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Federal Reserve
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82% Chance of Fed Rate Hike by Mid-September
There is now an 82% chance of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike by mid-September.
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The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but the possibility of a rate hike remains.
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but the possibility of a rate hike has not been completely ruled out.
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Trump Pauses Iran Strikes, Leading to Drop in Yields, Dollar, and Oil Prices
President Trump paused planned strikes on Iran, causing global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and oil prices to fall. This action eased fears of a wider Middle East conflict, with the 10-year U.S. Trea
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U.S. Bond Market Sends Signal to the Fed: "Hawkish" Rhetoric Alone Is Not Enough; Market Expects Rate Hikes to Combat Inflation
The U.S. Treasury market is sending a clear signal to Federal Reserve Chair Wash that strong anti-inflation rhetoric alone is not enough to reassure investors, as the market strongly anticipates inter
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Bitcoin ETFs End Inflow Streak Amid Fed Rate Concerns
US-listed Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced heavy outflows late last week, ending their recent streak of inflows. This development highlights the fragility of Bitcoin's recent recovery,
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Analysis: Bitcoin’s Rebound Faces Four Sources of Pressure; Rising U.S. Treasury Yields Exacerbate Market Risks
Svmuu News: CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler released a weekly report stating that the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has recently risen to about 4.7%, approaching the upper end of its five-year range. The
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Analyst: Oil Prices Approach the 100-Yuan Mark Again; Alarm Bells Ring Once More as Global Central Banks Raise Interest Rates
Svmuu News: Central banks around the world are grappling with how to respond to oil prices returning to around $100 per barrel. The Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) ma
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Wise plans to resubmit its application for a U.S. National Trust Bank license under the GENIUS Act
Svmuu News: According to a research report by William Blair, cross-border payment company Wise plans to resubmit its application for a national trust bank license under the U.S. “GENIUS Act” stablecoi
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Coinbase Institutional Maintains a Neutral Outlook on the Crypto Market for Q3 2026
Svmuu News Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode have jointly released a market report maintaining a neutral outlook on the crypto market for the third quarter of 2026.In the second quarter, the total
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Morgan Stanley: The Fed is expected to hold rates steady next week
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley strategists said in a report that recent data suggests the Federal Reserve will hold off on raising rates at its July meeting and is likely to keep rates unchanged for the r
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Analysis: The Fed Could Raise Rates as Early as Next Week; U.S. Treasury Yields Rise to Year-to-Date Highs
Svmuu News: As the threat of an escalation of the war in Iran pushed up oil prices, U.S. Treasury yields rose to their highest levels of the year, with the market anticipating that the Federal Reserve
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"The Fed's Voice": The July Policy Meeting Has Become One of the Most Unpredictable in Recent Years
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, known as the “Fed’s mouthpiece,” wrote in a post on July 23 (local time) that the Fed’s July policy meeting will be one of the most difficult to predict in recent years.Risi
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Analysis: U.S. initial jobless claims fell sharply last week, and the job market remains stable.
Svmuu News: The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. fell sharply last week, indicating that the U.S. job market remains stable and that Federal Reserve officials need to continue focusing on
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Head of Research at Grayscale: If the Fed Stops Raising Interest Rates, Bitcoin's Price May Have Already Bottomed Out
Svmuu News: Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale, wrote that there are currently two main views on when the Bitcoin bear market will end: one follows the “four-year cycle,” and the other views Bi
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Bitget CFD Chief Analyst: To Build a High-Win-Rate Trading Framework for Gold, It Is Necessary to Combine Data from CME and CFTC Open Interest Reports, Among Other Sources
Svmuu News: Recently, Lewis Huang, Chief Analyst of Bitget CFD, shared advanced strategies for trading gold. He pointed out that to develop a high-win-rate gold trading strategy, traders must look bey
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Semiconductor Stocks Face Several Key Events Over the Next Two Weeks, with AI Capital Expenditures Taking Center Stage
Svmuu News: Paradis Labs posted on X stating that it is currently difficult to determine whether semiconductor stocks have bottomed out. Most AI infrastructure-related stocks rose that day, with SIVE,
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Yields on 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds hit two-month highs as rising oil prices fuel inflation concerns
Svmuu News: The U.S. Treasury market fell, with yields on 10-year and 30-year Treasuries rising to their highest levels in about two months. Surging crude oil prices fueled market concerns that inflat
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All 104 economists expect the Federal Reserve to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%.
