Federal Reserve
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Nomura: Inflation Risks and Upper-Level Changes Delay Fed Rate Cut Expectations to September
Svmuu News Nomura Securities has delayed its expectations for Fed rate cuts to September and December, citing new inflation risks triggered by conflicts in the Middle East. Jeremy Schwartz, Nomura's C
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Warsh's Fed Chair Nomination Hearing Could Be Held the Week of April 13
Svmuu News Two informed sources stated that the U.S. Senate Banking Committee plans to hold a nomination hearing for Kevin Warsh to become the Federal Reserve Chair as early as the week of April 13. T
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Analysis: The Federal Reserve faces challenges, rising oil prices may dampen expectations for a decline in US inflation; 2. Machi Big Brother continues to increase long positions in BTC, ETH, and H
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Analysis: The Fed Faces Challenges, Rising Oil Prices May Disrupt Expectations of U.S. Inflation Decline
Svmuu News As the conflict between the U.S., Israel, and Iran approaches one month, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains persistently obstructed, disrupting the global energy supply system an
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Analysis: The Crypto Market Needs to Undergo a "Reset Period" Before a New Bull Run Can Begin
Svmuu According to Interactivecrypto, since Bitcoin hit its all-time high of $127,000 in October 2025, the market experienced a swift correction to around the $60,000 range in Q1 2026. Despite the int
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Study: Polymarket's "Informed" Traders Garner $143 Million in Abnormal Profits Since 2024
Svmuu News Researchers from Columbia Law School and the University of Haifa analyzed most of Polymarket's trading data between 2024 and 2026, finding that over 210,000 suspicious trades generated $143
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Coinbase's Head of Policy calls for reform of crypto tax rules, stating the current system is outdated; 2. Ethereum developers will not prioritize inclusion of the framework transaction proposal fo
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Democratic Lawmakers Write to Kansas City Fed, Demand Details on Approval of Kraken's Access to Federal Reserve Services
Svmuu News: Maxine Waters, the top Democrat on the U.S. House Financial Services Committee, has sent a letter to Jeff Schmid, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. She is demanding a d
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Polymarket Launches New Event "When Will the Trump Administration Terminate the Powell Criminal Investigation," Probability of Termination Before June Currently Reported at 56%
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that a new event, "When will the Trump administration terminate the Powell criminal investigation," has been launched on Polymarket. The probability of termination
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Federal Reserve Official: No Plans to Advance CBDC Development at This Time
Svmuu News According to Brett Guynn, a legal official at the Federal Reserve, there are currently no plans in motion to advance the development of a central bank digital currency (CBDC). (CoinDesk)
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The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in April is 93.8%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 6.2%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 93.8
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Analysis: Federal Reserves may face a dilemma regarding their dual mission
Svmuu News: Benjamin Louvet, an analyst at OFI Investment Management, stated in a report that the Federal Reserve may face a dilemma regarding its dual mandate of employment and inflation: should it r
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U.S. Weekly Initial Jobless Claims Slightly Increase, Providing Fed Room to Maintain Interest Rates Unchanged
Svmuu News: The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits increased slightly last week, indicating that the labor market remains stable while also providing the Federal Reserve with room
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Reuters Survey: Majority of Economists Expect Fed to Cut Rates 1-2 Times This Year
Svmuu News According to a Reuters survey: Among 82 economists, 65 (approximately 79%) believe the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates one to two times this year. (Jin10)
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Fed Advisor: Warsh May Need Five Years to Shrink Fed's Balance Sheet
Svmuu According to a top financial economist, Kevin Warsh, nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, aims to significantly reduce the Fed's $6.6 trillion balance sheet, but he may need more than one term to
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Analysis: Market Focuses on Bitcoin's $72,000 to $82,000 "Vacuum Zone," Upward Momentum Still Awaits Confirmation
Svmuu News Bitfinex Alpha's latest report points out that Bitcoin's price action showed significant divergence last week. Although it once surged to a high of $76,000, it subsequently retreated under
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K33: Bitcoin's Sideways Consolidation Signals Bottom Formation, Receding Selling Pressure May Trigger Structural Reversal
Svmuu News Cryptocurrency research firm K33 suggests that Bitcoin's recent sustained sideways consolidation may indicate a shift in market structure. As selling pressure diminishes, the market could b
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U.S. Media: U.S. Department of Justice Admits Lack of Evidence in Investigation into Powell
Svmuu News According to a report by The Washington Post, court records show that a senior aide to U.S. Department of Justice official Jeannie Pirro admitted during a closed-door hearing this month tha
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Goldman Sachs Raises Probability of US Recession to 30%
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs stated that due to the surge in oil and natural gas prices, the probability of the US economy falling into a recession within the next 12 months has risen to 30%, an increase
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Federal Reserve's Goolsbee: There may be situations where interest rate hikes are needed
Svmuu News Federal Reserve's Goolsbee: There may be situations where interest rate hikes are needed. (Jin10)
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Morgan Stanley currently holds a neutral stance on US Treasuries
Svmuu News Morgan Stanley strategists stated in a report that they currently recommend maintaining a neutral strategy towards US Treasuries until the impact of the Middle East conflict on the economy
