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8/31
23:07
1789 Capital, a venture capital fund co-founded by Donald Trump's son, is leading a funding round of approximately $1 billion for prediction market platform Polymarket, with the fund contributing around $300 million, The Wall Street Journal reported on August 31, citing sources familiar with the matter. This round values Polymarket at approximately $21 billion, and with additional investment, 1789 Capital will become one of the platform's largest shareholders. Currently, Intercontinental Exchange is Polymarket's largest shareholder. Following this news, attention has once again focused on the close relationship between prediction market platforms and Donald Trump's political circle. Polymarket and its competitor Kalshi are facing legal challenges from multiple state regulators and have drawn investigative attention from congressional Democrats. 1789 Capital's legal counsel has refuted all allegations of conflicts of interest.
23:07
In a recent a16z podcast, renowned investor Gavin Baker and a16z partner David George engaged in a deep conversation, with both agreeing that NVIDIA is "in a very, very strong position." Baker pointed out that Jensen Huang has become the "central bank" of the AI supply chain by vertically integrating the supply chain, securing TSMC's wafer capacity and global key component supplies, and building a financeable data center ecosystem. He believes NVIDIA's moat is extremely difficult to replicate. Baker emphasized that NVIDIA's supply chain control locks in 70% to 80% of global key supplies, and its residual value guarantee financing structure allows it to obtain revenue sharing with virtually zero risk, making it difficult for competitors to match in terms of capacity and capital costs. Furthermore, Baker believes that open-source models are a boon for NVIDIA rather than a risk, as they will stimulate more demand for computing power. David George also stated: "One thing the past 26 years have taught me – never bet against Jensen Huang."
22:58
The United States and China are considering reducing tariffs on "non-sensitive" products ahead of a summit between the two countries' top leaders. However, according to sources familiar with the matter, the two sides have not yet immediately agreed on the scope of the cuts in preliminary negotiations.
22:50
On-chain data shows that the whale, who purchased 488,599 HYPE tokens for $35 each, totaling $17.18 million five months ago, has now staked all tokens and holds $23.7 million in unrealized profit.
22:48
Baidu, the Chinese search and AI company, has upgraded its Hong Kong listing to primary status, placing it on par with its Nasdaq stock. This move opens up avenues for Baidu to access capital from mainland Chinese investors. Following this development, Baidu's Hong Kong shares saw a decline on Tuesday.
22:16
The Indian government is striving to reduce farmers' reliance on urea to mitigate the impact of the US-Israel war on Iran on urea costs and supply. To this end, the Indian government is urging farmers to adopt natural farming and has approved the use of anhydrous ammonia, even though domestic trials have not yet been completed.
22:13
Baker noted in a recent a16z podcast that he found no deteriorating quantitative data points during his industry visits, and that the AI industry's fundamentals continued to accelerate in July and August, while public market AI stocks experienced significant pullbacks during the same period. He believes that there are currently fewer than 10 million heavy AI paying users globally, whereas there are 1.5 billion knowledge workers worldwide, indicating that demand diffusion has just begun and supply is already severely constrained. Baker emphasized that the economic logic behind current computing power investments is exceptionally strong. For example, 1 gigawatt of computing power costs approximately $50 billion, with a payback period of only 9 to 10 months. He expressed concern that token costs could increase tenfold, leading to computing power inequality.
22:13
China's RatingDog Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August registered 51.5, an increase of 0.6 percentage points from July's 50.9. This marks the ninth consecutive month the index has been above the 50-point expansion-contraction threshold, representing the longest expansion cycle in nearly five years. New orders grew for the 15th consecutive month, with new export orders seeing their fastest growth in six months. However, there was a divergence in prices: raw material costs accelerated slightly, while manufacturers' ex-factory prices saw their first reduction in 2026, reflecting persistent market competition. Employment remained stable, and overall confidence levels fell to their lowest since January.
22:04
Cambodia's central bank rejected a request from financial institutions to prolong special loan forbearance measures, stating that an extension could mask credit weakness and hurt growth.
22:03
Australia’s benchmark sovereign bond yield rose to its highest level in 15 years as a global selloff deepened and traders increased bets that the Reserve Bank of Australia may need to hike interest rates again soon.
21:53
One of China’s largest Mercedes-Benz Group AG dealerships is grappling with soaring bond yields, a warning sign for the sector, as the country’s sluggish economy makes consumers think twice about splashing out on new cars.