Svmuu News: According to a Reuters survey, all 104 economists expect the Federal Reserve to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% on July 29. Of the 104 economists, 78 (compared with 78
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Bitcoin Probability of Bitcoin Reaching $67,500 in July Rises to 70%; Spot ETFs See Net Inflows for 5 Consecutive Days
Svmuu News: Polymarket traders have raised the probability that Bitcoin will reach $67,500 in July to 70%, up from approximately 56% earlier this week.The current market probability of Bitcoin reachin
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Analysis: The U.S. Treasury yield curve may invert
Svmuu News: The yield spread between 10-year and 2-year U.S. Treasury bonds is expected to narrow further in the coming months, according to Capital Economics, which noted that escalating tensions in
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QCP Market: Oil Prices and Fed Expectations Weigh on Risk Assets; BTC Trades in a Narrow Range
Svmuu News: QCP Market reports that global market sentiment has shifted toward risk aversion due to the situation in the Middle East and expectations of a hawkish stance by the Federal Reserve.Followi
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WEEX Labs: This Week, U.S. Stocks Will Focus on Q2 Earnings Reports and Fed Expectations; Macroeconomic Data Is Relatively Limited
Svmuu News: This week, the focus of the U.S. stock market will shift to the second-quarter earnings reports from tech giants such as Alphabet, Tesla, and Intel. At the same time, attention will be on
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The President of the Cleveland Fed Hints at the Need for Rate Hikes to Combat Inflation; Markets See a 65% Probability of a Rate Hike in September
Svmuu News: Hamack, President of the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, recently hinted that the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates to curb persistently high inflation. Currently, interest
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U.S. Consumer Confidence Index Rises to 54.4; Declining Inflation Expectations Offer Relief to the Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Samuel Tombs of Pantheon noted that the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 54.4 from 49.5 in June, exceeding economists’ expectations of 50.5 but remaining below last
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Fed Hawks Push for More Rate Hikes, Driving US 10-Year Yield to 4.727% (Highest Since Jan 2025); BOJ Holds Rates But Signals Future Hikes
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, publicly advocated for further interes
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Fed Governor Lorie Logan Backs Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Hike, Citing Inflation Off Track from 2% Target
US Federal Reserve Governor Lorie Logan stated her preference for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike, arguing that inflation is not on track to sustainably return to the Fed's 2% target. Logan emph
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Federal Reserve Board seeks comment on proposal to modernize rules for bank insider credit
The Federal Reserve Board has requested public comment on a proposal to modernize its Regulation O, which governs the extension of credit to bank 'insiders' including executives, board members, and ma
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Federal Reserve Board Proposes to Modernize Rules Governing Mutual Banks and Seeks Public Comment
On Friday, July 31, the Federal Reserve Board issued a proposal aimed at modernizing the regulatory rules governing mutual banks and sought public comment on the matter. These institutions are owned b
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Fed Dissenters Explain Support for Higher Rates, Citing Persistent Inflation
Federal Reserve officials who dissented from the recent policy decision explained their rationale for backing higher interest rates, pointing to inflation having exceeded the Fed's 2% target for over
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Fed Holds Rates Steady, But Market Odds for a September Hike Rise to 53%
The US Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates, but market expectations for a September rate hike have increased. Despite the Fed holding rates steady and offering no guidance, Kalshi now prices
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Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari Prefers Incremental Policy Tightening to Combat Inflation Risk
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated he would rather tighten policy incrementally as more data on inflation and employment becomes available, to manage the risk of high inflation becoming en
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Bitcoin Sentiment in the options market has turned bearish, with the $60,000 put option expiring in August becoming the most popular trade on Deribit.
