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Pimco Sees Fed on Hold in 2026 as Inflation Moderates
Pimco Sees Fed on Hold in 2026 as Inflation Moderates
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Pimco's Seidner Says Market Angst Over Fed Credibility is Overdone, US Bond Yields Attractive
Pimco's Seidner Says Market Angst Over Fed Credibility is Overdone, US Bond Yields Attractive
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LBMA survey shows the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy becomes the decisive factor influencing gold price forecasts, analysts lower 2026 gold price expectations
Analysts have lowered their gold price forecasts for 2026, according to the mid-year survey released Tuesday by the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA). The survey noted that the Federal Reserve'
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Treasury Yields and Dollar Remain Stable Ahead of U.S. Inflation Data, as Investors Await Clues on Fed's Rate Hike Path.
Treasury Yields and Dollar Remain Stable Ahead of U.S. Inflation Data, as Investors Await Clues on Fed's Rate Hike Path.
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Boston Fed President Susan Collins says poorer Americans are struggling to make ends meet, and she would back a September interest rate rise if inflation remains hot.
Boston Fed President Susan Collins says poorer Americans are struggling to make ends meet, and she would back a September interest rate rise if inflation remains hot.
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Deutsche Bank strategists warn: The market is pricing in a "non-existent perfect combination," simultaneously betting on strong growth, limited rate hikes, and controllable oil prices, leaving almost no room for error regarding policy, inflation, and geopolitical situations.
In his latest report, Deutsche Bank macro strategist Henry Allen points out that the current market is simultaneously betting on strong economic growth, limited interest rate hikes by the Federal Rese
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Trend-following funds (CTAs) have taken a record-breaking short position in global bonds, involving over $400 billion in capital, with this week's US CPI report expected to be a key factor for profits and losses.
Trend funds (commodity trading advisors, CTAs) have increased their short bets on global bonds to a record level, with assets under management estimated to exceed $400 billion. UBS data shows that CTA
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JPMorgan Chase Asset Management: The Federal Reserve is expected to continue raising interest rates until inflation cools, as core PCE remains above 3%
Kelsey Berro, a fixed income portfolio manager at JPMorgan Chase Asset Management, stated that despite recent signals of slowing inflation and market expectations of only a modest 0.2% month-over-mont
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Markets anticipate a modest increase in the U.S. July CPI month-over-month, with core CPI month-over-month projected at 0.2%.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report on Wednesday. The market generally expects the July overall CPI to increase by only 0.1% month-over-month, w
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FOMC members will be highly focused on Wednesday's July month-over-month inflation change to assess the feasibility of achieving the 2% inflation target without further policy tightening; the new Federal Reserve Chair has previously expressed disinterest in such high-frequency data-driven frameworks.
X platform commentator Nick Timiraos noted that more Federal Reserve Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members have indicated they will closely monitor the next few price level readings to determin
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Fed's Goolsbee: Biggest Problem Facing the Economy Is Inflation
Fed's Goolsbee: Biggest Problem Facing the Economy Is Inflation
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Analysis indicates that the market currently anticipates a 53% probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in September, and recommends FDRR, a dividend fund designed to navigate a rising rate environment.
According to Yahoo Finance analysis, the market currently anticipates a 53% probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates at its September meeting (Polymarket data), while futures markets
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The Motley Fool Analyst Predicts Gold Will Rebound to Over $5,000 Per Ounce Before Year-End
Analyst David Jagielski believes gold will return to its record highs, citing concerns about the stock market, potential interest rate hikes by the new Fed chair Kevin Warsh, ongoing U.S.-Iran deal ch
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MarketWatch analysis: Fed's rate hike decision hinges on July CPI report
According to MarketWatch analysis, the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision will largely depend on the July consumer-price index (CPI) report, which is due out Wednesday. While a surprisi
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JPMorgan Chase CEO Dimon warns investors: Inflation may not decline due to strong spending in AI sector
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon stated that strong spending in artificial intelligence (AI) could prevent inflation from falling and might prompt Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh to raise interest
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Silver futures opened 1% higher on Tuesday at $65.94/ounce, breaking above $65 for the first time since June, influenced by employment data and the situation in Iran.