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Spot Gold Nearly Erases All Gains for the Year
Svmuu News On Monday, spot gold once fell to $4,320.30 per ounce—just over a dollar higher than its price at the end of last year, nearly erasing all gains for the year. Meanwhile, the war in the Midd
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10x Research: Bitcoin Falls Below $69,000, Derivatives Market Turns Defensive, Downside Risks Intensify
Svmuu reported that 10x Research posted an analysis on platform X, pointing out that Bitcoin has fallen below the critical price level of $69,000, indicating a significant shift in market structure wi
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The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in April is 87.6%, while the probability of a rate hike is 12.4%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 12.4%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 87.6%. The pr
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Bond Investors Warn of Rising Treasury Rout Risk, Spiraling Yields Amid Unclear Fed Policy
Bond investors, including Brandywine Global Investment Management and Wellington Management, are warning that the risk of a deeper Treasury rout is increasing. They attribute this to Federal Reserve C
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The U.S. July nonfarm payrolls report is scheduled to be released on August 7 and will influence market expectations regarding the Fed’s interest rate path in September.
Next Friday (August 7), the U.S. will release its July nonfarm payrolls report. This will be the first full set of employment data following the FOMC’s decision to hold rates steady at its July meetin
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SoFi Technologies (SOFI) Stock Drops 13% Despite Reporting Record Q2 Revenue of $1.2B (+40% YoY) and EPS of $0.12 (+50%)
SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) reported record second-quarter results, with adjusted net revenue increasing 40% year-over-year to $1.2 billion and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rising 50% to $0.
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The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times since September 2025, lowering the upper limit of the federal funds rate to 3.75%; the real estate market has responded positively, with three related ETFs posting strong performance, including the Hoya Capital High Dividend Yield ETF (RIET), which has yielded nearly 10.5%.
Since September 2025, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times, lowering the upper limit of the federal funds rate target to 3.75%. As a result, the real estate market has been active. T
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U.S. President Donald Trump has once again criticized the Federal Reserve, saying its board is “highly politicized” and that interest rates should be lowered.
U.S. President Donald Trump once again publicly criticized the Federal Reserve this week, calling its board members “highly politicized” and stating that interest rates should be lowered. Donald Trump
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Fed Chair Wash is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, and S&P traders are concerned that the market will experience sharp volatility
Bloomberg Markets reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, a move interpreted by the market as a form of “silent treatment” that has he
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Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh Considers Reducing Policy Meetings, Raising Concerns Over Market Volatility
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is reportedly considering reducing the number of Federal Reserve policy meetings. This potential move has drawn concern from economists and market strategists, who
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Synchrony Bank Offers 4.15% APY on 14-Month CD, Topping Today's Best Rates
Synchrony Bank is offering a 4.15% annual percentage yield (APY) on its 14-month certificate of deposit (CD), marking the highest CD rate available as of Saturday, August 1, 2026. This comes after the
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Fed Hawks Push for More Rate Hikes, Driving US 10-Year Yield to 4.727% (Highest Since Jan 2025); BOJ Holds Rates But Signals Future Hikes
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, publicly advocated for further interes
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Fed Governor Lorie Logan Backs Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Hike, Citing Inflation Off Track from 2% Target
US Federal Reserve Governor Lorie Logan stated her preference for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike, arguing that inflation is not on track to sustainably return to the Fed's 2% target. Logan emph
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Federal Reserve Board seeks comment on proposal to modernize rules for bank insider credit
The Federal Reserve Board has requested public comment on a proposal to modernize its Regulation O, which governs the extension of credit to bank 'insiders' including executives, board members, and ma
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Federal Reserve Board Proposes to Modernize Rules Governing Mutual Banks and Seeks Public Comment
On Friday, July 31, the Federal Reserve Board issued a proposal aimed at modernizing the regulatory rules governing mutual banks and sought public comment on the matter. These institutions are owned b
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Fed Dissenters Explain Support for Higher Rates, Citing Persistent Inflation
Federal Reserve officials who dissented from the recent policy decision explained their rationale for backing higher interest rates, pointing to inflation having exceeded the Fed's 2% target for over
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Fed Holds Rates Steady, But Market Odds for a September Hike Rise to 53%
The US Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates, but market expectations for a September rate hike have increased. Despite the Fed holding rates steady and offering no guidance, Kalshi now prices
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Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari Prefers Incremental Policy Tightening to Combat Inflation Risk
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated he would rather tighten policy incrementally as more data on inflation and employment becomes available, to manage the risk of high inflation becoming en
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Bitcoin Sentiment in the options market has turned bearish, with the $60,000 put option expiring in August becoming the most popular trade on Deribit.
