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Federal Reserve
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Analysts warn of S&P 500 September volatility despite historical gains, citing Fed hawkishness and market complacency
The S&P 500 has remained within 2% of its record high above 7,800 throughout August, with year-to-date gains of 12.72%. While September typically sees stock weakness, Carson Group's Ryan Detrick notes
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Fed Chair Warsh's Hawkish Shift Boosts Market Expectations for Rate Hike to Nearly 60% Next Month, Analyst Predicts September or October Increase
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's August 28 speech at Jackson Hole displayed a noticeable hawkish shift, emphasizing the need to monitor inflation and stating "We have work to do." This immediate
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US stock futures fall amid Federal Reserve concerns and US-Iran attack tensions.
US stock futures fall amid Federal Reserve concerns and US-Iran attack tensions.
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CNBC analyst Santoli warns investors to be on high alert heading into September, citing key market metrics nearing consequential thresholds
Mike Santoli points out that the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) has slipped below 15, moving towards "eerie complacency" territory. Additionally, the 10-year Treasury yield has nudged back above
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U.S. Dollar and Treasury Yields Decline, Reversing Friday's Gains Triggered by Fed Chair Warsh's Inflation Warning
The DXY dollar index fell 0.2% to 99.525, while the two-year Treasury yield dropped 2.3 basis points to 4.325% and the 10-year yield fell 1 basis point to 4.710%. This comes after Federal Reserve Chai
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US 2-year government bond yield fell 2.3 basis points to 4.325%, 10-year yield fell 1 basis point to 4.710%, and the DXY (US Dollar Index) fell 0.2%.
U.S. government bond yields and the dollar fell, reversing some of Friday's gains, after Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh warned of inflation risks. Meanwhile, the Eurozone's 10-year German government b
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Bitcoin holds steady despite U.S. strikes on Iran, on track for best month since November 2024 with 24% gain
Bitcoin is holding around the $78,000 level, showing resilience even as the first U.S. strikes against Iran in weeks sent oil prices higher and stocks lower. The cryptocurrency has gained over 24% in
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US PCE inflation reached 3.7% in July, exceeding Fed's 2% target for 65th consecutive month; futures traders now bet on two more rate hikes in 2026
The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, measured 3.7% in July 2026. This marks the 65th straight month that PCE inflation has exceeded
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J Safra Sarasin Strategist Wolf von Rotberg Says Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole Speech Didn't Change Firm's US Equity Outlook, Already Positioned for Sept & Dec Rate Hikes
J Safra Sarasin Strategist Wolf von Rotberg Says Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole Speech Didn't Change Firm's US Equity Outlook, Already Positioned for Sept & Dec Rate Hikes
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Bitcoin held steady below $78,000 as August drew to a close, while the Japanese Yen broke past 160 against the US Dollar, as Federal Reserve rate hike expectations bolstered the greenback.
Bitcoin traded below $78,000 during Monday's Asian morning hours, down less than 1% in 24 hours but up about 1% for the week, according to CoinDesk data. Solana and Dogecoin led the declines, both fal
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South Korean stocks closed higher on Monday, with tech shares rebounding despite hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh; the KOSPI index rose 0.46% to 6,820 points.
South Korean stocks closed higher on Monday, with technology shares rebounding despite hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh; the KOSPI index rose 0.46% to 6,820.02 points.
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September Fed rate hike fears appear overblown as probability stands at just 58%, not 90%
Despite Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish speech on Friday, the odds of a rate hike in September remain below 60%, with observers downplaying fears of tightening.
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L&G Strategist Ben Bennett Calls Fed Chair Warsh's Latest Speech "Pragmatic," Says Inflation Control Will Benefit US Economic Growth
L&G Asia Head of Investment Strategy Ben Bennett describes Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's latest Jackson Hole speech as "pragmatic," noting that controlling inflation will benefit US economic expansion. He s
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Japan's benchmark bond yields rise to 2.95%, a 30-year high, and yen weakens after Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole remarks
Japan's benchmark bond yields touched a 30-year high on Monday, with the yen showing renewed signs of weakness, as markets interpreted U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's August 28 Jackson Hole r
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China's 10-year bond yield falls to 1.692% on Monday, near one-year low, diverging from US Treasuries as Fed Chair Warsh strikes hawkish tone
The yield on China's 10-year government bond traded at 1.692% on Monday, approaching its lowest in a year after July economic figures trailed analysts' estimates. This divergence from the US bond mark
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Gold rose about 10% in August, but investors are betting more cautiously.
