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US Treasuries Rally After Employers Unexpectedly Cut Jobs in July, Trimming Fed Rate-Hike Bets
US Treasuries Rally After Employers Unexpectedly Cut Jobs in July, Trimming Fed Rate-Hike Bets
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US July Nonfarm Payrolls Fall 23K M/M; Est. +80K
US July Nonfarm Payrolls Fall 23K M/M; Est. +80K
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Barclays says the "Sell America" trade is resurfacing in dollar and US bond markets
Barclays attributes the return of this trade to uncertainty over Fed policy, a potential yen carry-trade unwind, and concerns over AI spending, which are driving volatility. Despite this, US equities
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Natixis Chief U.S. Economist Hodge: Upcoming employment data will not change the Federal Reserve's thinking
Christopher Hodge anticipates the upcoming US jobs report will show a modest increase in the unemployment rate.
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Synchrony Bank offers the highest CD rate today at 4.15% APY for its 14-month CD
The highest certificate of deposit (CD) rate available today, August 7, 2026, is 4.15% APY, offered by Synchrony Bank for its 14-month CD. This comes as CD rates have generally been declining due to t
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Trump: The Fed's interest rate decisions do not depend entirely on Warsh; its board is “highly politicized”
Trump: The Fed's interest rate decisions do not depend entirely on Warsh; its board is "highly politicized"
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The U.S. Department of Labor will release its July employment report today. Economists expect 83,000 new jobs to have been added, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.2%. U.S. stock futures are trading higher.
The U.S. Department of Labor is set to release its July employment report today at 8:30 AM ET. The market generally expects the U.S. economy to have added 83,000 jobs in July, up from 57,000 in June,
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Bond traders are focused on Friday's labor market data, which could influence expectations for a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
Bond traders are focused on Friday's labor market data, which could influence expectations for a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
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US sold euros to prop up yen without European Central Bank (ECB)'s knowledge, sparking rare trust crisis among major Western central banks
US sold euros to prop up yen without European Central Bank (ECB)'s knowledge, sparking rare trust crisis among major Western central banks
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Fed’s FIMA Repo Facility Went Unused for 8th Straight Week, suggesting Japan didn’t use the tool in its latest effort to support the yen
Fed’s FIMA Repo Facility Went Unused for 8th Straight Week, suggesting Japan didn’t use the tool in its latest effort to support the yen
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Analysis: Trump's close relationship with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh creates economic risks for the central bank's independence
An analysis suggests that former President Trump's reported repeated phone calls to Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, treating him as an ally, could complicate the central bank's efforts to demonstrate indepe
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EY-Parthenon expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged through year-end, citing a stable labor market despite Wall Street's payroll expectations.
EY-Parthenon believes the labor market remains stable and is unlikely to shift the Fed's focus, even after Friday's jobs report. The firm states that only broader, more persistent inflation or a meani
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Federal Reserve officials have begun discussing the frenetic pace of AI investment and its potential financial risks, but views are divided.
New York Fed President John Williams stated that he does not believe the current situation is a "bubble" but rather excitement and enthusiasm surrounding new technologies. He added that despite increa
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David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital trimmed its SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) stake to 99,611 shares in Q1 2026, while Daniel Loeb's Third Point opened a new 95,000-share position in the same quarter
Einhorn, a prominent gold bull, sold into strength as rising real yields (10-year real yield at 4.75% with the Fed paused at 3.75%) eroded gold's appeal. Conversely, Loeb's new position is seen as a h
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USD/JPY rose 0.41% to 158.41, with markets focused on progress in the Iran deal and the US non-farm payrolls report.
