Faster global financial news!
Forecasting the market
-
Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Trump: Iran negotiations are progressing, but not enough. 2. Paradigm researcher proposes timestamp escape mechanism to protect early Bitcoin from quantum computing threats. 3. Trump tells US Congr
-
a16z supports CFTC, arguing that state-level regulation could weaken prediction market liquidity
Svmuu reported that Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) stated in a comment letter to the CFTC that state-level regulatory measures for prediction markets are creating "barriers to fair access" and could under
-
Polymarket and Kalshi cumulative trading volume surpasses $150 billion
Svmuu reports that the cumulative trading volume of prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi surpassed $150 billion in April, but this marked the end of seven consecutive months of record mon
-
Payment infrastructure company Fun completes $72 million Series A funding round, co-led by Multicoin Capital and SignalFire
Svmuu reported that Fun, a Web3 payment infrastructure startup, announced the completion of a $72 million Series A funding round, co-led by Multicoin Capital and SignalFire, with participation from In
-
New address spent $52,000 to purchase "No permanent peace agreement between the US and Iran reached before May 15"
Monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Channel shows that a two-week-old address spent $52,000 to buy "No permanent peace agreement between the US and Iran reached before May 15," while also making a small purc
-
a16z Crypto Calls on SEC to Optimize Regulatory Framework for Prediction Markets, Proposes Integrating Blockchain Technology
Svmuureports that a16z Crypto recently submitted a comment letter to the U.S. SEC regarding the Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPRM) for prediction markets. a16z Crypto stated that prediction
-
Polymarket Launches "When Will Epstein's Will Be Released"
Svmuu Seer monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new market on "When will Epstein's will be released." The market's settlement rule is: if any letter or written message written by Jeffrey Ep
-
Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Musk stated in an OpenAI court hearing that "most cryptocurrencies are scams"; 2. The U.S. Senate bans lawmakers from participating in prediction market trading; 3. Trump claims he may need to brea
-
U.S. Senate Bans Lawmakers from Participating in Prediction Market Trading
Svmuu News The U.S. Senate has unanimously passed a resolution (S. Res. 708) prohibiting senators from participating in prediction market trading, effective immediately. The proposal, introduced by Be
-
Polymarket probability of "0 Fed rate cuts of 25 bps in 2026" rises to 58%, up 9% in 24 hours
Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the Polymarket probability of "0 Fed rate cuts of 25 bps in 2026" has risen to 58%, up 9% in the past 24 hours. To date, the total trading volume for t
-
Polymarket launches on-chain market integrity monitoring system to combat insider trading
Svmuu reported that Polymarket announced the launch of an on-chain market integrity monitoring system solution to monitor trading behavior and enforce platform market compliance rules. The system will
-
Gemini Receives CFTC Derivatives Clearing Organization License, Advancing "Full-Stack CFTC Compliance System" Construction
Svmuu, Gemini's Olympus division has officially obtained a Derivatives Clearing Organization (DCO) license from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It can now independently handle se
-
Hyperliquid Policy Center Urges CFTC to Open Compliance Routes for Decentralized Prediction Markets
Svmuu reported that the Hyperliquid Policy Center (HPC) has announced it has formally submitted a comment letter regarding the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's (CFTC) Advance Notice of Proposed
-
Report: Polymarket May Have Broader Insider Trading Issues, with a Handful of Wallets Capturing Most Profits
Svmuu News According to the latest report from the non-profit research organization Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC), the prediction market platform Polymarket may be facing a broader insider tr
-
Polymarket's probability of "Printr public sale total raised funds exceed $3 million" drops to 15%, down over 80% intraday
Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that the probability of "Printr public sale total raised funds exceed $3 million" on Polymarket has dropped to 15%, down over 80% intraday, with a trading
-
Polymarket Launches New May Crude Oil Price Prediction, Different from June, Settled Based on 1-Minute Closing Price
Svmuu Seer monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new WTI crude oil price prediction for May, with multiple price tiers ranging from $20 to $150. The settlement rule stipulates that if the hi
-
Polymarket probability of "Powell leaving the Fed Board of Governors before May 30" drops to 9%, down 25% in 24 hours
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the Polymarket probability of "Powell leaving the Fed Board of Governors before May 30" has plummeted, now at 9%, down 25% in 24 hours; the probability of "Pow
-
Profit of over $1.7 million account purchases $300,000 on Rockets defeating Lakers in NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round Game 5
According to Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel monitoring, in the Polymarket "NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round G5 Rockets vs. Lakers" prediction event, an account (0x8c80d213c0cbad777d06ee3f58f6ca
-
Polymarket: Probability of "Printr public sale raising over $4 million" drops to 63%, down over 30% in a day
Monitoring from the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Printr public sale raising over $4 million" has fallen to 63%, down over 30% in a day, with a trading volum
-
Accounts with losses exceeding $3 million have purchased $260,000 on the NBA Eastern Conference First Round G5 Pistons to cover the spread against the Magic.