According to Bloomberg, gold has risen by approximately 10% in August, poised for its largest monthly gain since January this year. However, compared to the frenzy at the beginning of the year, invest
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Morgan Stanley predicts the Federal Reserve's balance sheet reduction could exceed $1.5 trillion next year, suggesting that market pricing for rate hikes following Kevin Warsh's speech might be overlooking the impact of quantitative tightening.
Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's Chief Global Economist, noted in his latest report that after Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh reiterated his commitment to bringing inflation back to 2% at Jackson Hole
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The Nikkei 225 fell 2.2% to 64,930.03 points, dragged down by chip stocks, as comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh on Friday increased the prospect of a US interest rate hike.
Chip-related stocks led the decline, with Advantest falling 7.8%, SoftBank Group down 4.2%, and Tokyo Electron dropping 3.8%. Meanwhile, the USD/JPY rose to 160.00. Investors are closely monitoring th
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Gold steadies after tumbling over 3% on Friday as former Fed Governor Warsh's remarks spur rate-hike bets
Gold prices stabilized after falling more than 3% on Friday. This came as former US Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh's pledge to fight inflation boosted expectations that the US central bank will
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Japan's Yen Falls to 160.16 Against Dollar Despite $97 Billion Intervention, Analysts Warn of Bitcoin Sell-Off Risk
The Japanese yen weakened to 160.16 per dollar on Friday, giving up over half its gains since last month's intervention, despite Japan spending approximately $97 billion (¥15.4 trillion) between July
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Bond Investors Wary After Fed Chairman Warsh Hints at Rate Hike
Bond investors at firms including ABN AMRO Investment Solutions and Brandywine Global Investment Management are voicing skepticism about mounting speculation that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh
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Cracks Emerge at Jackson Hole: European Central Bank (ECB) officials express "fury" over the U.S. Treasury's unannounced sale of euros, purchase of yen, and increased issuance of long-term bond buybacks, fearing that dollar swap lines could "disappear overnight."
According to an August 30 Reuters report, following the conclusion of the global central bank symposium, European Central Bank (ECB) officials expressed unease regarding two recent unconventional oper
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent Intervenes in USD/JPY and Long-End Treasuries; Goldman Sachs Says Authorities Will Prioritize Currency Depreciation Over Bond Market Collapse
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent intervened in both the USD/JPY exchange rate and the long-end of the U.S. Treasury market in August. Through measures such as "Operation Twist," a clear signal wa
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Krugman: "Obvious Contradiction" Between Fed Chair Warsh and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Monetary Policy Tools
Nobel laureate Paul Krugman commented on Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's inaugural Jackson Hole speech on August 29, noting that Warsh emphasized short-term interest rates as the primary tool a
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Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve
Goldman Sachs warns that the market may be unprepared for either a December rate hike or no hike from the Federal Reserve, potentially triggering a new risk repricing. Cosimo Codacci-Pisanelli, a stra
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U.Today Analysis: Bollinger Bands and Supply Alert – XRP's Rise to $2 May Take Two Years
U.Today analysis suggests that it could take two years for XRP to return to a price of $2, primarily because the Bollinger Bands indicate it has entered an extreme compression phase. Currently priced
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Chipmakers post longest weekly drop since November
A gauge of chipmakers edged up but posted its longest weekly drop since November, as a resurgence in oil prices dragged down stocks and bonds, stoking inflation concerns just days ahead of the Federal
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U.S. October Flash PMI Signals Strong Growth Amid Accelerating Inflation
The S&P Global Flash U.S. PMI for October indicates robust economic expansion, with the Composite PMI at 57.6 and the Services PMI at 57.9. The Manufacturing PMI reached 56.0, marking a 53-month high.
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Parker Lewis Predicts Bitcoin Will Settle All Global Payments as $107 Trillion Debt Intensifies Credit System Strain
Bitcoin Magazine reported that author Parker Lewis believes that as $107 trillion in debt strains the credit system, merchants will shift to zero-fee payments, and ultimately Bitcoin will settle 100%
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Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing exhausted ETF inflows, increased correlation with equities, Federal Reserve rate hikes, and macroeconomic headwinds.
Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warns that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, citing exhausted ETF inflows, increased correlation with equities, Federal Reserve rate hikes, and macroeconomic headwinds.
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American Express was fined $350 million by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve for deficiencies in its anti-money laundering system.
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Reserve took enforcement action against American Express earlier this month, alleging deficiencies in its anti-money laundering syst
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Bitcoin consolidates above $81,000, AI-related tech stock sell-off slows, Brent crude hits highest since early May.
Bitcoin traded in a range of less than $1,000 early Friday, near $81,500, after falling to $81,000 on Thursday, ending a volatile week that saw swings of $3,000. Nasdaq 100 futures were little changed
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Bitcoin stabilizes near $81,700, altcoins rebound, PEPE up 13%
Bitcoin has risen 0.5% since UTC midnight, trading at around $81,700, but its gains lag behind altcoins. Ethereum is up 0.9%, the CoinDesk 80 Index is up 0.7%, while the Memecoin Index has gained 2.9%
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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns,
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Analyst: Bitcoin Market in "Wait-and-See Mode," Potentially Signaling Bull Run Nearing
Decrypt reports that the crypto market has been largely calm recently, with Bitcoin's volatility not exceeding 6% over the past month, currently priced at approximately $81,735, down 1.2% on the day.
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Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, as Warsh faces the challenge of solid inflation expectations.
Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The bank's Chief U.S. Economist, Matthew Luzzetti, noted that de
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Nomura: AI growth panic replaces inflation narrative, U.S. Treasuries regain hedging function; Thursday's 10-year U.S. Treasury yield plunged over 15 basis points, Nasdaq Composite plummeted 2.6%.
Nomura cross-asset strategist Charlie McElligott noted in his latest report that market drivers have shifted from the inflation narrative to a systemic re-evaluation of AI-driven growth prospects. Thi
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell below 5% to a nearly one-month low, with Goldman Sachs analysts characterizing the ebbing AI capital expenditure as "alternative quantitative easing" for the bond market.
On Thursday, U.S. Treasury yields across the board fell sharply, driven by market doubts about the sustainability of AI capital expenditures following earnings reports from several tech giants. The da
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US Fed Balance Sheet as of October 22, 2026: $6.75 trillion, prior $6.76 trillion.
US Fed Balance Sheet as of October 22, 2026: $6.75 trillion, prior $6.76 trillion.
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Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
Markets are no longer fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike by the end of 2026.
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Bitcoin slides towards $81,000 as rising oil prices above $110 revive rate-hike bets
Bitcoin's price slid on Thursday, erasing earlier gains, after oil prices jumped. The largest cryptocurrency was down by nearly 4% over a 24-hour period on Thursday in New York, trading as low as $81,
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US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 16, prior 20
US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 16, prior 20
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US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11, prior 14
US October 22, 2026 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11, prior 14
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Gold falls 1.3% to $4,083 as rising oil prices complicate Fed rate outlook
Gold slipped 1.3% to $4,083, pressured by concerns that higher oil prices could fuel inflation and delay Federal Reserve rate cuts. Capital.com's Monte Safieddine warns that gold faces a "difficult co
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Bitcoin holds key $80,000 support, but ETF inflows slow, with Friday's inflation data posing a test.
Bitcoin is currently holding in the $80,000 region, which Glassnode estimates to be the average acquisition cost for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and publicly listed corporate treasuries, CryptoSlate report
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Bitcoin reclaims $84,500 as crypto market rebounds from October dip.
Bitcoin traded near $84,500 on Wednesday, up 2.5% in 24 hours, as the crypto market rebounded from a mid-October dip below $80,000. Ethereum rose 2.5% to $2,504, Solana gained 2.2% to $108.18, and BNB
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K33 Research noted that Bitcoin's volatility is approaching 2026 lows, and market trading activity is weak, as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve's decision and the US midterm elections.
K33 Research noted that Bitcoin's volatility is approaching 2026 lows, and market trading activity is weak, as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve's decision and the US midterm elections.
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Sells Out 128 Hong Kong Apartments Amid Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), one of Hong Kong's largest developers, sold out the latest batch of 128 apartments at its Sierra Sea project in the New Territories on Wednesday. The apartments were so
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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