USD/JPY rose on Thursday, trading at 158.41, marking its third consecutive day of gains after falling to a 13-week low of 155.20 on Monday. Markets are closely watching details of a proposed agreement
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AAII Investor Sentiment Turns More Bullish After Fed Pause, Bullish Sentiment Rises to 37.0% and Bull-Bear Spread Improves to -0.9%
AAII Investor Sentiment Turns More Bullish After Fed Pause, Bullish Sentiment Rises to 37.0% and Bull-Bear Spread Improves to -0.9%. Bearish sentiment fell 4.1 percentage points to 38.0%, while neutra
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Bank of America Warns Fed Chair Warsh Faces 'Credibility Shock' After FOMC Split Decision
Bank of America cautioned that Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh is facing an emerging-market-style "credibility shock" following the FOMC's 9-3 split decision to hold the fed funds upper bound at 3.7
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U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren questioned the Federal Reserve's upcoming adjustment to its PCE inflation measurement method, which could lower reported inflation by about 0.2 percentage points.
U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren is seeking details on upcoming adjustments to the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. The new metho
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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh stated the central bank has "no tolerance" for persistently elevated inflation, leading to an 840-point drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, presiding over his second meeting, maintained current interest rates. He reiterated in a session with Congress that he and his committee "have no tolerance for persistently elev
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BNP Paribas Sees Gold Hitting $5,000 Within 12 Months, Citing Trump's Fed Pressure and Dollar Weakness
The bank's wealth management division forecasts over 20% upside from current levels, projecting a 3.5% decline in the dollar over the same period. This outlook is also supported by World Gold Council
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Fed Chairman Warsh Reportedly Sticking to Revised Messaging Despite Treasury Selloff
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is said to be prepared to stick with his revised communications style, according to a report in the Financial Times, despite a selloff in US Treasuries following l
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Analyst Matthew Piepenburg: Yen's fall to 40-year low and the Federal Reserve's weakening influence on long-term interest rates jointly highlight gold's strategic value
Analyst Matthew Piepenburg points out that the recent drop of the Japanese Yen to a forty-year low against the US Dollar, coupled with Federal Reserve Chair Powell's admission after the July FOMC meet
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Hong Kong raises guaranteed coupon rate for its latest batch of Silver Bonds to 4.25%, up from 3.85% last year, with up to HK$50 billion (US$6.4 billion) on offer.
The 11th batch of three-year Silver Bonds, aimed at senior citizens, will go on sale from August 21, amid market expectations that the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates later this year.
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MUFG says U.S. dollar remains undervalued against 8 of 9 G10 currencies, citing Middle East ceasefire expectations, U.S.-Japan yen intervention, and concerns over Fed independence
The bank suggests an extra risk premium is still priced in, noting that despite a small rebound, the DXY remains near a seven-week low. Concerns over Fed independence stem from reports that President
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Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve has taken enforcement actions against three former bank employees for misappropriation of customer funds, misuse of funds, and check fraud.
The Federal Reserve Board announced at 11:00 AM ET on Friday that it has taken enforcement actions against Charles Alan Wright, a former employee of Northstar Bank (alleged misappropriation of custome
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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Musk reposted a tweet stating that OpenAI's AI agents are conducting "self-adventurous experiments" in a "safety sandbox," even pressuring each other for "permanent death" in exchange for collective benefit.
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The Senate failed to pass a cryptocurrency ethics rule because it did not cover the interests of officials' adult children.
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Decentralized Applications (DApps) Explained: Reshaping the Foundation of the Web3 Ecosystem
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Hong Kong to expand renminbi-denominated bond, gold and commodity markets, says Financial Secretary Paul Chan
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
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Musk reposted a SpaceX tweet, confirming the deployment of 27 Starlink satellites.
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Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300bn of AI exposure off balance sheets, with Wall Street facilitating cheaper funding
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Google executive says Asia's AI adoption is outpacing perception, with demand rising for cost-effectiveness
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Houthis attack Saudi capital and Aramco facilities, US warns of "rapid escalation" of conflict, Saudi Arabia urgently seeks aid from multiple countries.
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Ed Sheeran calls Gaza situation 'catastrophic,' 'unjustifiable,' and 'disproportionate' as US tour resumes
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