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Federal Reserve
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Invesco analysis suggests that the Federal Reserve is not behind the curve, and current interest rates are still restrictive or neutral.
Invesco noted that its estimated neutral interest rate is between 3.5% and 4.0%, which is close to the Federal Reserve's current policy range of 3.50% to 3.75%. The institution also stated that inflat
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Fed Governor Kevin Warsh is open to a September rate hike if upcoming inflation data comes in hot and markets increase expectations for higher borrowing costs, according to people familiar w
Fed Governor Kevin Warsh is open to a September rate hike if upcoming inflation data comes in hot and markets increase expectations for higher borrowing costs, according to people familiar with his th
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SF Fed President Mary Daly to present a bimodal outlook, stating her base case (scenario one) remains but a second scenario is gaining ground, and explains July's Fed inaction was about asse
Nick Timiraos reported that San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly will deliver a speech tonight (Thursday morning in Tokyo time) outlining a bimodal economic outlook. Daly indicated that while scenari
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Spot gold surged 4.20% overnight to $4308, marking its largest single-day gain in five months.
This round of increases was mainly driven by multiple factors, including former US President Donald Trump's statement on reopening negotiations for the Strait of Hormuz, global central banks' better-t
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Fed Governor Lisa Cook voted to hold rates steady last week, citing potential for reduced price pressures, but warns she is "prepared to act" if disinflation signs don't continue soon.
Cook stated that given several years of above-target inflation, the Federal Reserve does not have the luxury to wait longer in the current environment, suggesting a low bar for future rate hikes.
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is considering reducing the number of FOMC meetings, a move that could increase market volatility.
Since taking office in May, Warsh has taken several steps aimed at reducing the Federal Reserve's influence on financial markets, including cutting forward guidance, shortening post-meeting statements
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Dollar faces summer turning point amid yen interventions and upcoming US jobs report, with Aug. 7 employment data key for Fed policy direction.
Dollar faces summer turning point amid yen interventions and upcoming US jobs report, with Aug. 7 employment data key for Fed policy direction.
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Dallas and New York Fed Banks to Launch Pilot Survey of $1.3 Trillion Private Credit Market
The pilot survey, announced by the New York Fed, aims to address concerns over lending standards and a lack of transparency in the rapidly expanding private credit sector. It will launch after the end
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Yahoo Finance analysis suggests Bitcoin could reach new highs in next three years, citing upcoming halving and potential Fed rate cuts
An analysis published on Yahoo Finance (originally by The Motley Fool) projects that Bitcoin could reach new highs over the next three years. The report notes Bitcoin's current price at approximately
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Yellen stated that inflation remains a key challenge, the U.S. labor market is performing well, and the Middle East conflict has a limited economic impact.
Former US Treasury Secretary and Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen stated that the US labor market is functioning well and is no longer overheating to the point of fueling inflation. She added that s
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Market and Wall Street's outlook on the Federal Reserve's September interest rate decision is divided, with Kalshi showing the probabilities of a pause and a 25 basis point hike both close to 50%.
Specifically, data from the prediction platform Kalshi shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 49%, the probability of a 25 basis point hike is 47%
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Bank of America CEO Moynihan Reiterates Forecast for Three Fed Rate Hikes in September, October, and December
Brian Moynihan stated that the bank's forecast is based on a strong labor market and the need for inflation to ease further. He also highlighted that spending patterns between higher- and lower-income
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Japanese Yen Stabilizes After Joint Intervention by Japanese Government and US, Dollar Weakens on Optimism Over Iran Conflict
The Japanese Yen stabilized at 157.55 against the US Dollar on Wednesday, following its most volatile period in months. This comes after the Japanese government, in conjunction with the United States,
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari says 'now is the time to start slowly moving' rates up, advocating a gradual approach potentially starting in September.
Kashkari believes higher interest rates are needed to curb inflation and prevent more drastic increases later. He was one of three dissenters at last week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting who f
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DeItaone reports: Fed's Kashkari says he is not calling for a dramatic increase in rates
DeItaone reports: Fed's Kashkari says he is not calling for a dramatic increase in rates
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FED'S KASHKARI: MY GOAL IS NOT TO SLOW ECONOMY, MY GOAL IS TO BRING DOWN INFLATION
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated that his primary objective is to bring down inflation, not to deliberately slow the economy.