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "NBA Eastern Conference First Round G5 Pistons vs. Magic" prediction event, an account with losses exceeding $3 million (0x492442eab586f242b5
-
Hyperliquid Eyes Prediction Market, Plans to Explore Zero Opening Fee Model to Challenge Polymarket
Svmuu News Hyperliquid is accelerating its entry into the prediction market arena, planning to compete with platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi through a newly launched "outcome tokens" mechanism. Ac
-
Prediction market pricing shows expectations for Fed rate cuts before 2027 have significantly cooled
Svmuu reported that pricing on the Kalshi prediction market indicates the market currently sees only about a 50% probability of a Fed rate cut before 2027, a sharp decline from the 80-90% probability
-
Prediction market trading volume exceeded $25.7 billion in March, driven by retail dominance with crypto becoming the primary entry point
Svmuu reported that data shows the total trading volume of prediction markets in March 2026 reached $25.7 billion, a month-over-month increase of 10.6%. Trading activity is highly concentrated among s
-
UEFA Champions League: Paris Saint-Germain's championship probability once overtook Bayern Munich, now rising to 32%, up 6% in 24 hours
Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "UEFA Champions League Winner" prediction event, Paris Saint-Germain's championship probability once overtook Bayern Munich's, now r
-
Judge stays CFTC's civil case against US soldier over illegal Polymarket bet, regulator now seeks to weigh in on criminal proceedings
A judge stayed the CFTC’s civil case against a US soldier accused of using nonpublic information for a Polymarket bet, while the regulator is attempting to weigh in on the related criminal case.
-
Needham Says Crypto Rally Has Strong Momentum, Prediction Market Kalshi Expects Bitcoin to Reach $90,000 This Year
Needham stated that the cryptocurrency rebound is strong, believing that the large-scale sell-off has largely ended and investor attention is shifting towards digital assets. The prediction market Kal
-
Yahoo Finance Review: Gemini exchange offers bank-grade security and regulation, but has higher trading fees and limited coin selection
Reviews indicate that the Gemini exchange, founded by the Winklevoss brothers in 2014, operates as a New York trust company and is strictly regulated by state banking authorities, having reported no l
-
Argus Downgrades DraftKings (DKNG) to Hold From Buy, Removes Price Target on Rising Costs, Tax Uncertainty
Argus noted that DraftKings' stock price has fallen by 43.22% over the past year, primarily due to high customer acquisition costs, rising state gaming taxes, and increased competition in prediction m
-
Gemini partners with Apex Fintech Solutions to expand regulated crypto prediction markets
Under the planned tie-up, Gemini Titan will become the exclusive CFTC-regulated venue for crypto event contracts offered through Apex’s futures commission merchant to its brokerage customers. Gemini w
-
Prediction Market Kalshi Faces Bans in Multiple US States Amid Legal Battles, While CFTC Defends Industry and Proposes New Rules
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is currently blocked for customers in Washington, Michigan, and Nevada, with Washington state authorities accusing the company of operating an illegal gambling bu
-
Kalshi traders predict Bitcoin to end 2026 near current levels, around $75,000
Speculators on the prediction market platform estimate Bitcoin's price at the end of 2026 will be approximately $75,000, based on an average of contracts. This forecast suggests a slight decline from
-
Prediction Markets Increasingly Skeptical on Near-Term US-Iran Nuclear Deal
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, currently prices the chances of a deal at 11% before March 1, 2027, 22% before January 1, 2028, and 35% before January 20, 2029.
