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Inflation
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HSBC said Wednesday's US CPI report could be the next dovish catalyst, prompting markets to further reduce expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes.
HSBC states that Wednesday's US CPI report could be the next dovish catalyst, driving markets to further reduce expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes. The bank anticipates another set of soft in
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Wells Fargo advised investors to hedge before the release of the July Consumer Price Index (CPI), as its sentiment indicator reached 1.4 in August, the highest "sell" signal in eight years.
Wells Fargo advised investors to hedge before the release of the July Consumer Price Index (CPI), as its sentiment indicator reached 1.4 in August, the highest "sell" signal in eight years.
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Bank of Korea Deputy Governor Ryoo Sangdai said the central bank may need to further raise interest rates as inflation remains above target and economic growth is strong.
Ryoo Sangdai, the outgoing Senior Deputy Governor of the Bank of Korea, stated on Tuesday that the central bank will likely need to further raise interest rates as economic growth continues to transmi
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Panmure Liberum analysts argue copper is a better investment than gold, citing its inflation protection, industrial demand growth, and immunity to interest rate movements.
Panmure Liberum's commodity team, led by analyst Tom Price, believes copper offers similar inflation protection to gold but also provides an industrial-backed demand growth story that gold lacks. They
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Gold prices hit over two-month highs, with spot gold at $4407.79/ounce, influenced by Strait of Hormuz negotiations and attention on US inflation data.
Spot gold (XAU/USD) rose 0.4% to $4407.79 per ounce, and gold futures increased 1.1% to $4467.59. This followed an unexpected decline in US July non-farm payroll data, which propelled gold prices to j
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The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its benchmark interest rate at 4.35%, in line with market expectations.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.35%, in line with market expectations, following signs that inflation has begun to cool. The decision was
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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh could raise interest rates using two nontraditional methods: removing forward guidance and deleveraging the Fed's balance sheet.
The Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and policymakers have two methods to influence interest rates without adjusting the federal funds target rate. First, Warsh has already removed forward-looking gu
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South Korea's Kospi index rose 1.2% on Tuesday, with Samsung Electronics up about 5%, as sentiment in the tech sector stabilized; oil prices rose for a fourth consecutive day, rekindling inflation concerns, while gold fell 0.3% to $4376/ounce.
Driven by relatively optimistic sentiment in the technology sector, South Korea's Kospi index rose 1.2% on Tuesday, with Samsung Electronics gaining approximately 5%, boosted by expectations of shareh
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BOK Senior Deputy Governor says central bank should continue raising interest rates after July hike, citing strong growth and persistent inflation
Bank of Korea (BOK) Senior Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai stated on Tuesday that the central bank should keep raising interest rates following its first hike in over three years. He noted that strong g
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Bitcoin slips near $64,000 after failing to hold $65,000 for a fourth day, with Ether and XRP leading crypto losses amid renewed inflation worries from oil rally
Bitcoin fell over 1% on Tuesday, trading near $64,000, while Ether dropped over 2% to $1,878 and XRP declined almost 2% to $1.01. The broader crypto market saw losses as a rally in Brent crude to $87.
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Colombia Inflation Unexpectedly Slows, Easing Pressure on Rates
Colombia Inflation Unexpectedly Slows, Easing Pressure on Rates
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Most inflation forecasters expect July core CPI to round down to 0.2%
Nick Timiraos, a Federal Reserve correspondent, noted that given recent Fedspeak, the core PCE inflation measure in the next few months could be important in determining whether policymakers maintain
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Cleveland Fed President Hamack: Inflation will not fall back on its own; current interest rates are not restrictive enough, and multiple rate hikes may be needed.
Cleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hamack said on Monday that multiple interest rate hikes may be needed to bring inflation down to the Federal Reserve's 2% target, but she did not want to preju
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Mercatus Center Senior Research Fellow Honig stated that the Federal Reserve is currently taking a wait-and-see approach, and upcoming inflation data will be a key determinant of its future policy.
Thomas Hoenig, a senior fellow at the Mercatus Center, stated that the Federal Reserve is currently maintaining a cautious wait-and-see approach, awaiting the upcoming inflation reports, including the
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Cleveland Fed's Hammack: More than one interest rate hike will be needed to bring down inflation
Cleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hammack stated on Monday that she anticipates multiple interest rate hikes will be required to rein in what she describes as broadening inflation. Hammack, who
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FreightWaves CEO Craig Fuller said the freight recession is over, with stronger truck, rail, and container volumes, and higher freight rates having a minimal impact on consumer inflation.
FreightWaves CEO Craig Fuller said the freight recession is over, with stronger truck, rail, and container volumes, and higher freight rates having a minimal impact on consumer inflation.