Silver September futures reached $65.45 at 8:00 AM ET on Tuesday. The surge was primarily driven by last week's employment report, which reduced the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike in Septem
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Laura Cooper, global investment strategist at Nuveen, believes the Federal Reserve will take a wait-and-see approach to interest rates.
Nuveen Global Investment Strategist Laura Cooper discussed the rise in real yields and the Federal Reserve's rationale for tightening policy on Bloomberg, and expressed the above views in this context
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Kansas City Fed President Schmid calls inflation his primary concern, advocates for tighter policy; US 30-year fixed mortgage rate rises to 6.69%
Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid stated in an August 4 speech that inflation is his primary concern, deeming it "too high" and requiring "tighter policy" to bring it back to the Feder
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Fidelity's Director of Global Macro, Timmer, warns: Rising US Treasury yields are competing for funds with risk assets like stocks and Bitcoin, and history shows market corrections are often painful.
CoinDesk cited an analysis by Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity Investments' director of global macro, pointing out that U.S. government bond yields (the risk-free rate in financial markets) are rising again,
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HSBC said Wednesday's US CPI report could be the next dovish catalyst, prompting markets to further reduce expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes.
HSBC states that Wednesday's US CPI report could be the next dovish catalyst, driving markets to further reduce expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes. The bank anticipates another set of soft in
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Gold prices hit over two-month highs, with spot gold at $4407.79/ounce, influenced by Strait of Hormuz negotiations and attention on US inflation data.
Spot gold (XAU/USD) rose 0.4% to $4407.79 per ounce, and gold futures increased 1.1% to $4467.59. This followed an unexpected decline in US July non-farm payroll data, which propelled gold prices to j
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MUFG Bank warns dollar at risk of falling due to Fed's unclear rate path amid Middle East energy shock, despite DXY rising 0.1% to 99.895
MUFG Bank’s Derek Halpenny stated that the dollar is at risk of falling given the lack of confidence in how the Federal Reserve will respond to the energy-price shock driven by the Middle East conflic
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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh could raise interest rates using two nontraditional methods: removing forward guidance and deleveraging the Fed's balance sheet.
The Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and policymakers have two methods to influence interest rates without adjusting the federal funds target rate. First, Warsh has already removed forward-looking gu
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South Korea's Kospi index rose 1.2% on Tuesday, with Samsung Electronics up about 5%, as sentiment in the tech sector stabilized; oil prices rose for a fourth consecutive day, rekindling inflation concerns, while gold fell 0.3% to $4376/ounce.
Driven by relatively optimistic sentiment in the technology sector, South Korea's Kospi index rose 1.2% on Tuesday, with Samsung Electronics gaining approximately 5%, boosted by expectations of shareh
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CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
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Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve
Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve, potentially triggering a new risk repricing. Cosimo Codacci-Pisanelli, a stra
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U.Today Analysis: Bollinger Bands and Supply Alert – XRP's Rise to $2 May Take Two Years
U.Today analysis suggests that it could take two years for XRP to return to a price of $2, primarily because the Bollinger Bands indicate it has entered an extreme compression phase. Currently priced
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Chipmakers post longest weekly drop since November
A gauge of chipmakers edged up but posted its longest weekly drop since November, as a resurgence in oil prices dragged down stocks and bonds, stoking inflation concerns just days ahead of the Federal
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U.S. October Flash PMI Signals Strong Growth Amid Accelerating Inflation
The S&P Global Flash U.S. PMI for October indicates robust economic expansion, with the Composite PMI at 57.6 and the Services PMI at 57.9. The Manufacturing PMI reached 56.0, marking a 53-month high.
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Parker Lewis Predicts Bitcoin Will Settle All Global Payments as $107 Trillion Debt Intensifies Credit System Strain
Bitcoin Magazine reported that author Parker Lewis believes that as $107 trillion in debt strains the credit system, merchants will shift to zero-fee payments, and ultimately Bitcoin will settle 100%
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Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing reasons such as depleted ETF funds, increased correlation with the stock market, Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and macroeconomic headwinds.
Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing reasons such as depleted ETF funds, increased correlation with the stock market, Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, an
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American Express was fined $350 million by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve for deficiencies in its anti-money laundering system.