-
Research shows Bitcoin contracts on prediction market Kalshi increasingly lead Binance price discovery as BTC breaks $68,000
Research by financial forecasting firm Synth has found that the price movements of 15-minute Bitcoin contracts on Kalshi are increasingly predictive of subsequent Bitcoin price changes on Binance. Sin
-
Cantor Fitzgerald Opens Kalshi Prediction Market Trading to Its ~3,000 Institutional Clients
The investment bank will help its institutional clients execute block event contracts on the CFTC-regulated Kalshi exchange. This move aims to increase institutional participation in prediction market
-
South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns
The Korea Media and Communications Commission stated that Polymarket's structure and operations amount to illegal gambling, despite its noncustodial design and smart contracts.
-
JPMorgan Chase stopped providing banking services to prediction market platform Polymarket last October due to regulatory concerns.
According to The Wall Street Journal, JPMorgan Chase severed banking services with prediction market platform Polymarket in October last year, citing regulatory concerns. Despite the disruption in ban
-
Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
-
Prediction market Novig sues Wisconsin Attorney General in anticipation of state lawsuit over sports contracts
Prediction market platform Novig has filed a lawsuit against Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul and state gaming administrator John Dillett. The move is preemptive, as Novig anticipates Wisconsin wi
-
Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting with cryptocurrency CEOs at the White House this Wednesday, sources say
U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting at the White House this Wednesday that will bring together CEOs of cryptocurrency, prediction market, and artificial intelligence companies,
-
Hyperliquid ETFs See Inflow Reversal Amidst Rising Perpetual Futures Competition
Funds including Grayscale Hyperliquid Staking ETF (HYPG), Bitwise Hyperliquid ETF (BHYP), and 21Shares Hyperliquid ETF (THYP) initially performed well, with HYPG nearing $113 million in AUM and the la
-
Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
-
Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
-
Gemini shares slide after reporting $108 million loss; Winklevoss says 'we still have work to do'
The crypto exchange's prediction market volume nearly doubled as it continued expanding beyond traditional crypto trading.
-
Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
-
US CFTC to hold meeting on Aug. 20 to explore crypto, AI, and prediction market regulations with SEC, without waiting for CLARITY bill
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) will hold a meeting for its Innovation Advisory Committee on Aug. 20 to address regulation related to crypto assets, artificial intelligence and pred
-
US CFTC cautions prediction market platforms over "deficient" incentive program filings, citing manipulation risks
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued guidance, expressing concern over an increase in "procedurally or substantively deficient" filings from prediction market firms for ince
-
Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
-
SKALE Labs launches Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired paper-trading sandbox for training AI agents
SKALE Labs launched Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired, paper-trading prediction market sandbox on its zero-gas blockchain, allowing builders to train AI agents before taking them live on Polymarket.
-
Gemini Exchange: The Path to Regulatory Compliance and Strategic Transformation
Founded in 2014 by the Winklevoss twins, the Gemini exchange is known for its strict regulatory compliance, holding a NYDFS trust charter and CFTC derivatives license. In 2025, Gemini filed for an IPO, and in 2026, it announced its "Gemini 2.0" strategy, shifting its focus to prediction markets and event contracts, while also adjusting its international market presence. Despite facing the Gemini Earn controversy and SEC charges, customer compensation has been completed. The platform is renowned for its security, but users have expressed negative feedback regarding its customer service and account issues.
-
SX Network (SX) Token Analysis: Value, Applications, and Investment Considerations
SX Network is an EVM-compatible blockchain project focused on decentralized sports betting and prediction markets. Its native token, SX, plays a role in network governance, staking, paying gas fees, and obtaining fee discounts. SX Network has processed over $500 million in betting volume through its flagship dApp, SX Bet. However, as of the time of writing, the SX token has extremely low trading volume, and market liquidity faces challenges. This article will delve into SX's value proposition, technical features, tokenomics, and its potential investment risks.
-
BOT (Bodhi) Coin Analysis: The Positioning and Current Status of Bodhi, a Decentralized Prediction Market Token
BOT, the native token of the Bodhi platform, aims to build a decentralized, transparent global prediction market. The project was originally developed on the Qtum blockchain, utilizing a replaceable oracle mechanism that allows holders to participate in arbitration, voting, and paying service fees. Bodhi was launched in 2017 with a total supply of 100 million BOT. As of recently, its market capitalization is approximately $1.67 million, with a unit price of about $0.04. Currently, the trading liquidity of BOT tokens is limited, and investors need to fully understand the risks involved.
