Federal Reserve
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MRA strategists say the S&P 500 is expected to fall 10% due to Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Strategists at Macro Risk Advisors LLC (MRA) stated that the interest rate hike the Federal Reserve may initiate this week could lead to a 10% correction in the S&P 500, as declining corporate profit
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The Federal Reserve extends reserve management purchases until mid-October.
The Federal Reserve on Monday said it would pause its purchases of Treasury bills for reserve management purposes for a second consecutive month, signaling policymakers are comfortable with the level
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Prominent economists warn Fed may be on verge of serious mistake, urge central bank to wait before raising rates
Some economists are calling on the U.S. central bank to wait before raising interest rates, out of concern the economy may be vulnerable beneath the surface.
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The VIX, a measure of U.S. stock market volatility, jumped to 18 on Monday, with options trading volume doubling. Analysts say the market is more focused on AI risks than the bond market.
The Cboe VIX index jumped to 18 on Monday, and options trading volume surged to more than twice its 30-day average, as semiconductor and data center stocks dragged down the S&P 500. This move occurred
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Stock market could rally after Fed's expected rate hike this week, with 10-year Treasury yield hitting 5% for first time since 2023
Wall Street widely expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates this week, with the market pricing in a 90% likelihood that the federal funds rate will rise to 3.75%-4.00% following Wednesday's decision
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Goldman Sachs analysts warn of potential stock market trough if Fed hikes rates this week, citing historical precedent
Goldman Sachs analysts led by Ben Snider wrote over the weekend that if the Federal Reserve issues its first rate hike in three years this week, the equity market could face a tough period. Historical
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Oracle shares fell 4.5% amid rising AI regulation concerns and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
Oracle's stock price fell 4.5% on Monday (September 14), primarily due to multiple factors. On one hand, AI companies such as Anthropic and OpenAI called for stronger AI regulation, leading to widespr
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S&P 500 falls as Brent crude jumps over 3% to $106 on Middle East hostilities, AI stocks decline
Markets started the week defensively, with escalating Middle East hostilities and hawkish central bank expectations weighing on risk appetite. Brent crude surged over 3% towards $106, having gained ne
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Bank of America estimates that if the Federal Reserve cumulatively raises interest rates by 75 basis points this year, annual interest expenses on short-term U.S. Treasury bills will increase by approximately an additional $50 billion.
Bank of America Chief Economist Aditya Bhave noted in his latest report that if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by a cumulative 75 basis points this year as the market expects, annual intere
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The U.S. 10-year government bond yield rose to 4.97% on Monday, and Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this week.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.97% on Monday, just 3 basis points shy of the 5% threshold, while the 30-year Treasury yield hovered at 5.35%. Brent crude prices climbed to $107 per barrel,
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Morgan Stanley's Hornbach Expects Fed to Hike 25 Basis Points on Wednesday
Matt Hornbach, global head of macro strategy at Morgan Stanley, says that while a "one and done" hike is certainly a possibility, markets are not currently pricing that in.
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Wall Street News: Middle East energy shocks are forcing global central banks to re-examine the "transitory inflation" logic, with multiple central banks potentially raising interest rates in sync.
The article points out that the six-month-long energy shock in the Middle East is leading to market concerns about a resurgence in inflation expectations, narrowing the policy space for central banks
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Bitcoin and Ethereum prices recover early Monday, defying growing Fed rate-hike expectations and over 11% oil surge from Middle East attacks
Bitcoin opened 0.6% lower at $76,806.19 before rising to $77,873.33 by 7:31 a.m. ET. Ethereum opened 2% lower at $2,475.82, then increased to $2,514.09. The CME Group's FedWatch tool shows an 86.5% ch
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Bitcoin sees small gains as stocks drop on AI concerns and oil surges; Fed meeting to begin tomorrow with 25 bps hike expected
The Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting is scheduled to begin tomorrow, with market participants widely anticipating the U.S. central bank to raise its benchmark policy rate by 25 basis points.
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Silver futures fell 0.6% to $63.35, as expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike increased and due to Middle East attacks.
On Monday, September 14, 2026, December silver futures opened at $64.79 per ounce, down 0.6% from Friday's close, and had fallen to $63.35 by 7:18 AM ET. Silver prices extended Friday's losses, primar
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RBC Capital Markets Head of Derivatives Strategy Amy Wu Silverman discusses Federal Reserve expectations and views on AI slowdown.
RBC Capital Markets Head of Derivatives Strategy Amy Wu Silverman discussed expectations ahead of this week's Federal Reserve meeting on Bloomberg TV and shared her views on tech leaders' calls to slo
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Gold futures fall 0.8% to $4,332.50/oz on Monday, following new attacks on Saudi pipeline and a vessel in Strait of Hormuz, with Fed rate hike expectations also weighing
Gold December futures opened at $4,375 per troy ounce on Monday, September 14, 2026, down 0.8% from Friday's closing price. The price continued to move lower this morning, reaching $4,332.50 per troy
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Bitcoin traders brace for volatility this week as the CLARITY Act awaits a Senate vote and the Fed is due to announce its latest rate decision.
Bitcoin traders brace for volatility this week as the CLARITY Act awaits a Senate vote and the Fed is due to announce its latest rate decision.
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Despite market pricing 85-90% odds of a Fed rate hike this week, some economists and former Fed officials argue the central bank might hold steady.
Former Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester and economist Adam Posen suggest the Federal Reserve's decision on a rate hike this week could be a closer call than market expectations. Posen notes that
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Euro Declines as Dollar Gains on Fed Rate-Rise Expectations
Euro Declines as Dollar Gains on Fed Rate-Rise Expectations
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Bernstein expects the CLEAR Act to progress beyond market expectations, stating that "any positive surprises are not yet reflected in stock prices."
Bernstein analysts believe the cryptocurrency market is currently showing a bearish trend ahead of Tuesday's cloture vote on the Clarity Act and Wednesday's Federal Reserve decision.
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This week, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan will announce their interest rate decisions. Fed Chair Warsh will hold a press conference.
This week is packed with macroeconomic events, with the Federal Reserve set to announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday. Fed Chair Warsh will hold a press conference and update the Summary of
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US markets focus on oil, geopolitics, Treasury yields, and Fed positioning amid light data calendar
With a light US economic data calendar, market attention shifts to oil prices, Middle East geopolitics, Treasury yields, and the Federal Reserve's stance. Key events include Canada's CPI release at 8:
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Wall Street Strategists See Stock Rally Surviving Fed Rate Hike
Top Wall Street strategists are renewing bullish equity calls as stronger economic growth enables the market to weather an increase in interest rates.
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve has taken enforcement actions against three former bank employees for misappropriation of customer funds, misuse of funds, and check fraud.
The Federal Reserve Board announced at 11:00 AM ET on Friday that it has taken enforcement actions against Charles Alan Wright, a former employee of Northstar Bank (alleged misappropriation of custome
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Federal Reserve's Bowman: Third-party reports challenge claims that social media amplified Silicon Valley Bank's run, defending the 2018 regulatory law, contrary to previous Fed reports.
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michelle Bowman detailed the preliminary findings of a third-party review into the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. She stated that the report challenges the narrative that
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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