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Federal Reserve
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Analysts: US stock corporate earnings expectations are experiencing a rare sustained upward revision, with fundamentals "too strong to be true," but high interest rates and Federal Reserve decisions still pose a drag.
Patrick Palfrey, Head of Strategy at Seaport Research Partners, noted that the current fundamentals of U.S. corporate earnings are exceptionally strong, with analysts' earnings expectations continuous
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JPMorgan Asset Management's Stephanie Aliaga believes a rate hike will re-establish Fed credibility
JPMorgan Asset Management's Stephanie Aliaga believes a rate hike will re-establish Fed credibility
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Reuters Poll: Most Strategists Expect US 10-Year Government Bond Yield to Rise to 5% Within Three Months
A Reuters poll of 31 bond strategists found that 17 of them expect the U.S. 10-year government bond yield could reach 5% within the next three months. The yield recently climbed to 4.86%, primarily dr
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Fed-funds futures now price in a 70% chance of a September hike, as Nick Timiraos shares August core CPI estimates with a median of 0.22%
Fed-funds futures have shifted to a 70% chance of a September rate hike this morning, reflecting market calculations. Meanwhile, Nick Timiraos, a prominent Fed reporter, shared August core CPI estimat
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US Bond Yields Extend Climb to Fresh Multiyear Highs as Oil Advance Stokes Rate-Hike Bets for Fed Hike as Soon as Next Week
US Bond Yields Extend Climb to Fresh Multiyear Highs as Oil Advance Stokes Rate-Hike Bets for Fed Hike as Soon as Next Week
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Memory chip stocks fell in early trading on Thursday, with SK Hynix down 5%, and Micron and Western Digital both down 3%, as surging government bond yields and oil prices overshadowed JPMorgan Chase's overweight rating.
Macro factors are dominating the market, with the US 10-year government bond yield rising to 4.91% (nearing a three-year high) and WTI crude oil breaking above $100 per barrel. The market widely expec
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US 10-year Treasury yield rises to 4.91%, highest since 2023, as Brent crude oil jumps to $105
The US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.91%, marking its highest level since 2023. Concurrently, the 30-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.35%. Treasury prices were under pressure as Brent crude oil sur
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U.S. August PPI rose 0.4% month-over-month, meeting market expectations.
U.S. August Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.4% month-over-month, in line with Dow Jones consensus estimates. Investors are closely watching a series of key inflation reports to assess the Federal Re
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US Stocks Kick Off 4th Straight Session of Losses, Nasdaq Falls 1% as Rising Oil, Yields and ECB Rate Hike Fuel Fed Tightening Expectations
US Stocks Kick Off 4th Straight Session of Losses, Nasdaq Falls 1% as Rising Oil, Yields and ECB Rate Hike Fuel Fed Tightening Expectations. The S&P 500 dropped 0.6% and the Dow Jones Industrial Avera
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Analysis: The Federal Reserve faces a dilemma in its September decision, torn between raising rates and holding steady. Kevin Warsh's hawkish remarks and strong employment data support a rate hike, but cooling inflation and doubts about the reliability of employment data argue against it.
Wallstreetcn.com analysis indicates that as the Federal Reserve's September 16 FOMC meeting approaches, the debate over interest rate hikes is intensifying. The federal funds futures market shows an a
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Brent Crude Oil Tops $105 a Barrel Amid Rising Middle East Tensions, US Gasoline Prices Hit Record High
Brent crude oil prices have exceeded $105 a barrel as escalating tensions in the Middle East intensify concerns about global supplies, with Iran showing no signs of de-escalation. Concurrently, US gas
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Bitcoin and Ethereum prices retreated, with Bitcoin down 0.2% to $77,941.56 and Ethereum down 0.7% to $2,464.92, as the market focuses on inflation data.
As of 7:19 AM ET, Bitcoin's price fell to $77,941.56, down 0.2% from Wednesday's opening price; Ethereum's price dropped to $2,464.92, down 0.7% from Wednesday's opening price. Both cryptocurrencies h
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's speech was overinterpreted by the market; Friday's inflation report becomes key for rate hikes.
Markets have overreacted to Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, with investors perceiving a higher likelihood of interest rate hikes and beginning to price in increases that Warsh ne
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Fed September 25-bp Hike Odds Surge to 64% After ECB's 25-bp Rate Increase
Fed September 25-bp Hike Odds Surge to 64% After ECB's 25-bp Rate Increase
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Bank of America analysts say a "credibility shock" hit Wall Street after Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's latest interest rate decision.
Bank of America's economics team noted that the market's muted reaction to Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's July 29 press conference led to a "central bank inflation credibility shock." Warsh re
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Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Hatzius warns: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's policy strategy could lead to "unhelpful volatility" in the markets.
Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius stated that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's more opaque approach to policy guidance could be counterproductive. Hatzius believes that while forward gui
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US August PPI accelerated to 5.4% YoY, exceeding expectations, with core PPI at 4.6% YoY, leading to a sharp increase in Federal Reserve rate hike expectations.
Data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday showed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August rose by 5.4% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations of 5.3% and significantly
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Key Gauge of US Producer Prices Rises Less Than Forecast
A key measure of US producer prices in August was lower than forecast, offering limited guidance as Federal Reserve officials debate whether to raise interest rates next week.
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U.S. August wholesale costs rose 0.4% month-over-month, as the Iran conflict and rising oil prices pushed inflation higher again.
U.S. government data released on Thursday showed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.4% month-over-month in August, primarily driven by an increase in gasoline prices. This follows two months o
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UBS's Reiman Expects Two Fed Rate Hikes This Year, Says US Economy Can Withstand Them
Kurt Reiman, head of fixed income at UBS Global Wealth Management, expects two interest-rate hikes from the Federal Reserve this year, stating that the US economy can withstand them. He attributes ris
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Bitcoin traders reduced bullish bets ahead of US inflation data, with Bitcoin pulling back from $80,000 to $78,000.
AI trading terminal OrderX data shows that as Bitcoin retreated from $80,000 to approximately $78,000, bullish option skew continued to soften, and traders are reducing their long exposure. The US is
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US CPI Report to Guide Fed Decision on Rates; Officials Prepared to Raise Rates if Inflation Doesn't Improve Soon
Federal Reserve officials have signaled they are prepared to raise interest rates if inflation does not improve soon, though they acknowledge their main policy tool may do little to restrain some of t
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U.S. government bond yields broadly rose on Thursday, with the 10-year yield hitting a new high of 4.8589% since November 2023, as investors awaited wholesale inflation data.
U.S. government bond yields generally rose on Thursday, with the 10-year Treasury yield climbing over 2 basis points to 4.8589%, reaching its highest level since November 2023. The 2-year yield rose 1
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Analysts point out that Hong Kong investors are concerned about high market volatility due to geopolitical tensions, weak earnings growth, setbacks in AI trading, and the potential for tighter US policies.
The South China Morning Post's analysis indicates that while state-backed "national team" buying provides a floor for mainland Chinese equities, Hong Kong investors are concerned about navigating high
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve has taken enforcement actions against three former bank employees for misappropriation of customer funds, misuse of funds, and check fraud.
The Federal Reserve Board announced at 11:00 AM ET on Friday that it has taken enforcement actions against Charles Alan Wright, a former employee of Northstar Bank (alleged misappropriation of custome
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Federal Reserve's Bowman: Third-party reports challenge claims that social media amplified Silicon Valley Bank's run, defending the 2018 regulatory law, contrary to previous Fed reports.
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michelle Bowman detailed the preliminary findings of a third-party review into the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. She stated that the report challenges the narrative that
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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