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Reserve took enforcement action against American Express earlier this month, alleging deficiencies in its anti-money laundering syst
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Bitcoin consolidates above $81,000, AI-related tech stock sell-off slows, Brent crude hits highest since early May.
Bitcoin traded in a range of less than $1,000 early Friday, near $81,500, after falling to $81,000 on Thursday, ending a volatile week that saw swings of $3,000. Nasdaq 100 futures were little changed
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Bitcoin stabilizes near $81,700, altcoins rebound, PEPE up 13%
Bitcoin has risen 0.5% since UTC midnight, trading at around $81,700, but its gains lag behind altcoins. Ethereum is up 0.9%, the CoinDesk 80 Index is up 0.7%, while the Memecoin Index has gained 2.9%
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Analyst: Bitcoin Market in "Wait-and-See Mode," Potentially Signaling Bull Run Nearing
Decrypt reports that the crypto market has been largely calm recently, with Bitcoin's volatility not exceeding 6% over the past month, currently priced at approximately $81,735, down 1.2% on the day.
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Nomura: AI growth panic replaces inflation narrative, U.S. Treasuries regain hedging function; Thursday's 10-year U.S. Treasury yield plunged over 15 basis points, Nasdaq Composite plummeted 2.6%.
Nomura cross-asset strategist Charlie McElligott noted in his latest report that market drivers have shifted from the inflation narrative to a systemic re-evaluation of AI-driven growth prospects. Thi
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell below 5% to a nearly one-month low, with Goldman Sachs analysts characterizing the ebbing AI capital expenditure as "alternative quantitative easing" for the bond market.
On Thursday, U.S. Treasury yields across the board fell sharply, driven by market doubts about the sustainability of AI capital expenditures following earnings reports from several tech giants. The da
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US Fed Balance Sheet as of October 22, 2026: $6.75 trillion, prior $6.76 trillion.
US Fed Balance Sheet as of October 22, 2026: $6.75 trillion, prior $6.76 trillion.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 16, prior 20
US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 16, prior 20
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US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11, prior 14
US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11, prior 14
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Gold falls 1.3% to $4,083 as rising oil prices complicate Fed rate outlook
Gold slipped 1.3% to $4,083, pressured by concerns that higher oil prices could fuel inflation and delay Federal Reserve rate cuts. Capital.com's Monte Safieddine warns that gold faces a "difficult co
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Bitcoin holds key $80,000 support, but ETF inflows slow, with Friday's inflation data posing a test.
Bitcoin is currently holding in the $80,000 region, which Glassnode estimates to be the average acquisition cost for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and publicly listed corporate treasuries, CryptoSlate report
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Bitcoin reclaims $84,500 as crypto market rebounds from October dip.
Bitcoin traded near $84,500 on Wednesday, up 2.5% in 24 hours, as the crypto market rebounded from a mid-October dip below $80,000. Ethereum rose 2.5% to $2,504, Solana gained 2.2% to $108.18, and BNB
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K33 Research noted that Bitcoin's volatility is approaching 2026 lows, and market trading activity is weak, as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve's decision and the US midterm elections.
K33 Research noted that Bitcoin's volatility is approaching 2026 lows, and market trading activity is weak, as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve's decision and the US midterm elections.
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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stated at the 35th annual CASPA conference held in the US on October 23rd that AI infrastructure investment is facing multiple challenges
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UAE's oil supply rebounded to a record high of 5.3 million barrels per day (bpd) in September
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TREAT Token: An Analysis of the Core Token in the Shiba Inu Ecosystem
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UN and human rights organizations condemn Israeli evictions in Hebron, while Israeli ministers express support.
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Bulgarians are voting in a presidential election today
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Mishaboar posted on X, proposing several measures for the growth of the Dogecoin ecosystem
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X100 Exploit Proceeds Split Into Four 400-ETH Wallets
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A Review of Major Global Digital Currency Trading Platforms and Selection Considerations
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Sri Lanka's real estate market is experiencing a luxury property boom
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Tokio Marine to offer insurance for AI-enabled robots from next month, with premiums 20% higher than regular industrial counterparts
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