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Federal Reserve
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Study: Polymarket's "Informed" Traders Garner $143 Million in Abnormal Profits Since 2024
Svmuu News: Researchers from Columbia Law School and the University of Haifa analyzed most of Polymarket's trading data between 2024 and 2026, identifying over 210,000 suspicious trades that generated
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Coinbase's Head of Policy calls for reform of crypto tax rules, stating the current system is outdated; 2. Ethereum developers will not prioritize inclusion of the framework transaction proposal fo
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Democratic Lawmakers Write to Kansas City Fed, Demand Details on Approval of Kraken's Access to Federal Reserve Services
Svmuu News: Maxine Waters, the top Democrat on the U.S. House Financial Services Committee, has sent a letter to Jeff Schmid, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. She is demanding a d
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Polymarket Launches New Event "When Will the Trump Administration Terminate the Powell Criminal Investigation," Probability of Termination Before June Currently Reported at 56%
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that a new event, "When will the Trump administration terminate the Powell criminal investigation," has been launched on Polymarket. The probability of termination
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Federal Reserve Official: No Plans to Advance CBDC Development at This Time
Svmuu News According to Brett Guynn, a legal official at the Federal Reserve, there are currently no plans in motion to advance the development of a central bank digital currency (CBDC). (CoinDesk)
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The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in April is 93.8%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 6.2%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 93.8
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Analysis: Federal Reserves may face a dilemma regarding their dual mission
Svmuu News: Benjamin Louvet, an analyst at OFI Investment Management, stated in a report that the Federal Reserve may face a dilemma regarding its dual mandate of employment and inflation: should it r
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U.S. Weekly Initial Jobless Claims Slightly Increase, Providing Fed Room to Maintain Interest Rates Unchanged
Svmuu News: The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits increased slightly last week, indicating that the labor market remains stable while also providing the Federal Reserve with room
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Reuters Survey: Majority of Economists Expect Fed to Cut Rates 1-2 Times This Year
Svmuu News According to a Reuters survey: Among 82 economists, 65 (approximately 79%) believe the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates one to two times this year. (Jin10)
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Fed Advisor: Warsh May Need Five Years to Shrink Fed's Balance Sheet
Svmuu According to a top financial economist, Kevin Warsh, nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, aims to significantly reduce the Fed's $6.6 trillion balance sheet, but he may need more than one term to
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Analysis: Market Focuses on Bitcoin's $72,000 to $82,000 "Vacuum Zone," Upward Momentum Still Awaits Confirmation
Svmuu News Bitfinex Alpha's latest report points out that Bitcoin's price action showed significant divergence last week. Although it once surged to a high of $76,000, it subsequently retreated under
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K33: Bitcoin's Sideways Consolidation Signals Bottom Formation, Receding Selling Pressure May Trigger Structural Reversal
Svmuu News Cryptocurrency research firm K33 suggests that Bitcoin's recent sustained sideways consolidation may indicate a shift in market structure. As selling pressure diminishes, the market could b
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U.S. Media: U.S. Department of Justice Admits Lack of Evidence in Investigation into Powell
Svmuu News According to a report by The Washington Post, court records show that a senior aide to U.S. Department of Justice official Jeannie Pirro admitted during a closed-door hearing this month tha
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Goldman Sachs Raises Probability of US Recession to 30%
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs stated that due to the surge in oil and natural gas prices, the probability of the US economy falling into a recession within the next 12 months has risen to 30%, an increase
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Federal Reserve's Goolsbee: There may be situations where interest rate hikes are needed
Svmuu News Federal Reserve's Goolsbee: There may be situations where interest rate hikes are needed. (Jin10)
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Morgan Stanley currently holds a neutral stance on US Treasuries
Svmuu News Morgan Stanley strategists stated in a report that they currently recommend maintaining a neutral strategy towards US Treasuries until the impact of the Middle East conflict on the economy
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Spot Gold Nearly Erases All Gains for the Year
Svmuu News On Monday, spot gold once fell to $4,320.30 per ounce—just over a dollar higher than its price at the end of last year, nearly erasing all gains for the year. Meanwhile, the war in the Midd
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10x Research: Bitcoin Falls Below $69,000, Derivatives Market Turns Defensive, Downside Risks Intensify
Svmuu reported that 10x Research posted an analysis on platform X, pointing out that Bitcoin has fallen below the critical price level of $69,000, indicating a significant shift in market structure wi
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The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in April is 87.6%, while the probability of a rate hike is 12.4%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 12.4%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 87.6%. The pr
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Analysis: Trump's "48-Hour Ultimatum" to Iran Triggers Risk-Off Sentiment, Leading to Broad Decline in Major Crypto Assets
Svmuu News According to , influenced by Trump issuing a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran and threatening to strike power facilities, Bitcoin experienced a rapid decline over the weekend, falling below the $6
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Institution: The Core of Current Gold Price Movement Lies in the Re-constraint of Energy Price Increases on Interest Rate Expectations
Svmuu News According to Xinda Futures, from the current drivers, the core of gold price movement lies in the re-constraint of energy price increases on interest rate expectations. As the Middle East c
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HSBC: Maintains Expectation for Fed to Hold Rates Steady This Year and Next
Svmuu News HSBC stated that the Federal Reserve once again kept its policy rate unchanged at the March meeting, remaining at 3.50%-3.75%, and hinted at adopting a "wait-and-see" approach. Persistent i
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Bitcoin mining difficulty dropped to 133.79 T, a decrease of 7.76%; 2. Ethereum spot ETFs saw a total net outflow of $41.9715 million yesterday, marking three consecutive days of net outflows; 3. A
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Analysis: "Fed Rate Hike" Nightmare May Come True, Bank of America Says Three Conditions Must Be Met First
Svmuu News Wall Street is concerned that escalating conflicts in the Middle East could lead to a surge in international oil prices, potentially reigniting U.S. inflation and prompting the Federal Rese
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
The Nikkei 225 Index fell 5.76% from its previous close, currently trading at 57,557.09.
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ZEC (Zcash) is up 6.26% over the past 4 hours, currently trading at $1,330.13.
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Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index fell 6.11% from its previous close, currently trading at 39,032.95.
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The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.06% from its previous close, currently trading at 3,650.85.
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South Korea's KOSPI index fell 5.48% from its previous close, currently standing at 5,088.79.
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Trump's policies and institutional participation drove Ethereum's sharp rally in August 2026, with its market cap reaching approximately $294.8 billion in November
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Samsung Electronics fell 9.98% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩181,400.
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SK hynix fell 12.42% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩1,107,000.
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How is OPCT (Opacity)? Current Status and Risks of the Privacy Cloud Storage Token
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Nikkei Stock Average drops 5.9% to 57,497.16, dragged by chip stocks amid U.S. tech selloff
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