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Barclays, HSBC: Concerns about the Federal Reserve's slow response to inflation increase the appeal of inflation-linked bonds
Barclays and HSBC Holdings said investor concerns about the Federal Reserve being slow to respond to inflation are providing more reasons to buy bonds that can withstand accelerating price increases.
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Economist Shan analyzes that the new Federal Reserve chairman, Warsh, faces a choice between "Financial Crisis 2.0" or "Dollar Crisis 1.0," and predicts he is more likely to choose the latter.
Economist aka Shan points out that the monetary policy choices of the Federal Reserve's new head, Warsh, are pushing the US economy to a critical juncture. Shan believes that Warsh will either stick t
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Analysis points out that the DXY is in a delicate intermediate state at the 100 mark, with insufficient downward momentum in the short term or limited rebound.
Wall Street Insights analysis points out that after the Japanese Yen intervention shakeout, the DXY has returned to the 100 mark. Currently, based on FX option positions, the US-non-US interest rate d
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Kansas City Fed President Schmid (non-voter) states tighter policy is needed to bring inflation to 2%, becoming the fifth Fed president to express desire for rate hikes since last week's mee
Schmid believes the current monetary policy stance is not restrictive, "given the strength of demand and investment," and that a tighter policy will be required to achieve the Fed's 2% inflation objec
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Federal Reserve Board approves Coastal Bend Bancshares, Inc.'s application to acquire First National Bank in Port Lavaca
The Federal Reserve Board on Tuesday announced its approval of the application by Coastal Bend Bancshares, Inc., of Corpus Christi, Texas, to acquire First National Bank in Port Lavaca, of Port Lavaca
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Federal Reserve Board approves FS Bancorp, Inc.'s application to merge with Pacific West Bancorp
The Federal Reserve Board announced its approval of the application by FS Bancorp, Inc., of Mountlake Terrace, Washington, to merge with Pacific West Bancorp, and thereby indirectly acquire Pacific We
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The Federal Reserve approves Spanish bank Santander and its U.S. subsidiary's acquisition of Webster Financial Corporation.
The Federal Reserve announced on Tuesday that it has approved the applications by Banco Santander, S.A., and its U.S. subsidiary, Santander Holdings USA, Inc., to acquire Webster Financial Corporation
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Fed reporter Nick Timiraos notes market participants believe inflation data is paramount, with Fed Governor Waller potentially casting the decisive vote in a tie, and highlights the Septembe
Timiraos adds that an 8-4 decision to hold rates, with Waller joining the three presidents, would not be favorable for the Fed leadership. He emphasizes that the September Summary of Economic Projecti
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US Treasury investors are shifting to short-term bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will succeed in curbing inflation.
U.S. government bond investors are shifting their focus to holding short-term government bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will ultimately succeed in curbing inflation. This comes after the two-
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Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
Musk reposted a tweet stating that OpenAI's AI agents are conducting "self-adventurous experiments" in a "safety sandbox," even pressuring each other for "permanent death" in exchange for collective benefit.
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The Senate failed to pass a cryptocurrency ethics rule because it did not cover the interests of officials' adult children.
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Decentralized Applications (DApps) Explained: Reshaping the Foundation of the Web3 Ecosystem
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Hong Kong to expand renminbi-denominated bond, gold and commodity markets, says Financial Secretary Paul Chan
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
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Musk reposted a SpaceX tweet, confirming the deployment of 27 Starlink satellites.
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Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300bn of AI exposure off balance sheets, with Wall Street facilitating cheaper funding
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Google executive says Asia's AI adoption is outpacing perception, with demand rising for cost-effectiveness
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Houthis attack Saudi capital and Aramco facilities, US warns of "rapid escalation" of conflict, Saudi Arabia urgently seeks aid from multiple countries.
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10
Ed Sheeran calls Gaza situation 'catastrophic,' 'unjustifiable,' and 'disproportionate' as US tour resumes
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