As July came to a close, the Bitcoins options market saw significant changes. On Deribit, the world’s largest cryptocurrency options exchange, the August-expiring Bitcoin put option (a position that h
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Bitcoin and Ether Fall as July Ends, While Equities Rally; Broader Crypto Market Still Poised for Best Month in a Year
Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.31% to $63,870 and Ether (ETH) dropped 1.40% to $1,890 as July drew to a close. This divergence occurred as equities rallied, with South Korea's Kospi surging over 15% and U.S. in
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U.S. Treasury Yields Rise Following Fed Decision
U.S. Treasury yields rose, particularly short-dated yields, as investors continued to process the Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday to keep interest rates unchanged and Chairman Kevin Warsh's st
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RBC's Calvasina: Fresh Volatility in U.S. Stocks Presents 'Valuation Opportunity'
RBC analyst Calvasina states that recent volatility in U.S. stocks is creating a "valuation opportunity" for investors. He adds that it is normal for equities to face challenges during Federal Reserve
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The dollar may post its worst performance in three months this week amid market concerns that the Federal Reserve is failing to curb inflation effectively
The U.S. dollar is on track for its worst week in three months, largely due to growing market concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can effectively curb inflation.
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White House officials have spoken out one after another: Hassett said the PCE data makes things “easier” for Fed Chair Wash, while Navarro called on the Fed to consider cutting interest rates
Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, said that the recently released inflation data (the June PCE price index) has made Fed Chair Wash’s job “a little easier” and expr
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Investors doubt former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's confidence in the Fed's inflation-fighting resolve
Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh insists the Fed will do whatever it takes to reduce U.S. inflation to its 2% target. However, investors are reportedly skeptical of the central bank's resol
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Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady in July, Wall Street Reacts Negatively on Inflation Fears
The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-3 on July 29 to hold benchmark short-term interest rates steady. Despite the pause, Wall Street reacted negatively, with the Dow
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Federal Reserve
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Analysis: The State Street Healthcare ETF (XLV) has an expense ratio of 0.08% and a diversified portfolio, while the Invesco Biotechnology ETF (PBE) has an expense ratio of 0.58% and focuses on small-cap stocks; PBE is up 10.2% year-to-date, outperforming XLV.
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Iran-linked exchange Shelbit allegedly sent $676 million to Binance in sanctions-evasion operation, Reuters reports
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Analysis: Vanguard Small-Cap Growth ETF (VBK) up 21% YTD 2026, Outperforming Large-Cap Growth ETF (VONG) at 0.3% YTD
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QUARTZ Coin Analysis: An Overview of the Sandclock (QUARTZ) and Unique Network’s Quartz (QTZ) Projects
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TRIVIA Coin: Originally Designed to Create a Blockchain-Based Trivia Game—Analysis of Current Market Performance and Project Status
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Berkshire Hathaway Holds Record $400B Cash, Net Seller for 3+ Years; "Buffett Indicator" Hits All-Time High Suggesting Stocks Are Expensive
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What Is POLA? Background and Investment Risk Analysis of the Pola On Base Project
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