Fed Chairman Warsh's 'Family Fight' Term, Suggests Dissents Can Be Beneficial
Peterson Institute for International Economics President Adam Posen, on the Odd Lots podcast, explained what Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh means by "family fight" to describe policy decision debates, and w
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the yen's movement is "under control" and expects the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to "do the right thing."
The Japanese Yen (JPY) fell to 160.11 against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, once again breaching the market-watched 160 level. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated in an interview on Sunday tha
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Krugman: "Obvious Contradiction" Between Fed Chair Warsh and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Monetary Policy Tools
Nobel laureate Paul Krugman commented on Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's inaugural Jackson Hole speech on August 29, noting that Warsh emphasized short-term interest rates as the primary tool a
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Bank of England Governor Bailey struck a dovish tone at Jackson Hole, signaling no rush to act.
Bailey stated that the UK is experiencing a fairly modest second-round inflation effect, and the labor market has softened for some time. He believes it is currently appropriate to continue observing
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BOE MPC Member Mann Discusses Hawkish Policy, Inflation, and Central Bank Reaction Functions at Jackson Hole
Catherine Mann, a member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee, discussed central bank reaction functions and how to manage inflation caused by supply shocks during the Jackson Hole Econo
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European stocks gained on Friday, poised for fifth straight monthly advance ahead of central bankers' speeches at Jackson Hole symposium.
European stocks gained on Friday, poised for fifth straight monthly advance ahead of central bankers' speeches at Jackson Hole symposium.
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Demand for Japan's two-year government bond auction plummeted, with the bid-to-cover ratio hitting a nearly one-year low and the tail spread being the widest since 2016.
On Friday, the bid-to-cover ratio for Japan's two-year government bond auction fell to 2.97 from its 12-month average of 3.74, and the tail widened sharply from the previous 0.007 to 0.034, the widest
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Japan's two-year government bond auction on Friday showed weaker demand amid speculation of central bank tightening.
Japan's two-year government bond auction on Friday showed weaker demand amid speculation of central bank tightening.
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) hawkish policy board member Naoki Tamura attended the Jackson Hole Symposium, while Governor Kazuo Ueda was absent, cooling market expectations for an interest rate statement.
The move was seen as unusual and dispelled market speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) would make any statements on the future direction of interest rates. Naoki Tamura is considered one of the mo
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Profound Impact and Current Status Analysis of Ethereum's Monetary Policy Post-Merge
The Merge, Ethereum's transition from Proof-of-Work (PoW) to Proof-of-Stake (PoS), and the implementation of EIP-1559 have revolutionized ETH's monetary policy. Daily new issuance has been drastically reduced by approximately 88%, and the annualized inflation rate has significantly decreased. Although recent data shows a slight increase in Ethereum's supply, its overall scarcity narrative has been strengthened, and the liquidity issue of staked ETH has been resolved, making it a more efficient and environmentally friendly blockchain network.
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Why is Bitcoin thriving but struggling to replace the US dollar?
Bitcoin has achieved significant growth and widespread acceptance globally, thanks to its decentralization, scarcity, censorship resistance, and its narrative as "digital gold" for value storage. However, its inherent drastic price volatility, transaction speed limitations, lack of universal fiat currency status, and governments' control over monetary policy make it difficult to become a stable everyday transaction medium and global reserve currency like the US dollar. Bitcoin and the US dollar each play different roles, and it is difficult for them to replace each other in the short term.
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USDT (USDT) and Global Monetary Policy: Far-Reaching Implications for Traditional Financial Stability
As of July 2026, USDT (USDT)—the world’s largest stablecoin—had reached a market capitalization of approximately $184 billion and plays a central role in the crypto ecosystem. Its reserve composition has shifted significantly toward U.S. Treasury bonds, making it a major holder of U.S. government debt.This article will explore the latest developments regarding USDT in terms of reserve transparency and global regulatory compliance (such as the U.S. GENIUS Act and the EU’s MiCA), and provide an in-depth analysis of how its growing influence poses potential challenges to central banks’ monetary policy transmission mechanisms, the banking deposit base, and overall financial stability.
Monetary Policy
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