Federal Reserve
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Oil prices nearing $100 exacerbate inflation concerns, while private credit borrowers face high interest rates and refinancing pressure.
Soaring energy costs are adding new pressure on private credit borrowers, who are already grappling with higher interest expenses and significant refinancing challenges, CNBC reported. Analysts note t
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BNP Paribas Chief Economist Mateos y Lago Says US Economy Likely Needs Three Fed Rate Hikes
Isabelle Mateos y Lago, chief economist at BNP Paribas, stated that her firm believes "monetary policy is not restrictive enough" and that the US economy "probably" needs three rate hikes, potentially
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Bloomberg survey shows investors increasingly see 10-year Treasury yield at 5%-5.25% as the trigger for a 10% S&P 500 correction, with the yield currently above 4.96%.
Bloomberg survey shows investors increasingly see 10-year Treasury yield at 5%-5.25% as the trigger for a 10% S&P 500 correction, with the yield currently above 4.96%. More than two-thirds of responde
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Hong Kong and mainland stocks end lower on Friday amid US rate hike jitters; Shanghai Enflame Technology surges 180% in debut
The Hang Seng Index lost 0.6% to 24,805, down 3.3% for the week. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.18% to 3,888. Sentiment was dampened by low trading volumes and rising expectations of further US i
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Wall Street expects U.S. Treasury yields to normalize in the 4%-5% range. Bloomberg economists estimate the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to be close to 4.7% and note that structural factors may limit Donald Trump's efforts to cut interest rates.
US Treasury yields are reaching their highest levels since 2008, with the market widely anticipating further interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. Bloomberg economists analyze that structural
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Seoul shares dip 1.76% to 6,909.91 on September 11, driven by rising oil prices and inflation concerns
Seoul shares fell sharply on Friday, September 11, as surging oil prices heightened inflation concerns. The benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) closed 124.01 points, or 1.76 percent, d
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Bitcoin Falls Below $77,000, Zcash Leads Losses Amid Fed Rate Hike Bets
Bitcoin dropped below $77,000, with Zcash leading the decline, as traders increased their bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike. Ninety-five of the CoinDesk 100 fell over the past 24 hours, and bitcoin
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Fed Chair Warsh may defy the president’s desire for a rate cut at Wednesday’s meeting, according to the Financial Times.
Fed Chair Warsh may defy the president’s desire for a rate cut at Wednesday’s meeting, according to the Financial Times.
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"New Bond King" Gundlach warns: If the Federal Reserve does not raise interest rates next week, long-term interest rates will "significantly spike."
Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO and CIO of DoubleLine Capital, expressed skepticism about the Federal Reserve raising interest rates next week during his latest webcast. He anticipates a significant rise in lon
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Soaring oil prices and inflationary pressures have led to a sell-off in both equities and bonds across Asia: the Nikkei 225 index plunged 3%, the KOSPI index fell 2.7%, and Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose to 2.981%.
On Friday, Brent crude briefly climbed to nearly $110/barrel during U.S. trading hours, and WTI crude further rose to $103.05/barrel, both reaching their highest settlement prices since May 19 this ye
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UBS CEO warns against market complacency, expects stubborn inflation to force major central banks to continue hiking rates, potentially leading to "higher for longer" interest rates.
UBS Group CEO Sergio Ermotti told CNBC on Thursday that financial markets have bred a dangerous complacency while geopolitical and economic risks continue to accumulate. He expects persistent inflatio
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Global Bond Selloff Sends 10-Year US Treasury Yields to Cusp of 5% Ahead of Key Inflation Data
The global bond selloff is pushing benchmark 10-year US Treasury yields toward the closely-watched 5% level. This comes ahead of upcoming US inflation data, which is expected to influence expectations
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Seoul shares open sharply lower, with KOSPI dropping 2.6% to 6,850.80, tracking US losses amid inflation woes
Seoul shares opened sharply lower Friday, tracking losses on Wall Street, as the latest US inflation data raised the possibility of the US Federal Reserve raising interest rates to curb inflation. Aft
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Gold held a decline as the latest US inflation report and surging oil prices bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates next week.
Gold held a decline as the latest US inflation report and surging oil prices bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates next week.
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Hong Kong home prices forecast to gain 15% this year by Midland Realty, still 16% below 2021 peak
Hong Kong home prices are forecast to gain 15% this year by local property agency Midland Realty, though they would still be 16% below their high-water mark in 2021. The agency's executives stated at
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos reported that BNP Paribas (BNPP) changed its forecast on Sunday, now expecting the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates twice this year, starting this month.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos reported that BNP Paribas (BNPP) changed its forecast on Sunday, now expecting the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates twice this year, starting this month.
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Nick Timiraos retweeted Milan's comment, stating that the Federal Reserve is in a situation where "policy will ultimately depend on the next inflation print." He noted that as inflation data improved, the Fed "strangely" became more hawkish, which is "very confusing."
Nick Timiraos retweeted Milan's comment, stating that the Federal Reserve is in a situation where "policy will ultimately depend on the next inflation print." He noted that as inflation data improved,
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US stocks fall as investors turn cautious due to "triple threat of negative risks."
The US stock market is experiencing a downturn, with investors adopting a more cautious stance due to a series of risk events including rising bond yields, the Federal Reserve meeting, and the US midt
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: After Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, only three banks—UBS, Barclays, and Société Générale—shifted their Federal Reserve September rate hike expectations to a hike.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: After Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, only three banks—UBS, Barclays, and Société Générale—shifted their Federal Reserve September rate hike expectations to a hike.
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Legendary trader Druckenmiller slammed the Federal Reserve's dovish stance as "absurd," stating that U.S. interest rates are "too low"; the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 5.36%, a new high since 2007.
Legendary trader Stanley Druckenmiller slammed dovish Federal Reserve members at a closed-door Wall Street meeting on Thursday, stating that interest rate cuts are "no longer necessary" and directly c
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Fed Whisperer Nick Timiraos: Initial core PCE forecast range is 0.22%-0.26%, due to higher-than-usual uncertainty from NIPA revisions.
Fed Whisperer Nick Timiraos: Initial core PCE forecast range is 0.22%-0.26%, due to higher-than-usual uncertainty from NIPA revisions.
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Druckenmiller Says US Borrowing Costs Still 'A Little Low': FT
Druckenmiller Says US Borrowing Costs Still 'A Little Low': FT
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US August CPI Report Preview: Market expects headline CPI to rise 0.4% month-over-month, core CPI to rise 0.2%, potentially influencing the Federal Reserve's rate hike decision next week.
A preview of the US August CPI report indicates that the market generally expects headline CPI to rise by approximately 0.4% month-over-month, a significant acceleration from July's 0.1%; core CPI is
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Yahoo Finance analysis favors Solana over XRP ahead of Fed decision, citing XRP's high regulatory risk from upcoming Senate vote
Yahoo Finance analysis indicates that while both XRP and Solana have surged over 30% in the past month, Solana presents a stronger investment case ahead of the Federal Reserve's September 16 rate deci
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve has taken enforcement actions against three former bank employees for misappropriation of customer funds, misuse of funds, and check fraud.
The Federal Reserve Board announced at 11:00 AM ET on Friday that it has taken enforcement actions against Charles Alan Wright, a former employee of Northstar Bank (alleged misappropriation of custome
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Federal Reserve's Bowman: Third-party reports challenge claims that social media amplified Silicon Valley Bank's run, defending the 2018 regulatory law, contrary to previous Fed reports.
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michelle Bowman detailed the preliminary findings of a third-party review into the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. She stated that the report challenges the narrative that
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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