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Goldman Sachs Chief Economist: The Federal Reserve's Future Policy Decisions Will Focus More on Inflation Data Than Employment, Expects Further Cooling of Inflation
Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius stated on August 7 that the Federal Reserve might prioritize inflation data over employment data in future policy decisions. He believes that June's inflation
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Stocks Waver as Oil Advance Boosts Treasury Yields, with Trader Anxiety Building Ahead of Key Inflation Reports
Stocks Waver as Oil Advance Boosts Treasury Yields, with Trader Anxiety Building Ahead of Key Inflation Reports
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The U.S. investment-grade bond market saw 19 issuers on Monday, the highest number in seven months.
The issuers include utility companies, overseas banks, and Tyson Foods, which chose to raise funds this week ahead of the release of the US inflation report. This follows last Friday's weaker-than-exp
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh has maintained interest rates unchanged for two consecutive meetings since taking office in 2026, and analysts believe his cautious approach may lead the Federal Reserve to postpone interest rate hikes.
Since taking office in May this year, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh has opted to maintain interest rates at two consecutive Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. Warsh has adopted a cauti
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Report: Replicating Average Couple's $3,120 Monthly Social Security Requires $716K-$936K Portfolio
A new report indicates that matching the average U.S. couple's $3,120 monthly Social Security benefit requires a substantial personal portfolio. This figure varies based on investment strategy, with a
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US Stock Futures Decline 0.1% Ahead of Chipmaker Earnings and Inflation Focus
US stock futures are lower during Monday's premarket session, with contracts on the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index both down 0.1%. Investors are gearing up for the final stretch of earnings, with
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Silver (SI=F) September futures rose to $64.03/ounce by 8:34 a.m. ET on Monday, having opened up 0.5% at $63.80/ounce.
Silver prices have continued to rally since Friday's weak jobs report, leading many investors to reduce expectations of a rate increase next month. However, two key inflation reports later this week w
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Fed September Rate Hike of 25 Basis Points Looks 'Virtually Certain' Amid 3.8% CPI and Rising Treasury Yields
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) recently hit 3.8%, marking the sharpest increase in three years and significantly exceeding the Federal Reserve's 2% target. Concurrently, 30-year Treasury yields have r
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Asian Stocks, Bonds Set to Decline Thursday on Inflation Jitters
The decline tracks Wall Street losses as an oil rally and stronger-than-expected US economic data fueled inflation concerns and bets on further interest-rate hikes. The yen, near a three-week low, wil
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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ECB's Lane: Eurozone HICP inflation is projected at 3.0% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027.
In a speech in Geneva, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, unveiled the ECB's September macroeconomic projections, forecasting HICP inflation for the Eurozone a
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McDonald's CEO expects high inflation and flat traffic to persist in restaurant industry
McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski stated on Wednesday that the company does not anticipate a change in these conditions, viewing them as the new operating environment. He noted that in the most recent
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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U.S. September PMI data surged to a five-year high, with input costs reaching their highest since 2022, intensifying inflation concerns.
U.S. business activity accelerated significantly in September, with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rising to 57.0, the Services PMI to 58.7, and the Composite PMI to 58.4. All figures substantially
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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Eastmoney Securities Research Institute Report: The world has not yet entered a phase of full tightening, and there is room to increase allocation to US Treasury bonds.
Eastmoney Securities Research Institute released a macro special report on September 23, outlining the characteristics and patterns of ten global synchronized tightening cycles since the 1970s. The re
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Analysts conclude their longest upgrade cycle in five years, holding a net negative view on U.S. corporate earnings prospects for the first time.
For the first time in months, equity analysts have turned net negative on the outlook for U.S. corporate earnings, reflecting concerns about the impact of inflation and high interest rates on company
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Hong Kong's August overall consumer prices rose 1.7% YoY, underlying inflation 1.9%
Hong Kong's overall consumer prices rose by 1.7% year-on-year in August, matching July's figure. The underlying inflation rate, which excludes one-off government relief measures, also remained unchang
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks warns: Out-of-control US fiscal discipline is the fundamental reason for rising interest rates, with the current deficit at about 6% of GDP.
Oaktree Capital co-founder Howard Marks stated in his latest memo on Tuesday that the uncontrolled fiscal discipline in the U.S. is the fundamental reason for rising long-term interest rates, and that
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Singapore Core Inflation Rises Third Month to 2.2% in August, Highest Since 2024
Singapore's core inflation, which excludes housing and private transportation costs, accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year in August, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest
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Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day.
Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day, with the cost of filling up a tank increasing by 40% since the beginning of the year.
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ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
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Citigroup Survey: Inflation Overtakes Tariffs as Family Offices' Top Concern, Wealthy Flock to Gold and US Equities
Inflation has supplanted trade wars and tariffs as the top risk concern for ultra-high-net-worth individuals this year, with interest rate changes and global financial system stability closely followi
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Demand Surges at South African Bond Auction Ahead of Rate Call
Demand surged at an auction of South African government bonds as investors sought relatively high yields ahead of inflation data and a central bank policy meeting scheduled for later this week.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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