21:48
Chinese fast-fashion retailer Shein made a quiet debut on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Tuesday, with its shares opening flat before quickly dropping 8%. The listing comes amid questions about its business model.
21:46
Brent crude surged above $91 a barrel in early Asian trading as the US and Iran exchanged strikes for the first time in about a month, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Rising oil prices fueled inflation concerns, and Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh reiterated his anti-inflation stance, putting pressure on Asian government bond markets. Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose to 2.965% (nearing a three-decade high), while the US 10-year government bond yield climbed to 4.77% (the highest since January 2025).
21:23
Yields on the longest-maturity Treasuries have not been this high for this long since 2006, driven by a gaping budget deficit, another wave of corporate issuance, and a potentially decisive Federal Reserve meeting expected in coming weeks, which are keeping investors wary.
21:14
Barclays noted in its latest report that Meituan's total revenue for Q2 increased by 13.9% year-over-year to RMB 104.6 billion. The operating profit margin for its core local commerce segment turned positive at 7.9%, but the adjusted net profit of RMB 2.5 billion was still 41.1% lower than Barclays' expectations. Analysts believe that Alibaba's return to the instant retail sector has permanently altered the industry's competitive landscape, which will continue to suppress Meituan's profit ceiling. Furthermore, Meituan has not yet presented an AI narrative exciting enough for the market, limiting its stock's revaluation potential. Barclays significantly cut its adjusted EBITDA forecast for Meituan in 2026 by 54.5% to RMB 7.8 billion and maintained a target price of $10, suggesting that while its stock offers defensive qualities, its upside is limited.
21:14
Goldman Sachs internet and e-commerce equity analyst Eric Sheridan recently published a research report, significantly raising the forecast for the humanoid robot market. The report indicates that the global market size is expected to reach approximately 890,000 units by 2030 and about 6.5 million units by 2035, corresponding to a market opportunity of approximately $138 billion. This adjustment is substantial compared to previous forecasts; for example, the 2035 forecast was raised from 1.4 million units to 6.5 million units. Goldman Sachs believes that warehousing and logistics, along with the automotive industry, will be the first two major application scenarios for humanoid robots. Each robot is expected to generate over $3,000 to $6,000 in semiconductor demand and drive the migration of factory control systems towards software-defined architectures.
21:13
South Korea's Ministry of Finance announced on Tuesday a decision to impose anti-dumping duties ranging from 8.32% to 19.17% on butyl acrylate imported from China. The tariffs will take effect on September 28 and remain valid until September 27, 2031. This follows an investigation by the Korea Trade Commission, which concluded that the imported products had harmed the domestic industry.
20:48
According to an August 31 report by The Wall Street Journal, AI startup Anthropic has signed a $35 billion cloud computing agreement with Lambda, a cloud service provider backed by NVIDIA, with NVIDIA itself holding the leases for the relevant data centers. This marks Anthropic's second multi-billion dollar computing power deal this year, following a $4.5 billion agreement with Nscale, bringing the total to $8 billion. Analysts believe that NVIDIA's move extends its influence from hardware sales to the capital and commercial arrangements of the AI infrastructure ecosystem. By holding data center leases, NVIDIA provides credit endorsement for non-investment-grade credit companies like Anthropic to acquire large-scale computing power. Additionally, Bitcoin miner Hut 8, as a data center developer, is providing infrastructure services for both the NVIDIA camp and Anthropic projects under the Google TPU ecosystem in this transaction, becoming a "dual-line beneficiary" in the AI computing power arms race.
20:48
According to Axios, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent placed growth at the core of the U.S. agenda at the G20 meeting, with specific proposals including: calling for broader deregulation among G20 nations and an expanded role for the private sector in policymaking; addressing global trade imbalances, an issue closely tied to the Donald Trump administration's tariff policies; and improving debt restructuring mechanisms for distressed countries, positioning it as a crucial component of a global debt relief pathway.
20:36
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) opened down 0.52% on Tuesday, then extended its losses, falling 84.81 points, or 1.24%, to 6,735.21 as of 9:15 AM. This followed an overnight decline in US stocks, triggered by renewed military conflict between the US and Iran, and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh, which intensified market concerns about inflation.
20:34
In a tweet, WintonARK analyzed that Starlink has enormous launch capacity, and its business opportunities could scale to hundreds of billions of dollars before returns begin to decline. The firm estimates that for the 10th v3 satellite launch, an investment of $1 billion in satellites, ground station construction, rocket launches, and customer acquisition is expected to yield a net return of $5 billion (after deducting taxes and operating costs).

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