-
DPY Coin (Delphy): Project Overview and Current Market Status Analysis
DPY (Delphy) was once a mobile prediction market platform based on Ethereum, aiming to provide decentralized prediction services. However, as of August 2026, the market performance of DPY tokens has been extremely poor, with prices having fallen sharply from historical highs and market capitalization close to zero. Public information indicates that its trading liquidity has dried up, and it has been widely regarded as a high-risk asset, with almost no active trading market currently.
-
POLK Coin Value Analysis: Is Polkamarkets' prediction market token worth long-term attention?
POLK is the native token of Polkamarkets, a decentralized prediction market platform initially based on Ethereum and later migrated to Polkadot. POLK is used for market creation, rewards, gamification, and transaction fee buybacks. As of August 11, 2026, POLK's market activity is extremely low, with both 24-hour trading volume and market capitalization at low levels, and a lack of a clear market narrative. Its long-term value depends on user adoption and ecosystem development, but it currently faces challenges of insufficient liquidity and limited market attention.
-
Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
-
Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
-
THALES Coin Trading Guide: Learn About Its Name Change and Where to Buy It
The THALES token is the governance token of the Thales Protocol, which focuses on prediction markets. It is important to note that the THALES token was recently renamed to Overtime (OVER) and migrated to a new contract. As a result, most trading activity in the market is now centered around the OVER token. This article will outline the historical trading activity of the THALES token and details regarding its rebranding, and will note that users may trade the token via decentralized exchanges (DEXs) or certain centralized platforms.
-
How do I buy and sell POLK? On which major exchanges is the POLK token listed?
POLK is the native token of the Polkamarkets platform, a DeFi-based prediction market designed to provide decentralized cross-chain information exchange and event prediction capabilities. The POLK token is primarily issued on the Ethereum blockchain, and users can buy and sell it on centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX).This article will provide a detailed overview of how to trade POLK and the trading platforms where it is currently listed.
-
What Is Augur (REP)? Analysis of REP Token Crowdfunding Price and Investment Prospects
Augur (REP) is a decentralized prediction market platform based on the Ethereum, which allows users to make predictions about real-world events. Its native token, REP, is primarily used for reporting and verifying event outcomes, ensuring the accuracy of the platform’s decentralized oracle.REP’s ICO was held in 2015 at a price of approximately $0.60, raising a total of about $5 million to $5.3 million. The investment outlook for REP depends on the adoption rate of the Augur platform, market competition, the regulatory environment, and its utility as a utility token—rather than as a passive investment.
-
Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
Forecasting the market
24H Trending
-
1
Crypto Adoption Reaches 25% in Europe's Four Largest Economies: Banks Accelerate Layout Under MiCA Push
-
2
Dollar Rises, U.S. Treasury Yields Fall
-
3
Retired Lineman Made Costly Error by Accepting $310,000 Pension Buyout Check Personally, Triggering 20% Federal Withholding and Potential Tax Penalties
-
4
How to Choose a Reliable Cryptocurrency Exchange Platform? A Guide to Evaluating Mainstream Platforms
-
5
AI scammers are scouring obituaries to target widows, with one losing $7,000 after being told her late husband evaded taxes
-
6
T. Rowe Price to acquire fixed income fund manager F/m Investments, which manages $19bn in assets
-
7
Gemini partners with Apex Fintech Solutions to expand regulated crypto prediction markets
-
8
Exclusive: India plans to issue its first tokenized corporate bonds in September, to be issued by state-owned REC, worth less than $57 million, and will be settled using central bank digital currency
-
9
Ozon, Russia's second-largest online retailer, saw its shares drop by 12% after its warehouse was hit by a Ukrainian drone attack.
-
10
Bybit to support STABLE (STABLE) network upgrade on Aug 26, 2026; deposits and withdrawals to be temporarily suspended.
Markets Today
Recommended Reading
Hot Topics
Svmuu focuses on blockchain industry trends and cutting-edge cryptocurrency news, while also covering real-time market data and in-depth analysis of the Hong Kong, U.S., and foreign exchange markets. Here, you can not only access professional 24/7 news updates and accurate market data, but also utilize practical investment tools to help you capitalize on opportunities in both digital assets and traditional financial markets. Whether you are a blockchain enthusiast or an investor in Hong Kong, U.S., or foreign exchange markets, we provide efficient and timely information services to empower your investment decisions.
- User Agreement
- Privacy Policy
- Contact Us
- Business Partnerships
- Disclaimer
- Content Statement
- About Us
- Sitemap
Coming Soon!