As July came to a close, the Bitcoins options market saw significant changes. On Deribit, the world’s largest cryptocurrency options exchange, the August-expiring Bitcoin put option (a position that h
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Bitcoin and Ether Fall as July Ends, While Equities Rally; Broader Crypto Market Still Poised for Best Month in a Year
Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.31% to $63,870 and Ether (ETH) dropped 1.40% to $1,890 as July drew to a close. This divergence occurred as equities rallied, with South Korea's Kospi surging over 15% and U.S. in
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U.S. Treasury Yields Rise Following Fed Decision
U.S. Treasury yields rose, particularly short-dated yields, as investors continued to process the Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday to keep interest rates unchanged and Chairman Kevin Warsh's st
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RBC's Calvasina: Fresh Volatility in U.S. Stocks Presents 'Valuation Opportunity'
RBC analyst Calvasina states that recent volatility in U.S. stocks is creating a "valuation opportunity" for investors. He adds that it is normal for equities to face challenges during Federal Reserve
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The dollar may post its worst performance in three months this week amid market concerns that the Federal Reserve is failing to curb inflation effectively
The U.S. dollar is on track for its worst week in three months, largely due to growing market concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can effectively curb inflation.
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White House officials have spoken out one after another: Hassett said the PCE data makes things “easier” for Fed Chair Wash, while Navarro called on the Fed to consider cutting interest rates
Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, said that the recently released inflation data (the June PCE price index) has made Fed Chair Wash’s job “a little easier” and expr
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Investors doubt former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's confidence in the Fed's inflation-fighting resolve
Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh insists the Fed will do whatever it takes to reduce U.S. inflation to its 2% target. However, investors are reportedly skeptical of the central bank's resol
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Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady in July, Wall Street Reacts Negatively on Inflation Fears
The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-3 on July 29 to hold benchmark short-term interest rates steady. Despite the pause, Wall Street reacted negatively, with the Dow
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Bitcoin presses toward $65,000 as Treasuries out-yield carry trade for only second time on record
Bitcoin firmed toward $65,000 on Thursday. This movement occurred as softer economic data eased fears of a September interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, with spot trading volume near multi-y
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions against former employees of Regions Bank and First Interstate Bank
The Federal Reserve Board on Thursday announced it has issued consent prohibition orders against Simon Alberto Gonzalez, a former employee of Regions Bank, and Ralph A. Mojica, a former employee of Fi
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with Iuka Bancshares, Inc. and The Iuka State Bank
The U.S. Federal Reserve Board announced it has issued an enforcement action, specifically a Written Agreement dated July 15, 2026, with Iuka Bancshares, Inc. and its subsidiary, The Iuka State Bank,
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Bitcoin Ethereum's stock price rose after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged
On Thursday, July 30, 2026, the prices of Bitcoin, and Ethereum rose. This followed the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged. Bitcoin The price rose from an opening level of $63
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Hassett: Still Has Confidence in Warsh 'Of Course'
Economist Kevin Hassett stated that he still has confidence in Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Board Governor.
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Kevin Hassett: Today's inflation data makes Warsh's job 'a bit easier'
Former White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that today's inflation data has made the job of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh 'a bit easier'.
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Global stocks rebound on tech earnings and steady US inflation data, while 30-year Treasury yield nears 2007 high
Global stocks rebounded on Thursday, supported by better-than-expected U.S. inflation data and Microsoft's earnings report, which eased some concerns about AI spending. The Personal Consumption Expend
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Hassett: "Very Bullish" on Fed Policy Direction
Former White House economic advisor Hassett stated he is "very bullish" on the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy, believing it is moving in the proper direction.
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